CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A014800100001-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 5, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 28, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
5O
State Dept. review completed
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No. 0258/69
28 October 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
USSR - Communist China: There is no indication of
how far border talks have progressed. (Page 1)
Lebanon: Efforts to ease tension continue, but the
outcome is uncertain. (Page 2)
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Congo (Kinshasa) - Angola: Authorities are proceed-
ing with repatriating former Katangan gendarmes.
(Page 5)
Kenya: The arrest of opposition leaders will heighten
tribal tensions. (Page 6)
El Salvador - Honduras: The chance of a rapproche-
ment is fading. (Page 7)
Surinam: No party won a clear majority in the elec-
tions. . (Page 8)
Warsaw Pact: Meeting scheduled (Page 9)
Portugal: Election results (Page 9)
Venezuela-Guyana: Renewed fears (Page 9)
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USSR - Communist China: There has been no in-
dication of how far the Sino-Soviet border talks
progressed during the first week, but both sides
have kept a damper on polemics.
The Soviets have been attempting to convey an
optimistic attitude in discussions with Western of-
ficials, although they generally concede that the
talks will be long and arduous. The chairman of the
Supreme Soviet Council of Nationalities told US of-
ficials that the talks were "not easy." He added
that Moscow was anxious to iron out rail transit and
trade problems in addition to the border issue.
Kosygin had told French Foreign Minister Schumann
earlier this month of Moscow's desire to use the
talks as a step toward some normalization of state
and economic relations, a position that has also
been implied in Soviet public statements.
Brezhnev maintained Moscow's generally concili-
atory public stance in a speech to the visiting
Czechoslovak delegation yesterday. He claimed. that r
the USSR would do all it could to normalize relations
with China and stressed that the Soviet side is show-
ing goodwill. In referring to the Kosygin-Chou
meeting he even called Chou "Comrade," a gesture
not known to have been made since 1966.
The Soviets have still not
replied to the strong
Chinese statement of 8
October
on the border issue.
Nevertheless, a Soviet
Foreign
Ministry official is
reported to have told a
foreign
diplomat recently
that Moscow fully intends to answer the "false and
slanderous statements" in the Chinese document. He
implied, however, that the Kremlin has not yet de-
cided on the format.
Peking for its part still feels free to attack
the Soviets on specific issues, such as negotiations
with the US on the seabeds treaty, and to warn its
population against the Soviet military threat. How-
ever, the Chinese continue to abstain from harsher
and more general polemics.
28 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Lebanon: Efforts to ease tension between the
government and, the fedayeen continue, but the out-
come remains uncertain.
The government is under tremendous pressure
from the Arab world to accommodate t--hp fpdavr?pn
_j u-ne e ayeen, emboldened by Egyptian Presi-
dent asir's intervention, have already stated their
demands: complete freedom of action in Lebanon, re-
moval of restrictions at Palestinian refugee camps,
and punishment for those responsible for initiating
the clashes that started the present turmoil.
Meanwhile, Lebanon's traditional Muslim politi-
cians are beginning to lose control over their fol-
lowers, who are now lookin to the feda een for in-
spiration and guidance.
fedayeen apparently were responsible for a rocket
attack on an oil storage facility south of Beirut.
from taking control of the camps. Late yesterday,
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jThe army decided yesterday to call up its
reserves because it does not have sufficient regular
manpower to deal with both the fedayeen and demon-
strations such as those the leftists are planning.
Except: in Tripoli, the government yesterday
lifted or relaxed the 24-hour curfew it had imposed
upon all major urban centers. The fedayeen continue
to control the old city in Tripoli, but fighting
there has tapered off. Occupants of the country's
various refugee camps are reported to be digging in--
constructing trenches, laying mines, and setting up
bazooka and gun emplacements--to prevent the army
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CONGO/ANGOLA: Joint Repatriation of Katangan Refugees Proceeds
3
KENYA
*Nairobi
ANGOLA .
IPORT.}
Bases of military
units composed of
Katangan refugees
SOUTH-WEST AFRICA
(INT'L. TERR.)
WAL VIS SAL
(REP OF S. Sri
Walvis Bar
REPUBLIC OF
SOUTH AFRICA
lMaseTu
LESOTHO.
I. - Durban
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Congo (Kinshasa) - Angola: Security authorities
apparently are proceeding with a joint program for
repatriating former Katangan gendarmes who took re-
fuge in Angola after their abortive mutiny in 1967.
On 25 October, a high-level Portuguese official
informed the US consul general in Luanda that some
200 former gendarmes had already been returned to
Katanga Province for resettlement in their home vil-
lages. The Portuguese official claimed that addi-
tional repatriations were in process and that the
Congo Government had guaranteed not to take reprisals
against the returnees. 11
Formal relations between Kinshasa and Lisbon
were severed in 1966.
The Portuguese have maintained at least some
of the Katangans in military units, and Congolese
authorities take seriously continuing rumors that
European mercenaries plan to lead the former gen-
darmes in an invasion of Katanga. The actual comple-
tion of the repatriation project would be the most
important result of the cautious overtures being
made by both sides toward restoration of normal re-
lations. F_ I (Map)
28 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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Kenya: The arrest of opposition leaders will
further heighten tribal tensions.
The Kikuyu-dominated government of President
Jomo Kenyatta did, not ban the opposition party, the
Kenya People's Union. it did arrest all of its
leaders, however, including radical nationalist
Oginga Odinga and the party's seven other members
of parliament. The government claims that these
men, most of whom are Luos, were responsible for the
disturbances during President Kenyatta's goodwill
tour of predominantly Luo areas. Perhaps as many
as a dozen people were killed last Saturday when
security troops opened fire on Luo tribesmen who
were throwing rocks at the President.
The government's overreaction to the incidents
over the weekend is certain to widen the rift be-
tween Kenya's two largest tribes and could provoke
further violence. The Luo were already bitter be-
cause they suspect the ruling Kikuyu clique of in-
stigating the assassination last July of the Luos'
fellow tribesman, Tom Mboya. They also regard the
resurgence over the past: several months of oath
taking ceremonies, at which they believe Kikuyu
leaders swear their tribesmen to loyalty, as further
proof of the ruling tribe's intention to maintain
power at all costs.
28 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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El Salvador - Honduras: The chance of a rap-
prochement between the two countries is rapidly
fading.
Hopes for a resolution of the dispute have
rested on the OAS-sponsored negotiations that have
been underway in Washington since early October.
It appears increasingly unlikely, however, that an
agreement can be reached. Top Honduran officials
have indicated that their government will not obey
a pending OAS resolution calling for opening the
border to Salvadoran transit trade. They object to
the companion resolution calling for settlement of
the border dispute because it does not commit El
Salvador to a firm timetable for negotiations.
Honduran resolve to stick to this position un-
doubtedly will be stiffened by the aroused state of
public opinion. Student, labor, and other groups,
which held anti-OAS, anti-US demonstrations on Sun-
day, have vowed to prevent opening of the border
unless thre is a clear quid pro quo. In addition,
the military, which up to now has firmly supported
all presidential initiatives, has reportedly decided
not to support the president if he opens the border
before the Salvadorans have simultaneously agreed
to talks on frontier demarcation.
Although there has been strong domestic pres-
sure from Salvadoran political and business groups
for unilateral government action to resolve the sit-
uation, Salvadoran President Sanchez has preferred
to rely on the OAS to bring an end to Honduran trade
obstruction. If progress is not made soon, however,
Sanchez may have to take drastic economic steps to
end Honduran economic strangulation. One step might
be to close the border to all Central American Common
Market traffic in an effort to force the other member
states to put pressure on Honduras.
28 Oct 69
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Surinam: Another coalition government will
have to be iorme.d because no single party won a
clear majorityi.n the elections on 24 October.
The United Hindu Party Group won 18 of the 39
seats, but fell two shy of an absolute majority.
Jagernath Lachman, the leader of the party, is ex-
pected to invite the Progressive National Party
(PNP), which increased its seats from four to
seven, to join in the formation of a new govern-
ment.
Former minister-president Pengel's Surinam
National Party, which lost five of its 18 seats,
is expected to lead the opposition. Edward Bruma,
the extreme leftist leader of the Nationalistic
Republic Party, won representation in the Staten
for the first time. Bruma has become very popular
because he has been an effective and dedicated la-
bor leader. Bruma is not expected to cooperate
with Pengel in the opposition because party objec-
tives differ and Bruma sees no advantage to such
an arrangement. Both parties espouse independence
immediately.
The incoming administration will have to make
important decisions regarding the pace of independ-
ence, how to settle the border dispute with Guyana,
and what direction the nation will take in solving
other problems, such as unemployment and the devel-
opment of resources.
28 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 8
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NOTES
Warsaw Pact: Warsaw Pact consultations on pre-
parations for a European Security Conference will
begin on Thursday in Prague, according to an announce-
ment from Budapest. The meeting apparently has been
scheduled to take the play away from a similar assem-
bly of NATO deputy foreign ministers on 5-6 November.
Earlier reports from Eastern European sources suggest
that the Warsaw Pact powers are planning to issue a
new appeal on European security.
Portugal: The government's National Union
Party won all the seats in Sunday's National Assembly
election. At least one third of the deputies elected
are new men hand picked by Prime Minister Caetano to
support his policies. Caetano is likely now to con-
centrate his attention on modernizing the economy be-
cause military leaders and other supporters of former
Premier Salazar have discouraged him from resuming
consideration of increased autonomy for the African
rovinces, at least for the time being.
Venezuela-Guyana: The appointment of Leopoldo
Taylhardat as Venezuelan consul in Manaus, Brazil,
is likely to increase Guyanese concern over Vene-
zuelan subversive activities. Taylhardat was ex-
pelled from Guyana in 1967 for subverting the native
Amerindian population. He reportedly has been in
Surinam in recent months establishing contacts with
dissident Guyanese Amerindians. Although Venezuelan
Foreign Minister Calvani personally assured Guyanese
Foreign Minister Ramphal that Taylhardat would be
assigned to some distant post, the proximity of
Manaus to the disputed Essequibo region could provide
Taylhardat with the opportunity for further subver-
sive efforts against Guyana.
28 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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