CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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CIA-RDP79T00975A027500010004-2
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RIPPUB
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T
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Document Creation Date:
December 20, 2016
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Top Secret
Nfl-
National Intelligence
Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
DIA review(s) completed.
Top Secret
N2 638
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National Intelligence Bulletin
March 3, 1975
CONTENTS
mor -favorable toward Sudanese peace proposal for Eritrea.
e
(Page 3)
CAMBODIA: Military situation. (Page 5)
LEBANON: Clashes between army and leftist and fedayeen
forces continued in Sidon over. the weekend. (Page 7)
EC-MEDITERRANEAN: EC moving ahead with its Mediterranean
policy. (Page 11)
FOR THE RECORD: (Page 13)
light; military council
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National Intelligence Bulletin
ETHIOPIA
March 3, 1975
Fighting between government forces and Eritrean in-
surgents was light over the weekend.
The ruling military council in Addis Ababa has
adopted a more favorable attitude toward Sudanese Presi-
dent Numayri's peace proposal for Eritrea.
a government delegation will leave soon
for Khartoum to hold discussions. The Ethiopians appar
ently are willing to talk with rebel representatives as
well as with the Sudanese.
Prospects for productive negotiations, nonetheless,
remain slim. The Ethiopians probably envisage only pre-
liminary discussions. Numayri has called for talks with-
out preconditions, but the Ethiopians continue to insist
that discussions must be within the framework of Ethio-
pian national unity. The rebels, for their part, are
holding to their demand that the government first recog-
nize Eritrea's right to independence before negotiations
begin.
The council had until now reacted cooly to Numayri's
three-week-old proposal because it believed acceptance
would be taken as a sign of weakness. The government
apparently believes its military position in Eritrea has
improved enough to remove that consideration.
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National Intelligence, Bulletin
March 3, 1975
Heavy fighting continues along the western approaches
to Phnom Penh, and the airfield at Pochentong has been
hit frequently by rockets.
Government forces have been halted in their attempts
to retake Tuol Leap, which fell on Friday, giving the
insurgents control of key terrain northwest of a major
government munitions depot. Government troops have en-
countered stiff resistance from a large, well-equipped
enemy force at Tuol Leap. Renewed government efforts
to retake the area are not expected to begin for a few
days.
Southwest of Phnom Penh,, government troops reached
a unit of the 3rd Division that had been encircled and
under heavy pressure since last week. Some 200 Communist
dead were found in the immediate area. Attempts to link
up with another cutoff position have been suspended,
but operations are scheduled to resume today. The re-
taking of these positions would free some units of the
3rd Division for operations against Communist units
north of Route 4.
Along the Mekong, government forces are continuing
clearing operations on a key island just north of Neak
Luong. Meanwhile, Communist attacks against Neak Luong
and Banam continue, and a friendly position southeast
of Neak Luong reportedly has been abandoned. The loss
of this position increases the Communist threat in the
area and could curtail any reinforcement of the remain-
ing government position near the southern narrows, which
has come under intensified enemy attack over the past
few days.
Communist attacks are expected to continue north-
east of the capital, and additional territorial losses
could occur unless badly needed supplies reach the re
maining government positions. A naval resupply convoy
was able to replenish dwindling ammunition stocks at
two friendly positions last night; this should hel
shore up the government's sagging defenses.
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Beirut*
Golan
Heights
IAlL~ -/ ~?
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National Intelligence Bulletin March 3, 1975
LEBANON
Clashes between Lebanese army units and leftist and
fedayeen forces continued over the weekend in the south-
ern port city of Sidon.
At least five soldiers have been killed and several
army vehicles destroyed in the fighting, which grew out
of a demonstration last Wednesday over fishing rights.
Less serious shooting incidents have occurred in Tripoli
and Tyre. A general strike called to protest the army's
intervention has paralyzed the ports of Sidon and Tyre,
but has been only partly effective in Beirut. and Tripoli.
Prime Minister Sulh's four-month-old government has
been severely shaken by the fighting. According to press
reports, however, Sulh decided. during the course of a
long cabinet meeting yesterday to postpone any decision
to step down. Two cabinet members have threatened to
resign in protest over the army's actions in Sidon.
The army entered the dispute to halt the shooting
that occurred when Lebanese leftists besieged Sidon's
city hall last week. The army failed to restore order,
however, and quickly became embroiled in a fight with
fedayeen groups that sympathize and cooperate with local
leftists. Sidon's medieval. quarter is heavily populated
by fedayeen, and the largest Palestinian refugee camp
in Lebanon is just outside the city.
The demonstration last. Wednesday may have been in-
tended by radical fedayeen and leftists to draw the Leba-
nese army into the conflict and thus embarrass the more
moderate leaders of the Palestine Liberation Organiza-
tion, who have reasonably good relations with the Leba-
nese government.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
March 3, 1975
Prime Minister Sulh, in an effort to ease the
situation, told newsmen yesterday that he has appointed
a new acting governor for southern Lebanon and that he
would that day ask the army to withdraw from Sidon, "now
that its mission has been completed." He was referring
to the army's claim that it had regained control of major
access routes to Sidon. Late yesterday, Sulh claimed
that the situation in Sidon was normal.
Sulh has been consulting behind the scenes with
Lebanese Socialist leader Karnal Jumblatt and with leaders
of the PLO in the hope that they will prove better able
to restrain the radicals. Both Jumblatt and the PLO
leaders have lately been on good terms with the govern-
ment, but they will take extreme care to avoid becoming
identified with Sulh's position lest they alienate their
generally anti-government supporters.
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National Intelligence Bulletin March 3, 1975
EC-MEDITERRANEAN
The EC is moving ahead with its Mediterranean policy.
It is preparing to conclude agreements with the Maghreb--
the Arab states of the western Mediterranean--and to
open negotiations with Egypt, Jordan, Syria, and Lebanon.
The negotiations nearing conclusion provide Algeria,
Tunisia, and Morocco with preferential reductions in EC
tariffs on industrial goods and agricultural imports.
These agreements will include protocols on technical,
financial, economic, and environmental cooperation.
In the new negotiations, Egypt, Jordan, Syria, and
Lebanon are seeking roughly similar agreements. They
are asking for duty-free entry to the EC for all indus-
trial products, some concessions on agricultural products,
financial cooperation, protection for migrant labor, and
the establishment of a joint committee with the EC to
watch over relations between the two areas. Egypt, more-
over, wants an EC office opened in Cairo.
At the same time, the EC is considering a supple-
mentary protocol to a recently concluded agreement with
Israel that would cover economic and financial coopera-
tion. The protocol would include provision for a joint
committee like that proposed for the eastern Mediterra-
nean Arab states.
The French suggestion for a comprehensive EC policy
in the Mediterranean--originally made in 1972--has been
pushed during the past year,, in part because the EC
members have hoped the policy would help their relations
with the oil-exporting states of the area. The current
multilateral trade negotiations in Geneva also undoub'-
edly lend urgency to EC efforts to conclude new agree-
ments, or renew older ones, in order to strengthen the
EC's hand in dealing with the less-developed countries.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
FOR THE RECORD
March 3, 1975
Turke : Turkish President Koruturk has asked Prime
Minister Irmak, who has headed. the caretaker cabinet,
to form a coalition BlBcespreading
prov-
civil disturbances, particularly in the eastern to
inces, Koruturk has been under considerable pressure
break the political deadlock that has kept the country
under interim rule for more than five months. irmak was
unsuccessful earlier when he tried to form a coalition.
If he is able to form a government this time, it will
ree
ties a
g
be only temporary, until the political par
when to hold a new election.
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