CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000900530001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 2, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 13, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. OX
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: H 7d-
DATE: REVIEWER:4
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
State Department review completed
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Approved
SUMMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Indonesian Gove.rnmerttstability believed still threatened (page 3).
NEAR EAST' AFRICA
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3. French wish to be.; included. in Iranian off settlement (page 4).
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5. British plan to meet new incidents in disputed area of ratan
peninsula (page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Yugoslavs deny unilateral intentions in Albania (page 6)q
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Outlook for French ratification of EDC has changed (page 6).
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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2. Indonesian Qavcrnment stability believed still threatened.
25X1 a cabinet crisis is imminent
and that :Indonesia continues to be threatened .
with civil war. An emergency government re-
portedly is to be established with Vice President Hatta as Prime Minister.
Since there is "bad blood" between Hatta and
President ,Sukarno .the former has asked Natsir, a former prime minister
and leader of the Masjuml, whether he is prepared to be "drafted for the
presidency."
Appro
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Comment. Political maneuvering has intensified
since the cabinet commenced mea-cures against military officials respon-
sible for the 17 October "political. action." Other reports do no suggest, J;
however, that the downfall of the cabinet is imminent. Tensions are ex-
pected to continue in Indonesia until .after the elections tentatively scheduled
from April through July, but the threat of civil war is believed to have been
averted.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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3. French wish to be included in Iranian oil settlement:
The French Petroleum Director has advised the
American Embassy that France should be in-
cluded in any talks on the Iranian oil problem.
Declaring that France could use substantial
quantities of crude oil and aviation gasoline, the director added that the
government-controlled Compagnie Francaise des Petroles would wish
to participate in any British-American group formed to produce, refine
and market Iranian oil.
Comment: Although France has cooperated with
the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company preventing the movement of Iranian oil,
French companies have been interested
in oil purchases.
4.
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5. British plan to meet new incidents in disputed area of Arabian peninsula,
In response to information that Saudi Arabia is
planning to move a small force into the dis-
puted Persian Gulf coastal region between
Qatar and Oman, the British War Office is
consid ring the temporary redeployment into the area of some armored
cars from Habanaiya or the Suez Canal zone.
Comment: The British Foreign Office has
informed the American Embassy in London of its growing belief that
force is the only answer to expanding Saudi Arabian activities in areas
regarded as being under British control.
The Embassy discounts the possibility of the
use of force, but feels the British attitude indicates the extent of Foreign
Office frustration over Arabian peninsula bou idary problems.
Appro
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Approvo
EASTERN EUROPE
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6. Yugoslavs deny unilateral intentions in Albania:
The Yugoslav Minister in Athens has assured
the Greek Government that Yugoslavia will
not disturb the status quo in Albania. He said
that in the event of an internal Albanian revolt
the Yugoslav Government will act only in conjunction with .Albania's
"other neighbors." The Greek Foreign Minister feels that the Yugoslav
statement should be accepted.
Comment: Yugoslavia's dependence on American
aid and its desire to conclude satisfactory defense arrangements with
Greece and other NATO countries virtually dictate such assurances re-
garding future intentions toward Albania. At the same time, however,
Yugoslavia is intent on strengthening its capability to overthrow the
Hoxha regime or dominate any revolutionary Albanian Government.
Despite the Greek profession of faith in Yugo-
slav intentions, Albania will continue to 'be a vital point of issue between
Greece, Italy and Yugoslavia.
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WESTERN EUROPE
7. Outlook for French ratification of EDC has changed:
The American Embassy in Paris reports that
National Assembly deputies opposed to 'FDC,
whose ranks have been growing, are now
coming to regard a German national army
under NATO control as more acceptable. Their spokesmen believe
that an Assembly majority for such a solution can be found.
Approve
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Foreign Ministry officials state that Chancellor
Adenauer's postponement of final Buadestag action on the Bonn and Paris
treaties upsets the timing of French action. Although Assembly debate
could still take place by late February, it may be postponed until May,
particularly in view of the expected consideration in late March of a
draft treaty for a European Political Community, and the prospective
municipal el6dtions in April.
Comment: Sentiment favoring a German national
army :under NATO contro rT a-WeRr than German forces in EDC has also
been voiced by German Social Democrats.
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