CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A025800050001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 17, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 10, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

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Central Intellig
ence Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
Top Secret
2 4
1-0 December 1973
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10 December 1973
Central Intell i g nce Bulletin
CONTENTS
ARAB STATES - ISRAEL: Egypt announces that it will
participate in the peace conference in Geneva.
(Page 1)
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CAMBODIA: Army makes slight progress against Khmer
Communists at Kompong Speu city. (Page 6)
SOUTH VIETNAM: Heavy fighting in Quang Duc Prov-
ince. (Page 7)
WESTERN HEMISPHERE: Latins conclude third round
of talks on reorganization of inter-American system.
(Page 8)
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FOR THE RECORD: (Page 11)
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(ARAB STATES - ISRAEL: Egypt has announced
that it will participate in the peace conference
in Geneva, despite the breakdown of the Egyptian-
Israeli disengagement talks at Kilometer 101.
In a government policy speech on 8 December,
Egyptian Deputy Prime Minister Hatim outlined three
"principles" to which Cairo will adhere during the
talks:
--Egypt will not permit the conference to be
used as a means for procrastination on the,
implementation of international resolutions,
nor will it permit the conference to degener-
ate into the deadlock that existed before-6
October;
--Egypt will reject any attempt to discuss
two basic tenets of its policy--Israeli with-
drawal from the Arab territories, and restora-
tion of the rights of the Palestinian people;
--Egypt believes that participation in the
conference by the Palestinians will be a firm
expression by the international community of
their legal existence and a clear recognition
of their rights.
To the extent that Hatim portrayed as nonnegotiable
those subjects that in reality will involve consid-
erable negotiating, his speech was tough and deter-
mined. His statement. contained sufficient ambiguity
to leave Cairo's options open, however, and it con-
tained none of the shrill, even threatening, tone
that the Egyptian press has adopted during the past
few days.
Hatim devoted most of his address to domestic
concerns. He touched on government plans for vir-
tually every sector of the economy, including those
for "economic openness" and "flexibility" that had
been emphasized prior to the October war. Those 3
plans were designed to move Egypt away from its
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socialist, Nasirist economic policies. Hatim's de-
tailed treatment of domestic affairs appears largely
an attempt to convince the Egyptian people that
their economic grievances will not be forgotten as
the government enters into a period of protracted
peace negotiations.
Moscow will find little comfort in Hatim's re-
marks. The Soviets received-only one sentence of
gratitude for their military, political, and eco-
nomic aid, and they will undoubtedly be disconcerted
by the reiteration of Egypt's desire for "economic
openness." That policy in the past drew strong
criticism from the Soviet media because of its anti-
Soviet, antisocialist implications.
Minor cease-fire violations continued on the
Egyptian front over the weekend. Ten Israeli sol-
diers were reportedly wounded in the most serious
of several small-arms and artillery exchanges in
the Ismailia area.
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In Tel Aviv, a military spokesman announced
on 8 December that 2,412 Israeli soldiers are
be-
lieved to have been killed in the October war.
A
month ago, the number of dead had been put at
1,854.
The Cairo newspaper Al Ahram has criticized
the revised election platform of the Israeli Labor
Party, charging that it does not include "the mini-
mum conditions" necessary for a move toward peace.
The newspaper specifically pointed to the party's
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Cpolicy of refusing to withdraw to the pre-1967
borders as further evidence--in addition to Tel
Aviv's stalling at the talks at Kilometer 101--
that Israel does.not seek an acceptable political
solution to the crisis.
Jordan and the Palestinians are engaged in a
verbal sparring match over the question of Pales-
tinian representation at the Geneva peace conference.
The Palestine News Agency reported on 8 December
that fedayeen leaders have rejected a Jordanian
initiative for a joint delegation to the talks.
The report claimed that Jordan offered to form a
new government that could include officials se-
lected by the Palestinians;. the new government
would in turn appoint the Jordanian delegation to
the conference, which could include a representa-
tive. of the Palestine Liberation Organization. Ac-
cording to the Palestinians, "the Revolution's
leadership refused even to discuss the offer." Ac-
cording to an official Jordanian spokesman, no such
offer of reconciliation was made.
Ministers of the Organization of Arab Petro-
leum Exporting Countries, meeting in Kuwait over
the weekend, decided to resume in January their
five-percent-monthly cuts in oil production. The
January cuts reportedly will include Japan and
those European states that were exempted in Decem-
ber for their pro-Arab diplomatic moves. The min-
isters agreed that the Arab producers will begin
gradually to increase their oil production to the
level of September 1973 only when Israel begins to
implement a timetable for withdrawal from the oc-
cupied Arab territories. The rate of production
increases would correspond to phases in the Is-
raeli withdrawal, which must be guaranteed by the
US. F7 I
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CAMBODIA: Elements of a 4,000-man Cambodian
Army task force made some slight progress over the
weekend in their efforts to dislodge Khmer Commu-
nist forces from a seven-mile stretch of Route 4
just southwest of Kompong Speu city. In the past
few days, however, the Communists have launched a
series of small-scale ground attacks and shellings
against Kompong Speu itself and against government
positions along Route 4 closer to Phnom Penh. Army
commanders are concerned that the Communists may be
trying to cut off Kompong Speu and the task force.
South of Phnom Penh, the situation at the provincial
capital of Takeo has improved, although the city
remains the target of sporadic Communist shellings
and probes.
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On the political front, President Lon Nol is
casting about for a replacement for Prime Minister
In Tam, who on 7 December announced his desire to
resign. The US Embassy reports that Lon Nol's first
choice is likely to be a long-time crony of his,
General Thappana Nginn, currently third vice prime
minister. High Political Council member Sirik
Matak and others will probably oppose his choice,
however, and it may take some time to find an ac-
ceptable replacement. In Tam himself told US Em-
bassy officials on 6 December that in order to
avoid a governmental crisis and assure a smooth
transition, he will not leave office abruptly.
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SOUTH VIETNAM: Heavy fighting continues around
the district town of Kien Duc in Quang Duc Province.
Both the Communists and the South Vietnamese have
claimed control,
Althoug the South ietnames;l
appear to be in e city, some North Vietnamese are
also still present either in parts of the town or its
immediate outskirts.
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 WESTERN HEMISPHERE: The third round of talks
on the reorganization of the inter-American system
concluded in Lima with few solid accomplishments,
but with the Latin Americans united to an unusual
degree on issues concerning relations with the US.
Representatives of the 23 OAS member states
agreed on recommendations for a few revisions in
the OAS Charter and the Rio Treaty, but the sweeping
reforms advocated by some of the more radical dele-
gates were defeated. A majority apparently favored
expanding the Rio Treaty to provide for collective
security against "economic aggression"--an addition
intended to limit the influence of the US and multi-
national corporations---but agreement could not be
reached on specifics.
On primarily economic issues, the Latin Ameri-
can and Caribbean countries were nearly unanimous
in challenging the US. The Law of the Sea, the role
of international lending agencies, and the right of
the Latin Americans to control foreign investment
and their own natural resources are high on the
agenda for future talks with the US.
Unlike the earlier, more contentious phase of
negotiations, the latest talks in Lima were charac-
terized by a desire for constructive dialogue with
the US. The changes of government in Chile and
Argentina in September brought new attitudes toward
the US in those countries, and the Chilean coup
caused a few other governments to reappraise or
moderate their policies at least temporarily. With
the Panama Canal negotiations under way once again,
the Torrijos government in Panama is now more anx-
ious to maintain the best possible relations with
the US.
These shifts, plus Secretary Kissinger's stated
desire for increased high-level collaboration in the
hemisphere, have elevated Latin American expectations
for a general improvement in relations with the US.
At the meeting of foreign ministers in Bogota last
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month, the Latins forged joint positions which will
be discussed with the Secretary at a conclave early
next year. Although the Bogota meeting overshadowed
and tended to supersede the proceedings of the OAS
commission, both groups of negotiators reached sim-
ilar conclusions in a spirit of unusual harmony.
Many Latin American governments now seem to look on
the foreign ministers' meeting with the Secretary
as well as the OAS General Assembly session next
April as significant o ortunities to press their
nationalistic lines.
10 Dec 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR: The CPSU Central Committee probably will
meet in Moscow today or tomorrow to put the party
hierarchy's stamp of approval on the economic plan
and budget for 1974 before they are taken up by the
Supreme Soviet on Wednesday. The plenum, the first
since the leadership changes last April, will give
Brezhnev an opportunity to report on the current sit-
uation at home and abroad, but his speech probably
will not be published.
'This item was prepared by CIA without consultation
with the Departments of State and Defense.
Central intelligence Bulletin 11
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