CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A017600100001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 31, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 27, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
Secret
40
27 November 1970
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No. 0284/70
27 November 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
CAMBODIA: Government operations making no real prog-
ress. (Page 1)
THAILAND: Cabinet changes have strengthened the
hand of Deputy Prime Minister Praphat's supporters.
(Page 2)
JAPAN: Yukio Mishima's suicide has given the right
wing a martyr. (Page 3)
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USSR: Air pollution is a major problem in Alma-Ata.
(Page 5)
CYPRUS: Makarios is taking a tougher line on the
intercommunal dispute. (Page 6)
CHILE-CUBA: Allende has appointed a Cuban sympa-
thizer as interim head of national.. televi s i..on .
(Page 7)
BOLIVIA: The government appears ready to release
Regis Debray. (Page 9)
CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Husak is trying to make peace with
the intellectual community. (Page 10)
TUNISIA: Students (Page 11)
TURKEY: Government difficulties (Page 11)
PAKISTAN: Medical assistance (Page 12)
ITALY: Economic bill (Page 12)
HAITI: Duvalier (Page 13)
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Current Situation
Kompong Som'
(Sihanoukville)
Kompong Enemy ambush
Chhnango
Mie
Enemy attack Ska~ Prey Tofung
Kompong
Cham
Vi
Cambodia
o Principal city (10,000 or over)
Population over 125 per sq. mi.
Communist-controlled area
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C CAMBODIA. Government clearing operations along
several key roadways are making no real progress.
In Kompong Cham Province, ten Cambodian Army
battalions ordered to launch a drive on 21 November
to reopen Route 7:between Mien and Kompong Cham city
apparently have not yet moved out in force. An enemy
prisoner, who claims to be from the North Vietnamese
174th Regiment, said that that unit's mission is to
control that same section of Route 7 and prevent
government troops from reaching Kompong Cham city.
In the meantime, however, the government's riverine
resupply operation arrived at the city on 25 Novem-
ber without further incident.
A Cambodian paratroop battalion was badly mauled
in an enemy ambush on 22 November on Route 7, just
west of Prey Totung. Although Phnom Penh is trying
to hush up this setback, the US defense attache
learned yesterday that only 80 of the battalion's
280 men have straggled back to friendly lines, and
that all of the unit's equipment--including ten
trucks--is unaccounted for. A US observation plane
was downed by Communist fire when it later flew over
the scene of the ambush.
Additionally, an enemy attack on another gov-
ernment convoy on Route 6 just below Skoun on 25
November resulted in three Cambodians killed and
23 wounded. Government reinforcements are being
sent to help reopen the road.
Elsewhere, in. the southwest, the six govern-
ment battalions assigned to regain control of the
Pich Nil Pass overlooking Route 4 have not advanced,
and have reported sporadic contact with Communist
forces. Moreover, late press reports indicate that
enemy elements routed two government battalions
near the Kirirom Dam yesterday.
27 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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SECRET
THAILAND: The cabinet changes announced this
week strengthen the hand of Deputy Prime Minister
Praphat's supporters in the government.
In reshuffling his cabinet, Prime Minister
Thanom retained all previous members, but made one
important ministerial transfer and added a new face.
General Krit Siwara, a figure of growing importance
who has recently moved toward a closer political
alignment with Praphat, shifted from the Education
Ministry to a specially created post in the Ministry
of Defense. Senator. Prasit, the head of the Liberal
Party and one of Praphat's closest supporters, was
given the deputy slot at the Ministry of Economic
Affairs. The timing of Prasit's appointment appears
to be related to the considerable support he is ex-
pected to be able to muster on the government's
behalf in Parliament when the controversial budget
bill is voted on next month.
The cabinet changes will strengthen the im-
pression that momentum is building for Praphat's
early replacement of Prime Minister Thanom.
27 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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JAPAN: The spectacular suicide of Yukio
Mishim w 11 give Japan's small right wing its
first postwar martyr.
Mishima, a highly popular novelist and prom-
inent right-wing leader, committed hara-kiri Wed-
nesday at the Tokyo headquarters of Japan's eastern
army to protest constitutional limitations on the
military. Just prior to his suicide, Mishima de-
cried the Self-Defense Forces' lack of "true Japa-
nese spirit," and called on them to destroy the pre-
sent system. His speech met with considerable
jeering from many of the listening troops.
Coming amidst: rising fears in Asia of resurgent
Japanese militarism, Tokyo is likely to make every
effort to play down the significance of Mishima's
dramatic act. Prime Minister Sato immediately con-
demned the suicide as the act of a "deranged mind,"
and this view apparently was supported by the media.
The government plans to exercise greater vigi-
lance against various small but unpredictable far
right groups, who may be encouraged to violent ac-
tion by.Mishima's suicide.. The far right in Japan
has a limited political impact, and its principal
threat for the foreseeable future is likely to re-
main in the realm isolated acts of terror or
self-destruction.
27 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR: A city official in the capital of the
Kazakh Republic recently claimed that air pollution
is one of his major problems.
Alma-Ata has already adopted several measures
to fight pollution, including a resolution to ban
the establishment of additional heavy industry within
the city. Also, the program to convert all heating
plants from coal to natural gas is nearing comple-
tion. Finally, the public transportation system has
switched entirely to electric-powered buses.
Looking to the future, the city has asked na-
tional authorities to speed research on devices to
control automobile exhaust. The Soviet official
claimed that experimental devices are already being
tested in Moscow and Leningrad. Local experiments
are under way to devise traffic control patterns
that minimize stops and starts. The city is also
trying to improve its public transportation system
in order to reduce the incentive to purchase auto-
mobiles. Although Alma-Ata is located in an earth-
quake zone, city planners are even considering the
possibility of building a subway system.
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CYPRUS: President Makarios is beginning to
take a tougher line on the intercommunal dispute.
Makarios previously maintained that the nego-
tiations between spokesmen for the two communities
should not be acknowledged to have failed. He now,
however, seems prepared to write them off rather
than to submit to any "outside" pressure in coming
to an understanding with the Turkish Cypriots. The
talks, which began in the summer of 1968, have made
almost no progress and now seem near a deadlock.
Makarios may believe that his hand has been
strengthened by recent contacts with several world
leaders and that both the Greek and the Turkish
governments are too preoccupied with internal prob-
lems to threaten his plans at this time. His re-
newed assertiveness may well evoke a similar re-
sponse from the Turkish Cypriot side, again hei ht-
enin the danger of intercommunal incidents.
27 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CHILE-CUBA: President Allende has appointed
a Cuban sympathizer as interim head of the national
television network..
Columnist Augusto Olivares, nominated to the
influential position, is well known for his pro-
Castro sentiments. Permanent appointment requires
confirmation by the Senate, however, and the Chris-
tian Democratic Party reportedly has decided to op-
pose Olivares. If it does so and. the conservative
National Party takes the same line, the appointment
could be blocked. If Olivares is confirmed, he could
make the national network, which covers nearly all
of Chile, an effective instrument of partisan polit-
ical indoctrination.
In a move toward broadening Chile's ties with
Cuba, the Central Bank on 21 November lifted all
restrictions on commercial trade between the two
countries. Allende's appointments to influential
economic positions contain a number of people with
experience in the Cuban Government.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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BOLIVIA: The government appears ready to re-
lease two of the best known foreign participants in
Che Guevara's unsuccessful guerrilla campaign.
President Torres' private secretary has told a
US Embassy officer that the President is "actively
seeking" a way to arrange the departure from Bolivia
of Jules Regis Debray, the prominent Marxist guer-
rilla theoretician who is serving a 30-year sentence
for his involvement with Guevara. Bolivian press
media are also predicting the imminent release of
Ciro Roberto Bustos, an Argentine member of Guevara's
group. Government have not denied rumors of
the impending releases. T e cabinet was to meet on
25 November to draft a general political amnesty
which would include both men.
An amnesty that included Debray would improve
the President's standing with leftist and extremist
groups which have been demanding such action since
.Torres seized power in early October. Debray's re-
lease, however, would increase.military dissatisfac-
tion with the government.
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CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Party boss Husak is increas-
ing his efforts to make peace with the intellectual
community.
With the purge of the more outspoken liberals
now complete, the regime has embarked on a program
to reorganize the country's cultural activity. The
Czechoslovak minister of culture has announced that
any artist who did not flee abroad or betray his
country through his work will be given an opportu-
nity to create again, even if in 1968 he issued or
signed proclamations like the famous declaration of
freedom entitled "2,000 words." The minister also
said that cultural unions, which sponsor all artis-
tic and literary activity, will be reinstated, pos-
sibly by the end of the year, and that new publish-
ing guidelines favoring literary creativity will be
drawn up. He also stated that a nationwide confer-
ence of the unions would be held to redefine goals.
The regime may be willing to grant the creative
intelligentsia considerable leeway short of polit-
ical criticism of government policies. Husak has
personally led the campaign to induce artists and
writers to "return to the fold." He has removed
hardliners from key positions in the media and gov-
ernment and may have personally vetoed efforts this
fall to hold trials for the liberal "Pachman" group.
Husak has acknowledged the crucial role of the
intelligentsia in his policy of "reconciliation."
Without their support his efforts to gain public
acceptance of his domestic policies will be diffi-
cult. Nevertheless, the political facts of life
dictate that he tread cautiously in his initiatives
toward the intellectuals. Many of them oppose his
nolicies. making an earl ra rochement unlikely.
27 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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NOTES
TUNISIA: President Bourguiba apparently has
ordered the government to take a hard line on the
student strike, and three schools of the university
have been closed indefinitely. A movement is under
way among students at a fourth school to boycott
classes in a show of solidarity. Tunisia's two stu-
dent organizations--the General Union of Tunisian
Students and the Destourian Students, both subordi-
nate to the ruling Destourian Socialist Party--have
failed to demonstrate any leadership in this crisis,
either to direct the boycott which began last Thurs-
day or to persuade the students to resume their
studies. The situation may be allowed to simmer un-
til after the end of Ramadan holiday around 30 No-
vember.
TURKEY: Prime Minister Demirel's political
position is becoming increasingly less stable, and
Parliament itself appears to be in serious trouble.
Marked by growing dissension, the 450-member Na-
tional Assembly remains deadlocked in its month-long
effort to choose a Speaker--a necessary first order
of business., Furthermore, public criticism of the
prolonged stalemate is growing. The long period of
political frustration and instability, which in
essence began last spring with the breakdown of
discipline within the majority Justice Party., raises
again the possibility of direct military interven-
tion
(continued)
27 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 11
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PAKISTAN: The US Consulate-General in Dacca,
East Pakistan, believes that the Pakistanis are
placing too much emphasis on medical assistance to
survivors of the cyclone-tidal wave. There are
virtually no injured, and cholera and other diseases
are not on the increase. The consulate feels that
food distribution is the most urgent problem, and
that enough helicopters and boats are already sched-
uled to be deployed to meet this problem. The most
serious impediment to relief operations is the dis-
organization in the affected areas resulting from
the shattering of the local administrative apparatus
during the disaster.
ITALY: Prime Minister Colombo's government has
set the stage for a showdown with the opposition on
the key economic bill. Government party leaders
have begun continuous sessions in the Chamber of Dep-
uties and are threatening a vote of confidence at
the beginning of next week if approval is not reached
earlier. The Communist Party believes that a vote
of confidence would harm its interests by blocking
whatever amendments it might otherwise be able to
negotiate with the government majority. Under the
last two governments the Communists have had greater
success in getting serious consideration for their
amendments to legislation. Therefore, they may seek
to force the small Soviet-financed Proletarian So-
cialist Party to call off its obstructionist tactics.
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HAITI: President Duvalier has apparently
chosen his son Jean-Claude to succeed him and has
taken steps to overcome legal obstacles to his suc-
cession. Jean-Claude recently made a number of well-
publicized public appearances usually reserved for
the President. A :newspaper article on one such
event said that the President had chosen his son
"for the continuity of his (Duvalier's) work of re-
dress." Initial reaction to reports of Jean-Claude's
possible succession have been mixed,.and armed-forces
support is doubtful. Some consider widespread blood-
shed and chaos a likely consequence if the attempt
is made to impose Jean-Claude after Duvalier's death.
27 Nov 70
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