NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A029200010016-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 5, 2006
• Sequence Number: 16
• Publication Date: August 10, 1976
• Content Type: REPORT

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Tuesday August 10, 1976 CI NIDC 76-187C
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State Dept. r,ffK ,@grPWq#Aase 2007/02/08: CIA-RDP79T00975A029708d 9fication
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NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Tuesday, August 10, 1976.
25X1
25X1 IT -he NID Cable is for the purpose of informing
senior US officials.
CONTENTS
GREECE-TURKEY: Sismik I Controversy Continues Page 1
LEBANON: Situation Report
Nonaligned Summit Conference
SOUTH AFRICA: Rioting Resumes, Spreads
Page 2
Page 4
Page 5
Page 7
Page 8
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GREECE-TURKEY: Sismik I Controversy Continues
A senior Greek official informed the US embassy in
Athens yesterday that the Greeks believed the Turkish research
ship Sismik I would continue to operate in contested portions
of the Aegean despite Greek protests.
Earlier in the! day, Athens lodged a second protest
note with Ankara. It answered the Turks' formal rejection on
Sunday of an earlier Greek protest about alleged activities of
the Sismik I in disputed waters Friday and protested additional
incursions the Greeks believe took place yesterday and Sunday.
The Greek ambassador in Ankara asserted that Athens
could accept Ankara's offer to resume bilateral negotiations on
Aegean problems only if the Turks would agree to keep the Sismik
I out of contested waters. According to the Greeks, the immedi-
ate Turkish response was cool.
I I Yesterday evening Greek Prime Minister Caramanlis an-
nounce wo other measures to cope with Aegean tensions. Athens
will ask for an emergency session of the UN Security Council to
consider the problem and will also approach the International
Court of Justice to seek a demarcation of the Aegean continental
shelf.
Both moves may give the government room to maneuver
by somewhat relieving the growing domestic pressure for sterner
countermeasures to perceived Turkish infringement of Greek Ae-
gean claims. Athens prefers to air its differences with Ankara
in international forums, because the Greeks believe they have a
strong legal case. The Turks have consistently resisted referring
Aegean problems to The Hague Court, believing they have more to
gain from bilateral discussions.
Ankara took note yesterday of the second Greek de-
marche. According to the Turks, the document contained "harsher"
language than the Greeks had previously used. A Turkish official
said a correspondingly harsher second Turkish note was under
preparation.
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Turkish Prime Minister Demirel told reporters that
"come what may the Sismik will continue its scheduled opera-
tions." Demirel is being attacked by the opposition for his
allegedly weak Aegean policy.
The Greek government has apparently taken further
military precautions. The defense attache in Athens reported in-
dications yesterday that the Greek air force had increased its
readiness level.
Each side has accused the other of provocative activ-
ities in connection with their respective efforts to monitor
the Sismik I. Turkish officials in Ankara have complained to
the Greek ambassador about harassment of the ship by low-flying
Greek airplanes and of close passes by Greek warships.
Greek officials told the US embassy yesterday that
Turkish airplanes had twice overflown the Greek ship trailing
the Sismik I, and the second Greek note to Ankara accused the
Turks of accompanying the Sismik I at various times with an
airplane, a helicopter, or a ship.
LEBANON: Situation Report
The Syrian-Palestinian-Lebanese truce committee meet-
ing that was repeatedly postponed last week will be delayed
still further because Syrian Foreign Minister Khaddam and Pal-
estine Liberation Organization representative Qaddumi left yes-
terday to attend the nonaligned summit conference in Sri Lanka.
Arab League mediator Hasan Sabri al-Khuli has not
given up hope of convening a meeting with substitute represen-
tatives but seems resigned to waiting for the return of the
leading negotiators.
The long delay is giving all parties time to raise
objections. The Syrians now insist that other leftists rather
than Kamal Jumblatt represent the Lebanese left. Christian
leader Camille Shamun has branded the Jumblatt group traitors
and refused to attend if they participate.
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 yesterday to discuss an enlargement of neutral zones and methods
of controlling cease-fire violations, but little progress is
likely in the face of the refusal by all sides to adhere to the
truce. Al-Khuli continues to meet with the leaders of various
factions in the hope of making the cease-fire effective.
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Leaders of the Arab League peace-keeping effort met
I I A Christian force in the north--apparently acting
without direct Syrian support--launched an armored attack last
weekend on Palestinians around a Carmelite school on the edge
of Tripoli but were pushed back. Both sides reported heavy
fighting yesterday in an area near Zagharta.
The Syrians, presumably to avoid being charged with
violating the "cease-fire," seem content for the time being to
sit back and let the Christians take the lead in the current
fighting throughout the country.
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NORTH KOREA: Nonaligned Summit Conference
A large contingent from North Korea--which may be led
by President Kim Il-song--will attend the nonaligned summit con-
ference that opens in Colombo next week.
Pyongyang is counting on increased support from the
nonaligned states to score a decisive victory at the UN General
Assembly in the fall and wants to ensure that the political
document issued at the end of the summit conference includes
a strong pro-Pyongyang resolution on the Korean issue.
The North Koreans are not satisfied with the
Korean portion of the draft political statement formulated at
the preparatory meeting of the nonaligned countries in Algiers
in late May. That draft calls for the withdrawal of all "for-
eign" troops and the replacement of the armistice agreement
with a peace agreement--both central components in Pyongyang's
position--//but North Korea wants additional language branding
the US the major source of tension on the Korean Peninsula.//
This theme has received heavy play in the North Korean
media in recent months and was the subject of a formal govern-
ment statement last Thursday. Foreign Minister Ho Tam arrived
in Colombo yesterday as head of an advance party and immediately
held a press conference to accuse the US of war preparations in
South Korea.
//The anti-US language is only a small part
of lengthy amendments Pyongyang would like to make in the non-
aligned political statement to infuse it with more militancy.
The North Koreans are lobbying for a seat on the important coor-
dinating committee;
Sri Lankan officials have been told to expect upwards
of 100 persons in the North Korean delegation. The North Koreans
have docked their prize passenger ship--the Mangyongbong--at
Colombo's port to serve as a floating hotel for the delegation.
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 I uIn the past, North Korea's communist allies and friends
among t e militant nonaligned states have been spokesmen for
Pyongyang at international meetings. As a result, many third-
world countries have not directly experienced the heavy-handed,
unsophisticated methods characteristic of North Korean diplomacy.
in the nonaligned movement last year, will be pleading their
own case in the full glare of the international limelight, and
their performance may produce some interesting contretemps.
I I
SOUTH AFRICA: Rioting Resumes, Spreads
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Black South African students resumed rioting yester-
This time, the North Koreans, who gained membership
cT-ay after a fairly quiet weekend. Although the latest distur-
bances were small-scale compared with the outbreaks in Soweto
last week, the demonstrations are clearly intended to provoke
violence and they are spreading to new areas.
Yesterday, as last week, militant students tried to
impose an industrial work stoppage by intimidating commuters in
several black townships around Johannesburg. Urban employers,
however, said that absenteeism among black workers was negligi-
ble.
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Although no serious clashes between police and stu-
dents occurred in Soweto yesterday, police opened fire in three
other black townships near Johannesburg, killing two youths and
wounding five. Last week police gunfire killed no more than
three, although the rioting resulted in five additional deaths
and many injuries.
Some student disturbances were reported yesterday in
12 separate localities, including a black township near Durban
and in Mafeking, capital of the Bophuthatswana tribal homeland.
In some instances, militants were trying to keep other students
from attending school, a recurrent pattern during recent weeks.
In Mafeking, students burned down the building where
the tribal legislative assembly meets. They apparently were
showing disapproval of the plan to make Bophuthatswana nominally
independent within the next few years without providing adequate
resources.
The minister of Bantu administration told the press
on Sunday that the government is planning to give urban blacks
more control over their own affairs, but he gave no details.
Such promises, along with recent consultations between govern-
ment leaders and authorized black spokesmen for the urban blacks,
appear inadequate to reverse the trend toward student militancy
since the June riots.
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The shooting of an Italian truck driver by East Ger-
man border guards last week has sharpened the propaganda ex-
change between West and East Germany.
The West German press has given extensive coverage to
the incident--the first such killing of a non-German citizen.
Several West Germans have been involved in similar incidents in
recent weeks. Spokesmen for all the major political parties have
condemned the shootings. Facing a close election in less than
two months, the Bonn government is particularly sensitive to
opposition charges that it is ineffective in preventing such
incidents.
//Chancellor Schmidt and other officials report-
edly do not believe that the recent shootings are officially in-
spired, but Schmidt is concerned that more incidents will lead
to an increase in tension.//
Opposition leaders, including the Christian Democrats'
chancellor-candidate Kohl, have insisted that Bonn apply eco-
nomic sanctions against East Berlin, but the Schmidt government
has ruled this out; government spokesmen point out that past
Christian Democratic - led governments also refused to cut off
trade credits.
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East Germany's embarrassment at what it sees as West
Germany's exploitation of the latest affair was apparent yester-
day in a commentary in the party daily. The article described
the Italian victim as a "friend of the German Democratic Repub-
lic"--he was a member of the Italian Communist Party--and noted
the "mysterious circumstances" of his death.
The paper attacked Bonn for playing election politics
and, for the first time, warned of the possibility of curtail-
ing the travel of West German tourists and visitors. Bonn's
permanent representative in East Berlin met yesterday with East
German Deputy Foreign Minister Nier to discuss the border prob-
lem. Both sides still seem eager to contain the situation.
Chile may withdraw from the Andean Pact, a group of
six Sou American countries formed to foster trade and develop-
ment.
Chile opposes an amendment that would postpone for
two years implementation of new tariffs and industrial develop-
ment programs. Last week, Chile refused to sign the amendment
and said it will reopen discussions only if other Pact members
agree to revise restrictions on foreign investment.
According to the Chileans, the Pact's foreign invest-
ment code, which limits foreign equity in an enterprise to 49
percent and profit remittance to 14 percent, is an obstacle to
economic development. The Chileans further assert that the delay
in implementing common external tariff and internal tariff re-
ductions maintains high consumer prices.
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The other five members concede that some easing of
the profit remittance level would benefit Pact countries but
consider the amendment necessary to give members time for joint
industrial development programs, while protecting their econo-
mies from competition abroad and among themselves.
Chile has until August 30, when the Pact Commission
reconvenes, to reconsider its position on the amendment.
I I Ministers from all the Pact countries except Chile
wi meet in Lima on August 16. They probably will agree to
Chilean requests for revision in the profit remittance to keep
Chile in the Pact, but they are unlikely to give ground on the
amendment.
I As long as the five remain in essential agreement on
the timing and extent of implementation of Pact agreements,
Chile is in a poor position to force further concessions.
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Top Secret
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(S 1~paved -Release 2007/02/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29200010016-0
(Security 'lassification