CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A023000040002-0
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date:
October 3, 2003
Sequence Number:
2
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 17, 1972
Content Type:
REPORT
File:
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CIA-RDP79T00975A023000040002-0.pdf | 205.27 KB |
Body:
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Top Secret
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
Top Secret
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17 October 1972
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
LEBANON-ISRAEL: Israeli. strikes complicate Lebanese-
fe ayeen relations. (Page 3)
CHILE: Strike gains some support, but government
reaction taking effect. (Page 4)
LAOS: Communists regroup and prepare new attacks.
Page 6)
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LEBANON-ISRAEL: The Israeli air strikes last
Sunday have complicated Lebanon's already difficult
task of enforcing its restrictions on the fedayeen.
The Israelis, however, evidently intend to press on
with a campaign of pre-emptive attacks.
The Lebanese Government believes that the latest
bombing attacks have undercut its rationale for im-
posing curbs on guerrilla activities in southern
Lebanon. Since Israel's attacks on fedayeen bases
in Lebanon last month, the government has forced the
commandos from a large area of the south and cur-
tailed guerrilla raids into Israel in order to deny
the Israelis a pretext for retaliating against Leba-
nese territory.
Critics of the policy of reining in the guerril-
las are certain to point to the absence of any clear
fedayeen provocation. Those groups in Lebanon that
are sympathetic to the guerrillas will argue that
Israel will implement its post-Munich policy of
"continuous war" against the fedayeen whether or not
the commandos launch raids into Israel. As a result,
the army's role of policing the fedayeen will prob-
ably come under increasingly heavy criticism.
Repercussions from the raids are likely to af-
fect the fedayeen movement itself. The fedayeen
leadership has had difficulty in holding support
for the suspension of forays'into Israel. Extremist
dissenters are now almost certain to argue that the
political climate is right for a resumption of cross-
border operations.
Some Israeli military officials believe that
the Lebanese Army, if it chose, could eradicate the
fedayeen movement in Lebanon, much as King Husayn
did in Jordan. The timing of the strikes also may
have been designed for political impact in Israel;
they took place the day before Mrs. Meir's speech
yesterday at the re-opening of the Knesset. She
reiterated that Israel's war against the Arab ter-
rorists could not be limited to a defensive one,
but must also be aimed at "stamping out" the terror-
ist organizations.
Central Intelligence, Bulletin 3
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C CHILE: Although the opposition's effort to
throttle economic activity is gaining new support,
the Allende government's responses so far have off-
set the immediate effects of the strikes.
Both the Christian Democratic and National par-
ties have announced support of the strikes and some
of their partisans are joining the stoppages. I
Many stores in downtown Santiago opened for
business yesterday in response to police pressure
and threats of requisitioning by the government.
Small opposition groups were quickly dispersed by
the expedient use of tear gas, and police units
were ordered to patrol in force to protect shopown-
ers and workers who defied the strike. After a
day's return to normal broadcasting, all radio sta-
tions have again been required to carry only offi-
cial programs. Using military protection, the gov-
ernment has taken almost complete charge of trans-
portation and the distribution of food and fuel,
both in short supply. The dynamiting of a railway
line from the principal port serving Santiago trig-
gered a further step-up of security measures for
vital installations.
The growing bitterness on both sides may make
the accustomed search for a negotiated solution
more difficult and accelerate the economic deteri-
oration that is President Allende's most serious
problem.
Central Intelligence' Bulletin
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LAOS: Communist and government forces in north
Laos are regrouping following last week's heavy fight-
ing on the southern Plaine des Jarres.
Vang Pao's irregulars are attempting to consoli-
date their positions in the hills just south of the
Plaine des Jarres. These troops have sighted tanks
nearby but thus far they have only been hit by sev-
eral small-scale ground attacks.
In south Laos, where military activity has been
at a low level since government troops recaptured
Khong Sedone in early summer, the North Vietnamese
appear to be preparing for increased combat. US
pilots I Ireport signs of
an enemy build-up east and southeast of Khong Sedone,.
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Communist units in the past week have strongly
resisted Lao Army efforts to recapture villages east
of Khong Sedone. , Late yesterday three government
companies operating in the area came under heavy en-
emy attack, and were forced to withdraw to Khong
Sedone. The North Vietnamese may be preparing to
attack K ong Sedone in an effort to forestall any
government attempt to push east into the Se Done
Valley or onto the Bolovens Plateau.
On the political front, the opening round of
peace talks in Vientiane will begin today. Gov
ment sources had earlier stated that the first
ern-
ses-
sion
would be held on 16 October, bu the Commu
nists
spent
the day making courtesy calls.
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Central Intelligence, Bulletin
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