CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A009400090001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 24, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 18, 1966
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Top Secret
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18 November 1966
16 Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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2. Communist China: Chou En-lai appears to have
gained in leadership struggle. (Page 2)
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5. Ecuador: Election of Arosemena provides only
temporary relief. (Page 5)
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6. Notes: India;
(Page 6)
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Communist China: Premier Chou En-lai and Li
Fu-chun, leaders who have been identified with a rela-
tively moderate line in Peking, appear to have gained
political strength in recent days.
Economic planner Li Fu- chun-- considered to be
in Chou's camp--was described by Peking on 16 Novem-
ber as a member of the standing committee of the polit-
buro, which normally has seven members. Li has
ranked tenth in the politburo since the August reshuffle.
He was listed in his usual position as recently as 12 No-
vember, at a turnout of leaders who attended a Sun Yat-
sen centennial meeting. It is not clear whether the
standing committee has been enlarged to include Li or
whether he has displaced one of the former members,
possibly General Secretary Teng Hsiao-ping, who has
been in disfavor. Either action would enhance Premier
Chou's position.
In late October and early November it appeared that
a campaign was being organized against Chou En-lai
and the government machinery he heads. During this
period party journals were denouncing "fencesitters"
and compromisers, " suggesting that the Mao- Lin forces
were putting pressure on the Chou group to align itself
more closely with the extremists.
No Red Guard attacks on government officials and
ministries have been reported since about 8 November,
however, and Chou has displayed signs of new political
strength, At a 15 November meeting of "Red Guard
long marchers, " he was the senior party leader present
and gave the only speech. An account of the meeting
carried in the army journal and broadcast on 16 No-
vember, however, failed to mention Chou's role. This
may indicate that Defense Minister Lin Piao is reluc-
tant to have Chou's position enhanced.
I another mammoth
rally for Red Guards--the last of the series--will be
held, during the next week. It may clarify what formal
changes have been made
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Ecuador: The constituent assembly's election
of Otto Arosemena Gomez as provisional president
is likely to ease the turbulent political situation only
temporarily.
Arosemena's election is the result of a deal be-
tween his supporters and the conservative bloc of
delegates led by former president Camilo Ponce.
A political independent, Arosemena refers to his
point-of-view as the "third position" between left and
right. He is a cousin of former president Carlos
Arosemena Monroy, who was ousted by the military
in July 1963, but Otto does not have the pro-Castro
sympathies of his cousin.
Next on the agenda for the assembly is the prep-
aration of a new constitution, a task which will prob-
ably produce some political fireworks.
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18 Nov 66
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NOTES
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India: Y. B. Chavan, the newly appointed home
minister whose predecessor was ousted after last
week's violent riots in New Delhi, faces his first
test today. Students, encouraged by Communists
and other leftist groups, still plan to march on Par-
liament despite such government deterrent actions as
the arrest of many students and some political leaders
and a ban on demonstrations. Chavan has made clear
he intends to maintain control.
18 Nov 66
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