CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A025200100001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 13, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 13, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

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Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
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c 204
13 September 1973
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
CHILE: Resistance to coup stiffens, but government
co ntinues to strengthen its control. (Page 1)
CAMBODIA: Pressure against Kompong Cham has eased.
(Page 2)
WESTERN EUROPE: Changed French attitude opens way
for EC agreement on declaration. (Page 3)
EC-CEMA: Senior EC officials cool to idea of direct
relations with CEMA. (Page 5)
CHINA: Peking's claim of good rice harvest exagger-
ated. (Page 8)
LIBYA-ITALY: Rome sells military equipment to Libya.
(Page 9)
BELGIUM: Military reorganization program could af-
fect Belgium's NATO commitments. (Page 10)
HAITI: Mounting confusion and tension in the gov-
ernment. (Page 11)
BOLIVIA: Cabinet shuff:Le brings little change.
Page 12)
SOUTH AFRICA: Clash between police and black mine-
workers bloodiest since 1960. (Page 13)
FOR THE RECORD : (Page 14)
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C CHILE: Armed resistance to the military junta
stiffened in Santiago yesterday, but the new govern-
ment continued to strengthen its measures of control.
Leftist snipers holed up in government buildings
and armed groups occupying factories are effectively
using such heavy weapons as rocket launchers, mor-
tars, and machine guns against military attackers.
Casualties on both sides are probably much heavier
than the junta will reveal. The deadline for sur-
rendering arms has been shortened and summary execu-
tion decreed for violators.
The junta has named, a military cabinet on the
advice of civilian advisers, and apparently intends
to retain power until the armed services chiefs be-
lieve that they have the Chilean house in order.
The military has assumed. responsibility for the
judicial process and all. public administration. It
is also moving swiftly to organize transportation
and the supply of. now critically scarce food and
other commodities.
International reaction to the coup has been
vehement and widespread. Several governments ex-
pressed regret over the ouster of an elected gov-
ernment., among them Mexico, West Germany, Sweden,
and Denmark. Leftist groups. staged protest demon-
strations in many capitals. Like Peron in Argentina,
most accused the US of complicity in Allende's down-
fall. The junta's hostility toward several Commu-
nist governments represented in Santiago is height-
ened by the fact that many Allende supporters have
.apparently taken refuge in their embassies. A se-
rious shootout at the Cuban Embassy may be only the
first of such incidents if the Junta refuses_to
allow the refugees to leave.
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CAMBODIA: The pressure against Kompong Cham
has eased.
The level of fighting has declined sharply in
the past few days as insurgent actions have been
confined to sporadic shellings of government posi-
tions. The Communists have also offered little re-
sistance to government operations just south and
southwest of the city. These operations have given
the government some maneuvering room, and the defen-
sive force at Kompong Cham continues to be augmented
by the arrival of reinforcements from Phnom Penh--
over 2,000 since last week. Government strength
there is now close to 7,000. Mekong River convoys
have brought in badly needed munitions, but the last
convoy ran into heavy insurgent shore fire as it
approached Kompong Cham, and future resupply efforts
could be difficult.
Although the Communists have clearly given some
ground in the past few days and are probably regroup-
ing, there is as yet no evidence that they have
abandoned the attempt to seize the city. The Com-
munists attach considerable importance to this cam-
paign; they have drawn forces from other areas for
the battle and their propaganda has given much at-
tention to the "liberation" of the city. In view
of their investments, they will find it difficult
to abandon the effort against Kompong Cham, even
if it looks as if no early victory is in prospect.
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WESTERN EUROPE: The EC foreign ministers' de-
cision to pursue preparations for an EC-US declara-
tion to be issued during a possible visit to Europe
by President Nixon was largely made possible by a
more positive French attitude. Paris' main interest
may lie in promoting a parallel effort toward de-
fining a "European identity."
At their meeting in Copenhagen this week, the
ministers also agreed on subjects of mutual interest
for discussion with the US. In addition to topics
of current economic and scientific-technological in-
terest, the ministers considered political coopera-
tion with the US "on a :basis of equality" and rela-
tions between East and West. Discussion of defense
issues would be relegated to the NATO forum, and
the ministers still contemplate a "two-track" ap-
proach, apparently rejecting a third declaration to
"cap" separate EC and NATO declarations.
Although the French continue to be wary of es-
tablishing permanent, formal consultations between
the community and the US, they probably were unwill-
ing to risk isolation by opposing the desires of
their partners to produce a forthcoming response to
the US initiative. In a discussion with the US Mis-
sion in Brussels this week, the British Ambassador
to the EC and two EC commissioners, including the
Frenchman Cheysson, remarked on Paris' more coopera-
tive attitude, attributing it in large part to con-
cern over the future evolution of West Germany. The
French are expected to continue to be tough where
their direct economic interests are involved in com-
munity affairs, but their desire to contain the
Germans within a West European framework could re-
sult in new French initiatives on European polit-
ical cooperation. President Pompidou reportedly is
planning to make new proposals on this subject.
The Nine will, in any event, now accelerate their
political consultations toward developing a distinct
"identity"--common positions on a wide variety of
foreign policy questions--within the Atlantic rela-
tionship.
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In NATO, meanwhile, Secretary-General Luns this
week used the EC agreement to try to spur the efforts
of the North Atlantic Council to produce a draft NATO
declaration on Atlantic principles. The French are
clearly in no hurry in this forum, however. During
a discussion of deadlines for national contributions
to the NATO effort, the French Ambassador said that
as far as he was concerned, "the later the better."
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EC-CEMA: Senior British and EC officials have
responded coolly to the recent Soviet overture to
establish relations between the EC and CEMA. The
British Ambassador to the EC has indicated that both
his government and the French are dubious about the
Soviet proposal because they believe its bloc-to-
bloc approach would serve to increase Soviet control
over the policies of East European countries. The
British Ambassador predicted that the Nine are likely
to move slowly, neither rebuffing the CEMA initiative
nor encouraging it. The initiative will be discussed
at the Council meeting next week.
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CHINA: The harvest of early rice--the first
of three annual rice crops--appears to have fallen
short of Peking's expectations. Reports from the
major producing provinces do not substantiate Pe-
king's claim that "China gathered a good harvest
of early rice--both total and unit yields hit an
all-time high." The acreage planted to early rice
declined this year, and yields were depressed be-
cause of low temperatures, flooding, and insect
infestation throughout much of south China. Any
substantial increase in rice output this year will
have to come from the intermediate and late rice
crops, which together account for about 60 percent
of China's annual rice output.
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LIBYA-ITALY: Rome has agreed to deliver to
Tripoli by the end of this year 140 armored person-
nel carriers (APCs), in addition to 152 already
provided. The sale of the APCs, manufactured in
Italy under US license, was given US approval last
spring, but the deal reportedly fell through as a
result of disagreement between Rome and Tripoli
during oil negotiations? These differences have
current sale, Italy has joined the USSR and Czech-
oslovakia as a major supplier of ground forces
equipment to Libya.
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BELGIUM: The Leburton government has announced
approval of a military reorganization program that
could ultimately affect Belgium's commitments to
NATO.
The new plan, based almost entirely on proposals
by the Socialists, will divide the armed forces into
two components--a small, well-trained force of short-
term volunteers performing most of the operational
tasks related to Belgium's NATO assignments in West
Germany, and a force of conscripts entrusted with
territorial defense and civic action programs. The
changes would take place over a five-year period,
during which the volunteer force would be built up
to about 30,000 men, and the term of service for.,
conscripts progressively reduced from 12 to six
months. There are no provisions for the elimination
of educational deferments, a proposal that triggered
widespread student demonstrations earlier this year
and forced the government to postpone its program
temporarily. Prime Minister Leburton, in a speech
to the North Atlantic Treaty Association on 10 Sep-
tember, stated that the government intends to con-
sult its allies before submitting the program to
parliament.
The willingness of the coalition partners--
Socialists, Liberals, and Social Christians--to
agree to the program after long-standing disagree-
ments reflects their responsiveness to growing
domestic pressures. It also reflects the shifting
perspectives of government leaders, including the
more conservative officials in the Foreign Ministry,
on national defense in an era of detente. Nearly
half of Belgium's NATO-assigned forces stationed
in West Germany are already scheduled for redeploy-
ment. No reductions in total forces are proposed.
The reorganization, coupled with the redeploy-
ment scheme, could mean a unilateral reduction of
forces stationed in West Germany in advance of an
MBFR agreement. There has been no reaction thus
far from West German officials who had earlier ex-
pressed concern about Brussels' evident desire to
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HAITI: Recent reports of ships off shore have
generated mounting confusion and tension in the
Duvalier government.
Official spokesmen claim that a "guerrilla"
landing was thwarted on the night of 10-11 Septem-
orces have closed roads and an airport in the area,
apparently believing that intruders are still at
large.
The government's overreaction reflects growing
concern over a deteriorating economy and loss of
public confidence in the regime. President Duva-
lier's anxiety has been aggravated by fires of
mysterious origin in the presidential palace, and
by tensions in the aftermath of a major government
shake-up.
The current wave of jitters is not unusual for
Haiti, but it could have repercussions if it per-
sists. If it causes the government to take drastic
emergency measures, political opponents in Haiti
and abroad might be provoked to move against the
Duvalier clan.
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BOLIVIA: After raising public expectations of
major changes by calling for the resignation of. his
cabinet on 7 September, President Banzer proceeded
to reappoint nearly all the former members and main-
tained the same political balance as before. This
lack of meaningful change suggests that Banzer
either belatedly considered it unwise to upset his
coalition until after visiting the United States
in mid-October, or found. that he lacked political
support for a significant alteration in the balance.
The right-wing Bolivian Socialist Falange (FSB),
headed by Foreign Minister Mario Gutierrez, has
irritated Banzer by openly attacking its partner
in the .coalition, the Nationalist Revolutionary
Movement (MNR). Banzer seems to favor the Falange.
but, with minimal public support, he needs the Move-
ment to avoid isolating himself too far on the right.
Banzer rejected the advice of military officers in
the garrisons to abandon what' they see as corrupt
politicians and to rule with an all-military cabinet.
Banzer's decision to avoid a major cabinet
shake-up may also have been prompted by a threat
from Movement leaders to join the opposition in the
elections next spring if they did not get from
Banzer at least their fair share of patronage. He
may also have felt that a military cabinet would
produce charges that he is a military dictator.
As a result, the new cabinet will do nothing
to ease the problems caused by the former one, or
facilitate solutions to long-standing problems.
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SOUTH AFRICA: A clash Tuesday night between
rioting blacks and police resulted in ten deaths
and 12 injuries--the bloodiest incident in South
Africa since the "Sharpeville massacre" of 1960.
It is certain to bring another round of strong
foreign criticism of South African racial policies,
especially from African countries.
According to a senior security official, the
management of the Anglo--American Corporation's gold
mine at Carietonville called for police when some
80 striking workers who had been refused a pay raise
began to raid company buildings. Police are said
to have opened fire in self-defense, after they had
tried to disperse rioters with tear gas and sustained
several injuries from axe blows.
The bulk of some 8?000 blacks employed at the
Carletonville mine reported peacefully for work
Wednesday morning, however, and further violence
at the mine does not appear likely. The violent
clash contrasts sharply with restrained police han-
dling of numerous wildcat strikes among black work-
ers over the last several months, but there is no
immediate indication that the Vorster government
has decided to apply deliberately harsher measures
against black workers.
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Jordan-Egypt-Syria: Cairo radio followed its
noncommittal communique on the conclusion yesterday
of the summit conference of the "confrontation
states" with an announcement that President Sadat
had announced restoration of Egypt's diplomatic re-
lations with Jordan. This step was taken "to con-
solidate all the aims sought" in the two-day confer-
ence, the radio said. :King Husayn and President
Asad have returned to their capitals, accordin to
radio reports. F
*These items were prepared by CIA without consultation
with the Departments of State and Defense,
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