CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A025200120001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 26, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 15, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

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Central Intelligence Bulletin
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RETURN TO ARCHIVES gf _ j,a ' 15 September 1973
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
CHILE: Junta continues to consolidate its rule.
(Page 1)
ARGENTINA: Reaction to Chile coup sharpens politi-
cal divisions within Peronist government. (Page 4)
EGYPT: President Sadat expected to appoint two
moderates to cabinet. (Page 6)
FOR THE RECORD: (Page 9)
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CCHILE: The junta continues to consolidate its
hold on the country, and indications are increasing
that the armed forces and carabineros intend to re-
main in power for some time.
Armed opposition appears to be tapering off,
but military and police units are still flushing out
snipers in Santiago and. dealing with resistance in
the mines. Former army commander Prats appeared on
television yesterday to deny that he is leading a
resistance movement. Prats declared that he will
soon be leaving the country.
The government is beginning to turn more of its
attention toward the critical economic situation.
A new system has been set up for distribution of com-
modities, and banks are scheduled to reopen on Monday.
wants to depoliticize the country. Its dissolution
of Congress and strict proscription of military con-
tacts with politicians are signs that an early call
for elections is unlikely. According to the consti-
tution, the next scheduled balloting would take
place in 1976.
Current plans could change if the problems of
governing seem intractable or if frustration erodes
determination to rebuild the nation's economic, so-
cial, and political structures. Avoidance of direct
involvement in government is a. deeply rooted tradi-
tion in the armed forces and police. A new military-
carabinero ethic may grow within the services, how-
ever, as the failure of the old political system is
used to justify their assumption of power. In very
practical terms, the use of a mailed fist against
die-hard leftists will make the new regime reluctant
to depart until it is convinced that those who would
take revenge could never again come to power.
15 Sep 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin
(continued)
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Failure to respect diplomatic norms could cost
the junta needed international support. The UN Se-
curity Council will meet on Monday to hear Cuba's
complaints of Chilean attacks against its embassy.
In Western Europe, official opinion and the
media have condemned the coup and expressed hope for
a quick return to constitutional government. Govern-
ment leaders in West Germany, Denmark, Sweden, and
Finland--all Social Democrats--have made public state-
ments condemning the coup, and a Socialist cabinet
minister in Belgium has promised to try to block his
country's recognition of the new regime. Sweden has
frozen its development aid program to Chile, and
Finland may follow suit.
Left-wing elements in a number of European
cities have taken to the streets in demonstrations
that have.been peaceful thus far. A common theme
of many of the protests is the alleged complicity
of the US, with the CIA, ITT, and Kennecott specifi-
cally identified as being involved.
(continued)
15 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CReaction to the coup among the more orthodox
Eastern European countries has been relatively re-
strained, suggesting that moderation best, serves
current Soviet policy interests. Small anti-US
demonstrations have taken place in Yugoslavia, how-
ever, and both Belgrade and Bucharest have weighed
in with strong condemnations.
Belgrade's reaction has been by far the sharp-
est, and reflects both its long-time commitment to
nonalignment and its special interest in the suc-
cess of Allende, the Western Hemisphere's only
elected Marxist. Yugoslav ire was highlighted by
vandalism against the US Consulate in Zagreb and
later demonstrations at US offices in Belgrade. On
13 September, the authoritative Belgrade daily Borba
publicly accused Washington, noting that "pressures
from the USA, open or hidden, came one after another."
This and other strong condemnations in the press prob-
ably reflect Tito's personal anger and may pave the
way for further accusations.
In contrast, the Romanians only hinted at for-
eign involvement, claiming that the coup was "pro-
voked by reactionary forces, in league with imperial-
ism." In addition to expressing "indignation," a
declaration by the party Central Committee called
for the "immediate cessation" of "acts of terror."
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15 Sep 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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ARGENTINA: Divisions within the Peronist gov-
ernment have been further emphasized by sharply
divergent reactions to the coup in Chile.
The deep rift between the left and right wings
of the Peronist movement has been sharpened by a
debate on how to deal with the Chilean coup. The
immediate issues concern the questions of prompt
recognition of the junta and the shipment of emer-
gency medical supplies to Santiago. CIn a stormy
session on 13 September the Senate passed a resolu-
tion calling on the executive branch not to recog-
nize the new government and to withdraw the Argen-
tine Embassy from Santiago. Such resolutions, how-
ever, are not binding on the government .3
Leftists, including Peronist youth, have seized
on the Chilea issue to stir up nationalist and anti-
US sentiment. In fact, the US Embassy has received
a report that the extreme leftist People's Revolu-
tionary Army, a non-Peronist group, is planning a
"spectacular" action against the US mission this
weekend in retaliation for the Chilean coup '31 Left-
ists are playing on fears, prevalent across the
political spectrum, that the junta could undertake
the "Brazilianization" of Chile, thus completing
the "encirclement" of Argentina.
Peron has paid lip service to the leftist point
of view by publicly condemning the coup and suggest-
ing US complicity--a line that appears calculated to
retain the support of radical youth.
15 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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(continued)
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Given the depth of the rift between left- and
right-wing forces in Argentina, it will be no easy
task for Peron to maintain this balancing act in-
definitely.
15 Sep 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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EGYPT: President Sadat may soon appoint two
prominent moderates to his cabinet, giving further
impetus to his recent moves away from socialism.
I Ithe US Interests Section
in Cairo has reported that Sadat is currently meet-
ing with Sayyid Marai, 'whom Sadat removed as sec-
retary general of the Arab Socialist Union early
this year, preparatory to naming Marai prime minis-
ter. The appointment reportedly will be made some
time before the end of this month and will be ac-
companied by the reappointment of General Muhammad
Ahmad Sadiq as War Minister. Sadiq was dismissed
from that post last October.
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IMoreover, the
rehabilitation of Marai and Sadiq--who are both anti-
socialist--would correspond with other measures
Sadat is experimenting with to move Egypt away from
socialism. Sadat has given prominence recently to
his plans for a policy shift that would reorient
Egypt's socialist base and permit a greater balance
in relations with both East and West.
Marai appears never to have been in great dis-
favor; his dismissal from the ASU post came largely
because he did not whole-heartedly support the sweep-
ing nature of the purge of ASU leftists conducted
in February and March. He has since served as a
presidential assistant. Sadiq is a fervent anti-
Soviet who was dismissed last year when Sadat was
pressing hard to obtain advanced military equipment
from the Soviets. Sadat: has now adopted an attitude
of friendly aloofness toward the Soviets that could
permit Sadiq's return. Sadiq is a popular figure
among younger army officers, and there has long
been dissatisfaction in this
moval.
15 Sep 73
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USSR-UN: Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko ar-
rives in New York tomorrow to attend the opening on
Tuesday of the UN General Assembly. Officials in
Moscow have indicated that Gromyko plans to spend
about ten days in the US and wants to come to Wash-
ington for high-level discussions similar to those
he has had in the past?
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*These items were prepared by CIA without consulta-
tion with the Departments of State and Defense.
15 Sep 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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