CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A014600060001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 25, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50
State Dept. review completed 25 September 1969
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No. 0230/69
25 September 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Vietnam: Hanoi's presidential announcement sheds
little light on the real leadership situation. (Page 1)
Korea: South Korea has thwarted three North Korean
infiltration efforts. (Page 2)
Czechoslovakia: The central committee is expected
to oust many of last year's reformers. (Page 3)
West Germany ? East Germany: The postal talks failed
to make any headway. (Page 4)
Brazil: General Medici may succeed President Costa
e 'Silva. (Page 5)
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El Salvador - Honduras: Honduras plans to call for an
OAS meeting. (Page 7)
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USSR-Italy: Aircraft sales (Page 9)
NPT ? East Germany: Ratification (Page 9)
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India: Agricultural production (Page 10)
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Vietnam: Hanoi's announcement that a new pres-
ident an vice president have been chosen sheds lit-
tle light on the new situation in the leadership.
The 81-year-old former vice president Ton Duc
Thang will serve as a convenient figurehead presi-
dent. The second spot in the government has been
filled by a long-time party stalwart, Nguyen Luong
Bang, whose real power position is a mystery. Bang
was a founding member of the Vietnam Workers' (Com-
munist) Party and has been chief of the party's con-
trol department since 1964, presumably handling such
matters as security and discipline. He cannot be
firmly associated with any one individual or group.
He has not been a prominent public spokesman on any
policy issues in recent years.
On the military front, ground action yesterday
continued at a low ebb. Several Vietnamese civil-
ians were killed as the result of a terrorist inci-
dent near Da Nang, however.
25 Sep 69
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Korea: South Korea's improved coastal defense
operations have thwarted three North Korean infil-
tration efforts over the past week.
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Thus far this year there have been 22 encoun-
ters with North Korean sea infiltrators, compared
with 19 last year and 46 in 1967. The activity along
the Demilitarized Zone has been relatively low, how-
ever. Pyongyang's emphasis on agent infiltration
rather than commando raids suggests that the North
Koreans are hoping to exploit unrest over the third-
term issue and to build up their subversive appara-
tus in the South.
25 Sep 69
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Czechoslovakia: The party's central committee
is expected to oust many of last year's reformers
when it meets today, but may temporize in dealing
with former party leader Dubcek.
at least 30
members will be dropped from the 183-man central com-
mittee; some of them will also be expelled from the
party. Included in the lists. of people to be dropped
are such prominent members of the 1968 leadership as
Josef Smrkovsky and Cestmir Cisar. The manner in
which the plenum should deal with Dubcek, however,
has been the most contentious issue between ultra-
conservatives and more moderate. members of the party,
including party chief Husak.
There have been some signs recently that the
more moderate faction has prevailed, and that Dubcek
may be permitted to retain his seat on the central
committee for a time. If Dubcek does survive the
purge, this would represent a limited victory for
Husak.
The sweeping changes in the central committee
which appear imminent, however, could redound to the
advantage of the extremists and narrow Husak's room
to maneuver vis-a-vis the ultraconservatives.
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West Germany - East Germany: The talks held
last week aimed at improving German postal service,
telecommunications, and methods of payment failed
to make any headway.
The East Germans insisted on a financial agree-
ment as a precondition to improvements in service.
They offered to drop their claim on Bonn for past
services if the West Germans would agree to pay
$7.5 million annually beginning with 1968.
The West Germans, though more interested than
the East in improving service, demurred. They sus-
pect that the more forthcoming East German position
is intended to influence favorably Pankow's applica-
tion for admission to the Universal Postal Union
(UPU). The UPU application is expected to be re-
jected and Bonn wants to see if the East German of-
fer still stands by the time of the next East - West
German meeting in late October.
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Brazil: Third Army Commander General Emilio
Garrastazu Medici may be the successor to President
Costa e Silva.
reports that the meeting o the army nigh comman
resulted in an offer of the presidency to Medici
and the vice presidency to retired Admiral Augusto
Rademaker. The latter is minister of the navy and
that service's representative on the triumvirate
currently governing during the President's incapac-
itation. Medici is the favored candidate of Costa
e Silva's followers and probably of the majority of
army generals.
The 63-year-old Medici might be reluctant to
accept the presidency, particularly for a long term,
because of his health and because of a hesitancy to
replace his close friend Costa e Silva. He would
probably do so if he believed this to be the only
way to preserve military unity and internal secur-
ity.
The army's decision must be ratified by the
armed forces joint high command, and consideration
may still be given to another candidate, such as
General Albuquerque Lima who has heavy support
from younger officers. r- I
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El Salvador - Honduras: Honduras is preparing
to call for a formal meeting of the Organization of
American States to present proposals to deal with
the problems between the two countries.
The Honduran economic minister has revealed
that the government will seek an OAS resolution that
would set up machinery to process Honduran war dam-
age claims and another that would call upon El Sal-
vador to begin boundary negotiations. The govern-
ment reportedly will accede to Salvadoran demands
that it reopen its portion of the Pan American High-
way to Salvadoran traffic--a major bone of conten-
tion--after the OAS approves these resolutions.
Honduras is not prepared, however, to restore dip-
lomatic or trade relations with El Salvador.
The minister, taking note of the concern for
the large Salvadoran colony in Honduras, has also
indicated that the government will enable all Sal-
vadoran residents to become naturalized. It will
also facilitate the documentation of Salvadorans
illegally in Honduras if they have Honduran families
or have "roots" in the country. All other Salva-
dorans, however, would be expelled, and the govern-
ment will carefully control future immigration.
Honduran willingness to articulate a policy on
these issues is a positive sign, but a quick settle-
ment is unlikely. Concessions by either government
will tend to arouse domestic political opposition,
and many of the problems will require lengthly mul-
tilateral negotiation.
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Soviet Transport Reported Sold to Italian Airline
Soviet YAK-40 tri-jet transport
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USSR-Italy: The USSR has made its first sale
of commercial transport aircraft to Western Europe.
According to a Moscow press report, a small, newly
formed, private Italian domestic carrier has pur-
chased two YAK-40 tri-jet transports. This aircraft,
which carries 24 to 31 passengers and can use short
unpaved runways, is scheduled for delivery in 1970.
The Soviets have also offered this transport to
Colombia and have been demonstrating it in the Mid-
dle East and Asia, but no sales have yet been an-
nounced.
NPT - East Germany: Pankow has ratified the
nonproliferation treaty (NPT), raising the number
of ratifications to 21. To bring the treaty into
force, 22 more ratifications are required, includ-
ing those by the US and the Soviet Union. The East
German action will not influence Bonn's viewpoint
on signature of the NPT. Neither does it portend
immediate ratification by the Soviet Union.
25 Sep 69
Central Intelligence Bulletin
(continued)
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India: The prospects now are good that India's
production of foodgrains this year will exceed last
year's near-record harvest of about 95 million tons.
Weather conditions have been favorable, and greater
use of fertilizer and high-yielding seeds has helped
to increase production. Whatever foodgrains India
imports this year will-be used to build up stocks.
If normal weather conditions prevail during the next
few months, the production of important non-food-
grain crops, such as sugarcane, jute, tea cotton,
and peanuts, also will reach new highs.
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(continued)
25 Sep 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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