CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000100360001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 23, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 20, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

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20 March 1951
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
NEAR EAST
3. Iranians consider government committed to nationalization of
oil (page 4).
EASTERN EUROPE
4. Yugoslav will to resist reportedly low (page 5)
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Communists hope to exploit Paris strikes (page 6)
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NEAR EAST
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Iranians consider committed nationalization of oil.
proval and the Shah for his endorsement. The lower house, after
unanimously approving the proposal, granted the Parliamentary Oil
Committee two more months to study the details involved in implementing
the measure and provided that the Committee might employ foreign
specialists to advise it. According to the Embassy, an American econ-
omist who was retained previously by the Iranian Government to advise
it on the oil problem is reportedly attempting to work out a solution
which will leave the impression with the Iranian public that the industry
has been nationalized, although such will actually not be the case.
Meanwhile, public demonstrations in favor of nationalizing the Anglo-
Iranian Oil Company, Iran's only real oil industry, reportedly continue;
the Embassy states that the situation is entirely dominated by emotions.
The US Embassy in Tehran reports that the
Iranian people now regard their government
as committed to the principle of nationalizing
Iran's oil resources. Having been approved
by the lower house of parliament, the nationals--
zation proposal now goes to the Senate for ap-
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EASTERN EUROPE
4. Yugoslav will to resist reportedly low-
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I talk of war and
rumors o ovie troop concentrations
on the Yugoslav border have created
great unrest among the Yugoslav people.
Reportedly, families are preparing to
leave Belgrade and persons not irrevocably compromised by association
with Tito are trying to detach themselves from the regime in the hope
that the Soviets will not molest the neutral element. The widespread
belief that the Yugoslav Army would quickly fall before a Soviet attack
has allegedly weakened the Yugoslav will to resist.
The US Air Attache in Belgrade reports
that the population in the Vojvodina area has freely expressed to him
its dissatisfaction with conditions and attributes its hardships to poor
governmental management.
Comment- Numerous recent state-
ments by Tito and other Yugoslav leaders regarding the threat of war
have undoubtedly caused increased apprehension and unrest among the
.Yugoslav people, Furthermore, Yugoslavia's economic problems, which
have been heightened by the 1950 crop failure, are probably augmenting
Yugoslav dissatisfaction with the regime.
Previous reports about the state of
Yugoslav morale have been conflicting- US Ambassador Allen in
Belgrade believed, as of 9 February, that Yugoslav morale was high; on
the other hand, a 12 February report from the US Embassy in London
states that the British Ambassador in Belgrade was at that time troubled
by the low state of public morale in Yugoslavia. US officials,
I lwho have traveled extensively throughou ugo-
s avia in recent mo-ffJ s, have noted no evidence indicating that the
Yugoslav will to resist a Soviet attack has markedly declined.
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WESTERN EUROPE
5. Communists hope to exploit Paris strikes,
According to US Embassy Paris, the Politburo
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of the French Communist Party was scheduled
to meet on 17 March to plan a "cascade of
strikes" involving public utilities, suburban
railways and government agencies in the Paris region, in support of the
Paris transport strike which began on 15 March. The Embassy reports
that non-Communist union leaders do not feel that workers are prepared
for long and bitter strikes, but believe that, price rises and the hesitancy
of management and government in making cost-of-living adjustments may
materially benefit Communist election candidates.
r' i Comment.- Growing rank-and-file agitation for
wage increases has lekd the non-Communist unions to collaborate with
the Communist-led General Labor Confederation in the Paris transport
strike,-the first important instance of such collaboration since last
spring, Union resources, however, are believed insufficient for a pro-
tracted Paris transport strike.
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