CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A022000060001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 14, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: June 1, 1972
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A02206AWAA-0
25X1
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
State Dept. review completed
N2 42
1 June 1972
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022000060001-0
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003/OiSFCM P79T00975A022000060001-0
No. 0131/72
1 June 1972
Central Intelligence Bulletin
VIETNAM: Situation report. (Page 1)
MEXICO-US: President Echeverria plans to discuss
salinity question during Washington visit. (Page 3)
FEDAYEEN-JAPAN: Palestinian relations with Japanese
radicals-7-7-Page 4)
IRAN: Assessment of terrorist bombings. (Page 5)
WEST AFRICA: French-speaking states discuss economic
cooperation. (Page 7)
AFGHANISTAN: King reportedly considering major
political changes.. (Page 8)
SUDAN-CHINA: Chinese military equipment (Page 9)
LEBANON: New cabinet (Page 9)
ICELAND-UK: Dispute over fishing limits unresolved
(Page 10
JAMAICA: Nationalization policies (Page 10)
ECUADOR: Army-navy friction (Page 11)
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003 ~l . IA-RDP79TOO975AO22000060001-0
e slang
MR 1
Ko atum
QUANG
^ c
I if V H
OINH
foN ,
~L oc
Guff of
Thailand
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79Td0975AO22000060001-0
RUTH Yl,ETNAM
 Approved For Release 2003/08iTDP79T00975A022000060001-0
25X1
C VIETNAM: South Vietnamese forces in the high-
lands are still clearing enemy pockets in Kontum
City, while scattered clashes have occurred on other
major battlefronts.
Government regulars with tank support engaged
in house-to-house fighting to drive Communist troops
from the northern portions of Kontum City, but ter-
ritorial forces trying to clear sappers from the
southeastern section have so far been unable to pre-
vent reinfiltration during nighttime hours. There
are indications, moreover, that the Communists may
be committing another regiment against the city.
A prisoner captured just north of the city on 30
May says his regiment has been reassigned
from the B-3 Front command to the 2nd Division. The
division's 1st Regiment has been one of the princi-
pal units involved in the latest fighting for the
town.
On the northern front, the Communists continue
to harass government defenses north and west of Hue
with shelling attacks and ground probes. Prisoners
taken during the :Last several days along the Quang
Tri - Thua Thien border are from four different
regiments subordinate to three different divisions or
commands. The proximity of these regiments suggests
that they may now be controlled by a single author-
ity coordinating the campaign against Hue.
Farther south along the coast, the Communists
apparently are preparing to increase activity in
Quang Nam Province.
North of Saigon, the government relief forces
stalled south of An Loc were in heavy contact
throughout much of the day yesterday. Air strike
were also called in against an armored. column 3
1 Jun 7 2 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022000060001-0
25X1
25X1
 Approved For Release 2003/ ,WRCLAfDP79TOO975AO22000060001
sighted about six miles southeast of An Loc and
against troops observed digging in nearby.
In adjacent Tay Ninh Province, government troops
have reoccupied part of a border district that had
been abandoned to the Communists early in May. In
Phuoc Tuy Province southeast of Saigon, however,
the situation remains serious. No progress has been
made in clearing Communist forces from the capital
of Dat Do District, and three of the other four dis-
tricts are under heavy enemy pressure.
25X1
An article in the May issue of the North Viet-
namese military journal hails battlefield "successes"
to date as evidence that the "Vietnamese revolution-
ary forces" can and should continue fighting for a
prolonged period if necessary. The article, recently
broadcast by Radio Hanoi to the South, portrays
allied setbacks as proof that Vietnamization has
been defeated and the way opened to further Communist
gains, including "areas adjacent to the cities."
The article also makes numerous allusions to
the "proven" value of using all forces at the dis-
posal of the Communists and of adapting strategy to
particular conditions. This suggests that the au-
thor, who may be a high official in Hanoi, intended
it not only as a standard morale booster but as a
device for quieting reservations in some circles
over Hanoi's current military policy.
1 Jun 7 2 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
25X1
 Approved For Release 2003/Obk~-DP79T00975A022000060001-0
MEXICO-US: The salinity question looms as the
most troublesome of the issues to be discussed when
President Echeverria visits Washington on 15 June.
Foreign Secretary Rabasa recently told the US
ambassador that he did not foresee any progress on
the issue prior to the meeting of the two presidents.
At issue is the salt content of Colorado River water
flowing into Mexico. Mexicans have long complained
that US irrigation systems have washed so much salt
out of the soil that the water reaching Mexico is
far more saline than they are willing to accept un-
der a treaty signed by the two countries in 1944.
Rabasa said that Echeverria has not yet decided
what approach to take in Washington, but was consid-
ering two alternatives. The first would be legal
action, claiming that under the treaty Mexico has
the right to water of the same quality as that pro-
vided to the last users in the US. The second would
be to accept a two-- to four-year agreement presum-
ably taking the quality of water the US now is of-
fering and spelling out precisely the form of arbi-
tration to settle the dispute.
Rabasa has been a difficult negotiator on this
issue, perhaps hoping to wrest dramatic concessions
from the US as a display of his diplomatic skill.
Echeverria, on the other hand, seems reluctant to
force a legal confrontation. He backed off from
such a course last November, opting instead for an-
other year's extension of the agreement to improve
water quality under which the countries have been
operating the past six years. A temporary agree-
ment thus seems possible--but not before the Mexi-
cans try some more arm twisting.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003/0W k rf P79T00975AO22000060001-0
FEDAYEEN-JAPAN: Relations between the Popular
Front or the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) and the
radical Japanese "Red Army Faction," which carried
out the terrorist incident at Tel Aviv airport on
Tuesday, have been developing over the past six
months.
Under an agreement worked out in late 1971,
PFLP officers have gone to Tokyo to study the organ-
ization and methods of the Japanese group, and Jap-
anese activists have visited PFLP bases in Lebanon
for study and training. The Japanese terrorist cap-
tured at Tel Aviv airport on 30 May was among those
who had received such training, according to an
Israeli report.
Until their camps in Jordan were eliminated in
1970-71, various Palestinian fedayeen organizations
provided commando training to revolutionaries from
Europe and third world areas. There has also been
some evidence of cooperation between Palestinian
terrorists and European radicals in hijacking and
sabotage operations designed to focus attention on
Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003/08 1 jf- 79T00975AO22000060001-0
IRAN: The bombings in Tehran demonstrate the
ability of terrorists to create embarrassing inci-
dents, but they pose no threat as a political move-
ment.
The most recent attacks were targeted against
US personnel and installations, timed to coincide
with President Nixon's visit. Two explosions oc-
curred at the tomb of the Shah's father about an
hour before the scheduled arrival of the President's
motorcade. In other incidents, a member of the US
military mission was injured when his car was bombed,
and explosions occurred at two US military parking
lots and at the USIS office building in Tehran.
Terrorist activity has occurred with some fre-
quency during the past two years, although at a de-
creased level since a large-scale roundup of sus-
pected dissidents just before Iran's 2,500th anni-
versary celebration last fall. Radio Baghdad had
urged dissidents to step up a terrorist campaign
against the Shah's regime in an attempt to disrupt
the President's forthcoming visit.
As a warning to potential terrorists, the gov-
ernmentexecuted five guerrillas last week and sen-
tenced about 80 others to long prison terms. So
far this year, 28 terrorists have been executed;
at least as many have been killed in gun battles
with security officials; another 150 are known to
have been jailed, although the actual number is
probably much higher.
1 Jun 7 2 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
 Approved For Release 20031(T8'&' R tl -RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
Leaders of West African Economic Community Meet
tl Member state of West African
Economic Community
1 f French-speaking state
English-speaking state
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003/OJCRREtfDP79TOO975AO22000060001-0
WEST AFRICA: Chiefs of eight French-speaking
West African states meet in Bamako, Mali today in
another attempt to promote meaningful regional eco-
nomic cooperation.
The immediate objective of the conferees will
be to establish on firm footing an organizational
framework, called the West African Economic Commu-
nity, projected at. a meeting two years ago in Bamako.
At that time a charter was signed that called for
cooperation in regional trade, transportation, and
industrial development, and for the progressive
adoption of a common external tariff. Nothing was
done to implement the scheme, however, until a few
months ago when President Senghor of economically
constricted Senegal began to push it again. His
chief supporters are the poorer inland states; rel-
atively rich Ivory Coast, which signed the 1970
charter despite its traditional wariness of any wide
regional community, evidently remains a reluctant
participant.
At least some members of the new community
strongly. favor its eventual expansion to include
the region's English-speaking states. Several ear-
lier efforts to establish such a broad grouping
have foundered, in large part because of opposition
by France, which retains important influence in the
area. Although Paris is still opposed to a group-
ing that would include English-speaking states,
partly because it might dilute franc zone arrange-
ments, it has done nothing to dampen enthusiasm
among French-speaking countries for stronger re-
gional cooperation. Meanwhile, proponents of an
inclusive regional. grouping have been encouraged
by the increasing interests of Nigeria, by far the
largest and stroncrest state in West Africa.
1 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003 /. RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
AFGHANISTAN: The King reportedly is consider-
ing major po itical changes.
25
Foreign Minister Shafiq told the US ambassador
that the King is impatient with the political and
social stagnation of the country. Shafiq maintains
that a comprehensive program is needed to meet Af-
ghanistan's problems and the King shares this view.
The program will include the establishment of pro-
vincial legislatures, elected municipal governments,
and political parties. Shafiq, however, said that
much more extensive changes are needed.
Prime Minister Zahir has managed to avoid par-
liamentary action against him, but he has made no
progress in resolving his basic difference with the
deputies. With Zahir's government unable to act
decisively in the face of increasingly serious so-
25
cial, economic, and political problems, the King
may have decided to replace him. Shafig appears to
be the leading candidate for the post.
1 Jun 7 2 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
X1
X1
Approved For Release'2003/08121: CFA-l DMTO0975AO220000-60001-
 Approved For Release 2003/OtrtDP79T00975A022000060001-0
NOTES
SUDAN-CHINA: Chinese military equipment was
displayed for t'thie first time during the Revolution-
ary Day celebration on 25 May. The six MIG-17 jet
fighters and eight medium tanks reportedly present
at the parade are probably part of the first deliv-
ery of'Chinese arms Peking
has been able to step into the arms supply opening
created by the decline in Sudan's relations with the
USSR since President: Numa ri's successful counter-
coup last July.
LEBANON: The cabinet formed on 28 May by Prime
Minister Saeb Salam is not likely to get badly needed
social and economic reforms under way. With few ex-
ceptions, its members are old, conservative, and
technically incompetent. The cabinet represents
nearly all major factions in the new parliament and
should have no trouble getting a vote of confidence.
Within a short. time, however, it will become the ob-
ject of severe criticism not only from newly elected
leftist deputies but: from the press and younger ele-
ments of the electorate, whose large pro-left pro-
test vote reflected growing impatience with govern-
ment inaction..
(continued)
1 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 9
SECRET
25X1
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003/0$O#V-1CRIDP79T00975A022000060001-0
ICELAND-UK: The latest round of negotiations
has railed to produce an interim solution to the
problem of British residual rights within Iceland's
proposed 50-mile fishing limits. Nevertheless, the
gap between the two narrowed during the discussions
of 2 -25 May, and both sides want to avoid a new
"Cod;War." In the face of Icelandic intransigence,
the British are resigned to the inevitability of
furtier restrictions despite strong domestic pres-
sure'to resist the new limits. The UK is seeking
an if.terim arrangement to protect its interests from
1 September, when the new limits take effect, until
the nternational Court of Justice renders a deci-
sion on Iceland's unilateral action. The Icelanders,
who 4ave not committed themselves to abide by ICJ
adjut1ication, prefer a two- or three-year transi-
tion4l agreement. The two sides will meet again in
late'June in an attempt to resolve differences over
the ize of a British-proposed quota and limits on
vess 1 size and access to restricted zones as fa-
vore by Iceland.
JAMAICA: Prime Minister Manley apparently in-
tend to pursue and possibly to broaden the nation-
aliz tion policies of the predecessor government.
Afte an initial hiatus following its election three
months ago, the People's National Party government
is nw pressing US-controlled car rental agencies to
tran fer controlling interest to Jamaican nationals
within three months or lose their airport conces-
sion , which account for over half of the companies'
loca4. revenues. This decision may portend an ex-
pandcd nationalization drive, which in the past had
been largely concentrated in the banking and insur-
ancesectors. Despite indications of a measured ap-
proach, the government's recent moves will increase
concern in some sectors that the nationalist pres-
sure could spread to the important bauxite-alumina
industry.
(continued)
Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
25X1
25)11
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003/08i fP79T00975A022000060001-0
I
25X1
ECUADOR: Increasing friction between the army
and navy could cause serious problems for President
Rodriguez. Many officers in the navy, the most pro-
gressive of the Ecuadorean armed services, are dis-
satisfied with the President's failure to provide
strong leadership In addition, some believe that
the army is attempting to gain control of Guayas
Province and the port of Guayaquil. There report-
edly is some sentiment within the navy for replacing
Rodriguez with a triumvirate in which the navy's
representation would be at least equal to that of
the other services. Although there appears to be
no immediate threat to Rodriguez' government, this
rivalry could make it increasingly difficult for
the administration ion effectively.
25X1
1 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin .11
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022000060001-0
 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22000060001-0
Secret
Secret