CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A022700010002-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 4, 2003
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: August 31, 1972
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved Fcii elease 2003/06/12 : CIA-RDP79T009ii022700010002-7
Top Secret
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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Top Secret
C 2~ t8
31 August 1972
Approved For Release 2003/06/12 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022700010002-7
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Approved For Release 2003/06/12 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22700010002-7
 Appr4
31 August 1972
Central Intellzgence Bulletin
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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - IRAN: The dispute over Per-
sian Gulf islan s continues to strain UAE-Iranian
relations. (Page 4)
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FEDAYEEN: The PFLP may be planning a major terror-
ist attack (Page 11)
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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - IRAN: The Shah has
threatened to withdraw diplomatic recognition from
the United Arab Emirates (UAE) unless UAE President
Sheik Zayid moves to improve relations.
Zayid has annoyed the Iranians by continuing
to raise the matter of the three Persian Gulf is-
lands--Abu Musa and the two Tunbs--which the Shah's
forces occupied in late 1971. The situation was
exacerbated last month when most Arab states, in-
cluding the UAE, signed a letter to the UN Security
Council president affirming that the islands were
an "integral part of the United Arab Emirates and
of the Arab homeland."
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Sheik Zayid may now be worried over the Shah's
threat to break diplomatic relations, which re report-
edly might be carried out in late September.
Zayid has asked
the Arab League secretary-general to help him reach
a compromise with the Shah. But if a resolution
denouncing Iran for the island occupation is adopted
at the Cairo meeting of Arab foreign ministers on 9
September, relations between the two governments
will be even further strained.
The withdrawal of diplomatic recognition would
almost certainly have negative consequences for both
sides. The Shah is capable of making trouble for
Zayid and the union, but at the same time a diplo-
matic break could deprive Iran of the cooperation
of lower gulf sheikdoms in maintaining political
stability in the area. In addition, a break in re-
lations might prove advantageous to the Baathist re-
gime in Iraq, which seeks to prevent Iran from ex-
ercising influence on the Arab side of the cn,lf
31 Aug 72
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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 Approved Fo
FEDAYEEN: The Popular Front for the Libera-
tion o Pa estine (PFLP) may be planning to carr
out a.s ectacular terrorist operation.
ganiza ion left 23eirut ont28eAugusteforoan unknown
destination after consulting with the PFLP's chief
of operations. Layla Khalid, who has been involved
in two hijackings, is a member of the team. The
PFLP has been quiet recently in the wake of its
leader's illness, internal squabbling, and assassi-
nation attempts on several of its leading officials.
It may hope, through a new terrorist operation, to
regain some of its prestige among hard-line fedayeen.
I
(continued)
31 Aug 72
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Approved For Release 2003/06/12 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22700010002-7
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Top Secret
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Approved For Release 2003/06/12 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22700010002-7