CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001300540001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 30, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 14, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

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14 November 1953
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opY O. 84
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: -1R 70-2 25X
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DATE: G~4i2. ~.T.9 REVIEWER: ~-
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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State Department review completed
TOP SEC R ET
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SUMMARY
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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3. Chinese Communist threat to Burma reported (page 4).
Viet Minh extends control over delta villages (page .
EASTERN EUROPE
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6. Soviet Union may reduce trade with Finland (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
Rome reportedly would accept Trieste solution propose by 'US
last May (page 8).
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SOUTH~AST ASIA
3. Chinese Communist threat to Burma reported:
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The Chinese Communists have stationed
three divisions in the Burma Road border
area, and Burmese forces have moved into
the northern Shan States to meet the threat,
Comment: Three divisions of the Chinese
Communist 14th Army for two years have straddled the Burma Road
from the border to Tali, the army's headquarters 150 miles to the
north. The presence of Chinese Nationalist forces has been a standing
invitation for Peiping to intervene in Burma, but there is no convincing
evidence that the Communists are preparing to do so.
there is widespread dissatisfaction
with the Burmese government among the Shans, who number over 1,000,000
and are the second largest minority group in Burma. The Communists
have often been reported to be exploiting this attitude.
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5. Viet Minh extends control over delta villages:
The number of villages in the Tonkin
delta securely held by French and
Vietnamese forces decreased by 20
percent from January through September
of this year, according to administrative officials of the provincial
government. The number held by the Viet Minh increased by nine
percent and there was also an increase in the number under fluctuating
control. In September, 1,361 villages were secure, 1,959 were insecure,
and 2,245 were in enemy hands.
Comment: These statistics provide yet
another illustration of the Viet 11 inh's success in extending its control
within the French defense perimeter.
Tonkin administrative officials reported
last February that the number of villages held by the Viet Minh had
doubled between 1951 and 1953.
EASTERN EUROPE
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6. Soviet Union may reduce trade with Finland:
The USSR has refused thus far, in current
trade negotiations, to conclude contracts
for over $18,000,000 worth of engineering
products, mainly wood processing machinery,
offered by Finland, on grounds that prices are too high. Preliminary
-6-
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reports on the trade agreement, signature of which is expected next
week, indicate that Finnish deliveries of ships, sawn timber and pre-
fabricated houses conform generally to basic quotas. In addition
Finland has secured a reduction of 115,000 tons in wheat imports from
the USSR.
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A Finnish trade delegate did not rule out
the possibility that Moscow might be attempting to depress Finland's
metal industry for political purposes.
Comment.- A reduction of $18,000,000--some
12 percent of Finnish exports to the USSR--would cause great hardship to
Finland's metalworking industries, which were expanded after the war to
pay reparations to Russia and which are largely dependent upon Orbit
markets. Depressed world markets have already deprived Finland of its
important timber sales to the West.
A 12 November Soviet decree suggests that
the USSR's motivation for reducing its imports of wood-processing
machinery is primarily economic. The decree indicates that the indus-
try's immediate need is apparently not more wood-processing machinery
but the better utilization of logging equipment, a strengthened labor force
and improved transportation.
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8. Rome reportedly would accept Trieste solution proposed by US last May:
in May 1953 would be generally acceptable to Italy as a definitive solution.
The Italian ambassador to France, currently
in Rome in connection with the Trieste ques-
tion, told Ambassador Luce on 12 November
that the plan suggested by the United States
The ambassador added that Premier Pella
fears the United States and Britain will be intimidated by a Yugoslav
threat to walk out of the conference unlessTito's demands are met.
Yugoslavia, according to the Italian ambassador, will demand the Slav
hinterland in Zone A, without concessions to Italy in Zone B, and will
also demand the construction of a separate port and corridor to the sea.
The Italians hope that the United States and
Britain will realize that a separate Yugoslav port would be uneconomic
and that a Yugoslav corridor would be a future source of trouble.
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