CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015400110001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 14, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 27, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50,
27 January 1970
STATE review(s) completed.
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No. 0023/70
27 January 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Japan: Tokyo appears to be ready to sign the Non-
proliferation Treaty. (Page 1)
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Guinea: Student militants have condemned the coun-
try's leadership for betrayal of the revolution.
(Page 3)
Communist China - Guinea: Peking has pledged to
build a cement plant and rehabilitate the railroad.
(Page 5)
Cuba - Latin America: Officials in several countries
are publicly favoring increasing ties with Cuba.
(Page 6)
USSR: The leadership is stressing technological
progress in industry. (Page. 7)
USSR: Economic performance (Page 8)
European Communities - Israel: Preferential agree-
ment (Page 8)
Uganda: Murder (Page 8)
Lesotho: Election (Page 9)
NATO: Discussions (Page 9)
UN - South-West Africa: Resolution (Page 9)
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Japan: Tokyo appears to be ready to sign the
Nonproliferation Treaty.
Prime Minister Sato is working to obtain ap-
proval for signature from the cabinet and necessary
party elements, a process that could be completed
by the end of this week. This effortF_
may be explained
by a o s desire to sign be tore the treaty enters
into force, probably in early February.
Although Sato is in no hurry to ratify the
treaty until his doubts concerning it are allayed,
he would like to be in step with most of the other
major powers on this important issue by demonstra-
ting his support of the treaty "in principle" by
signing it.
Precedent dictates that the treaty can only
be ratified, not merely signed, after entering into
force. There is a possibility, however, that the
other signatories to the treaty could be persuaded
to grant a special dispensation and allow Japan to
sign the treaty "shortly" after it goes into force.
Sato must decide whether it is worthwhile to risk
this in order to go through the motions of consult-
ing the Diet after it convenes on 14 February.
Formal consultation with the Diet would deflate
opposition charges that the government is ignoring
popular opinion on this controversial issue. Many
Japanese, including top government officials, are
concerned over what they feel are discriminatory
inspection procedures imposed by the treaty. Fur-
thermore, there is an unspoken fear on the part of
many Japanese that signature of the treaty would
foreclose Japan's options to develop nuclear weap-
ons in the future.
27 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Guinea: In a rare expression of dissidence
within Sekou Toure's one-party regime, a group of
student militants has condemned the leadership for
betrayal of the revolution.
The students are delegates from Guinea's elite
Polytechnic Institute to the party's National Coun-
cil of the Revolution (CNR). Charging the leader-
ship with corruption and incompetence, the students
demanded a purge of "bourgeois" elements in the re-
gime. Toure responded by demanding that the stu-
dents furnish specific evidence or recant.
Toure expects opposition to his radical regime
to come from conservative elements. In fact, since
its opening session on the 19th, the CNR has been
preoccupied with Toure's revelation of the latest
in a long series of alleged plots by a conservative-
led exile opposition group.
The attack from dissident students within his
own party probably took him b sur rise.
Toure may dismiss some
but the students'
charges, b is not likely to purge the top
leadership.
27 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Communist China - Guinea: President Toure has
announced that Communist China has pledged to build
a cement plant and to rehabilitate the Conakry-Kankan
railroad.
The six-man Communist Chinese delegation that
arrived in Guinea on 23 January presumably agreed
that China would do this under an economic and tech-
nical cooperation agreement signed in 1969. Al-
though President Toure had stated in November that
the Chinese also would provide assistance in improv-
ing the port at Conakry and for agricultural devel-
opment, these projects were not included in the re-
cent announcement.
it is uncertain whether the Chinese will re-
construct the entire railroad. The USSR had agreed
to rehabilitate that portion of the line from Kindia
to Conakry as part of the recent agreement to de-
velop Guinean bauxite deposits at Kindia.
Peking, through liberal aid offers to Guinea
since 1959, has built ti considerable prestige in
the country. 17
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Cuba - Latin America: Officials in several
Latin American countries are again taking public
positions in favor of increased ties with Cuba.
In Chile the government-run newspaper has
strongly recommended renewal of diplomatic and
trade relations. An editorial argued that the long
break with Cuba by all the Latin American countries
except Mexico was not in their interest and had been
forced upon them. Earlier this.month the Christian
Democratic presidential candidate, Radomiro Tomic,
said that he favored resumption of relations with
Cuba if that country agreed to abide by normal in-
ternational practices. He cited Mexico's contin-
uing ties as justification for action by other Latin
American governments.
In Mexico, the government's presidential candi-
date--and sure winner--Luis Echeverria stated at a
recent press conference that there have been no prob-
lems with Cuba, and that Mexico should increase its
commercial and cultural relations with that country
as with all countries of the world. Peruvian Foreign
Minister General Edgardo Mercado Jarrin reportedly
declared this week that his country would support
Cuba's rapprochement if one were forthcoming with the
inter-American system, although he added that Peru
would not act alone.
These statements come at a time when some Latin
American leaders feel the need to express their inde-
pendence of the United States. In addition they may
hope to elicit a statement from Havana indicating a
willingness to work toward re-establishing relations.
Castro, however, has stated that before any such meas-
ures can be taken, the Latin American nations must re-
pudiate the OAS sanctions against Cuba.
27 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR: Deputy Chairman Trapeznikov of the State
Committee for Science and Technology recently urged
that technological progress replace quantity of out-
put as the traditional criterion of success in Soviet
industry.
at the.Supreme Soviet meeting in December that only
300 large projects would be started in 1970 although
His remarks reflect the leadership's current pre-
occupation with speeding the introduction of new
technology into industry and increasing the effective-
ness of science. These topics have been treated only
in an exhortatory manner in most of the discussions
following the central committee plenum in December.
Trapeznikov claimed that achieving the party's
main economic goal of raising the living standards
of the population was impossible without scientific-
technical progress. He noted, however, that the pur-
suit of quality and the introduction of new techniques
and machinery presently conflict with the achievement
of quantitative targets. He claimed that although the
economic reform attempted to change the success indi-
cators to profitability and sales, quantity of pro-
duction has remained the primary goal of enterprises
and their ministries.
To correct this situation, he proposed that all
indicators be subordinate to the rate of scientific-
technical progress. He did. not reveal precisely how
this would be measured at individual enterprises but
hinted that another price reform would be necessary
for its successful implementation.
He also repeated his proposal of last July to
halve the number of construction projects in order
to speed the completion of plants vital to techno-
logical progress. Gosplan Chairman Baybakov reported
1,000 were proposed by the ministries.
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USSR: The recent release by Moscow of official
statistics on economic performance during 1969 con-
firms the seven-percent growth in industrial produc-
tion, the lowest since 1946. The Soviets attribute
these disappointing results in part to "unfavorable
weather conditions and natural disasters in some areas
of the country." The output of the meat and milk
industry, a major figure missing from the December
report, was reported to be five percent short of its
goal, one of the poorest showings of any industrial
ministry.
European Communities - Israel: Agreement was
reached last week on the content of a preferential
trade agreement between the EC and Israel. The few
remaining details will be settled and a text agreed
upon at another meeting in February. Similar agree-
ments with Arab states are possible. Although talks
with Egypt are still in the exploratory stage, a
preferential arrangement with Lebanon reportedly may
be concluded soon. These developments will contrib-
ute to mounting concern over the Communities' pref-
erential trade agreements, a topic likely to be dis-
cussed next month at the 26th session of the contract-
ing parties to the General Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade.
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Uganda: The murder on Sunday of the second-
ranking army officer is likely to increase tensions,
already high since the attempt on the life of Pres-
ident Milton Obote last December. The police are
said to have no leads on the assailants, nor is there
evidence that the murder was politically motivated.
Nevertheless, Kampala's hyperactive rumor mill will
try to connect the murder not only with the attempt
on Obote's life but also with stories of antigovern-
ment plotting in the armed forces. F77 25X1
(continued)
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Lesotho: Voters will elect 60 members of the
National Assembly today. Prime Minister Jonathan's
Basutoland National Party is expected by local ob-
servers to increase its slim majority in parliament
by winning nearly two thirds of the seats. Election
day probably will be calm in contrast to the violence
of previous contests. Relations with South Africa,
which surrounds Lesotho, have been an important cam-
paign issue. Jonathan's conservative government is
expected to continue its pragmatic policy of economic
and regional cooperation with Pretoria.
NATO: Recent North Atlantic Council discussions
suggest that the Allies will have difficulty agree-
ing on procedures and policy for any eventual multi-
lateral negotiations with the Soviet Union and East
European states. The discussions result from the
decision of the NATO ministerial meeting in December
1969 to study this problem. They are made'more ur-
gent by the Warsaw Pact's growing campaign to pro-
mote its proposal for East-West talks, the European
Security Conference. The UK is suggesting a Stand-
ing Commission on East-West Relations, but Allied
reaction expressed in the Council meeting on 22 Jan-
uary was generally negative. The Council probably
will remand the problem to NATO's senior political
advisers within the next few days for further study.
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perts would be set up to report to the Council by 1
UN - South-West Africa: Some members of the
Security Council, spurred by the Afro-Asians, will
request a Council meeting for tomorrow on South-West
Africa. Zambia, Sierra Leone, and Finland have
drafted a resolution that condemns Pretoria's refusal
to comply with the UN resolutions calling for with-
drawal of its administration from the territory. The
resolution, however, is considerably milder than ex-
pected, indicating the drafters' desire to obtain the
support of the Western powers. Mandatory trade sanc-
tions are not proposed but a committee of nine ex-
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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