CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A001100600001-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 3, 2003
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 7, 1953
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A001100600001-2.pdf226.58 KB
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se ?QW"R1o1WFdGMWJT7RT40~, CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE ;N CLASS I DECLASSUIEI] CLASS. C' ;A`IGE D TO: T5 N Xl";it :.- D:rA T, . AIITi ;' H`3702 7 June 1953 Copy No. S C- ~~=--1 WE . tI - REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 210 25 xs~, zsx~/j 25X1 25X1 State Department review completed 4 TOP SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01100600001-2 Approved Fo'elease 2004/01/16: CIA-RDP79T00975Aq 25X1A SUMMARY GENERAL 1. British Foreign Office analyzes Soviet declaration to Turkey (page 3). . SOUTHEAST ASIA ! Indonesian National Party willing to form coalition government faith extreme left (page 4). 25X1 NEAR EAST - AFRICA ',,British Foreign Office wants to delay resumption of Anglo- Egyptian talks (page 6). WESTERN: EUROPE 6. British minister sees East-West talks as cold-war maneuver Commonwealth prime ministers concur on Soviet talks and Far Eastern issues (page 7). page 6). 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A001100600001-2 25X1A Approved Fd GENERAL 1. British Foreign Office analyzes Soviet declaration to Turkey: The Soviet aide memoire to Turkey on 31 May may be the first annlication in Europe i t f i - gn pol cy, ore 111 Sov e of the "11CW look according to the British Foreign Office. It points out that the R may be renouncing its unobtainable claims in an attempt to obtain some kind of nonaggression pact, with a limi- tation imposed on Turkey with respect to bases and troops for NATO. The Foreign Office considers it less likely that the USSR hopes to obtain at this time an alteration in the status of the Dardanelles. Early Soviet publication of :the note would suggest to the Foreign Office that it was intended only as another profession of Soviet "peaceful intent." Comment: There are indications that a more conciliatory Soviet policy will be; applied also to Greece and Yugoslavia, the other two signatories of the Balkan pact, in an attempt to prevent the further development of Western bases on Orbit frontiers. 25X1 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01100600001-2 Approved F Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975 01100600001-2 25X1A 25X1 SOUTHEAST ASIA 3. Indonesian National Party willing to form coalition government with extreme left: The National Party, the second largest in 25X1 A Indonesia, has stated that it is prepared to cooperate with either the extreme right or the extreme left in forming a new cab- inet. Most observers believe that a coalition of the Nationalists and-the conservative Masjumi, the largest party, is necessary to create a government. The American embassy in Djakarta comments that the Nationalists have drifted into closer cooperation with the Indo- nesian Communist Party and other leftist parties. It adds that this trend. constitutes an important victory in the Communist effort to form a Communist-dominated front for the forthcoming elections. -4- 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A001100600001-2 Approved F Release 2004/01/16: CIA-RDP79T00975AO 25X1A Comment: In the past, President Sukarno has acted to prevent the inclusion of Communists in the Indonesian cabinet. As a result of increasing Nationalist collaboration with the Communists, however, any cabinet based on a Nationalist- Masjumi coalition would probably be subject to extreme leftist influence. 25X1 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01100600001-2 Ap26)X49AFa NEAR EAST - AFRICA 5. British Foreign Office wants to delay resumption of Anglo-Egyptian talks: 25X1A officials believe that Egypt will become amenable to advice "at the proper time." British Foreign Office opinion currently favors letting Egypt worry for a while longer about British intentions in the Anglo-Egyptian crisis. Working-level The Foreign Office seems aware, how- ever,that the Egyptians may resort to force if this tactic is pur- sued too long. Accordingly, these officials feel that if the situation shows signs of getting out of control, Britain and the United States should do anything possible to help Nagib. Comment: Working-level opinion, which was largely responsible for Foreign Secretary Eden's conciliatory Sudan policy last winter, accords in this case with Prime Minister Churchill's generally stiff attitude toward Egypt. agib is anxious to resume the discussions, although he has, not altered his basic position. Should the domestic situation in Egypt get out of control, it may be impossible either to save Nagib or to obtain any agreement granting even minimum Western defense needs in the Suez area. WESTERN EUROPE 25X1A 6. British minister sees East-West talks as.cold-war maneuver: will urge at ermu a, would not explore specific issues, but would emphasize to the rest of the free world the correctness of Western policies. Selwyn Lloyd, British minister of state for foreign affairs, told an American embassy official on 2 June that he personally thought that a four-power meeting, which Churchill 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A001100600001-2 25X1 Approved Fo 25X1A 25X1A He stated that the British understand the cold war better than Americans, and that Washington has -overemphasized the importance of :impressing the Kremlin and domestic opinion in the United States by an attitude of toughness. Lloyd suggested that if there were a Korean truce by the time of the Bermuda conference, this conference might discuss a subsequent five-power meeting including Communist China. 7. Commonwealth prime ministers concur on Soviet talks and Far Eastern issues: At the Commonwealth prime ministers' meeting on 3 June, the other seven national leaders unanimously endorsed Prime Minister Churchill's stand that efforts to arrange a four-power meeting id be made in the closest possible harmony with the United States. With regard to Korea, the prime ministers on 4 June generally agreed that the political conference which is expected to follow a prospective armistice should be confined as far as possible to Korean issues. The Commonwealth leaders criticized French moves in Indochina as "most inept" and generally agreed that the Commonwealth should support any Thai request for a UN peace ob- servation commission to deter a Viet Minh invasion of Thailand. Comment: Churchill's primary aim was evidently to ensure the support bf the Commonwealth leaders for his effort to bring about East-West talks. Having obtained this support, he was apparently willing to accept positions on Korea and Southeast Asia which are not fully in accord with London's policies. 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01100600001-2