NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A028800010024-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 1, 2006
• Sequence Number: 24
• Publication Date: April 14, 1976
• Content Type: REPORT

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Top Secret
UNITED STATES
INTELLIGENCE
BOARD
National Intelligence
Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
DIA review(s) completed.
Top Secret
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April 14, 1976
NO
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 Approved For Release
National Intelligence Bulletin
April 14, 1976
CONTENTS
ISRAEL: Nationalists score
large wins in West Bank elections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
SPAIN: Trade union
convenes congress this week . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
FRANCE: Nationwide strike
tomorrow by students and teachers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
FOR THE RECORD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
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National Intelligence Bulletin
April 14, 1976
Palestinian nationalist candidates in the Israeli-occupied West Bank scored large
wins in the municipal council elections on Monday, but the presence of
conservatives on many councils will prevent supporters of the Palestine Liberation
Organization from securing complete control of local administrations.
Many of the viictorious "nationalist" slates appear to be collections of
councilors representing many shades of political opinion, from traditionally
conservative clan factions to radicals sympathetic to the PLO. These men have often
had little more in common than their agreement to run together and to t r y to
attract the widest possible spectrum of votes.
Leftist-oriented slates won majorities on the councils of two of the West Bank's
three most populous towns-Nabulus and Ram Allah-and in a number of smaller
towns. In Hebron, long a conservative stronghold, a conglomerate, including both
leftist sympathizers and conservatives, gained control of the municipal council.
Conservatives won in one major town-Bethlehem-and appear to have gained
majorities on councils in several smaller communities.
The strong showiing by candidates sympathetic to the PLO represents a protest
against the Israeli occupation government and is a setback for Tel Aviv's support of
traditionalist, pro-Jordanian council candidates. In the future, the Israelis will
probably be increasingly faced with a politically outspoken group of West Bank
nationalist leaders less willing to cooperate with occupation authorities to administer
the territory.
During the next two weeks, the new councils will each convene to name one of
their members, usually the highest vote-getter, as mayor. A large number of
nationalists will probably be chosen, since they are the front-runners on many
councils.
Israeli occupation officials can veto these selections, however, and appoint
mayors more to their liking. Queried on this possibility last week, Defense Minister
Peres, the cabinet minister responsible for administering the West Bank, said the
military government ithere would accept the decisions of the councils unless there
was a "legal reason" for doing otherwise.
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National Intelligence Bulletin April 14, 1976
Israeli intervention in the mayoral elections could ignite a new round of
anti-Israeli demonstrations or riots similar to those that took place in February and
March.
Voter turnout for the elections was heavy, although somewhat lower than
anticipated. Votes were cast by 72 percent of all registered voters and by 69 percent
of registered women voters, who were casting ballots for the first time. 25X1
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National Intelligence Bulletin
April 14, 1976
Spain's most important democratic trade union will open its annual congress
this week against a backdrop of demonstrations planned to focus attention on the
government's apparent inability to push through reforms the union considers crucial.
The illegal Socialist General Union of Workers will hold its four-day congress in
Madrid beginning tomorrow-the first meeting of its kind to be held openly in Spain
since the end of the Civil War. Interior Minister Fraga told the US ambassador last
week that the congress would be authorized only at the last minute as a sign of his
displeasure at the union's participation in the merger last month of the two
opposition coalitions.
The congress will have to make important decisions concerning the future
course of the Socialist union. It is expected to opt for pluralism in Spanish labor-in
contrast to the Communists' unitary approach-although this may be balanced by a
statement favoring unity-of-action tactics with all other trade union forces.
The congress is also likely to rule against allowing high-level union officials to
hold top positions in the Socialist Workers' Party and to decide on far-reaching
changes in the union's leadership. There are indications, however, that the followers
of Socialist leader Felipe Gonzalez and the Basque faction of the union will maintain
control, ensuring continued emphasis on close ties with other West European trade
unions.
In an effort to enhance its international image and bolster domestic support,
the union has invited high-level foreign observers to attend the congress, including
representatives of the International Confederation of Free Trade Unions, the
European Trade Union Confederation, and various international trade secretariats.
Many of these organizations will be sending their top officials to demonstrate
support for trade union and political liberties in Spain. Most conspicuous by its
absence will be the British Trades Union Congress, which reportedly does not want
to offend the Socialists' rival, the Communist-dominated workers' commissions.
The union meeting will focus attention on Madrid's seeming inability to get
important reforms off the ground, especially long overdue changes in the
government-controlled Spanish Syndical Organization-the only legal labor group in
Spain. Because of increasingly open resistance from the far right, the government's
reform proposals will probably not be unveiled until the Syndical Organization
congress in July. The government had hoped to move earlier to offset anticipated
labor disturbances.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
April 14, 1976
Demonstrations are expected tomorrow on the anniversary of the Second
Republic, although they may be defused in part by King Juan Carlos' decree
granting pensions to Republican veterans. Rallies by extremists are also possible on
Easter Sunday, the day Basques celebrate their "national" day. The turnout on
Easter may be reduced, however, by the decision of the Basque government in exile,
supported by some Basque parties and labor organizations, to call off the
celebrations because of the tense situation in the Basque area. Such demonstrations
would reportedly serve as dry runs for massive turnouts for international labor day
on May 1.
The government's only public response so far has been to schedule a television
address by Prime Minister Arias for April 20. Arias will list the government's
achievements and outline its future plans, but judging from his past performances
he is unlikely to inspire confidence in the government's zeal for reform.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
April 14, 1976
The planned nationwide strike tomorrow by radical French student and teacher
organizations could pose problems for the Giscard government.
Activists representing about 5 percent of France's 800,000 university students
have been preparing for the strike since about mid-March with a series of protests,
some of which involved confrontations with police. The students, supported by
some teacher unions, are opposing the government's proposed university reforms,
which include:
--Modifying science and humanities curricula to assure that graduates are better
prepared for the job market.
--Permitting more selectivity in admissions standards.
--Shortening the time required to earn certain degrees.
--Reducing the number of teachers trained.
The activists complain that unemployment is so high that graduates have little
chance of finding a job related to their training; they maintain that the government's
response to this problem is a sell-out to big business. Student organizations say that
about 100,000 graduates last year still cannot find jobs. The government refuses to
back down and says the reforms will go ahead as scheduled. Officials add that
demonstrators who fail required courses disrupted by the strikes will not graduate
this year.
The organizers of the strike tomorrow hope workers and farmers will also take
to the streets as they did during the demonstrations in May 1968. Delegates
reportedly have been chosen to contact representatives of labor groups, which have
also registered discontent over the government's handling of social and economic
problems. Despite the volatile atmosphere at the universities, French officials do not
anticipate a repetition of the serious turmoil in 1968.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
April 14, 1976
MOROCCO - WEST GERMANY: Morocco recently concluded an agreement
with a West German manufacturer to purchase 75 UR-416 armored trucks modified
for troop transport in desert operations. The contract calls for delivery of 18
vehicles a month, beginning in September. The cost of the purchase is about $5
million. It is not yet known whether Bonn has qranted export approval for the
vehicles. The UR-416, a Mercedes truck with steel plating, is regarded as an internal
security vehicle, not a military combat item, and thus may not be subject to the West
German law forbidding the export of war materiel to areas of tension. The promised
early delivery schedule appears to have weighed in Morocco's decision to purchase
these vehicles, despite the maintenance problems that the addition of West German
equipment to the Moroccan inventory will entail.
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