CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000600540001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 26, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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26 April 1952
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
I DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. V4E W:C' ? T:r . r?~ 0 So
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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State Department review completed
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SUMMARY
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5. India will need extensive external assistance in 1952-53 (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
Egypt may take Suez dispute to UN (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
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9. Adenauer blames Schuman for Saar accord failure (page 8).
LATIN AMERICA
19. Comment on possible disturbances in Ecuador this week-end (page 8).
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5. India will need extensive external assistance in 1952-530
Ambassador Bowles reports that India's need
for external assistance during the comingfiscal
year will be between 260 and 285 million dollars,
and that all but about 25 million must come from
the United States.
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He states that the present Indian Government
is unlikely to survive if it fails to meet the goals of its current five-year
plan, adding that no one in New Delhi believes these goals can be met
without foreign aid.
Comment: The above figures emphasize again
the magnitude of the task facing the Indian Government in achieving eco-
nomic stability. They also suggest that last year's 190 million dollar
loan to India for the purchase of wheat was merely the first of a series
of similar requests to be expected in the future.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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Egypt may take Suez dispute to UN:
success to obtain a Security Council decision against Britain. Any new
attempt by the Egyptian Government to obtain a UN solution of the dispute
would probably be made in the General Assembly,
Prime Minister
Hilali Pasha may take the Anglo-Egyptian dis-
pute to the United, Nations if he decides that
"negotiations with the British are fruitless:'
Comment: In 1947, Egypt tried without
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9. Adenauer blames.Schuman for Saar accord failure:
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Cha cellos Aderiauer. has asserted pr ivately
that- French Tore.ign Minister Schuman agreed
in,-their March cariversations that the Saar
leg.slature to be elected this fall should decide
whether the economic union with France should be maintained or allowed
to "vanish in some sort;ol Europeanization.
Adenauer and Schuman, whose position in
e renc Cabinet is insecure, both seem to have conceded more than
their legislatures would permit. Adenauer agreed to the Saar' s political
separation from Germany, and Schuman to a review by the Saar legislature
of the economic union.
The French are willing to discuss no more than
the political future of the territory, and Schuman recently promised the
Council of the Republic that France would continue to insist on maintenance
of the 1950 economic conventions with the Saar.
Adenauer told the Bundestag on 23 April that
the minimum French demands left little hope for French- German negoti-
ations at this time.
LATIN AMERICA
10. Comment on possible disturbances in Ecuador this week-end:
Reports from Quito indicate that this week-end
may be a crisis point in the stormy Ecuadoran election campaign. Rumors
that several army leaders, including the Minister of Defense may attempt
a revolution today are now added to the virtually certain prospect of major
street clashes when the controversial presidential candidate Velasco
Ibarra arrives in Quito.
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Comment:
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The withdrawal on 20 April of the left-wing
coalition candidate and the resignation of the, entire cabinet on 23 April
have increased the likelihood of serious disturbances.
President Galo Plaza is continuing his efforts
to maintain order and insure an orderly election. His efforts may fail,
however, unless he can persuade the army high command and the adamantly
anti-Velasco Socialists to observe constitutional procedures.
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