CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A007600420001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 18, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 6, 1964
• Content Type: REPORT

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6 May 1964
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copy No .- 2
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
RELATING TO NATIONAL SECURITY
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GROUP 1
EXCLUDED FROM AUTOMATIC DOWNGRADING
AND DECLASSIFI CATION
State Dept. review completed TOP SECRET
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6 May 1964
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
Vol'
1. Laos: Neutralists disillusioned with prospects
for solution to government crisis. (Page 1)
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3. Panama: Tensions from canal crisis have af-
fected internal politics and violence may occur
before elections on 10 May. (Page 3)
4. British Guiana - Trinidad: Trinidad's prime
minister trying to mediate differences between
British Guiana's political leaders. (Page 4)
5. Dominican Republic: Opposition parties attempting
to turn illegal strike into move to oust provisional
government. (Page 5)
0 6. Notes: North Vietnam - Laos - South Vietnam;
Turkey. (Page 6)
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
6 May 1964
DAILY BRIEF
*Laos: Neutralist elements are suspicious of right-
wing inten ~.ons and see little prospect for an early sQlu-
tion to the present government crisis.?
another neutralist official, Minister of Interior
Pheng Phongsavan, remains in the Soviet Embassy where
he fled following the coup. He has refused to join Sou-
vanna on the grounds that his personal safety is not
assured.- 7
Premier Souvanna, who publicly has expressed con-
fidence that things will work out, has remarked to friends
that if the coup leaders continue to "look over his shoul-
ders and negotiate his decisions," there would be little
purpose in continuing his efforts4
ME,
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tain effective control over the government. ouvanna
must clear all "major decisions" with the coup commit-
tee. Aware of Western opposition to the coup and con-
tinued support for Souvanna, the committee reportedly
has decided to give the neutralist premier some latitude
of action in an effort to improve its standing in Western
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Rightist elements, meanwhile, still appear to re-
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Panama: Tensions aroused by the recent canal
crisis have deeply affected internal Panamanian pol-
itics and there may be violence before the presiden-
tial elections scheduled for 10 May.
US Ambassador Vaughn reports a profound and
widespread mood of uneasiness in Panama,, and a
growing awareness that this election involves far
more than the traditional power shift within a small
circle.
The ambassador believes that the controversial
Arnulfo Arias is still ahead in the presidential cam-
paign. The ruling group remains split behind govern-
ment candidate Marco Robles and Juan de Arco
Galindo. There is renewed speculation that supporters
of Galindo, who seems to be trailing, may be making
a deal with Arnulfo in the expectation that he will de-
feat Robles.
Arnulfo has told his Panamenista Party (PP)
followers to retaliate against attacks from Robles'
armed squads which the PP expects will begin on
7 May. At least some violence, which could spread
quickly, seems inevitable. National Guard Comman-
dant Vallarino, Arnulfo's bitterest enemy, apparently
is no longer sure he can count on his men to repress
any outbreaks, which the PP would probably contrive
to give the appearance of being a popular revolt.
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The settlement of the banana workers' long strike
in Chiriqui Province on 3 May will strengthen both
Robles and pro-Communist Assembly candidate Carlos
Ivan Zuniga, the union's legal adviser. The settle-
ment tends to confirm reports that Zuniga and Robles
made a deal recently to improve their political chances
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in Chirioui. u o Arias' home province,
6 May 64
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British Guiana - Trinidad: linidad's Prime
Minister Williams is trying to mediate -the differences
between British Guiana's warring political leaders,
but the prospects of his succeeding are uncertain
EAt Williams' invitation, Jagan arrived in Trini-
dad on 2 May. He was in a "confused, rattled, and
nervous" state and requested Williams to mediate.
United Force (UF) leader Peter D'Aguiar has also
reportedly accepted an invitation to Port of Spain,
but the response of People's National Congress (PNC)
leader Forbes Burnham is unknowO
[_~Villiams has long been disturbed by Jagan's
Communist tendencies, and told the US ambassador
in Port of Spain that he believes "some action" must
now be taken to avert chaos in British Guiana. Wil-
liams said he hopes to persuade Jagan to be more
"sensible." Williams' motives are probably mixed,
but he presumabl is out to gain whatever personal
prestige he can,
6Williams states that he believes the first steps
toward a solution might be to form a coalition gov-
ernment, to revise the constitution along the lines
of Trinidad's in order to protect racial minorities,
and to postpone the proportional representad n elec-
tions London is planning for later this year
all else fails, Williams said he feels that it
might, in the long run, be necessary to remove 25X1
Jagan from the political scene in British Guiana
and may not want to compromise.
ese ideas are consistent with proposals pre-
viously made by Jagan, who is apparently grasping
at any straw in his effort to remain in power. The.
PNC and UF, however, hope town the elections,
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*Dominican Republic: Three of the country's
leading opposition parties are attempting to turn the
current illegal strike into a move to oust the provi-
sional government.
Deployment of 2,000 government troops in Santo
Domingo has diminished prospects of serious vio-
lence. The strike, however, is developing into a
test of political strength between the ruling triumvi-
rate, which favors a period of calm before calling...
new elections, and opposition political groups, which
do not believe the present regime will ever allow
truly fair elections.
An unlikely coalition of ex-President Bosch's ,
Dominican Revolutionary Party (PRD), ex-President
Balaguer's Reformist Party (PR), and the non-Com-
munist leftist Revolutionary Social Christian Party
(PRSC), which has important labor and student sup-
port, appears to be collaborating in support of the
strike. Extreme leftists also are involved.
The three parties are seeking to dump the tri-
umvirate and impose a formula which would bring
Bosch back as interim president and reinstall the 1963
Congress with reduced PRD membership. This for-
mula is unlikely to get far, but major antigovernment
actions by the opposition coalition could provoke harsh
repressive measures by government forces.
6 May 64
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NOTES
North Vietnam - Laos - South Vietnam:
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continues to make substantial supply deliveries to
south-central Laos, apparently to ensure ample stocks
for Pathet Lao and North Vietnamese forces in the
area before the rainy season makes roads impassable.
Aerial photography of 3 May reveals at least 63 trucks
moving south in North Vietnam toward, Laos on
Route 12, and another 65 parked in the convoy stag-
ing area at Bai Duc Thou, 24 miles from the Laos
border. Some of these supplies may be destined for
South Vietnam via Routes 12A and 9.
r ey: itary forces in so hern Turkey to-
day began "Exercise Attila," a three-day operation
which a Turkish newspaper describes as the country's
greatest combined maneuver. Land, sea, and air
force units, previously alertedfor possible action in
Cyprus, are involved in a major amphibious opera-
tion in the Gulf of Iskenderun. Like similar exer-
cises since the Cyprus crisis began last December,
"Attila" is designed both to provide training and to
demonstrate Turkey's readiness to intervene in Cyprus. 25X1
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NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE
The United States Intelligence Board approved
the following special national intelligence estimate
on 2 May 1964:
SNIE 85-2-64: "Likelihood of an Attempted.
Shoot-down of a U-2."
6 May 6 4
MEMENNEW
DAILY BRIEF 7
2000Q-5XI
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THE PRESIDENT
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Administrator
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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