CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000300340001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 16, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 7, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

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7 August 1951
Copy No.-C-_ 9
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
DECLASSIFIED
CLASS, CHANGED TO: T5 S C
NEXT REVIEW O ATE:
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AUTHj HF1JS.
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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State Department review completed
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SUMMARY
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NEAR. EAST AFRICA..
4. French Foreign Office now opposes removal of Moroccan Sultan (page 4).
EASTERN EUROPE
5. Yugoslav Government opposes revision of Italian Peace Treaty (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Italian Government reluctant to face Trieste elections (page 6)..
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
25X1A 4. French Foreign Office now opposes removal of Moroccan Sultan:
According to a French Foreign Office official., the
external disadvantages arising from a -deposition
of the Sultan now seem to outweigh the internal
advantages, and the situation will be allowed to
rest in thebope that the Sultan will eventually give in to the French on a
majority of points at issue.
Internally, the Sultan is blocking the French re-
form program. Because he has lost nearly all tribal support and his following
is located chiefly in the cities, the French believe that a suitable replacement
could be chosen and installed without serious disturbances. The international
repercussions of such a move, however, would be serious. French motives
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would be misrepresented by the Arab. League, which might. be. supported
by Asian nations and, if the issue reached the UN, by Latin American
nations as well.
Comment: The Foreign Office estimate of the
internal Moroccan situation .is .not supported by reports. from. .Morocco.
The Sultan's intransigence in refusing.to...permit
the French to impinge further upon his sovereignty has solidified the 'dmira-
tion and support of the majority of educated and politically conscious Mo-
roccans, despite the traditional French program of pitting one faction against
the other in order to keep. the upper. hand.
The pressure from. French property interests in
Morocco, as well as the disinclination in conservative French circles to
permit greater autonomy, will work against any moderation of French For-
eign Office policy in Morocco, no matter who may succeed Juin as Resident
General when he assumes his SHAPE command.
EASTERN EUROPE .
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5. Yugoslav Government opposes revision of Italian Peace Treat o
According to Assistant Foreign Minister Mates,
the Yugoslav Government opposes a revision of
the Italian Peace Treaty because it believes that
Italy may be more. interested in obtaining terri-
torial concessions rough such revision than in amending the military pro-
visions. Mates says that the Italian Foreign Office has sent a circular tele-
gram to its foreign missions,, emphasizing the question of territorial
concessions,
According to Mates, the Yugoslav Government
believes that Italy and Yugoslavia should attempt to negotiate a bilateral
settlement on Trieste and other outstanding issues. The Yugoslav Govern-
ment might then inform the NATO countries that it had no objection. to a
revision of the peace treaty's military provisions. It would ask these coun-
tries, however, to consider the effect of any increase in the Italian military
establishment on Yugoslavia's position vis-a-vis the Cominform.
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o.mment:..Yugoslav officials have previously
opposed revision of the. military provisions of the-Italian Peace Treaty on
the grounds that. such a revision would. provide the.. USSR with an opportunity
to justify the Satellites' military build-up in violation of their peace treaties.
Mates' remarks, however, offer further indication that..Yugoslavia'.s. oppo-
sition is based primarily.. on. the fear that an increase in Italian military
strength would improve. Italy's ability to press its claims for the return of
all the Free Territory: of Trieste.
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6. Italian Government reluctant to face Trieste elections:
The Italian Embassy in London. has made an oral
approach to ,the British Foreign Office with re-
gard .to postponing the Trieste local elections,
now scheduled for 7 October. The preliminary
view of the British is that the elections should
not be postponed.
At the same time, Premier De Gasperi has been
urging the US Ambassador in Rome that the
elections should be postponed for at least six
months, preferably a year, unless certain electo-
ral provisions favoring Italy are introduced.
De Gasperi said that because of resurgent national feeling the Italian Govern-
ment "could not stand by without injecting itself" into the Trieste elections,
which activity "would not be helpful in the relations with Yugoslavia. "
Furthermore, the Trieste campaign would have a bad effect on the coming
municipal elections in Italy. The Cabinet. has tentatively decided. to postpone
the latter until "the conclusion of the (national) census, " which will be ini-
tiated in early November,
Comment. There have been previous reports .
that the Italian Government may postpone the series of local elections rather
than face a loss of prestige for the Christian Democrats, such as occurred
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in the spring voting. Suggestions for postponement of the Trieste elections
show a similar concern. The Italian Government may also be. concerned
over apparently .growing sentiment in Trieste favoring independence of the
area, a movement supported locally by both Italian Communists and a small
group of Slovene parties.
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