CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A012300110001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 7, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 18, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
5-0.
State Department review completed
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No. 0290/68
18 October 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Czechoslovakia-USSR: Kuznetsov remains in Prague,
presumably to monitor compliance with the Moscow
accords. (Page 2)
Communist China: Rebuilding the Communist Party
has become the country's central issue. (Page 3)
Indonesia: Feeling against Singapore is dangerously
high` as a result of its execution of two Indonesian
marines. (Page 4)
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UK: An impending strike could endanger Britain's
program for easing its international payments posi-
tion. (Page 6)
Peru: Pro-Moscow Communists will support the new
government. (Page 7)
Jamaica: There has been serious rioting. (Page 8)
West Berlin: "Neo-Nazis" (Page 9)
Argentina: Aircraft purchases (Page 9)
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Vietnam: Captured documents
continue to reflect Communist efforts to expan
their local guerrilla forces.
Communist propaganda has for some months re-
flected renewed emphasis on the importance of
guerrilla units and, at least in the delta and in
the area around Saigon, the Viet Cong are actively
engaged in serious recruiting efforts. One report
from Sa Dec Province in the delta indicates that
out of 200 recruits from this province in September,
almost 80 percent were destined for guerrilla units.
Other reports from the Saigon area indicate that
new recruits are being rapidly trained. A directive
from Subregion 1 and from Subregion
3 discuss special training for "spearhead battalions"
in preparation for possible attacks on the capital
in early November.
Additional reports of Communist-sponsored demon-
strations in support of Hanoi in the next few weeks
suggest that the highlight of the world-wide effort
may come in Sweden in mid-December. An international
conference to coordinate the future activities of
all left-wing groups is scheduled for this time.
The Liberation Front press representatives who just
arrived in Stockholm are already working up steam
for the conference and a TASS dispatch claims that
the conference will be attended not only by Hanoi
and the Liberation Front but by the representatives
of the National Alliance as well. If the TASS re-
port is true, this would be the international debut
of the Alliance.
18 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Czechoslovakia-USSR: Soviet Deputy Foreign Mini-
ster Kuznetsov remained in Prague when the delegation
led by Kosygin returned to Moscow yesterday.
Kuznetsov, who had served as Moscow's special
representative in Prague in September, will presum-
ably monitor the next stage of Soviet-Czechoslovak
relations. He can also be expected to continue his
so far relatively unsuccessful efforts to rally pro-
Soviet elements in the Czechoslovak Government and
party. He may play a role in the negotiations on
those aspects of the military agreement that are
still unsettled.
So far there have been no reports of popular
reaction to the agreement. Concern appears to be
growing, however, within the Czechoslovak Communist
Party and among the population that pro-Soviet con-
servatives are about to make a bid for power. Po-
litika, a weekly journal of the party central com-
mittee, yesterday attacked "discredited or evidently
incompetent" individuals who were attempting to rally
around "some prewar party members whom we have always
respected."
The article also calls for party unity and sup-
port for the Dubcek leadership. It says that Czech-
oslovakia has no option but to continue with Dubcek's
policies, or to return to the Stalinist era "either
overnight or gradually and unobtrusively."
Dubcek, meanwhile, kept out of the limelight
during Kosygin's visit. He stayed in the background
during the signing of the status-of-forces treaty on
16 October, and did not attend the ceremonial ban-
quet which followed. He did not go to the airport
either to greet or bid farewell to the Kosygin dele-
gation.
18 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Communist China: The thorny problem of rebuild-
ing the Communist Party has become the central issue
in China.
On 15 October, Peking radio broadcast an edito-
rial published in the theoretical journal Red Flag
strongly stressing the importance of purging "dis-
loyal" elements, bringing in new blood from among
industrial workers, and reconstituting the party as
a viable authority. The editorial is not, however,
an adequate blueprint for action. This suggests that
leaders are still far from solving underlying issues
involved in putting the party together again. The
editorial does not mark significant progress toward
convening the long-postponed ninth party congress,
which presumably will formally remove head of state
Liu Shao-chi from his party and government posts.
The central problem is the question of personnel--
who is to be recruited into the party, which old mem-
bers of the party are to be given key posts, and
which old members are to be demoted or forced out of
the party altogether. The Red Flag editorial states
that members will not necessarily be chosen by elec-
tion. Disputes over the criteria for selection of
party members are probably acute, and seemingly con-
tradictory statements on "party building" in the
provincial press suggests that considerable political
jockeying is under way.
There is no sign that the party apparatus is
fully functional in any province. Many provincial
revolutionary committees, the bodies set up to re-
place the old party and government machinery at this
level, are composed of individuals who were in sharp
opposition earlier in the Cultural Revolution. These
men are unquestionably still struggling for domi-
nance. Until the central leadership is able to end
political infighting, progress toward rebuildin the
party will be slow.
18 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
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Indonesia: Singapore's execution of two Indo-
nesian marines convicted of a terrorist act in 1965
has generated a dangerous atmosphere in Djakarta.
Indonesian leaders are incensed at Singapore's
peremptory rejection of appeals by President Suharto
and Foreign Minister Malik for a stay in the execu-
tion. This incident will provide leftist and pro-
Sukarno forces with an emotional issue and embarrass
the Suharto government at a time when it is purging
Sukarnoists in the marine corps and navy.
Indonesian police and army personnel, ostensibly
guarding the Singaporean Embassy, made no attempt to
prevent the attack yesterday by several hundred mili-
tant students on the embassy. Tension is high and the
well-publicized "heroes' funeral" for the executed
marines scheduled for today may spark another emo-
tional demonstration possibly including reprisals
against the Chinese community.
Foreign Minister Malik publicly expressed deep
concern about Singapore's action but indicated a de-
sire to maintain good relations. Another Indonesian
official, however, privately expressed the view that
the government probably will undertake economic sanc-
tions and other forms of "nonviolent retaliation"
against Singapore.
18 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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UK: A threatened strike in the engineering in-
dustry could seriously endanger the government's pro-
gram for ameliorating Britain's international payments
problems.
The strike called for 21 October could involve
as many as three million workers and would affect
precisely those industries--automobiles, machine
tools, aircraft--that have accounted for the post-
devaluation improvement in the level of exports.
Besides the immediate loss of exports--estimated at
more than $50 million a week--British industry would
be hard put to meet delivery dates, a shortcoming
that has long hurt its competitive position.
The unions are seeking wage increases well above
the Wilson administration's guidelines. The govern-
ment faces a dilemma in negotiations, which are al-
ready under way. It cannot afford to set a precedent
by allowing an excessive increase nor can it permit
more than a short strike.
The strong division that exists among the 30
unions involved could avert a shutdown or limit the
duration of a strike. At least three of the larger
unions involved have already decided not to partic-
ipate as a result of votes by their membership. The
leader of the largest union, a militant leftist and
the principal advocate of a strike, has said that
there will be a "fight to the finish." He is backed
by a majority of only one, however, in his union's
61-man national committee.
18 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Peru: The pro-Soviet Communists have decided
to support the Velasco government.
Communist leaders apparently believe that Presi-
dent Velasco will pursue policies that will result
in the elimination of all US aid, thus making it
necessary for Peru to move closer to the Communist
nations. the
party fears that criticism of the government would
result in a countercoup by more conservative military
officers, led by the current prime minister and the
minister of agriculture.
There are reports of increasing dissatisfaction
among senior army officers with the manner in which
President Velasco is conducting the affairs of state.
The principal complaint is that Velasco is acting on
the recommendations of a group of radical-nationalist
colonels rather than seeking the advice of his cab-
inet. Most senior officers disagree with the Presi-
dent on tactics rather than policy, however. They
agree, for instance, that the nationalization of the
International Petroleum Company's holdings was cor-
rect, but contend that it could have been accom-
lished without Jeopardizing relations with the US.
I I
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Jamaica: The most serious rioting in more than
a year broke out in Kingston on 16 October.
The trouble began with a peaceful student pro-
test against a ban on the re-entry of a leftist
Guyanese lecturer employed at the Jamaica branch of
the University of the West Indies. Discontented
residents of Kingston's black slums, along with non-
student toughs, took advantage of the confusion to
engage in violence and looting. According to press
reports, police killed three rioters and used tear
gas to disperse the students. The government has
alerted the Jamaica Defense Force and called up the
reserves. The rioting appeared spontaneous and
there were no indications of foreign influence.
The disturbances occurred against a background
of increasing public dissatisfaction over rising
living costs, ineffective handling of labor disputes,
and disruption of essential public services. The
opposition has stepped up its criticism of Prime
Minister Shearer and recently called for nonviolent
efforts to force him to call an early election. If
the students continue to protest, they may find sub-
stantial public support for their cause.
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West Berlin: The decision of the Berlin branch
of the rightist National Democratic Party to dissolve
itself relieves the Western Allies for the time being
of the need to decide whether to meet Mayor Schuetz!
request for a ban on the branch. Schuetz acted in
part out of concern that such a group with a "neo-
Nazi" taint would give the Communists further pretext
to harass the city. The dissolution may, however, be
less than completer The small Berlin faction report-
edly has had serious differences with the national
party leadershi and may wish to start a.wholly new
organization.
Argentina: The air force is negotiating with
Britain for the purchase of three Canberra bombers.
An air force exercise in August showed that obsoles-
cence was seriously jeopardizing Argentine air capa-
bilities. The Canberra purchase, like the one being
negotiated in France for Mirage supersonic tactical
jets, is part of the two-year-old policy of all the
Argentine services to obtain replacements in Europe
for worn out equipment.
18 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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