CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A006100220001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 24, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 19, 1961
• Content Type: REPORT

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19 December 1961
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
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The situation in Goa. (Page i)
2. The Congo situation. (Page tit)
4.
Pakistan-India: Ayub comments on Indian suggestion
Kashmir settlement might be negotiated by adjusting
cease-fire line. (Page iv)
5. Okinawa: Conservatives win Naha mayoralty by narrow
margin. (Page v)
6. Communist China: Threat of food shortages prompts
new experiments in organization of agriculture. (Page v)
Sukarno calls for readiness to "liberate" West New
Guinea but sets no date. (Page vi)
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INDIA
a, .
_I -I r-
PORTUGUESE INDIA
0 25 50 Miles
0 25 50 Kilometers
NOVA GOA Q. Valpoi y
(Panjim)
'b Ponda
as Margao ? Sanguem?
Canacona,
Goa
(taken
19 Dec)
AN
ha de ' Karwar
Angediva
.r ~
PAKISTAN ??
All insets are at the same scale
Panikota I.
SIMBOR
Diu (taken 18 Dec L
DAMAO 'y
Damao
-oj
Damao (taken 18 Dec
NEPAL (~' BHUTAN'
I N D I A PAK
Damao
Bombay
Belgaum
Goa`
Calcutta.' `J'
i
'
CAMBODIA
611219 2
32145
~...'~- Indian army thrust
Boundaries are not necessarily those
recognized by the U.S. Government.
0 500 1000 1500
Statute Miles
I '?
Singapore
IND"ONESI'
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19 Dec 61
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Dahanu
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1?f? t,
V:IETNA
THAILAND`S
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
19 December 1961
DAILY BRIEF
*Goa Situation: With the reported fall of the Goan cap-
ital of Panjim early this morning, the Indian army's thrust
had cut Goa in two and broken the back of Portugal's out-
manned and outgunned resistance. At 0300E New Delhi
began claiming total victory after 36 hours.
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The Council met in an urgent session late on the 18th,
in response to a Portuguese appeal. Following the failure
of a resolution submitted by Ceylon, Liberia, and the UAR
calling upon Portugal to "cooperate with.India in liquidation
of the colonial position" in the subcontinent, the USSR ve-
toed a Western-sponsored resolution calling upon India to
agree to a cease-fire and the withdrawal of its troops.
Portugal's press and radio are reflecting the regime
viewpoint that the reported loss of Goa is partly the re-
sponsibility of Lisbon's NATO partners, particularly the
United States and the United Kingdom, who failed to take
a sufficiently vigorous position against Indian aggression.
As a result, Lisbon appears to be reassessing its alliance
system. A broadcast on the 18th, for example, included
the statement that "we shall see how the Americans who
used our bases in the Azores will excuse themselves.'
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the 15th, Foreign Minister Nogueira told Secretary Rusk
that there would be a "possibility of a fundamental change
in (Lisbon's) foreign policy" shoul
d Goa be lost. 25X1
-1 41 1
International reaction to the Indian move has followed
fairly predictable lines.: The Communists have supported
the action while Western reaction has been uniformly crit-
ical. Sukarno, whose position regarding West Irian is
analogous, has lent strong support to India's action, as have
the Egyptians and the Afghans. A number of other neutrals
have been less than enthusiastic about India's resort to force,
while at the same time stron ly cri 1 of Portuguese colo-
nialism. (Map) tic
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19 Dec 61 DAILY BRIEF ii
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0o United Nations Forces*
UN
2450
Luluabourg Kongolo
\ t- sm Kabalo
? Kamina
Kapang$
W] Tshombe's Forces
}Selected airfield
Kasongoo
UN
1,100
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19 Dec 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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*Congo. Tshombe, who arrived in Northern Rhodesia on
18 December, is expected to reach Kitona base near Leopold-
ville on 19 December for talks with Adoula. Prospects for an
early accommodation, however, are poor. UN officials in
Leopoldville regard Adoula's initial terms-which include a
demand for Tshombe's resignation as provincial premier--as
"stiffer than expected:' Tshombe, on his part, continues to
profess confidence concerning the fighting in Elisabethville,
and may not meet with Adoula unless the UN carries out its
commitment to permit a suspension of hostilities during the
negotiations.
UN forces in Elisabethville, although in control of most
of the city, continue to meet with pockets of Katangan resist-
ance. Tshombe's residence and the Union Miniere smelter
both on the F stern side of the city - reportedly are in Katan-
gan hands. ombe's forces appear disorganized, however,
and probably number no more than 1,600 in the cit rope
Ethiopian
troops have engaged in thievery, wanton destruction, and at-
tacks on civilians during the UN operation. Such depredations,
together with instances of looting by anti-Tshombe Baluba
tribesmen from the nearby refugee camp, appear to have
heightened apprehension among Europeans still in Elisabeth-
ville.
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doula is con-
fronted with serious dissension from within his government,
and may face a cabinet crisis regardless of the outcome of
his talks with Tshombe. Interior Minister Gbenye-=who un-
til recently served as a rallying point for leftist elements
loyal to Adoula--appears to have broken with Adoula in a dis- 25X1
pute over control of internal security.
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Pakistan- India:LP resident Ayub, on being told by Am=
bassa or Galbraith that Nehru may be willing to settle the
Kashmir dispute by making minor adjustments on the pres-
ent cease-fire line, replied that Pakistani control over certain
limited areas now held by India could provide the basis for a
settlement. Ambassador Roundlree believes, in view of US in-
terest in encouraging negotiations on Kashmir, that Pakistan
now will be less inclined to press the dispute in the United Na-
tions. Such negotiations could possibly be held after Indian
elections in February. The Pakistani Government, however,
is using developments in Goa as an excuse to step up its prop-
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aganda against India in the Kashmir dispute, which may inhibit
any Indian readiness,to nevotiateR
Okinawa: a he conservative victory in the Naha mayoral
election on 17 December completes the Okinawa Liberal-
Democratic party's (OLDP) control of the major elective of-
fices in the Ryukyu Islands and increases the likelihood that
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he movement for reversion of the islands to Japan will he
motion of the return of administrative authority to Japan:
lie defeat of incumbent mayor Saichi Kaneshi, who
by the OLDP's abandonment just before the election of its
"gradualist" approach to reversion and the adoption of a
more aggressive platform calling for "the constructive pr
onducted within moderate bounds. The election of Junji
Nishime over his leftist rival, by the narrow margin of 738
votes among the 90,000 cast, may have been made possible
ran third on the strength of local issues and his good rec-
ord as mayor, suggests also that the Okinawan electorate
may have an expanded interest in the reversion question. At
the same time, since the vote does not lend itself to interpre-
tation as a strong protest against US policies in the Ryukyus,
it should reduce the capability of Japanese leftists to generate
pressure on thq,_government to seek expanded participation in
Rvukvuan affairsli
the form of grain. Rationing would be abolished for the units
fertilizer, and keep all the produce after paying a land tax in
severe food shortages, the Chinese Communists are continu-
ing to experiment with new forms of rural organization in an
attempt to revive incentives lost under the radical commune
program. The "contract" system tried out earlier this year,
which gave the production teams a voice in setting production
quotas and allowed them to retain any excess over the quota,
has reportedly broken down in some Kwangtung communes be-
cause of a poor late harvest. Many teams failed to reach their
quota. Plans for a new "self-supporting" farm system have
been proposed in some Kwangtung communes to take effect
during spring planting in 1962. Under this new system pro-
duction sub-teams would rent rice paddies from the production
team, supply their own seed, tools, animals, manpower, and
Communist China:Lnder the threat of another winter of
19 Dec 61 DAILY BRIEF
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using this new system, so that farmers would have to rely on
their own crops whether harvests were successful or not.
While reportedly pleased that the authorities were acknowl-
edging the need for stronger incentives, the peasants were
still apprehensive over the as yet undetermined level of
taxes, which they feel could mean starvation rations if there
were anotber poor crov. I
Indonesia: Sukarno, in a speech before a mass rally in
]Jogj*akarta on 19 December, issued a call to the Indonesian
people to "be.prepared for a. general mobilization" for an
assertion of Indonesia's sovereignty over West New Guinea.
The speech, delivered in demagogic style, as expected sets
no specific date for the "liberation" of West New Guinea but
represents a significant further step in Sukarno's condition-
ing of the Indonesian public--and a warning to the world at
large--of his intent to achieve control of the Dutch territory
by a military adventure if necessary. Sukarno's self-styled
"people's command." also included instructions to "hoist the
(Indonesian) flag" in the disputed territory and to 'If rustrate
the organization of the Papuapuppet state by the Dutch colo-
nialists"--the latter a reference to recent Dutch efforts to
provide the rudiments of self-rule for the indigenous peoples
of West New Guinea,
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e;jeregis ample evidence of Indonesia's efforts to pre-
par or.4 gressive action in the event that its political ef -
forts to gain control of West New Guinea--without which, it
asserts, its independence is not complete--are unavailing.
The latest indication is an announcement by the Indonesian
Air Nnister, apparently issued concurrently with Sukarno's
speech, of anew Air Force command for the districts of the
Molucca Islands and West Irian, and an order to close all
airspace over this area in the shortest possible time. De-
spite protests of unpreparedness on the part of some of
Indonesia's military chiefs, there is general agreement
19 Dec 61
DAILY BRIEF vi
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n
ong qualified observers.. that if Sukarno ordered a move
against the territory he would be obeyed Sukarnots latest
pronouncement is in effect an ultimatum: that Indonesia
intends to take aggressive action if it is not given a satis-
factory political settlement by the Dutch. Current mili-
tary action against Portuguese possessions in India--a 25X1
move heartily endorsed by Indonesia--will probably pro-
vide further encouragement to Sukarno for a move of his
own
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
Military Representative of the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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