THE SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM

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CIA-RDP79T00826A002400060001-3
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July 17, 1967
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Approved. For Rel&e 2001/03/22: CIA-RDP79TO04WA002400060001-3 Secret No Foreign Dissem Intelligence Report DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE The Situation in South Vietnam (Weekly) Secret 143 17 July 1967 No. 0359/67 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO02400060001-3 Approved For Rel?e 2001/03ft IX:RDP79T00SA002400060001-3 Background Use Only WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. GROUP I EXCLUDED FROM AUTOMATIC DOWNCItADINO AND DEC:I.ASSIFICATION Approved For Release 2001/03l 1V4'ADP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For Rel?e 2001/O3&!GIA-RDP79TOO&AOO24OOO6OOO1-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence THE SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM (10 July - 16 July 1967) Section Presidential candidates; Thieu-Ky campaign apparatus; Reaction of civilian candidates to Thieu-Ky ticket; Consequences of Thieu-Ky presidential alliance; Review of senate slates; Communist call for election boycott. National Police; Additional arrests of members of the Communist infra- structure in the Saigon area; In- cidents directed against Revolution- ary Development cadres; Third country assistance. Prices; Currency and gold; GVN's view of its role in the economy. ANNEX: Weekly Retail Prices in Saigon (table) Saigon Free Market Gold and Currency Prices (graph) No Foreign Dissem/Backkground Use Only Approved For Release 2001/03M13 IA>ERDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For Reloe 2001 /036 RCPlj% DP79T00OA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only The Provisional National Assembly is scheduled to take final action on 18 and 19 July on the presidential candidates whose credentials have been challenged. Premier Ky was reported to be still uncer- tain as of 10 July about whether or not to fully pledge his existing campaign ap- paratus tothe Thieu-Ky ticket. The lead- ing civilian candidates are said to be more sanguine about their chances to win against Thieu than against the former Ky slate. Following the military meetings between 28 and 30 June, the locus of power in the military establishment has shifted somewhat to the corps commanders. The original 64 senate slates are expected to be pared down, possibly by as much as one third, by 22 July. 1. On 18 July, the Provisional National Assembly is scheduled to deliberate on the final status of pres- idential nominees whose candidacies have been chal- lenged. The Central Election Council forwarded its recommendations to the special assembly committee on elections on 15 July, advising that General Duong Van ("Big") Minh be disqualified because his running mate, Tran Ngoc Lieng, once held French citizenship. The presidential election law stipulates that candidates must have been Vietnamese citizens since birth. 2. In addition, according to a member of the special assembly committee, the council recommended that six slates be approved and nine disqualified, in- cluding that of "peace" candidate Au Truong Thanh and eight other minor tickets. No recommendation was made on the slates of three candidates, including Chief of State Thieu, but the source believes these will be ap- proved by the special committee when it presents its own recommendations, in turn, to the full assembly. Representatives of each slate are to meet separately with the committee on 16 and 17 July. Final posting of the approved slates will be on 19 July. No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001 /03 %1 TRDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For Rel&e 2001/03ICC1YN=RDP79T00?A002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only 3. Although committee chairman Nguyen Thanh Vinh had earlier indicated that the committee would probably approve Minh's candidacy, the Central Elec- tion Council's recommendation, while not binding, may prove decisive. The charge against Lieng is ap- parently legal and is supported by documentary evi- dence--a copy of a 24 February 1950 decree signed by then French premier Georges Bidault granting Lieng French citizenship. The council's move in making Lieng, rather than Minh, the victim will allow the government and the assembly to remove a thorn in their sides without danger of making a martyr of Minh personally. 4. If Minh's candidacy is nonetheless approved, it may be because some members of the Democratic Al- liance Bloc (DAB) in the assembly, which was decid- edly pro-Ky until a few weeks ago, are piqued at Ky and may not echo his sentiments that Minh should be disqualified. Some of the DAB members reportedly claim that Ky has reneged on a number of promises to reciprocate for legislation they enacted at his re- quest. It was only through DAB efforts, they contend, that Ky was able to enter the presidential race, since other assembly deputies had favored a 40-year age minimum for candidates--which would have eliminated the 37-year-old Ky. Bloc members were reportedly angered that Ky did not consult them before agreeing to become Chief of State Thieu's running mate, and they feel that Ky does not take them seriously or re- gard them as equal parts of the "team." 5. If the assembly approves Minh's candidacy, the election will shape up primarily as a contest among the four leaders--Thieu, Minh, Tran Van Huong, and Phan Khac Suu--with Ha Thuc Ky drawing off the Dai Viet vote in Central Vietnam and the four remain- ing candidates probably trailing far behind. At this point, any prediction of how the vote will go is con- jecture, but some factors likely to influence the electorate are emerging. One possibility, in the wake of the Thieu-Ky combination, would be a polariza- tion of the vote on the basis of the military versus the civilians,although Minh's candidacy might offset this to some extent. 6. In General Thieu's favor would be the fact that his three major opponents are from the delta, No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001/03 16FATRDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For Rel&e 2001 /01 1A RDP79TOO?A002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only 25X1X which would tend to split the southern vote. The consequences of Minh's candidacy, whether he re- mains in exile or manages to return to Saigon, are difficult to gauge, although Thieu, Huong, and Suu alike have exhibited some fear of what his appeal would do to their chances of winning. Minh might coalesce a great deal of the Buddhist vote, but there is little indication now that the electorate is divided along strictly religious--Buddhist versus Catholic--lines. At present, it appears that the most decisive influence on the voting may be the methods and thoroughness that the Thieu-Ky forces finally bring to bear during the month of official campaigning prior to 3 September. Thieu-Ky Campaign Apparatus 7. As of 10 July, Ky was still uncertain about whether to pledge his full campaign apparatus to the support of the Thieu-Ky ticket, according to an American observer who talked with him. Ky said that he would be considering in the next few days whether to reactivate the organization. Although he probably wants to resurrect it, he implied that he is waiting to work out the specifics of sharing future responsi- bilities with Thieu should the latter be elected president. In Ky's opinion, the success or failure of the Thieu-Ky slate in the election rests on his decision. Ky sent his former campaign manager, Soc_2~1X Welfare Minister Nguyen Xuan Phong, to Thieu on 7 July to discuss the campaign organization, and no campaign manager and would have to rely on Ky's facilities. ac that ieu had no un s,no platform, no workers, P ong reporte 8. Ky's embryonic political "front," however, 25X1X which was originally conceived as a public vehicle for his own presidential campaign, has decided to sup- ort the Thieu-K ticket, 25X1X On 10 July, a 13-man working group of representatives from factions of the Cao Dai and Hoa Hao religious sects, a faction of the VNQDD political party, and an association of young "professionals" laid the groundwork for a national convention of the "front" in early August. Ky has already reportedly given two million piasters to the "front" and has authorized an addition five million piasters to be allocated through No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Onl Approved For Release 2001/OW22::FCfit-RDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For Rel&e 2001/03I2KGcRIA-RDP79TOOSA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Police Director Loan. Although the group claims it can deliver two million votes to Thieu and Ky, it is not clear how much support these representa- tives actually have with their locally based parent organizations. They probably are overstating the extent of their influence. 9. In addition, Ky is apparently preparing to move the police apparatus into operation again. He told an American observer in Da Lat on 15 July that he intended to meet on the 16th in the resort city with approximately 100 provincial police chiefs and security officials to give them instructions on how the elections are to be held and what the role of the police should be. He is downgrading the role of Police Director Loan, asserting that Loan's state- ments and actions in connection with political mat- ters "should not be taken as definitive," and he has told Loan to "keep his mouth shut" on political sub- jects. Reaction of Civilian Candidates to Thieu-Ky Ticket 10. The reaction of the leading civilian presi- dential candidates to the Thieu-Ky ticket is mixed but generally optimistic, according to sources close to them. Tran Van Huong's supporters believe that his chance of winning has been enhanced because the opportunity for honest elections will be better and because voters will view the Thieu-Ky slate as "more of the same." They also think that Ky's campaign or- ganization will not function as effectively for Thieu. Huong's colleagues are reportedly somewhat concerned, however, that "Big" Minh will draw votes away from Huong if the Provisional National Assembly allows Minh to run. 11. In apparent reaction to the Thieu-Ky coali- tion, attempts have been made by both the Huong and Phan Khac Suu camps to form an alliance with Ha Thuc Ky, the Revolutionary Dai Viet candidate who is ex- pected to control a significant bloc of voters in northern South Vietnam. One of the Dai Viet party members has reported that both proposals were re- jected. At the same time, Huong and Suu have agreed "in principle" not to criticize each other during the campaign and to cooperate in establishing the new government if either wins, according to Vo Long Trieu, one of Huong's campaign organizers. No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001/033%WATRDP79TOO826AO02400060001-3 Approved For Rel&e 2001/03ICJ1A'RDP79T00SA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only 25X1X 12. At least one significant organization, the Greater Solidarity Force comprising northern refugee Catholics, is not now certain which ticket it will support, having previously voted to back the expected ticket of Premier Ky and Nguyen Van Loc. In addition, the central committee of the Hoa Hao religious sect, which had appeared likely to support Ky's candidacy, is again engaged in internecine squabbling, although it is not clear how directly this is related to the issue of support for Thieu and Ky. In any event, it is apparent that the major blocs of political and religious strength are reassessing their allegiances in the light of the military ticket headed by Thieu as well as of the meaning of "Big" Minh's re-emergence on the Saigon political scene. Consequences of Thieu-Ky Presidential Alliance ere is no agreement, written or ora 25X1X on tne e ineation of power between Thieu and K as president and vice president. Thieu would not have agreed to sue an Arran .men without the approval of the Directorate, suggesting that the key military members are not aware of any such deal. Ky is nonetheless beginning to think about his own cabinet preferences, should the Thieu-Ky ticket win. During his weekend stay in Da Lat, he told an American observer, he planned to discuss with several of his political advisers the composition of the future cabinet, concentrating particularly on such importan~5X1X positions as defense, foreign affairs, information, economy and finance, and revolutionary development. 14. the locus of power in the wake of the 28-30 June mili- tary meetings is defense chief Cao Van Vien and the four corps commanders along with Ky and Thieu. These men now constitute the decision-making group within 25X1X the Directorate as well as within the larger group of influential generals which includes Information Min- ister Tri, Revolutionary Development Minister Thang, Security Minister Vien, Planning and Development Min- ister Quana, and Directorate Secretary General Chieu. if Thieu and Ky are elected, Cao an Vien will probably be named defense minister, Gen- eral Khang will probably be requested to take Vien's job as chairman of the Joint General Staff, and General 1-5 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001/0?% -RDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For Rel&e 2001/03l1CCJA42DP79T00StA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only 25X1X Thang will probably be offered a command position, leaving his pacification job. General Tri will probably lose his information portfolio and, beyond that, his future is "dark," in the source's opinion. has not se e on a Future prime minister, but that the consensus is for a southern civilian. Ky pre- viously stated that he will name the prime minister and announce the choice before the election. 15. the Directorate Review of Senate Slates 16. Nine of the original 64 senate slates filed with the Provisional National Assembly on 30 June have been withdrawn or disqualified by the Central Election Council. Complaints had been filed against 19 slates and these are now being reviewed by the council, with a final decision on the eligibility of all slates to be made by 22 July. Elimination of five of the nine already disqualified was based on evidence of Commu- nist connections with some of the candidates, while the remaining four slates either filed late or had incom- plete dossiers. 17. Among the more important complaints under review are those against Le Phuoc Sang and Le Quang Liem, both prominent Provisional National Assembly deputies running on a slate headed by cabinet minis- ter La Thanh Nghe. Sang, head of the Democratic Al- liance Bloc, is charged with having been an army de- serter, and Liem has been accused of corrupt practices during his term as Khanh Hoa Province chief. Other complaints include those against retired Generals Tran Van Don and Ton That Dinh for alleged pro-French neutralist and pro-Communist activities; against three candidates, running on two different slates, for Com- munist connections; and against five civilian Direc- torate members, running on five different tickets, for not having taken a leave of absence from the Director- ate before filing. Included among these Directorate members is Foreign Minister Tran Van Do. 18. The disqualification of any one candidate for pro-Communist activities results in the elimina- tion of the entire 10-man slate, but disqualification for reasons other than pro-Communism does not neces- sarily affect the rest of the slate. No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only uIr Approved For Release 2001 /03 c TRDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For Rel a 2001/03/2PCMARDP79TOO1PAOO24OOO6OOO1-3 No foreign Dissem/Background use only Communist Call for Election Boycott 19. The Viet Cong broadcast on 2 July an appeal to residents of the Saigon-Cholon area to boycott the 3 September presidential and senate elections. A similar appeal was broadcast to the region east of Saigon on 10 July. These appeals have been accompanied by a number of Liberation Radio and Radio Hanoi broad- casts terming the election a farce and accusing Thieu and Ky of acting only at the behest of the US. No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001 /O~Z2` '6TATRDP79TOO826AOO24OOO6OOO1-3 Approved For Reldee 2001 /O g RDP79TOOtOAOO24OOO6OOO1-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Several changes have been made at the Saigon headquarters level of the Na- tional Police, National Police Director Loan, having been divested of his posi- tion as chief of the Military Security Service, may attempt to tighten up-con- trol of the police organization. As the result of the exploitation of four mem- bers of the Communists' Region 4 Intel- lectuals' Proselyting Section (IPS), 32 additional individuals associated with the IPS have been neutralized. In the first six months of 1967 the Communists initiated 521 incidents against the Rev- olutionary Development Cadres. In the fall of 1967, Australia will reportedly augment its military forces in South Vietnam with a 45-man helicopter detach- ment. As of 30 June, 18,145 persons had rallied to the government in 1967 under the Chieu Hoi or "Open Arms" program. National Police 1. On 27 June Brigadier General Nguyen Ngoc Loan was divested of his position as chief of the Military Security Service (MSS). Loan, however, is remaining as the director general of National Police (DGNP). Lieutenant Colonel Tran Van Thang, who has been Loan's deputy both for the MSS and for the National Police, has been named acting chief of the MSS. Bui Van Nhu, formerly a Police Special Branch (PSB) officer, has been appointed as the dep- uty DGNPO 2. Another high-level police change took place recently when Major Nguyen Thien was appointed the chief of the Police Special Branch at the Na- tional Police Headquarters level. According to re- ports, Thien plans to tighten PSB control over pro- vincial and district branches by establishing a clear No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001 /O3h]iCdI ''h DP79TOO826AOO24OOO6OOO1-3 Approved For Rele 2001JP~W , E PIA-RDP79T00*A002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only chain of command from Saigon through the regions and provinces to the districts. At present, a PSB chain of command is almost nonexistent and the Saigon head- quarters exercises little or no effective control over province and district PSB personnel and opera- tions. PSB personnel reportedly are assigned to each government district and to all Saigon precincts, but their numbers--as well as their employment--de- pend on the provincial police chief and, to an even greater extent, on the provincial chief. 3. Some Vietnamese security officials are re- ported to feel that a number of province chiefs who have recently been assigned to their jobs di- rectly from the army either lack understanding of PSB activities or are generally hostile to the police. It is not yet known what factors Thien may be able to bring to bear to ensure headquarter's control of provincial PSB personnel and their operations, but if Thien.is sincere in his desire to make some im- provements, he faces a tough, uphill fight in any effort to loosen or restrict the province chiefs' control of police assets in the provinces. 4. The removal of General Loan as chief of the MSS is partially attributed to pressures applied to Ky by his colleagues to-reduce the power and authority of Loan, particularily as Loan's use of the police and MSS organizations to further Ky's political am- bitions has become generally known. Loan indicated as much in a conversation with the CORDS Public Safety advisor on 4 July, and said that he had chosen to remain head of the National Police (NP) rather than the MSS. He insisted that in the future he would operate only as a civilian police official and that his job would have "nothing to do with politics." He further stated that he had even submitted his res- ignation from the air force, but he--did not know whether it would be accepted. Perhaps in an effort to ward off criticism that the influx of military officers--in particular MSS officers--into the Na- tional Police is having a deleterious effect on police morale and efficiency, Loan reportedly plans to order all military officers assigned to the police to resign their commissions for the duration of their police service. No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 200 18 T EcIA-RDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For RelSe 2001/(4RP1-RDP79T00&A002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only 5. Although Loan, presumablyron.Premier Ky's order, has reportedly instructed provincial police chiefs temporarily to disengage themselves from po- lice activities, there are indications that Loan may continue to be the primary person through whom Ky channels funds to his political organizations and supporters. In addition, although no longer the titular head of the MSS, Loan stated in a recent conversation with a US military officer that MSS acting chief Thang--whom Loan described as a good man but a person who has difficulty in making hard decisions--would still be receiving "advice" from Loan from time to time. 6. -General Loan has intimated on several oc- casions,that he believes-that some US officials apparently do not like him and may be partly re- sponsible for the events which forced him to re- linquish one of his security commands. Early this year, Loan apparently terminated several joint op- erations-.between MSS and MACV, and, should he become convinced that Americans are behind the recent curbs on his authority, he may also become less co- operative with the US in National Police operations. Additional Arrests of Members of the Communist In- frastructure in the Saigon Area 7. Government exploitation of four members of the Communists' Region 4 Intellectual's Proselyting Section (IPS) who were apprehended between January and May 1967 has almost certainly weakened the enemy's operational assets in the Saigon area, par- ticularly in the civilian sector. As the result of information derived from one of the four, who is alleged to be the deputy chief of the IPS, 32 addtional individuals associated with the IPS have been identified and neutralized and at least five have been arrested. 8. The alleged deputy chief of the IPS, Le Ngoc Lan, has stated that the IPS was established in mid-1966, although Le Thi Rieng--a Region 4= com- mittee member who was concurrently chief of the Women's Proselyting Section and a member of the No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001/R4-RDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For RelSe 2001/03/22 : CIA-RDP79TO01AO02400060001-3 SECRET No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only "National Liberation Front" central committee--has stated that the IPS was in existence at least as early as 1965. Lan testified that the purpose of the IPS was to win over influential political and religious personalities in the Saigon area, in an- ticipation of a future political situation in which a cease-fire and negotiations would take place and a coalition government would be established. He suggested no time frame for such developments, how- ever, 9. At the time of Lan's arrest in May 1967, 11 agents and 21 sympathizers were working for or as- sociated with the IPS, according to Lan; at least five of these individuals have since been apprehended. Of the 11 agents, who Lan claimed performed regularly assigned missions, seven were regarded by the Commu- nists as possible candidates for future cabinet posi- tions. Lan described these persons as essentially bourgeois, anti-Communist intellectuals who were susceptible to Communist appeals because of their intense nationalism and their opposition to "for- eign intervention," In approaching potential sym- pathizers, the IPS member or agent concentrated on persuasive techniques and propaganda and, in many instances, carried out a prolonged development period to avoid any alienation and to ensure future political usefulness of the potential asset. 10. A number of the people alleged by Lan to be involved in IPS activities are judges, lawyers, former teachers, and engineers, some of whom are influential, respected members of the Saigon com- munity. The South Vietnamese Government has thus far been especially careful in handling prominent individuals being questioned on the basis of the in- formation provided by Lan. Police officials now ex- pect the number of persons apprehended on the basis of Lan's testimony to reach approximately 40. They claim that they will proceed carefully with such ar- rests and will hold only those individuals who prove to be card-carrying Communist Party members, prob- ably no more than ten individuals. These party mem- bers, if detained after a review of the evidence by the'National Security Council, will be held for no more than three years in a re-education camp. Non- party members arrested will be held, according to the Approved For a i2jfl0V %iO1 c P TO 26 -GQ2400060001-3 SECRET Approved For RelSe 2001/0gq~kgtRDP79TOOOA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only police, only long enough to give statements on their association with Le Ngoc Lan and will then be released if they promise to sever their con- nections with the Communists and to report any sub- sequent approaches by them. Incidents Directed Against Revolutionary Develop- ment Cadres 11. The following is a breakdown of Communist- initiated incidents directed against Revolutionary Development (RD) cadres for the first six months of 1967: I Corps II Corps III Corps IV Corps Totals January 22 12 6 5 45 February 8 14 13 13 48 March 62 17 17 30 126 April 56 23 16 15 110 May 33 16 16 18 83 June 38 33 11 27 109 25X6 12. During the first half of the year the Rd cadres suffered combat losses of 333 killed and 573 wounded. The field strength of the RD cadres on 1 June--Vietnamese and Trong San RD and Static Cen- sus Grievance--stood at 34,026 with an additional 5,217 persons in training at the Vung Tau and Pleiku training centers. 25X6 Third Country Assistance e Australian uov- ernment has approved .sen ing in the fall of 1967 a Royal Australian Navy (RAN) helicopter detachment to Approved For R 4ea~~'ielb li6#PY ' O %A b'2i400060001-3 Approved For Relee 2001/03/ 6"DP79TOOI&AO02400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only augment allied forces in the Republic of Vietnam. The 45-man RAN detachment will include pilots and maintenance personnel and will probably be inte- grated into the US Army's 135th Aviation Company which is to be established in the vicinity of the Dat Mountain--the base camp headquarters of the Australian Army in Phuoc Tuy Province--in October 1967. Approved For Release bbi%3/ lq PT~Y$68~ti40 0060001-3 Approved For RelSe 2001 /03/225 ~, &P79T00MOA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Retail prices in Saigon jumped five percent during the week ending 3 July after declining steadily during most of June. Free market currency and gold prices de- clined on 3 July. US officials feel that the viewpoint of the current top GVN eco- nomic officials presents an opportunity to start moving away from government eco- nomic controls and ownership toward in- creased use of private enterprise for the economic development of Vietnam. Prices 1. Retail prices in Saigon jumped five percent during the week ending 3 June after declining steadily during most of June. The USAID weekly in- dex reached a level 27 percent higher than at the beginning of the year, the highest level since the rice crisis in March. Prices of most foods, includ- ing rice, rose, but particularly large increases were registered for protein foods, especially pork and shrimp. According to the embassy, the wholesale price of hogs at the Saigon slaughterhouse rose steadily during the week, probably because of in- creased shipments to the provinces north of Saigon where pork prices are higher. Officials noted that the increase in Saigon prices was not, as in the past, brought on by low deliveries from the delta; ar- rivals have continued to be ample. The increase in shrimp and fish prices may in part have resulted from shortages caused by the mining of Route 14 from Vung Tau on 3 July. Nonfood prices rose slightly as a sharp rise in bus fares more than offset declines in the prices of charcoal and firewood. (A table of weekly retail prices in Saigon is included in the Annex.) Approved For RNeolease /833122 ~`'' 0 to 400060001-3 Approved For ReI&e 2001/03/ SECRET P79T00iA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only 2. The wholesale price index for US-financed im- ported commodities fell sharply on 5 July for the sec- ond consecutive week. The prices of galvanized iron sheets continued to decline in response to the release of new imports on 27 June. The price of cement de- clined for the third week in succession, falling be- low the official price on 5 July. Supplies of cement reportedly are ample and consumption is down because of the rainy season. Currency and Gold 3. Free market currency and gold prices declined on 3 July compared with the previous week. The price of dollars fell four piasters to 154 piasters per dol- lar. The price of gold declined three piasters to 192 piasters per dollar, the lowest price since the fall of 1965. The rate for MPC (scrip) fell to 111 piasters per dollar, two piasters below the level of the previous week and seven piasters below the offi- cial rate. (A graph on monthly and weekly currency and gold rates is included in the Annex.) GVN's View of Its Role in the Economy 4. US officials in Washington and Saigon feel that the viewpoint of current top GVN economic offi- cials presents an opportunity to start moving away from government economic controls and ownership to- ward increased use of private enterprise for the eco- nomic development of Vietnam, According to an em- bassy study, the second most serious factor, after the war itself, blocking Vietnam's progress is a legacy of outmoded and misguided public philosophy to- ward business and the economic system in general. The traditional Vietnamese philosophy of government is that "the government knows best" and that a country is best run from the center by an educated elite, an elite never defined to include businessmen. Most high Vietnamese officials view their role as "running things."--seeing that rules and orders are promulgated to direct and control, fairly minutely, all activities of the economy, whether they be movements of goods, entry into business, prices, or ordering a new piece of machinery. They feel that businessmen and business in general cannot be trusted and see their responsi- bility as one of controlling these elements for the Approved For Fk&I21 1'3 m 6AOo2400060001-3 Approved For ReI&e 2001/03WCJ"- DP79T00OA002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only public good. The trend has continued toward in- creased government interference in the economy, and the US, under the pressures of war and expediency, has unwittingly furthered this trend by adopting policies that involve the government more deeply in the operation ofathe economy. According to the em- bassy, the cliches that government direction and ownership lead to favoritism, lassitude, and inef- ficiency apply with a vengeance in Vietnam. 5. American officials believe that the future economic development of Vietnam depends heavily on a new public philosophy which will give significant scope to the private sector. They hope this can be accomplished through the introduction of US-trained officials, the institution of training in modern business management, and US support for private in- vestments and institutions. Finally, they believe that a new attitude will prevail if individuals who espouse it are successful and survive in public life in Vietnam. According to the embassy, the two top economic officials, National Bank Governor Hanh and his deputy Pham Kim Ngoc, both believe in using and developing the private sector and are the first such officials since independence who have had these views. Ngoc particularly insists on involving busi- nessmen in government decisions and he apparently is determined to break down restrictive government reg- ulations so that goods can move freely, investments can be made without lengthy red tape, and people can enter business freely. As reported earlier, he has already proposed eliminating restrictions on the movement of hogs from the provinces to Saigon. 6. USAID has drawn up a preliminary outline of actions it hopes will foster the development of pri- vate enterprise in Vietnam. These include such things as production targets for agriculture through- out the country, negotiation of a contract with an American university to expand university training in business administration, and feasibility studies for major projects and industry areas and for the establishment of a stock exchange. USAID also will cooperate with Governor Hanh in trying to sell many of the 49 public and semipublic corporations with which the GVN is involved to private persons. These Approved For Refe se 2661/ - ~'ft?t60g1gAQUb1400060001-3 ul~ Approved For Rel*e 2001Mf2X A-RDP79T00$A002400060001-3 No Foreign Dissem/Background Use my and other ideas which USAID hopes to put into effect will depend greatly on the composition of the new government to be elected this fall, but the Americans in Saigon believe that now is the time to begin. No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only Approved For Release 2001?ff2i IA-RDP79T00826A002400060001-3 Approved For, Release 2001/03/22 : CIA-RDP79T00826A00240006,A001 d3 Weekly Retail Prices in Saigon 13 June 3 Jan. 12 June 19 June 26 June 3 July 1966 b/ 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 Index for All Items 173 225 269 267 267 280 Index for Food Items 190 242 295 293 293 314 Of Which: (In Piasters) Rice-Soc Nau (100 kg.) 1,250 1,700 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,500 Pork Bellies (1 kg.) 90 130 160 170 150 180 Fish-Ca Tre (I kg.) 130 150 160 160 180 200 Nuoc Mam (jar) _ 70 90 150 150 150 150 Index for Nonfood Items 140 195 221 219 217 218 Of Which: (In Piasters) Firewood (cu. meter) 360 560 600 550 540 520 Cigarettes (pack) _ 10 14 14 14 14 14 White Calico (meter) 27 33 32 34 33 33 Kerosene (liter) 7.8 10.5 10 10 10 10 a. Data are from USAID sources. For all indexes 1 January 1965 = 100- b. Price level just prior to the 18 June devaluation. ? Approved For Release 2001/03/22 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO02400060001-3 Approved For Rel*e 2001/03/22: CIA-RDP79T00VA002400060001-3 500 400 Saigon Free Market Gold and Currency Prices PIASTERS PER US DOLLAR 3 J 31 MAY 198 / '158 :192 154 111 GOLD: Basis gold leaf worth $35 per troy ounce US $10 GREEN US $10 MPC Military Payment Certificates (scrip). MAY JUN JUL 1967 Approved For Release 2001/03/22 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO02400060001-3