CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A002700210001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 9, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 1, 1956
• Content Type: REPORT

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1 September 1956
Copy O.
CURRENT
DOCUMENT NO.
INTELLIGENCE NE7 CHANCE IN CLASS.
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BULLETIN
AUTH: H 7C~-2
:6 ~ REVIEWER
nATE
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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State Dept. review completed
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CONTENTS
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1. FRANCE SEEN FORCING MAJOR CRISIS IN SUEZ BY MID-
SEPTEMBER
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4. WEST GERMANS MAY BACK DOWN ON 18-MONTH CON-
5. TASS ANNOUNCES SOVIET NUCLEAR TESTS
(page 7).
SCRIPTION TERM
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7. NEGOTIATIONS FOR SOVIET AID TO INDONESIA SUSPENDED
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1 Sept 56 . Current ? Intelligence Bulletin
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10 FRANCE SEEN FORCING MAJOR CRISIS IN SUEZ
BY MID-SEPTEMBER
France's determination to press the
Suez issue.to a climax raises the strong
possibility of a very serious crisis about
mid-September, in the view of the Amer-
is n embassy in Paris. In its present mood, France will
not be satisfied with a partial and camouflaged Egyptian re-
treat and.fears prolonged negotiations will permit Nasr to
get away with his coup.
The embassy believes that unless Nasr
yields far more than seems probable in his reply to Secre-
tary Dulles' plan, Paris will insist that the work of the five-
nation committee in Cairo is finished and will bring strong
pressure for immediate and drastic sanctions.
. Ambassador Dillon believes that the
French attitude may be based on the general view that the
USSR would not respond forcibly to an Anglo- French attack
on Egypt o
Since the London.conference, the French
government has taken military and economic steps to im-
prove its ability to exert pressure on Nasr, and Premier
'Mollet apparently has almost unanimous non-Communist
backing for this policy. Implementation of extreme meas-
ures probably will depend on the extent of active British
support. Thus far the two countries appear to have closely
co-ordinated their military and economic pressure tactics
against Egypt.
1.Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
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4. WEST GERMANS MAY. BACK DOWN ON 18-MONTH
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A leading member of Chancellor
Adenauer's Christian Democratic
Party (CDU) says his party will have
to drop its support of an 18-month
caniscriprion term for its armed forces or lose the 1957
election to the opposition. The American embassy in
Bonn comments that, although the government still favors
18 months, the CDU is now likely to try to take credit for
advocating a shorter term. Meanwhile, the chairman of
the Bundestag Defense Committee, a CDU member, has
supported a compromise plan whereby basic troops, such
as the infantry, would serve 12 months and specialists,
18 months.
The CDU spokesman said there is no
longer ay possibility of preventing the law setting the term
for conscription from being presented to the Bundesrat,
and that there is insurmountable resistance in the Bundesrat
to the 18-month term.
Comment The conscription bill was pushed through
both houses in July without any specifica-
tion as to length of service, with the idea that the Bundesrat
could probably be bypassed and a law setting a term of 18
months. pushed through the Bundestag after it reconvenes in
September, by the CDU's own majority. Since July, the
West German public has been confused by speculation over
the status of conventional armed forces, and Adenauer's
position on the need for conscription has been undercut.
1 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
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5.,- TASS ANNOUNCES SOVIET NUCLEAR TESTS
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The official. Soviet news. agency TASS
has announced that two nuclear weapons
tests occurred on 25 and 30 August and
that other tests will be held for the
purpose of improving existing nuclear weapons and develop-
ing new types of weapons.
TASS claimed that the fall-out of radio-
active material was reduced by the Soviet practice of
detonating the weapon "at a considerable height" and by
using "the smallest pp5sible quantity of active material.."
The statement reiterated previous Soviet proposals for
a ban on nuclear weapons and tests and cited recent
US and British tests as a justification for the current...
Soviet series..
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Announcement of these tests follows
closely President Eisenhower's recent criticism .of Soviet
secrecy. The danger from fall-out to neighboring countries
implied in the President's statement probably induced
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F7
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7.. NEGOTIATIONS FOR SOVIET AID TO
INDONESIA SUSPENDED
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Ivan Semichastnov, the leader of the
Soviet delegation conducting negotia-
tions in Djakarta for Soviet economic
and technical assistance to Indonesia,
rep r y win ave for Moscow on 3 September. Semi-
chastnov's return to Moscow will give Bulganin and Khru-
shchev. the opportunity to be briefed during the Indonesian
president's visit there, and the USSR may hope to include
a reference to Soviet aid in a joint statement at the end of
Sukarno's visit. Meanwhile, negotiations have been sus-
pendedo
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Recently, the deputy chief of the n onesian n -
pace because of a lack of understanding of each other's prob-
lems. Prime Minister Ali9 moreover, told the American
ambassador that neither party has yet. made any specific
proposals, confirming other information that each side has
been waiting for the other to take the initiative.
tiating eam stated that the talks had been moving at a slow
1Sept 56
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