CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001000230001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 30, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 29, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

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29 ~'anuary 1953
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
 SUMMARY
GENERAL
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to Italian Defense Minister reportedly to visit Egypt next month
(page 3)0
SOUTHEA:3T ASIA
4, First Vietnamese elections seen as progress toward democracy
(page 4),
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NEAR EAST -AFRICA
6, Israeli Foreign Minister beliE~ves Israeli-Syrian border accord
likely (page 5),
7, Israel undertaking "active" dE~fense along Jordanian border (page 6),
WESTERN ]EUROPE
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8., Comment on Soviet note on Austrian treaty (pa.ge 7)0
9e East German security controls may extend entirely around
Berlin (page 7)a
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 Italian Defense Minister Pacciardi
has accepted an invitation from Prime
Minister Nagib to visit Egypt early in
GENERAL
1a Italian Defense Minister reportedly to visit Egypt next montho
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February,
a~rdi will be accompanied by four or five high-ranking
general staff officers,
Commento Egypt's desire to strengthen
its bargaining position wit reat Britain and the United States on
the question of Middle East defense would explain such a move to
establish closer relations with Italyo
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Approve
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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4e First '~'ietn.~.xnese elections seen as progress toward democracya
The-.American Consul in Hanoi describes
the general reaction to the 25 January
elections in Tonkin as one of cautious
optimism that they might mark the first
o many s ow steps toward democracy, His own preliminary con-
clusion was. that they may have far more validity than was expected,
and may eventually represent a "solid blow" against the Viet Minh,
-4-
Appr
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Commento Vietnam's first elections,
although restricted to the selection of municipal councilors,
have aroused considerable popular interest and have established
a group- of officials whose wishes the government' cannot readily
ignore. Results in Hanoi. indicate overwhelming support for
strongly nationalistic candidates who have been critical of the
French-oriented government of Premier Tam.
NEAR EAST -AFRICA
6, Israeli Foreign Minister believes Israeli-Syrian border accord
likely o
T.,.~-
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The Israeli Foreign Minister believes
that current Israeli-Syrian boundary
discussions will result in an agreement.
-5-
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He told the American Ambassador in Tel Aviv that the Israeli
Cabinet has. approved in principle a proposal for liquidating
the demilitarized zone between the two countries, even though
it entails givfng up some territory.
Commento The Syrian dictator,
Colonel Shishakli, is also interested in reaching a settlement,
although he may become more difficult as the negotiations
Progresso On the other hand, Jordan, because of its border
difficulties with Israel, may endeavor to prevent any Israeli-
Syrian agreement by exploiting popular Arab- opposition to
direct negotiations with Israel.
7.. Israel undertaking "active" defense algng Jordanian border o
nr_v.~ n
to prevent. the infiltration of Arabs from Jordan and make the
Jordanians aware of the seriousness of the infiltration problem.
The American Army Attache believes
that this may result in Israeli raids into Jordan, thus increas-
ing tension in the area,
.The Isrraeli defense force is under-
taking an "active" defense alon the
J rdanian f r n ?
sae ~ a sraeli forces will attempt
Commento There have been previous
indications from Amman and Tel Aviv that Israeli-Jordanian
relations have sharply deteriorated in the last two weeks.
Israel's aggressiveness in this area
contrasts with its current approaches to Syria. This suggests
that Israel may be interested in ;settling its northern frontier
problems while maintaining an unyielding attitude in the central
area, where frontier arrangements are more complex and less
satisfactory to Israel.
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WESTERN EUROPE
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8o Comment on Soviet note on Austrian treatyo
The Soviet note of 27 January, deXnanding
withdrawal of the abridged treaty as a condition for four-power
negotiations, is an attempt to shift to the Western powers responsi-
bility for failure to conclude an Austrian! treaty,
By not: specif ic~.lly mentioning the ques-
tions of denazification, demilitarization and Trieste, -the note
suggests Soviet awareness of British, French, and Austrian
willingness to negotiate on the basis of the old draft treaty instead
of the abridged treatyo
Previous developments indicate that the
Austrian, French, and probably the British Gov~ernmer~ts will
exert strong pressure on the United States to accept the Soviet
condition so as to avoid blame for obstructing a resumption of
negotiations,
9o East German security controls 'may extend entirely around Berlino
rating East Germany and the Federal Republic,
the East Germans plan to close s ops, res au-
ran s, an all "trade enterprises" in the vicinity- of the city-zonal
border, Refugees report that some shops within one kilometer of
the US sector=.zonal border have already been closed.
American officials in Berlin believe that
the East German Government may .soon
establish a "blocked strip" around the
entire city, similar to the stri se a-
Camm~nta This is the first reliable
indication of such East Ger~lntentionso
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Approve
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Although evidence still indicates that
an intra-city barrier will be established, the-East Germans
may allow some controlled intersector traffic to continue, at
the same time placing similar controls on traffic between East
Berlin and the Soviet Zoneo Triis method mi ht achieve the
objective of stopping the flow oi' refugees
ithout running into the practica ifficulties of com-
pletely barricading the sector boundary within the city.
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