CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A017400120001-5
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RIPPUB
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T
Document Page Count:
17
Document Creation Date:
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date:
August 4, 2003
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 28, 1970
Content Type:
REPORT
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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
State Dept. review completed
28 October 1970
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No. 0258/70
28 October 1970
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
NORTH VIETNAM: The authorities have mounted another
law-and-order campaign. (Page 1)
CANADA - COMMUNIST CHINA: A new wheat agreement has
been concluded. (Page 2)
LIBYA: The deputy premier insists that the only way
to peace is unilateral Israeli withdrawal. (Page 9)
USSR-TURKEY-US: Yesterday's hijacking could compli-
cate the release of the US. and Turkish military of-
ficers. (Page 5)
IRELAND: The prime minister is likely to overcome
a challenge to his leadership. (Page 6)
ECUADOR: The government has taken strong measures
in response to yesterday's kidnaping. (Page 7)
BAHAMAS: The prime minister's chances of maintain-
ing control over his party are slim. (Page 8)
USSR: ICBM tests (Page 11)
THAILAND - NORTH VIETNAM: Repatriation talks (Page 12)
COMMUNIST CHINA - TANZANIA - ZAMBIA: Railroad (Page 12)
NIGERIA: Oil revenue (Page 13)
CONGO (K) - BELGIUM: Improving relations (Page 13)
PARAGUAY: Municipal elections (Page 14)
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NORTH VIETNAM: The authorities have mounted
another law-and-order campaign.
Two new decrees were issued last week that deal
with criminal abuses of both state-owned and private
property--problems that have been troubling the re-
gime for some time.
The state property law is designed to crack
down on a wide variety of offenses ranging from petty
thievery and wastefulness to misappropriation by of-
ficials; it inveighs against "professional crooks and
ringleaders" and officials who exploit their position
and power. The little information that has seeped
out of North Vietnam suggests that corruption is
fairly widespread and is common knowledge. Hanoi may
be serious this time in trying to do something about
the problem; the party newspaper promised stern judg-
ments against violators and said that the party and
army are bent on eradicating the problem.
These laws follow a general increase in regime
propaganda on law and order including a hard-hitting
editorial in the army newspaper last month. The
campaign presumably is directed against a problem of
some consequence, at least in the eyes of the regime,
but it is hard to pin down how serious it is or how
much it undercuts North Vietnamese performance in
areas that count, like the war and economy. Corrup-
tion doubtless affects popular morale, and it may be
this kind of consideration that has triggered Hanoi's
latest law-and-order drive.
28 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CANADA - COMMUNIST CHINA: A new wheat agreement
calls for the delivery of million tons to China
in 1971.
This contract represents about a ten percent in-
crease in Canadian sales compared with shipments this
year. China, whose total annual imports of wheat
have been running between 4.0 and 4.5 million tons,
is also likely to make purchases from Australia, its
other main source of supply. Canberra, however, may
now find itself supplying smaller quantities.
China's in wheat harvest has been good this
year. Imports, as in the past, will be used to aug-
ment food supplies in the large coastal cities of
north and eastern China.
Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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USSR-TURKEY-US: Yesterday's hijacking of a
Soviet civil aircraft from the USSR to Turkey could
complicate the release of the American and Turkish
military officers presently held in the Soviet Union.
According to preliminary reports, two Russian
youths diverted a small plane from a domestic flight
in the USSR to Sinop, Turkey. The plane carried
only one other passenger and the pilot, both Russian.
There were no injuries as a result of the incident.
The two hijackers have asked for asylum, while the
pilot and third passenger have asked to return to
the USSR.
Presumably, as in the case of the hijacking of
a plane from the USSR to Turkey on 15 October, Mos-
cow will ask for the immediate return of the hi-
jackers and other persons aboard the plane. So far,
at least, the Soviets have not linked the return of
the first set of hijackers to the release of the
American and Turkish military officers being detained
in the USSR. Moscow's official protest to Washington
over that incident, in fact, suggested that the So-
viets were planning to treat the issues separately.
Should Ankara again deny Soviet requests for early
extradition of the hijackers, however, Moscow might
move to relate the return of the hi ' ackers to the
fate of the military officers.
28 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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IRELAND: Prime Minister Lynch is likely to
overcome a challenge to his leadership by party
dissidents today, but efforts to oust him will
continue.
The challenge comes from ex-ministers Haughey
and Blaney, who were ousted from the cabinet last
May as a result of their opposition to Lynch's
policy of reunification of Ireland by peaceful means.
The dissidents' political stock has been boosted by
the acquittal last week of Haughey and three others
before the High Court. They had been charged with
illegally conspiring to import arms and ammunition
into Ireland for use by Republicans in Northern Ire-
land. After his acquittal, Haughey told a press
conference that the trial was a political one, which
had done great harm to Ireland's reputation, and
implied that the prime minister should resign.
Lynch has issued a strong statement saying that
he is not prepared to step down. He reiterated that
Fianna Fail's aims are reunification of Ireland by
peaceful means and that he would not accept Haughey
rejoining his government.
Because both Lynch and the dissidents wish to
avoid a general election, the immediate challenge
will probably occur within the Fianna Fail parlia-
mentary group of 75 deputies, who meet today. The
exact strength of the dissidents is not known but
is thought to be around ten.. Their efforts to win
support against Lynch are likely to fail because
he still appears to command support from a majority
of Fianna Fail party workers and deputies, and his
opponents will have difficulty advancing a credible
alternate leadership.
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ECUADOR: The government has taken strong meas-
ures ins response to the kidnaping of General Rohon.
Still unidentified assailants abducted the air
force commander early yesterday morning. The timing
of the kidnaping--during celebrations commemorating
the 50th anniversary of the air force attended by
several foreign military delegations--will be espe-
cially embarrassing to the administration.
The government has issued arrest orders for
suspected terrorists and prominent leftists, the
capital has been sealed off, and all lane fli hts
have been halted.
e yesterday the govern-
men declared martial law across the nation, instituted
an evening curfew, and also posted a reward of $40,000
for information leading to the whereabouts of General
Rohon. I
The kidnaping, the first in several years, will
give further impetus to the government's offensive
against administration opponents, which has been
under way since Velasco assumed dictatorial powers
in June. The President's heavy-handed methods have
aroused significant resentment, especially in Guaya-
quil, where he removed the popular mayor and exiled
the prefect of the province last month. The military,
which supports the President, has kept the discontent
well in hand, and arrests of opposition politicians
are continuing.
Velasco probably believes that a strong stand
would ensure continued military support and give
him a free hand to deal with both the small subver-
sive groups in the country and his legitimate polit-
ical opponents. F__ I
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BAHAMAS: Prime Minister Pindling's chances of
retaining control over his party are increasingly
slim.
Minister of Education Wallace-Whitfield's res-
ignation, announced at the annual convention of the
Progressive Liberal Party (PLP) that ended last week,
has set the stage for a struggle for control of the
party and government. The opposition has demanded
Pindling's immediate resignation, citing the deteri-
orating economic situation, the apparent lack of
confidence among foreign investors, and Pindling's
dictatorial attitude. Dissident PLP members and op-
position elements have pooled their strength and re-
quire only three more members to carry a vote of no
confidence.
Pindling is not expected to give up easily,
however. Although he has been able to extricate
himself deftly from past difficulties, it now ap-
pears that the opposition is as determined to remove
him as he is to stay.
28 Oct 70 Central fntelliirence Bulletin
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LIBYA: Deputy Premier Jallud insists that the
only way to peace in the Middle East is unilateral
Israeli withdrawal from occupied Arab territories.
Jallud, in a conversation with the US ambassa-
dor, criticized Nasir's acceptance of the 1967 UN
resolution on the Middle East. He said only Nasir
could have obtained Arab acquiescence in the resolu-
tion; with his death, the only possible way to peace
is increased Arab resolve to force Israeli with-
drawal. He concluded that war may eventually be
necessary to bring this about.
Jallud, repeating the standard Arab accusation
of "full US support for Israel," stated bluntly that
the only reason the Arabs had not retaliated against
US interests in the Middle East was because they had
not found a way to do so without harming their own
interests.
His presentation was at least partly aimed at
reminding the US of Libya's radical Arab stance.
At the same time, however, Jallud's tirade may im-
ply that Libya hopes to take the lead in forging a
more militant policy toward Israel.
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USSR: The Soviets plan to conduct extended-
range ICBM tests into a Pacific Ocean impact area
between 28 October and 30 November. Yesterday TASS
announced the upcoming series of "carrier rocket"
tests, requesting foreign governments to keep ships
and aircraft clear of the impact area during a speci-
fied period each day. The impact area, some 500
miles northwest of Midway Island, is approximately
4,700 miles from the Tyuratam and Plesetsk missile
(continued)
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THAILAND - NORTH VIETNAM: Thai and North Viet-
namese Red Cross officials are making some progress
in their negotiations over the repatriation of some
40,000 Vietnamese refugees still remaining in north-
east Thailand. The two delegations have met eight
times since the talks resumed in Bangkok after a
five-year hiatus, and there has been general agree-
ment on procedure. Although the meetings have pro-
vided a forum for Hanoi's representatives to air
grievances about Thai treatment of the refugees, the
North Vietnamese appear genuinely interested in por-
traying themselves as reasonable, and at least some
form of limited repatriation is possible.
COMMUNIST CHINA - TANZANIA - ZAMBIA: Construc-
tion of the Tan-Zam railroad was formally inaugurated
on 26 October in Dar es Salaam, although work actu-
ally has been under way since July. Fang I, the
chairman of Peking's Commission for Economic Rela-
tions with Foreign Countries, represented his coun-
try at the ceremony. Peking will provide $400 mil-
lion in credit to finance the construction of the
1,060-mile railroad from Zambia's copper mines to
Dar es Salaam on Tanzania's coast. According to a
press report, 4,700 Chinese personnel are currently
working on the project. This figure is expected to
rise to roughly 6,000 by the end of this year. Com-
letion of the railroad is scheduled
(continued)
Central Intelkeenee Bulletin 12
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NIGERIA: Lagos is cashing in on Libya's new
arrangements with the oil companies. All but one
of the oil firms operating in Nigeria are bound by
their contracts to sweeten their arrangements with
Nigeria if they improve their terms with other oil
producing nations. Both Shell/BP, the largest pro-
ducer in Nigeria, and Mobil are already raising
their posted prices and the other companies probably
will soon follow suit. Even before those new de-
velopments the Nigerian Government had expected its
current annual oil revenues of $280 million to dou-
ble-by 1973.
CONGO (K) - BELGIUM: The strain in Belgian-
Congolese relations appears to have eased. Brussels
became apprehensive after President Mobutu granted
a mining concession in September to a US-led consor-
tium, and the Congolese press took on an anti-Belgian
slant. The US ambassador believes that anti-Belgian
feeling now has waned, and the Belgian ambassador
described a recent meetin with Mobutu as "very cor-
dial."
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(continued)
28 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 13
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PARAGUAY: The governing Colorado Party of Pres-
ident Alfredo Stroessner won 78 percent of the vote
in nationwide municipal elections on Sunday. The
Radical Liberal Party ran second, assuring that it
will hold one third of the council seats in those
municipalities where it presented candidates. op-
position spokesmen are charging widespread voting
irregularities, but dishonesty was probably no
greater than is normal in Paraguayan elections. The
opposition's poor showing, however, is likely further
to discourage party leaders, who believe that polit-
ical "liberalization" in aguay is stagnating.
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