CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A019300080001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: June 21, 1971
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
N?_ 040
21 June 1971
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No. 0147/71
21 June 1971
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
INDIA-PAKISTAN: Relations deteriorate. (Page 1)
BOLIVIA: Political situation growing increasingly
tense. (Page 2)
EAST GERMANY: Party congress elections. (Page 3)
CHILE: National police (Page 5)
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INDIA-PAKISTAN: Relations between India and
Pakistan are continuing to deteriorate.
Press reports indicate that Indian security
forces and Pakistani troops exchanged unusually
heavy fire across the border at outposts some 115
miles north of Calcutta. Over the weekend the Paki-
stani Government protested to the Indians about
their support for the "Bangla Desh" guerrillas, and
on Saturday Islamabad accused New Delhi of "aggres-
sive and unprovoked attacks," cross-border troop
movements, and of shelling several areas of East
Pakistan and killing civilians.
It is doubtful, however, that the Indian Gov-
ernment will cease its support for the guerrillas,
and such cross-border incidents are likely to con-
tinue and may even intensify. On Saturday Indian
Prime Minister Gandhi, who was on a tour of Kashmir,
said that "India will give a fitting reply if at-
tacked." In a speech to Indian troops stationed
near the border, she stated that "we are fully
equipped to meet any aggression and will not be
cowed by any threat from any quarter."
The Pakistanis, meanwhile, appear anxious to
rehabilitate their international image, but some of
their efforts are likely further to increase Indo-
Pakistani tensions. Beginning tomorrow the Paki-
stani Government is planning to send a delegation--
a mixed bag of East Pakistani leaders who for vari-
ous reasons have agreed to cooperate with the re-
gime--on a foreign tour to counter the activities
of traveling Indian leaders. The government has
also announced that foreign correspondents now may
move around East Pakistan without escort, and on
Friday President Yahya Khan, in a statement aimed
directly at Hindus, promised that "members of the
minority community will be given full protection"
if they return to East Pakistan. Refugees, although
in reduced numbers, are continuing to cross the
border into India, however, and, at least in the
short run, it is unlikely that many will respond to
the President's call.
21 Jun 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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BOLIVIA: The political situation is growing
increasingly tense in anticipation of tomorrow's
scheduled reconvening of the extreme left's unoffi-
cial "popular assembly."
On Friday businessmen's groups in La Paz de-
clared that their association was entering a "state
of emergency." Representatives of the association
met with President Torres the.same day to press for
more favorable treatment of the private business
sector. Extreme leftist labor and student groups,
already in emergency status to defend their "popular
assembly" and prevent a "reactionary coup directed
by the American Embassy," denounced the business-
men`s actions as a serious "fascist" provocation.
Workers and students were again told to prepare
themselves to take up arms.
The government has blamed rightist forces for
creating the atmosphere of unrest, charging that
they have circulated rumors that the assembly will
try to communize the country. Citing "provocations"
from ex-military and civilian opposition circles,
the regime has called for public support. Although
opposition plans for a coordinated move against
Torres are reportedly now focusing on the period
after the assembly opens, tensions are high and an
impulsive coup attempt could occur. Several violent
incidents over the weekend have added to the over-
all unsettled climate.
The "popular forces" are apparently preparing
to take to the streets in the event of a move against
the President, but student and labor groups are
primarily concerned with protecting the interests
of the extreme left rather than defending the Torres
regime. I I "popular
assembly" functionaries have been coordinating their
plans with some officials within the government.
Lacking a significant base of support, Torres'
ability to control the situation is doubtful. No
matter how he handles the "popular assembly," he is
likely to alienate some groups without completely
satisfying anyone.
21 Jun 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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EAST GERMANY: Election results at the East Ger-
man party congress reflected a continuation of the
smooth transfer of power that has marked Erich Hon-
ecker's leadership since taking over from Walter
Ulbricht last month.
Honecker was unanimously re-elected first secre-
tary and Ulbricht kept his politburo membership, his
honorary post as party chairman, and his position as
head of the state council. The former politburo was
retained in entirety, and three new members, all
close associates of Honecker, were added. Probably
the most generous promotion went to Werner Krolikow-
ski, first secretary of Dresden Bezirk, who was pro-
moted to full politburo member. Candidate politburo
posts went to Erich Mielke, the long-time security
chief, and to Harry Tisch, the energetic first secre-
tary of Rostock Bezirk. Werner Lamberz, the agit-
prop chief, was promoted from candidate to full po-
litburo membership, possibly as a hedge against po-
litburo member Albert Norden, who was previously in
charge of agitprop affairs and is believed by some
to have disagreed with "Honecker men" in the past.
Membership in the party secretariat remained
unchanged except for Walter Ulbricht, whose resigna-
tion as first secretary reduced the group to nine
members. Politburo member Erich Mueckenberger was
appointed chairman of the party control commission,
filling the post vacated by the late Herman Matern.
The closing resolution adopted by the congress
called for the "deepening of the alliance" with the
USSR, and demarcation and peaceful coexistence with
West Germany based on international law. The resolu-
tion declared the congress' willingness to contribute
to the normalization of relations toward West Berlin,
"which never was nor will be part of the FRG." The
document pledged support against "American aggres-
sion" in Southeast Asia, expressed determination to
cooperate more closely with the Arabs, and condemned
Peking for pursuing an anti-Soviet policy.
(continued)
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Brezhnev reportedly had a "heartfelt, friendly
talk" with Ulbricht before departing for Moscow on
19 June. The former East German leader never ap-
peared at the congress and apparently is still under
doctor's care.
21 Jun 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CHILE: Thirty-three of the highest ranking of-
ficers of the Carabinero Corps--the uniformed na-
tional police--have reportedly been retired by the
Allende government. The officers affected are said
to include five of the 12 generals and eight of the
37 colonels in the corps, which is well equipped and
with about 24,000 men is larger than the Chilean
Army. Such a move by Allende would eliminate much
of the Carabineros' anti-Marxist sentiment and permit
more progovernment officers to fill the vacant posts.
This would be a logical step following Allende's
recent attempt--blocked by congress--to increase the
strength of the Carabineros by 8,000 to 10,000 men
of his own choosing. A large-scale retirement of
Carabinero officers could be accomplished legally
because a police regulation calling for mandatory
retirement after 30 years' service has never been
strongly enforced.
21 Jun 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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Secret
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