CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A015800110001-4
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
12
Document Creation Date:
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
January 22, 2003
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
March 25, 1970
Content Type:
REPORT
File:
Attachment | Size |
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CIA-RDP79T00975A015800110001-4.pdf | 354.25 KB |
Body:
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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
51
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No. 0072/70
25 March 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Communist China - North Korea: Peking's appointment
of a new ambassador reflects improved relations.
(Page 1)
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Philip ines: Student protesters have seized on pop-
ular economic grievances. (Page 4)
Dominican Reublic: Yesterday's kidnaping will ag-
gravate the difficulties the government faces. (Page 5)
Panama: The government is running deeper in debt.
Page 6)
Laos: Communist pressure (Page 7)
Italy: Government negotiations (Page 7)
Czechoslovakia: Labor shortages (Page 7)
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Turkey: Student unrest (Page 8)
Arab States: Oil congress (Page 9)
Bolivia: Nationalized oil (Page 9)
Chile: Leftist violence (Page 9)
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Communist China - North Korea: Peking's appoint-
ment ET a new a assador to Pyongyang reflects the
marked improvement in relations that has developed
within the past six months.
Relations between the two states reached a low
point about three years ago, in the early months of
China's Cultural Revolution. The Chinese ambassador
was recalled amidst. stinging propaganda exchanges.
A thaw in relations first became noticeable last
October when Pyongyang sent a high-level delegation
to attend China's National Day celebrations. Last
month the North Korean ambassador returned to Peking
after an absence of over two years.
According to a. Chinese press dispatch, Peking's
new ambassador, a career diplomat, left for his post
on 23 March. The appointment is in keeping with Pe-
king's practice of selecting experienced foreign
affairs personnel as new chiefs of mission. From May
to July last year, 17 Chinese ambassadors were sent
abroad. The lapse since then suggests that Peking
has had trouble finding politically acceptable men to
act as ambassadors. The latest appointment could
indicate that a bostina of additional ambassadors is
in the offing.
25 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Philippines: Student protesters have seized on
popular economic grievances that could in time increase
their leverage on President Marcos.
For the past two days, students in Manila have been
disrupting traffic by stoning buses and government ve-
hicles to protest a 50-percent rise in bus fares. The
new fares come on top of the sharp increase in living
costs that has occurred since the peso was devalued
last month. The students' protest, however, will
probably not garner much immediate public support be-
cause of their continued resort to violence.
Recent demonstrations have not attracted large
numbers because the students have been preparing for
final examinations. The schools soon close for annual
vacations and more students will be available for
street action, especially the hard-core agitators.
Continued rises in the cost of living would pro-
vide moderate student leaders, who until now have been
overshadowed by violence-prone radicals, with an issue
that could be pushed responsibly and could win sub-
stantial public support.
Rather than respond with steps to meet public
dissatisfaction, however, Marcos might turn to drastic
measures. His recent remark that a confrontation with
domestic Communists might necessitate emergency meas-
ures was probably intended to set the stage for a pos-
sible imposition of martial law. This step would not
only solidify popular opposition to him, but would
weaken his support from the nonpolitical military,
which has been the principal moderating influence on
him
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Dominican Republic: Yesterday's kidnaping of
the U5 air attache will aggravate the difficulties
the government faces in dealing with already wide-
spread pre-election unrest.
The kidnaping was presumably carried out by mem-
bers of the Communist Dominican Popular Movement
(MPD), the most activist and terrorist-prone of the
several Communist factions. The kidnapers have de-
manded the release within 48 hours of the MPD secre-
tary general, who was captured by the government in
January, and 20 other prisoners,
The unrest of recent weeks has included kill-
ings by both the Communists and the military and con-
tinued civilian-police clashes. The major opposition
party, dominated by the radical left, has decided not
to participate in the May elections.
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All opposition political groups will probably
use the kidnaping to reinforce their campaign charge
that the government is unable to guarantee the peace,
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Panama: The government is running deeper in debt
in its effort to offset the decline in domestic private
investment.
A new $10-million short-term, high-interest loan
has been secured Additional
funding will be nee e to refinance e 22 million
in short-term funds obtained last year.
Although the economic growth rate remains high,
the government has not been able to restore investor
confidence. At the same time it has been reluctant
to increase taxes enough to cover its politically
important public works program.
The government recently obtained a standby credit
from the International Monetary Fund and is trying to
obtain a long-term financial package from private US
sources. If the latter effort is unsuccessful and
large budget deficits persist, the government may
further increase its efforts to get additional bene-
fits from the country's major resource, the Canal.
Moreover, it may see important political advantages
in focusing domestic attention on the Canal issue and
2 5 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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Laos: Communist forces are increasing their
pressure against the Long Tieng defense perimeter.
During the early morning hours of 24 March, several
government positions on the high ground overlooking
the base came under heavy enemy attack. Government
troops rebuffed all but one of these assaults and
were able quickly to reoccupy the one outpost lost
some three miles northwest of the airstrip. In order
to meet the increased threat to the base, Vang Pao
is strengthening his eastern flank by positioning
300 troops immediately southeast of the airstrip.
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Italy: Prime Minister-designate Mariano Rumor's
success in securing the backing of the Christian Dem-
ocrats, the Socialists, the Unitary Socialists, and
the Republicans makes it likely that he will be able
to form a new center-left government. Bargaining is
now under way over the allocation of ministerial and
other- posts. With the threat of early national elec-
tions past, parliament will be able to continue work
on a variety of partially enacted economic admini-
strative, and social reforms.
Czechoslovakia: The government recently ap-
prove several new measures aimed at overcoming labor
shortages and sagging productivity. Workers must do-
nate their services on four Saturdays during the
year,, and additional "voluntary" work shifts are be-
ing encouraged. Plans by industry to employ addi-
tional workers in 1970 have been significantly scaled
down, and enterprises cannot recruit labor without
prior governmental approval. In addition, admini-
strative and management personnel in both government
and industry will be reduced by ten percent this year.
The party organ Rude Pravo warns that if these meas-
ures are not sufficient to release additional labor,
more stringent moves will be
(continued)
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Turkey: The current flurry of student unrest
appears to be subsiding after some boycotts and vio-
lence in widely scattered parts of the country. The
absence of anti-American incidents in Istanbul this
past weekend was largely a result of exceptional se-
curity precautions. It also reflected leftist fear
of a showdown with the extreme right as well as in-
fighting between moderates and extremists for control
of the student movement. It has become increasingly
apparent, however, that the extreme left has zeroed
in on student and teacher organizations as the nuclei
for its front organizations.
some students are receiving guerrilla training
from Arab terrorist organizations.
(continued)
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Arab States_ The first Arab Petroleum Congress
since the Arab-Israeli war in 1967 has ended on an
unusually moderate note. Although the Congress has
been known in the past as a forum for attacking
Western oil concessions, the recommendations issued
at the close of the congress this week emphasized
cooperation between the oil-producing states and the
companies in order to achieve "utmost efficiency."
With the Egyptian delegation taking the lead, the
congress ignored the radical suggestions of a few
delegates. Instead, it concentrated on discussing
the means by which oil-producing countries could
capture a greater portion of the profits now re-
tained by the oil companies, and on how to attract
areatrr industrial investment.
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Bolivia: Preliminary agreement reached with
Spanish officials may be the first step toward solving
the problem of the nationalized Bolivian Gulf Oil
Company properties. The agreements provide that a
Spanish company would operate the facilities, indem-
nify Gulf from the oil revenues, and pay Gulf in oil
for its ex enditures on gas reduction plants in Bo-
livia.
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.hc negotiators recommend that the
governments exchange notes endorsing the arrangements.
Chile: Leftist violence has disrupted some cam-
paign appearances of Jorge Alessandri, the independ-
ent conservative candidate in the September presi-
dential election. Disturbances marked his trip to
Concepcion Province, a leftist stronghold, and there
were numerous arrests and personal injuries. The
leftists may hope that by disrupting Alessandri's
campaign they can belittle his promise to bring law
and order to Chile.. These tactics may backfire, how-
ever, by outraging the Chilean public.
Central Inte?ligence P,,All etin
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