CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
21
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 4, 2003
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 7, 1961
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5.pdf1.19 MB
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(Approved For ase'1OP/1$ ECRETT00975W06000090001-5 7 October 1961 Copy No. 25X1 OSD, State Dept. reviews completed TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 i~~~~~~~~~~~~~i~ i~ieiie~~i~~~iii~i~i~i~~~~~i~~~i~~ 25X1 Approved For elease 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T 0975"06000090001-5 7 October 1961 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN CONTENTS 2. Syria: Some friction may be arising between military com- manders and Premier Kuzbari's civilian cabinet. (Page i) 5. France-Algeria: Gaullist party spokesman proposes as possible trial balloon permanent partition in Algeria. (Page iii) j IN 9. Dominican Republic: Military officers, angered by Balaguer's 2 October address to UN, again considering a coup. (Page vi) L FBI MEN Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 j 25X1 Approved For% lease 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T0 975,Q906000090001-5 on 25X1 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 7 October 1961 DAILY BRIEF Syria: There appear to be indications of some friction be- tween the Syrian revolutionary command and Premier Kuz- bari's civilian cabinet. On Thursday evening, in response to Nasir's relatively conciliatory speech, Kuzbari released a statement expressing the hope for friendly relations with the Egyptians "on a new basis of fraternity" and declaring that Syria would proceed with elections as soon as possible. Several hours later, however, the Syrian minister of infor- mation called in newspapermen and told them that Kuzbari 25X1 r_ // Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 j Approved For se 2003/04/17 .CIA-RD~79T00 7506000090001-5 25X1 ~: had made no such statement. Friday morning, Damascus radio broadcast a sharply different Kuzbari statement, at- tacking Nasir on many counts and claiming that Nasir had "backed down," having "finally come to realize the failure of his policy in Syria" In a press interview broadcast on Wednesday by Damascus radio, a member of the revolu- tionary command stressed that the revolutionary movement had been planned and executed by the military officers alone and that there had not been "the slightest relation between .the army uprising and any politician or civilian official." Dissension at the top levels of the new Syrian govern- ment would be particularly serious at this stage, in view of the pressures that may soon be exerted by less conservative political elements and i j e of the campaign of subversion which. Nasir has begun. 7 Oct 61 DAILY BRIEF 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 25X1 Approved For '.lease 2003/04/17. CIA-RD~79 0097406000090001-5 25X1 France-Algeria'. A Gaullist party spokesman, in what may be a trial balloon, has proposed some form of permanent parti- tion as the best solution attainable in Algeria. Alain Peyrefitte, a National Assembly deputy who is con- sidered an intellectual leader of the Union for the New Republic party (UNR), argues in a recent series of articles in the Paris daily Le Monde that rebel reluctance to give effective guarantees to the Europeans rules out the possibility of a negotiated settle- ment and that the "repatriation" of the Europeans is morally, politically, and economically undesirables He would devide Algeria now into three autonomous regions., one French, one Moslem, and the Sahara, with their eventual relationship to be determined when tempers are cooler. He estimates that less than a million people would have to be moved and notes that this is less than half those already displaced in Algeria. .The Algerian rebel regime has consistently repudiated the idea of partition. French spokesmen in the past have also tended 7 Oct 61 DAILY BRIEF NNIN , 11 I ii 25X1 j I C) /C Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 25X1 Approved For 1%06a~e 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79TO09t5*&t6OOOO9OOOl-5":~OA-' to dismiss permanent partition as not feasible, but the pro- posal may now have considerable appeal to De Gaulle because it satisfies the army's objection to abandoning Algeria and fulfills France's moral commitments to the Europeans who want to remain in Algeria. F 25X1 -4 MIMI 7 Oct 61 25X1 DAILY BRIEF Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79TOO975AO06000090001-5 ~X Approved For Wea a 2003/04/17. CIA-RDP79T00 75, 6000030W-5 %%% 1 25X1 s 0 25X1 0 7 Oct 61 DAILY BRIEF 25X1 . MM, 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 9SX1 .. ........ mom Approved Forw ase 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T0 9754#06000090001-5 N /Z Dominican Republic: President Balaguer's 2 October address before the UN General Assembly has angered many Dominican military officers and has led some of them again to consider a military coup. The address, a plea for world understanding of his democratization program and for the lifting of OAS sanctions against his regime, contained strong criticisms of the late dictator. The- American military liaison officers in the Dominican Republic report that reaction among the officers is widespread that the President pulled the rug out from under them. Convinced, probably accurately, that the speech had been cleared with General Ramfis Trujillo, they are critical of Ramfis' having permitted public "abuse" of his late father. Some of them say that Ramfis is preparing to save himself and his personal clique and leave the rest of the officers in the country to "bear the brunt of the people's wrath." Many Dominican officers are convinced that Balaguer's policies are leading toward an opposition-controlled regime and that 7 Oct 61 DAILY BRIEF vi El 25X1` Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 25X1 Approved For elease 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T0097 t1W6000090001-5 25X1 25X1 the restoration of a military dictatorship is the only way to save themselves from losing everything. SELECTED INTELLIGENCE REPORTS AND ESTIMATES (Available during recent weeks) 25X1 25X1 25X1 Strength and deployment of Soviet long-range ballistic fis- sile forces. U.S.I.B. NIE 11-8/1-61. Sept 21'61. 142394. __ F Nuclear weapons and delivery capabilities of Free World countries other than the US and UK. U.S.I.B. NIE 4-3-61. Sept 21161. Situation and short-run outlook in Laos: political prospects; military situation and capabilities. U.S.I.B. SNIE 58-3-61. Sept 28'61. 7 Oct 61 DAILY BRIEF vii A Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 // j 25X1 Approved For 4.lease 2003/04/17 CIA-RDP79T0097 6000090001-5 'I% 25X1 Communist China in 1971: estimate of China's position as a world power based upon its probable political, economic, scientific, and military strengths and weaknesses; likely trends in Sino-Soviet relations. U.S.I.B. SNIE 13-2-61. Sept 28'610 7 Oct 61 DAILY BRIEF Viii 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO06000090001-5 Approved For French Partition Plan for Algeria Peyrefitte, who accurately assessed in advance De Gaulle's policy on European integration, claims to offer a program which will permit France to withdraw politically, militarily, and financially from Algeria without renouncing its obligations to either Europeans or pro-French Moslems. He argues that the Europeans in Algeria have as much right as the Moslems to remain there, and.that their "collective personality" is suffi- ciently distinct to warrant political separation from France. Passions are too inflamed to permit consideration of a single independent Algeria; therefore the two peoples entitled to live in Algeria should be allowed to organize their own governments, the French in the western areas where they are now concen- trated, and the Moslems in the east. Individuals would be free to live in either area as long as they accepted the rule of the majority in the state they chose. Peyrefitte hopes the PAG will eventually accept a federal relationship binding the two coastal regions with the Sahara in a state entirely independent of France. Failing such an accom- modation, the three autonomous regions would become inde- pendent states, each with UN membership. He argues that strict adherence to self-determination would still international objections, citing the various postwar examples of partition. He argues that the French Government now is in a position to impose such a partition plan. He assumes that the FLN would then return to a relatively orthodox military organization operat- ing on its own territory and that the French Army would be able to cope with it more readily than at present when the bulk of FLN forces are on Tunisian soil. Peyrefitte insists his plan is applicable within the frame- work De Gaulle has indicated, and that it would spare the army and the French public the shame of betraying a trust. He is also addressing the PAG, however, stressing that negotiations 25X1 25X1 7 Oct 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 Approved For are necessary and that wide. leeway is possible in seeking a solution which would permit the two peoples to share a joint fatherland. These proposals will probably arouse considerable sup- port in France, particularly as the government proceeds with plans for a 50,000-man Algerian police force of which Mos- lems will predominate and of which one fourth eventually wouldbe organized military units of the FLN. Consul Gen- eral Porter in Algiers questions whether Paris has thought out the implications of this policing plan, which will expose .the new police force to strong nationalist influences He cites postwar Syria, where French-led Moslem troops deserted en masse on contact with the nationalists. I 25X1 25X1 25X1 7 Oct 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 Approved For Dominican Military Still Restive President Balaguer has repeatedly stated his conviction that General Ramfis Trujillo is the only person capable of controlling the armed forces during the present crucial period. General Trujillo privately indicated to the American consul general last month that the Dominican military had twice last summer been on the verge of seizing the government. He im- plied that his own persuasion prevented the action. General Trujillo's pledge, in an unpublicized letter to the OAiubcommittee, to resign immediately upon the lifting of the OAS diplomatic and economic sanctions, has apparently not yet been made known to the officer corps. When this does become known, many officers are likely to regard it as "de- sertion" by Trujillo and a capitulation to the demands of the opposition. There would then. be even stronger sentiment for a coup by officers convinced that such a move is dictated by interests of self preservation ) Trujillo, however, has expressed contictence mat ne couia retire in --a iew months" after he has implemented a program of retirements and other changes in the military. General Fernando Sanchez, nominally chief of the air force and actually Trujillo's chief of staff and closest aide, is appar- ently being groomed for the top armed forces job. Sanchez is regarded by the American military liaison officers as quite capable of engineering a coup. It is possible that Sanchez may lead a military move against the government, conceivably with the support of General Trujillo if the latter becomes convinced that this is the only way to preserve armed forces unity. The American military liaison officers noted on 4 October that in- creased police patrols have been seen in the capital this week and that the military airlift capability at the key. base near the capital has recently been augmented. They find it impossible to evaluate whether the threat of a military coup is real or whether these indications are part of a militar pressure tactic, but conclude that the situation is ominous. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 7 Oct 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 Approved For THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Counsel to the President Military Representative of the President The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs The Scientific Adviser to the President The Director of the Budget The Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Chairman, Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Director, International Cooperation Administration The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council The Director of Intelligence and Research The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Under Secretary of the Treasury The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs) The Assistant to Secretary of Defense (Special Operations) The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Chief of Staff, United States Army Commandant, United States Marine Corps U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Director, The Joint Staff The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force The Department of Justice The Attorney General The Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director The Atomic Energy. Commission The Chairman The National Security Agency The Director The United States Information Agency The Director The National Indications Center The Director 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A006000090001-5 i ~ i ~ i, i i i i i i i i i 1 i i i i i i r/ i i ii iiiiii~iiiiiiiiiii~i~i~/ Approved F elease p/1SE, TOO9 5 006000090001-5