CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A002100430001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 2, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Content Type: REPORT

TOP SECRET
11 August 1955
Copy No, 99
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
L; DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: laI1460-.REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
State Dept. review completed
TOP SECRET
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CONTENTS
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Masjumi party may head new Indonesian coalition. (page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
3. Comment on new Pakistani prime minister-designate
(page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Cyprus issue may bring fall of Greek government
(page 6).
5. Tension in Morocco mounts as Grandval proposes
three-point program (page 7).
LATIN AMERICA
. comment on political unrest in Brazil (page 9).
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Masjumi party may head new Indonesian coalition:
The reported success of the Masjumi
in forming a coalition cabinet exclud-
ing the National Party9 which headed
the outgoing All coalition, is a vic-
tory for the anti-Communist leader-
ship of the army in its efforts to provide a political
atmosphere favorable to its interests,
The proposed cabinet, which apparently
has not yet been approved by Vice President Hatta, re-
portedly will be headed by a member of the Masjumi. The
coalition includes 11 parties, five of which participated
in the Ali cabinet. These parties hold a total of 145 of
the 234 seats in parliament.
.The Masjumi hopes to hold the coun-
try's first national elections as scheduled on 29 Septem-
ber. Before doing so, however9 it could be expected to
inspect critically the election machinery set up under All.
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SOUTH ASIA
3, Comment.on new Pakistani prime minister-designate:
Acting Governor General Mirza's
nomination of Finance Minister
Chaudri Mohammad Ali to be prime
minister of Pakistan was made possible by an offer of
support from some United Front leaders. This shift
in support enabled Mirza to bypass Awami League
leader H. S. Suhrawardy, who earlier was reported
to have been offered the premiership as the price of
support from his party.
Both Mirza and new Moslem League
leader Chaudri Mohammad All have co-operated actively
with the United States in the past and no change in for-
eign policy is expected. Neither of the two leaders is
from East Pakistan, and this fact will almost certainly
occasion deep resentment in that area.
If Chaudri Mohammad All is success-
ful in forming a coalition government, the shaky political
arrangement on which it would be based will limit its
freedom of action.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Cyprus issue may bring fall of Greek government:
Cypriot Nationalist leader Arch-
bishop Makarios is prepared to
take the Cyprus issue to the Greek
people if Athens fails to give all-
out support to self-determination on Cyprus in the UN
General Assembly, according to the Cuban permanent
UN representative, Nunez-Portuondo, who recently
visited Cyprus, Nunez told Ambassador Byroade in
Cairo that Makarios is convinced the Rally government
of Prime Minister Papagos would fall as a result of
such action. The archbishop also believes nothing will
come of the Anglo- Greek- Turkish talks starting in
London on 29 August.
Nunez has the impression that the
Greek government, particularly Foreign Minister
Stephanopoulos, is not "vitally concerned" with the
Cyprus cause, but was forced to support it by public
opinion. Nunez was struck by Makarios' vigor and
capable leadership and by the merits of the Cypriot
case.
COMMENT Greek UN delegate Palamas told
Ambassador Lodge on 2 August
that failure of the London talks could be used by the
opposition to overthrow the Greek government, This
statement is credible in view of the high pitch of Greek
feeling on the Cyprus issue and dwindling popular sup-
port for the disintegrating Rally regime.
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5. Tension in Morocco mounts as Grandval proposes
three-poin program:
Resident General Grandval has
drafted a three-point program for
Morocco calling for the retirement
of Sultan Mohamed ben Arafa, the
creation of a three-man regency council, and the trans-
fer of former sultan Mohamed ben Youssef to. France.
French army and air force com-
manders have been reinforcing garrisons at Casablanca,
Fez, Meknes, and Marrakech in anticipation of trouble,
although Grandval expects none if his program is ac-
cepted by Paris. Press reports, however, imply that
Premier Faure has yielded to the forces opposing re-
moval of Ben Arafa and has already rejected Grandval's
proposals. Such reports may set off widespread na-
tionalist demonstrations in Morocco.
Meanwhile, the American consul
general in Rabat reports that tension is high as Faure's
decision is awaited in Morocco and that the sultan's
government shows signs of disintegrating.
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7. Comment on political unrest in Brazil:
An unusually large number of rumors
of plots for coups and countercoups have circulated in
Brazil during the current campaign for the presidential
election scheduled for 3 October.
The ticket seeming to have an edge
at present is that headed by Juscelino Kubitschek, a
former governor of Minas Gerais state, and Joao Goulart,
former labor minister who was forced out of his post by
the military because of his Communist ties and demagogic
efforts to build up a labor following for the Vargas admin-
istration. The public announcement on 8 August that the
Communist Party will support Kubitschek and Goulart in
the elections will alienate many voters, however.
Large-scale demonstrations against
the government and certain military officers may develop
on 24 August, the first anniversary of the suicide of Presi-
dent Vargas. The majority of the armed forces, however,
do not appear to favor a coup at this time.
The only conservative presidential
ticket, that headed by retired General Juarez Tavora,
has been gaining ground in recent weeks. Should Tavora's
election seem assured, the role of the army will continue
to be that of guaranteeing a free election and a constitu-
tional change of governments.
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