CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015800120001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 16, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 26, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
5
26 March 1970
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No. 0073/70
26 March 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
North Vietnam - Cambodia: Hanoi is backing Sihanouk
to tfie hilt. Page 1T-
Laos: The Long Tieng defense force has been strength-
ened significantly. (Page 3)
South Vietnam: Some Communist units have been or-
aeed--ta concentrate on guerrilla warfare. (Page 4)
Burma: The succession question is becoming of in-
creasing concern to the regime. (Page 5)
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Lebanon: Incidents yesterday threatened to lead to
as crisis between Christians and Muslims. (Page 7)
Trinidad: Black Power protests are causing increased
problems for the government. (Page 8)
Arms Control: A number of complexities are hampering
progress on CBW talks. (Page 9)
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UN - Middle East: Occupied territories (Page 10)
Finland: NORDEC (Page 11)
Brazil: Territorial waters (Page 11)
Chile:: Impeachment (Page 11)
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North Vietnam - Cambodia: Hanoi has come out
foursquare e ind Si anouk and his call for "national
liberation."
In a government communique issued yesterday,
the North Vietnamese declared their "total support"
for Sihanouk?s statement of 23 March that called
for an u rising acrainst the new government in Phnom
Penh.
I anoi is
presently relying on intimidation as the best way
to handle the Cambodians. By their actions, the Com-
munists have tightened the screws in the face of de-
mands from Phnom Penh for a continuation of talks
on Vietnamese-Cambodian issues,
the Commu-
nists still hope to avoid resorting to force. They
are almost certainly willing, however, to take mil-
itary action, while concealing their activities un-
der the guise of a "liberation movement," if they
believe their vital interests in Cambodia are endan-
geredo
26 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Laos: Current Situation
102
VI ETNA M;
pos tips 1'0-61~_Wb -, Otte
halane
Savannakhet
Limit if area claimed under
Communist and Neutralist
control, June 1962 o 1 WON
Murirg
e~ ` : #'latrn~ ~ ,:
Muong Sou Fii
Long Tieng
~, ov$t'nrneht
Vang Vieng. strengthening defenses
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Laos: The Long Tieng defense force has been
strengthened significantly in anticipation of a ma-
jor enemy assault.
Continued reinforcement has raised the number
of troops in the immediate area to 3,400. The only
significant ground action in the area occurred six
miles north of the base, where a 300-man North Viet-
namese force attacked a newly-occupied government
position. Government troops suffered relatively
heavy casualties in the engagement, but the North
Vietnamese were pushed back.
In the central portion of the panhandle, mean-
while, Communist forces have not yet attempted to
take advantage of the government's weakened forces
near Muong Phalane. Two government battalions,
which had been successful in keeping enemy forces
in this area off balance, were recently airlifted
to Long Tieng.
Farther south in the Bolovens Plateau, Communist
forces have been unusually inactive during the cur-
26 Max` 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
(Map)
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South Vietnam: Communist units in many areas
have been ordered to concentrate on guerrilla war-
tare and political subversion,
An increasing number of enemy documents have
been captured that direct Communist commanders to
use North Vietnamese reinforcements cautiously, to
break up some main force units into small detach-
ments to operate as guerrillas, and to avoid large
combat actions that might result in heavy losses.
This shift in Communist battlefield tactics
began in late 1969 as the enemy abandoned attempts
to carry out countrywide "high points" and concen-
trated mainly on localized campaigns. The latest
evidence of the shift supports other indications
that the Communists plan to rely on low-level mil-
itary tactics for some time to come.
This could mean that Hanoi is not trying for
spectacular short-term results in South Vietnam,
but it does not imply that the Communists are sim-
ply pushing on aimlessly. Their current tactics
are designed to strengthen Communist capabilities
for carrying on protracted military operations.
They hope to take advantage of whatever favorable
opportunities may develop at a later time,
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Burma: Maneuvering within the regime over the
succession question has intensified since Ne Win's
minor heart attack two months ago.
Vice Chief of Staff San Yu has become a more
likely heir-apparent as a result of the most recent
of a number of setbacks suffered by Brigadier Tin
Pe, At one time Tin Pe was considered the second-
ranking member of the government.
The ruling military Revolutionary Council on 24
March relieved Tin Pe of two important ministerial
portfolios and assigned him to lesser posts. His
ouster as minister of trade was connected with the
recent arrests of officials in government trade or-
ganizations on charges of corruption,
Over the past: year Tin Pe has been steadily
eclipsed by San Yu,,,who has acted as the military
regime's spokesman for continued commitment to
Burma's brand of socialism and for the retention of
military rule. San Yu's role as Ne Win's heir-ap-
parent is not yet certain, however, in view of the
obscure pecking order in the military leadership.
Foreign Minister Maung Lwin could also be in
the running. Maung Lwin took on the two portfolios
taken from Tin Pe in addition to his other respon-
sibilities. A relatively obscure officer until his
elevation to foreign minister last year, Maung Lwin
has shown energy and ability and, according to some
speculation in Rangoon, is Ne Win's personal choice
26 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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C Lebanon: Incidents yesterday between Pa.lestin-
ian commandos and Lebanese threaten to lead to a
crisis between Christians and Muslims.
The first incident occurred when a fedayeen fu-
neral procession went through Kahhale, a Christian
town five miles southeast of Beirut, and a clash
developed with local residents. The Lebanese Army
moved tanks into the Kahhale area and separated the
antagonists, but firing was then reported between
fedayeen and Lebanese security forces in a nearby
refugee camp.
A second incident occurred in a refugee camp
north of Beirut where Palestinian commandos seized
the son of Pierre al-Jummayyil, leader of the far-
right Christian Phalanges Party; firing broke out
between fedayeen and Phalangists. The Phalangists
reportedly mobilized their paramilitary forces.
An emergency cabinet session was called in order
to prevent a repetition of the violence that occurred
last fall between the fedayeen and Lebanese security
forces. Sentiment within Lebanon over the fedayeen
issue is seriously divided between those--mostly
Muslims--who support the fedayeen wholeheartedly and
those--mostly Christians--who want the government
to maintain firm control over the fedayeen in order
to prevent Israeli retaliation.
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Trinidad: Black power protests are now focusing
on the social and economic inequities that plague most
c.'aribbean countries and are causing increased problems
for the government.
The demonstration Tuesday in Port-of-Spain con-
Lrasted sharply with previous protests, which were
originally touched off by a sympathy march for West
Indian youths on trial in Canada. The unruly crowd
of some 1,500 persons forced police to use tear gas,
and the authorities responded with more vigorous
action than in the past. Protest leaders have called
for further demonstrations and have asked the people
to prepare to "do battle."
In a speech Monday night, Prime Minister Williams
attempted to defuse the situation by aligning himself
with the "legitimate demands" of the protesters. Among
other things, he promised to promote additional jobs
through a new tax on business profits. After 14 years
in power, however, Williams is identified with the
status quo. Moreover, the government has frequently
failed to respond to labor and social protests in the
oast.
Williams' predicament--how to maintain the stable
image that has appealed to investors and yet attract
the support of the growing black power movement--is
becoming a common problem for many Caribbean leaders.
Tourism revenues and foreign investment have offset
economic and racial disparities to some extent, but
the radical groups are focusing on these facets of
what they object to as a "white-dominated economy."
Williams, like others such as Prime Minister Pindling
in the Bahamas, will probably have to move toward a
policy emphasizing economic nationalism, in addition
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Arms Control: A number of complexities at the
Geneva disarmament talks are hampering progress toward
control of chemical and biological warfare (CBW).
The UK draft convention banning BW has recently
received damaging criticism from the nonaligned
nations represented at Geneva. Some have decided
that BW is not a serious military threat and that
conclusion of a convention on the subject is un-
important or not ur ent
The British draft is expected to take a position
compatible with the recent US renunciation of military
utilization of toxins, both those that are products of
biological agents and those that may be created b
chemical synthesis.
The Soviets and their allies are not pushing
hard for an endorsement of their draft convention,
which links CW and BW, and prohibits their develop-
ment, production, and stockpiling. They are relying,
however, on general interest at the conference in the
linkage of CW and BW and are gradually leaking infor-
mation to the other delegates on the kind of veri-
fication arrangements that they would accept. The
Poles are expected to propose soon that such pro-
cedures be based on investigations and reports by
the UN Security Council on suspected violations.
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UN - Middle East: The UN Commission on Human
Rights has again condemned alleged Israeli violations
of the Geneva convention concerning human rights in
occupied territories. Tel Aviv has reiterated, how-,
ever, that it will not permit a special working group
from the Commission to enter Israeli-held areas. It
maintains that the group is not objective and lacks
a mandate to consider the treatment accorded Jews
in Arab countries. The Arabs in turn are rebuffing
suggestions that they ask for a protecting power to
represent their interests in the occupied territories,
a possibility provided for in the convention. The
Arab governments involved believe that such a move
could raise questions of sovereignty over the oc-
cupied areas and suggest to the Arab public that the
occupation will be lengthy.
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Finland: Helsinki's decision not to sign the
treaty establishing a Nordic Economic Union (NORDEC)
could end the project. In a government statement,
Finland justifies its decision by the activity of two
of the other NORDEC participants--Denmark and Norway--
who are looking to membership in the European Com-
munities. In fact, the Finns seem to be bowing to
Soviet: opposition. In timing its decision, Helsinki
may have hoped to assuage Soviet irritation over the
mid-March parliamentary elections, which saw a sig-
nificant shift to the right and big losses for the
Communists.F
Brazil: The government has extended its terri-
torial waters claim from 12 to 200 nautical miles,
according to a press report. It thus joins nine
other Latin American nations that claim jurisdiction
up to 200 miles either over territorial seas, fish-
ing rights, or exploitation of the seabeds. Some
Brazilian Navy officers previously opposed the exten-
sion because of the difficulty of patrolling the vast
extent of waters along the country's 4,655-mile
coast. The navy's increased responsibility will
probably strengthen its determination to obtain sev-
eral modern ships, principally from European sources.
Chile: Defense Minister Sergio ssa nas
impeached b the Chamber of Deputies in an attempt
by the opposition parties to embarrass the government
during the campaign for the presidential election in
September. Although the government had attempted to
mobilize military support for Ossa, there is little
concern in the armed forces over the impeachment,
which was taken because of his refusal to carry out
a congressional order to pay pensions to retired mil-
itary and police personnel all at once rather than
in stages. Ossa is suspended from his position pend-
ing Senate action, which must come within 30 days,
and Foreign Minister Gabriel Valdes has taken over
the defense portfolio.
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