CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A023000080002-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: October 21, 1972
• Content Type: REPORT

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Top Secret
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
i
State Department review completed
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Top Secret
C 207
21 October 1972
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
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WEST GERMANY: Some officials considering limited
treaty with East Germany. (Page 5)
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CHILE: Struggle may be entering new phase (Page 12)
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WEST GERMANY: Some members of the government
are evldentl onsidering a limited treaty with
East Germany if the negotiations on a general politi-
cal treaty remain stalemated.
On 17 October, State Secretary Frank discussed
with Allied ambassadors the possibility of an agree-
ment that would not deal with basic political issues
but would be limited to arrangements for practical
improvements in East-West German relations. Although
another member of the Foreign Office later down-
played Frank's remarks, he also admitted that the
idea of a limited treaty has been discussed.
These comments reflect the seeming impasse in
the Bahr-Kohl negotiations on a general political
treaty. The East Germans continue to reject Bonn's
demand that the treaty contain references to a
"common German nation" and to the lack of a World
War II peace treaty. In their talks earlier this
month, Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko urged Bahr
to conclude a treaty on the basis of what he had
already achieved with Kohl. The East Germans, seem-
ingly piqued by Bahr's attempt to go over their
heads, stiffened their position in the negotiations
immediately following Bahr's return from Moscow.
The Bahr-Kohl talks scheduled for 24-25 October
should indicate the GDR's intentions.
Given this lack of progress in negotiations,
some Social Democratic Party (SPD) leaders, in-
volved in a difficult election campaign, are prob-
ably tempted by the idea of a non-political treaty
which could be billed as another success in Brandt's
foreign policy. However, leaders of the Free Demo-
cratic Party--the SPD's coalition partner--have al-
ready indicated that they are not satisfied with
Bahr's tactics and might oppose the idea of a lim-
ited treaty. Presumably because of likely Christian
Democratic criticism and possible voter backlash,
Interior Minister Genscher stated on 18 October
that he "tended" to believe it would be better to
have no treaty at all prior to the elections.
(continued)
Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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 Approved F
A treaty devoid of major political content
would likely be acceptable to Pankow if, as Frank
has suggested, the West Germans agreed that it and
a suitable Four-Power declaration would open the
way for both states to enter the UN. In any event,
Pankow would characterize a truncated treaty as
further evidence of East Germany's equal status,
and would cite it in attempts to obtain interna-
tional recognition.
Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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 Approvo
CHILE: New strikes on 20 October prolonged
the standoff between the Allende government and its
opponents, but the struggle may be entering a new
phase. The opposition parties' joint statement
blaming Allende for the situation and insisting that
he must rectify it may be the prelude for congres-
sional charges that he has violated the constitution.
The Christian Democrats have not yet agreed to join
in such charges, but they have not weakened their
public refusal to seek negotiation. Armed leftist
groups appear to be getting more impatient to take
on their adversaries in the streets, but the in-
creasingly broad role of the military in keeping
the country going limits that possibility. The
government's tactic of playing for time while taking
selected economic reprisals and further extending
the responsibilities of the armed services is still
working to Allende's advantage. At the same time
the ruling of the comptroller-general,
that continue government-
controlled national ra iobroadcastiftg is unconsti-
tutional will be a setback to the government.
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Central Intelligence Bulletin 12
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