CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015900040001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 22, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 31, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
AQ
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No. 0077/70
31 March 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Cambodia: The government hopes to enlist interna-
ti o support to meet the Vietnamese Communist threat.
(Page 1)
Laos: The government continues to strengthen its
hold over the Long Tieng area. (Page 3)
Pakistan: The country has moved another step toward
civilian rule. (Page 4)
India: Mrs. Gandhi's loss of party strength is un-
likely to affect government: stability. (Page 5)
Argentina: The kidnaping of the Paraguayan consul
has set off counterterrorist activity. (Page 6)
Dominican Republic: The major opposition parties
have threatened to abstain from the elections. (Page 7)
Iraq: Cabinet reshuffle (Page 9)
Angola-Zambia: Rail traffic halted (Page 9)
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Cambodia: The government apparently hopes to
enlist international support to meet the growing
Vietnamese Communist threat.
Prime Minister Lon Nol appealed to the United
Nations on 30 March for an observer team to verify
Communist border violations. Nol also indicated
that he may eventually ask friendly countries, in-
cluding the US, for military materiel.
The government's assertions that sizable numbers
of Vietnamese Communist troops have made deep incur-
sions into Cambodian territory may be part of Phnom
Penh's efforts to dramatize its plight.
There have been no new antigovernment demon-
strations in major provincial towns. Western cor-
respondents have encountered some bands of machete-
wielding Sihanouk partisans on several main roads
south of Phnom Penh, however. Cambodian troops
reportedly fired into one such group at An tassom,
killing seven and wounding many others.
31 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Na
Khan
Bouam
Long*
,.Ban Ban
la
u
noun
Luan
Mugng
,Soul
A_wF
Houei
Ki Nin.
Ban N im,
Sa{n
Tkon
Governmlrt
reoccupies viiha
Lod
Tieng
ang Vieng
Ban
W
ZU I {es
20 Kilometers
Tha Tam
Bleung Khang
?Kho
Government-
attacks thwarted
PL!A INE
ir"
SAP
1ierrg Khouang
J;4RRE
Xieng
Khouangville
W Government hefd location,
? ,Communist-held location
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Laos: The government is continuing to
strengthen its hold over the Long Tieng area.
North Vietnamese troops on the outskirts of
Sam Thong have withdrawn several miles to the north-
east in the face of a government sweep operation.
The village is now in government hands, and govern-
ment troops are moving against the last remaining
enemy position approximately one mile to the east.
Recent government advances have boosted troop
morale, but Vang Pao's forces still have a long way
to go before the approaches to Long Tieng can be con-
sidered secure. There are some 3,000 North Vietnam-
ese troops operating in the area, and additional re-
inforcements should arrive in the area in the next
few days.
Although improving: weather conditions have fa-
cilitated heavy air strikes against enemy positions,
so far government efforts to reoccupy territory north
of Long Tieng have been strongly rebuffed. On 30
March, for example, government guerrillas again
failed to push a well-entrenched..North Vietnamese
force off the high ground near Tha Tam Bleung.
(Man'
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-Re
Pakistan: President Yahya Khan's announcement
of guidelines for a new constitution and for elections
in the fall has moved Pakistan another step toward
civilian rule.
In a nationwide speech on 28 March, Yahya out-
lined a legal framework that the constituent assem-
bly, to be elected on 5 October, must follow. This
framework calls for a federal system with maximum
provincial autonomy, but includes adequate financial
powers for the central government. It also stipu-
lates, in a gesture to economically depressed East
Pakistan, that the constitution should include a
statutory provision for removing all disparities
among the various provinces within a fixed time
period.
The specific regional breakdown of seats for
the 313-member national constituent assembly was
spelled out in a presidential order yesterday. it
insures that East Pakistan, with 56 percent of the
population, will have a majority. Yahya will have
the power to veto the constitution drawn up by the
members, in which case the assembly would be dis-
solved.
Yahya announced that provincial elections will
be held not later than 22 October. His presidential
order suggests that West Pakistan--to be dissolved
by 1 July--will be replaced by the four major ethno-
linguistic units that were merged in 1955 to form
the west wing.
Successful completion of the election schedule
now depends primarily upon the politicians. Their
willingness and ability to control their supporters
will be the determining factor in assuring the peace
and order that the President considers essential for
holding elections. Yahya has again declared that
violence will not be tolerated, and his recent crack-
down on extreme leftists in East Pakistan gives sub-
stance to this warning.
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India: Prime Minister Gandhi's loss of party
strengit in elections for the upper house of parlia-
ment last week is unlikely to have any significant
effect on government stability.
In the elections held in the state legislatures,
Mrs. Gandhi's Congress Party lost about 15 percent
of its strength in the upper house. Elections for
one third of the members of parliament's upper house
are held every two years.
The decline in Mrs. Gandhi's support stems from
Congress Party electoral defeats at the state level
in 1967 and 1969, and from the split in the party
last November. Nevertheless, the party apparently
won fewer seats than expected in contests in which
it needed support from other parties, and this may
raise some doubt about Mrs. Gandhi's ability to make
satisfactory electoral arrangements with other
parties.
Although Mrs. Gandhi's party will have only a
little over a third of the 240 seats, it remains
the largest party in that body. With support from
other parties Mrs. Gandhi should still be able to
gain approval for most legislation, although this
cannot be assured. The Prime Minister is not di-
rectly responsible to the upper house, but difficult
constitutional procedures are required to pass bills
31 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Argentina: The kidnaping of the Paraguayan
consul early last week has set off counterterrorist
activity by members of several right-wing organi-
zations.
Soon after the abduction of the consul, the
home of the president of the communist-dominated
Argentine University Federation was bombed; one
employee was killed. An attempt on Sunday to kidnap
a Soviet commercial attache failed. The assailants
in both cases have not been positively identified,
but they probably were members of such right-wing
groups as the nationalist, anti-Semitic Tacuara or
the Organized Argentine Nationalist Movement.
Both the left and right-wing extremists may now
be provoked to further spectacular incidents. The
leftists have already made threats against US busi-
nessmen.
31 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Dominican Republic: The major opposition parties
have threatened to abstain from the elections in May
if President Balaguer does not resign.
When he declared for re-election last week,
Balaguer said he would hand over his office to the
Supreme Court president while he campaigns from 16
April until the elections on 16 May. The opposition
ultimatum stipulates that Balaguer must resign for
the remainder of his term, which expires on 16 August.
They have given him until tomorrow to reply. The
strategy of the opposition parties is ostensibly
based on their distrust of the government and a
desire to ensure fair elections.
The President probably is reluctant to accede to
the opposition's demand. -If he compromises, Balaguer
opens the door to more demands backed by the threat
of abstention. Moreover, he risks encouraging the
formation of a coalition, which could threaten his
pos
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Angola Closes Railroad to Zambia in Reprisal for Guerrilla Attack
so
{t b (SDAI ACAMS
A! (ANTIC
OCEAN
Benguela Railroad
closed to.Zamb ian traffic
Sito of guerrilla attack
On Angolan border post
Projected route If
of, Tan-ZamR.R. t c
---- 240 __. 4an
\ISlule Miles
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Iraq: Last weekend's cabinet reshuffle brought
in five Kurdish ministers, rearranged a number of
portfolios, and added three additional members of
the country's ruling Revolutionary Command Council
(RCC). The inclusion of Kurds in the new government
probably results from the agreement of 11 March be-
tween the Kurds and the Baghdad regime aimed at set-
tling the country's protracted civil war. The Kurds
in the cabinet, however, are second-level members of
the Kurdish movement and did not receive key posts.
The inclusion of additional members of the RCC prob-
ably signals the regime's intention to keep govern-
Angola-Zambia: The :Portuguese have again halted
Zambian rail traffic throe h Portuguese Angola, the
first ban since May 1969.
lAtter previous suspensions,
Zambia, whose economy depends on copper exports, has
bowed to economic reality and warned insurgent groups
not to take actions that would endanger Zambia's use
of Portuguese railroads. Presumably, Zambia will
follow the same course this time.
I(Map) )
(continued)
31 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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