CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A017500030001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 28, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 3, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
40
3 November 1970
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MUM
No, 0263/70
3 November 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CHILE: A massive demonstration is planned in support
of Allende's inauguration today. (Page 1)
UN - MIDDLE EAST: The General Assembly may complete
action on a resolution today. (Page 2)
TUNISIA: Bahi Ladgham has been relieved as prime
minister. (Page 3)
SOUTH VIETNAM: The rains are easing. (Page 5)
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EAST GERMANY - AUSTRIA: The first scheduled East
German airline passenger service to a West European
country begins tomorrow. (Page 9)
EGYPT: New vice presidents (Page 10)
COMMUNIST CHINA: Destroyers launched (Page 10)
AUSTRALIA-UK: Trade preferences (Page 11)
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WESTERN EUROPE: Space conference (Page 12)
INDONESIA-YUGOSLAVIA: Debt reschedule refused
(Page 12)
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CHILE: A massive demonstration is planned in
support of Salvador Allende, who will be inaugurated
today.
The Chilean Communist Party is working hard to
attract some 500,000 persons into the streets of
Santiago in a show of support for Allende. I
Approximately 70 countries are sending offi-
cial delegations, several of which will be headed
by foreign ministers or other high-level government
officials. A few Latin American countries, however,
are merely designating their ambassadors in Santiago
as a demonstration of their lack of enthusiasm for
the new Marxist government. A vice president of
the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet and the deputy
premier of Romania will lead their respective dele-
gations.
Communist countries with which Chile does not
now have diplomatic relations--including Cuba, Com-
munist China, and North Korea--will be represented
by unofficial delegations. North Korea's delega-
tion is headed by the vice minister of foreign af-
fairs and Cuba's large delegation by Minister with-
out Portfolio Carlos Rafael Rodriguez. A number of
leftists, including Latin American Communist Party
leaders, trade union delegations, famous artistic
personalities, and educators, also will have unof-
ficial status.
3 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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UN - MIDDLE EAST: The General Assembly seems
increasingly likely to adopt a compromise between
the competing US and Egyptian draft resolutions or
a modified version of the latter.
The Assembly may complete action on the Middle
East situation today. Cairo's text, which has 17
nonaligned cosponsors, urges "speedy implementation"
of the 1967 Security Council resolution and calls
on the parties to resume contact with UN mediator.
Gunnar Jarring. Egypt's strong position in the As-
sembly may be hurt, however, by defections in the
Arab and African groups. Eight Arab states, in-
cluding Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, have objected to
any endorsement of the 1967 resolution.
At least five African states--Congo (K), Liberia,
Rwanda, Malawi, and Malagasy Republic--have opted
to support the US draft, which endorses the 1967 res-
olution and calls for creation of conditions of
confidence necessary to permit a resumption of talks
under Jarring's auspices and for extension of the
cease-fire for at least three months. The US text
still lacks significant backing, however, and would
surely fall far short of a majority in an Assembly
vote.
Argentina has drafted a compromise resolution
that most of the Latin American states may decide
to offer as cosponsors. It is believed to cover
the minimum demands of Egypt and its cosponsors,
and is responsive to their keen desire for some
sort of Assembly statement before the expiration
of the cease-fire on 5 November. The Argentine
draft endorses the 1967 Council resolution and rec-
ommends resumption of the Jarring talks and the ex-
tension of the cease-fire for at least three months-
Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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TUNISIA: President Bourguiba has relieved
Bahi Ladgham as prime minister, a long-.anticipated
move that is not expected to herald any policy
changes.
Ladgham will be succeeded by Hedi Nouira, long
influential in matters of economic policy, who has
been acting prime minister since early last month..
Nouira, like Ladgham, has collaborated closely with
Bourguiba since before independence and opposed
former economic chief Ahmed ben Salah's policy of
placing all agricultural production into coopera-
tives. Bourguiba announced that the new government
Nouira is forming will be presented to the National
Assembly, an innovation for Tunisia.
Ladgham, who reported to Bourguiba last Wednes-
day on his peacekeeping mission to Jordan, will re-
turn to Amman to complete that mission. Thereafter,
he will probably devote his efforts to his duties
as secretary general of the Destourian Socialist
Party, a post he has
prepare for a part
held since 1955,
congress that has
in order
already
to
been
postponed twice.
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3 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CHINA
LAOS
Luang Prahang
Maim des Ban Ban
dames
Thai
Nguyen.
NORTH
VIETNAM
t4A
et
/fif0emorcayion Line
/~}}IIyyee
LAOS
Sarevane
Provinces hardest hit
by recent flooding
'Ban Me
Thuot
Northeast Monsoon
Prevailing winds during
the Northeast Monsoon
Area which receives the bulk
of its rainfall during the
Northeast Monsoon
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SOUTH VIETNAM: Allied military operations in
the northern provinces are returning to normal fol-
lowing heavy seasonal rains which brought the war
to a virtual standstill.
Many of the low-lying, populous areas in the
region were inundated over the weekend--Quang Nam
and Quang Ngai provinces seem particularly hard
hit--and allied military units concentrated on ci-
vilian relief efforts. More than 150 Vietnamese
civilians were killed, over 200,000 driven from
their homes at least temporarily, and a large part
of the rice crop destroyed--the most serious losses
since the floods of 1964.
The northern coastal region always receives
heavy rains at about this time of year as the north-
east monsoons move in from the Gulf of Tonkin. This
year the bad weather has been compounded by a series
of typhoons. The rains are now easing and flood
waters receding. Throughout the remainder of Indo-
china the weather is improving, bringing better
conditions for both allied and Communist military
operations to Laos, Cambodia, and southern South
Vie nnm
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East German Civil Air Routes to the Free World and Yugoslavia
Stockholm? *Note: A stopover only
V
East Berlin
First passenger service to a West European city
ie na
Conakryl
Freetown
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EAST GERMANY - AUSTRIA: The first scheduled
East German airline passenger service to a West Eu-
ropean country will begin tomorrow.
The agreement between Interflug, the East Ger-
man airline, and Austrian Airlines was signed in
late July for implementation this fall. Interflug
is scheduled to operate twice-weekly flights to
Vienna, although Austrian Airlines is not expected
to fly to East Berlin until 1972. Under the agree-
ment, the East Germans can take on passengers in
Vienna for flights to one point in North or West
Africa, and the Austrians can fly beyond East Berlin
to Stockholm.
For the East Germans, political considerations
probably outweighed any immediate economic benefits
which accrue to them. In recent years, Pankow has
sought to modernize its civil air fleet and to ex-
pand its international airline service in an effort
to gain recognition and prestige. Another objective
is to give East Berlin's Schoenefeld airport the
necessary status to diminish West Berlin's importance
as a major regional gateway for international air
travel. Although the Austrians claim it, is only a
"commercial" arrangement, Pankow will undoubtedly
tout this agreement between the two state-owned air-
lines as an example of "intergovernmental" cooperation.
I I
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EGYPT: The formal organization of the new
Sadat government has finally been completed with
the designation of Husayn al-Shafi and Ali
Sabri
as vice presidents, but further shifts can
be ex-
pected within the ruling hierarchy. Both
men
served in similar capacities under Nasir.
Neither
man was named first vice president in the
present
government, nor were they assigned areas of respon-
sibility, suggesting continued dissension over
their future roles. Al-Shafi is generally consid-
ered a political lightweight, but left-leaning
Sabri appears to have more influence, particularly
within the Arab Socialist Union Egypt's sole
legal political organization.
COMMUNIST CHINA: A program to build destroyers
is under way at 'shipyards in both north and China.
two destroyers nave been launched at a shipyard in
Dairen and a third unit may be in the initial stages
of construction there. These destroyers--designated
the Luta class appear similar
to but slightly on er an e Soviet Kotlin.
I a
i ar des royer under construction at Canton.
The two units which have been launched at Dairen
may be operational in mid-1971 and the one at Can-
ton by the end of next year.
(continued)
3 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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AUSTRALIA-UK: Canberra is threatening to re-
duce UK trade preferences in its markets if London
passes proposed levies on agricultural imports.
Under the agreement negotiated in 1932 and revised
in 1957, the British Government undertook to give
free entry to many Australian imports.. Now, under
the proposed levies, Australian products for the
first time will face real barriers in the tradi-
tional British market. Canberra.views the UK pro-
posal as a preparation for prospective membership
in the European Communities, and fears loss of
agricultural markets.
(continued)
Central Intelligence Bulletin 11
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WESTERN EUROPE: The European Space Conference,
which opens a three-day meeting in Brussels today,
will attempt to respond to a US invitation to open
negotiations on joint space cooperation. Initial
reactions to the preliminary US position on the con-
ditions for such cooperation have been generally
favorable, but it may still be too early for the
Europeans to have worked out the implication of a
joint program for their own space plans. Some of
the Europeans are still doubtful about the US finan-
cial commitment to a "post-Apollo" program and about
US assurances to provide launchers for European com-
munications satellites. There is concern, moreover,
on the Continent about Britain's willingness or
ability to participate in the proposed cooperation.
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INDONESIA-YUGOSLAVIA: Belgrade refuses to re-
schedule some $100 million in debts owed by Indo-
nesia. Djakarta is seeking a long-term agreement
similar to those reached by the Soviet Union and
major Western creditors, but Yugoslavia argues
that its own economic problems preclude such favor-
able terms. Unless some agreement is reached, how-
ever, Indonesia is unlikely to make any repayments
to Belgrade. Until now Djakarta has been extremely
successful in getting creditors to accept the prin-
ciple of a long-term debt rescheduling.
3 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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The United States Intelligence Board on
2 November 1970 approved the following national
intelligence estimate:
NIE 64.2-70 "Prospects for Postwar
Nigeria"
3 Nov 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Secret
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