CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A019600040001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 24, 1971
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
N2 42
24 July 1971
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No. 0176/71
24 July 1971
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
LIBERIA: Pro-Western Vice President William Tolbert's
accession to the presidency has gone smoothly. (Page 1)
Sadat speech. (Page 2)
SUDAN: Numayri's forces are mopping up partisans of
the coup group. (Page 3)
USSR: The demotion of Politburo member Gennady
Voronov, an independent, is probably the first in a
series of changes. (Page 4)
TURKEY: Marxist Turkish Labor Party banned. (Page 6)
USSR: Submarines to Mediterranean (Page 7)
WEST GERMANY PAKISTAN: Debt repayment (Page 7)
CHILE: Foreign-exchange reserves (Page 8)
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LIBERIA: Vice President William Tolbert has
succee end President Tubman, who died yesterday in a
William V. S. Tubman
London hospital.
The initial transfer
of power appears to be
going relatively smoothly,
although some behind-the-
scenes maneuvering by am-
bitious politicians is in-
evitable. Tolbert has nu-
merous enemies--including
some within the local
power structure--who may
eventually challenge him.
There have been several
unconfirmed rumors in re-
cent weeks of secret ma-
neuverings within the leg-
islature aimed at either
preventing Tolbert from
taking office, or making
his accession temporary,
subject to a special elec-
tion. Tolbert's rivals
may have spread these
stories to encourage the
idea that strong opposi-
tion to the vice president
was building.
Tolbert, like the late
president, is committed to
a pro-Western foreign pol-
icy and the continuation of
Liberia's historicall close
ties with the US.
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EGYPT: Cairo's growing sense of frustration and
resignation were evident in a lengthy speech by Presi-
dent Sadat last night.
Sadat began his address to the opening session
of the Arab Socialist Union (ASU) with a review of
the domestic situation and emphasized the need to
create a strong, modern state that would be able to
overcome future adversities. He called for "open
dialogue and democracy" within the ASU, Egypt's sole
legal political organization, and harkened back to
the recent purge of that body by vowing that the ASU
is "there to serve and not to rule." Future adminis-
tration changes were promised as Sadat stated that
he intended to reform the office of the presidency.
Sadat went on to voice his sadness at the present
state of affairs in the Arab world, and launched a
bitter attack on King Husayn for his recent actions
against the Palestinian guerrillas. Employing the
harshest language used in public by any Egyptian in
recent years, Sadat accused Husayn of "prevaricating,"
and said he was no longer able to believe Husayn.
Sadat also stated that Husayn must bear the respon-
sibility for the "crimes which have taken place in
Jordan."
In discussing the continuing stalemate with
Israel, Sadat restated his earlier vow that 1971 was
a decisive year, but went further and vowed that he
would "not allow 1971 to pass without this battle
being decided." Despite his obvious pessimism, how-
ever, the Egyptian President left the door open for
a peaceful settlement to the problem by stating that
he would "never stop looking for any road leading to Oft
peace if there is a chance for peace." 25X1
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SUDAN: Scattered fighting continues as Numayri's
forces mop up partisans of the leftist coup group,
The fighting centered in south Khartoum yester-
day while the armored units that spearheaded Numayri's
countercoup searched for rebels. Shelling by tanks
in the area of the Presidential Palace resulted in
some damage to the British Embassy and the US mission
building, where a Marine guard was wounded. Earlier
in the day, a funeral procession was held for 19 sen-
ior officers who had been machine gunned by the junta
as the Numayri forces closed on the palace Thursday
afternoon.
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Four special military tribunals were formed by
Numayri to try members of the junta. Late yesterday,
Major Hashim al-Atta, who led the anti-Numayri putsch
on 19 July, was sentenced to be executed by a firing
squad along. with a member of his junta and the two
army commanders who had helped him seize power.
Sudanese radio claimed that the sentences had been
carried out, but a Numayri aide was quoted in a
press report from Cairo to the effect that they had
not been as of late yesterday.
In Libya, the state radio announced that the
two members of Atta's group whom they had been hold-
ing, Babakr al-Nur Uthman and Faruq Hamdallah, had
been dispatched to Khartoum, presumably for trial
and possible execution.
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USSR: Politburo member Gennady Voronov's gov-
ernmental demotion strikes at an independent in the
Soviet leadership who has increasingly differed with
General Secretary Brezhnev and his allies.
On 22 July Voronov relinquished the premiership
of the Russian Federation (the dominant republic in
the USSR) to assume the inconsequential post of
chairman of the People's Control Committee. The
sharp decline in his status follows a series of other
reversals. In February Voronov's chief deputy for
six years was replaced by an official with career
ties to Brezhnev. Brezhnev's ranking of the Polit-
buro at the party congress this spring showed a steep
slide for Voronov in the five years since the 1966
congress.
The 60-year-old Voronov does not appear to be
closely associated with other members of the leader-
ship, although he appeared to receive some support
Gennady Voronov
from another independent,
senior secretary Suslov,
last fall. Voronov's in-
dependent and outspoken
views have clearly antag-
Dnized other leaders. His
rivalry with Brezhnev's
unofficial deputy, Kir:il-
enko, goes back to early
1960s. His persistent
advocacy of more agricul-
tural reform at a lower
cost contradicted the
wishes of First Deputy
Premier Polyansky and the
agricultural program an-
nounced by Brezhnev last
summer.
Voronov's demotion
is the first of a likely
series of changes that
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seemed foreshadowed by the expansion of the Polit-
buro at the party congress in April. By precedent,
Voronov's new post does not entitle him to member-
ship on the Politburo. Moreover, in his new post
he replaces a protege of trade union chief Shelepin,
another Politburo member in decline and the onl
in-
cumbent ranked below Vo"I ov at the congress. 25X1
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TURKEY: The banning of the Marxist Turkish
Labor Party removes the only leftist party from the
political spectrum.
The party was charged with violating the con-
stitution, which requires that political parties
operate within the framework of the democratic sec-
ular state and forbids them from advocating special
rights for minorities. At a recent party conven-
tion, declarations reportedly were made against
"fascism" and in favor of Kurdish rights. Several
party leaders including the chairman are under de-
tention for promoting Kurdish separatism.
The constitutional court's unanimous decision
to ban the party will place a heavy damper on the
political activities of the left for several years
at least. Turkish law forbids members of an out-
lawed party either to form or join another polit-
ical party for five years. Some of the early mem-
bers of the party, including its first president,
had already resigned from the party and presumably
will not be under the blanket restraint. There
will probably be no attempt to form a new socialist
party for several months, or at least until the air
has cleared.
First organized in early 1961 in the period of
political permissiveness that followed the military
revolution the year before, the Turkish Labor Party
never attained its hoped-for strength and influence.
Although its representation was always small, mem-
bership in parliament gave the party a sounding
board and a source of official information. It
also helped to marshal the forces of the political
left, which in turn spawned a radical element.
This small but extremist group unleashed the cam-
paign of terrorism that ultimately led to military
intervention and the downfall of the Demirel gov-
ernment.
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USSR: Five Soviet F-class submarines that
entere"he Norwegian Sea on 22 July are probably
en route to the Mediterranean. These diesel attack
units will most likely replace the six Z-class sub-
marines that have been operating in the Mediterra-
nean for nearly four months. A surface force of
two destroyers, a frigate, a cruiser, and an oiler
recently returned to Baltic waters following a
lengthy deployment in the Mediterranean. The Med-
iterranean force currently consists of 26 surface
combatants and submarines, a normal level for this
time of year.
WEST GERMANY - PAKISTAN: Bonn has advised Is-
lamaba in no uncertain terms" that it faces the
possibility of a cutoff of aid funds already in the
pipeline if it does not resume debt service payments.
West Germany is believed to be the first country to
make such a threat, although other Western nations
are holding off new aid commitments. No information
is available on any deadline set by Bonn, but it may
be October because Pakistan's unilateral six-month
moratorium on debt payments to all official credi-
tors expires then. Meanwhile, West Germany has de-
cided to provide an additional $2.7 million for the
East Pakistani refugees in India.
(continued)
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CHILE: Foreign-exchange reserves are continu-
ing tofall sharply. The decline from about $350
million at the end of last year to less than $200
million in July reflects swelling imports, lower
exports, and the adverse reaction of foreign credi-
tors to Chile's nationalistic economic policies.
Imports are rising because of agricultural produc-
tion shortfalls and the increased demand generated
by Allende's populist measures, while exports have
been hurt by lower copper prices and operating dif-
ficulties arising from moves to nationalize the
large copper mines. As a result of the squeeze on
reserves, Chile has increased restrictions on travel
abroad and is exaggerating the damages caused by
the recent earthquake in hopes of obtaining more
foreign aid.
24 Jul 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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