SENIOR INTERDEPARTMENTAL GROUP
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00826A001400010021-7
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
11
Document Creation Date:
December 12, 2016
Document Release Date:
January 14, 2002
Sequence Number:
21
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 31, 1966
Content Type:
IR
File:
Attachment | Size |
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Body:
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31 October 1966
'Nov -1874/66
;Copy-No.
44
INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Prepared, Weekly
for the
SENIOR INTERDEPARTMENTAL GROUP
DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE
NO ev,
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FOREIGN DISSEM/BACKGROUND, USE ONLY
NO UISSEM ABROAD/CONTRQI,LED DISSEM
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GROUP 1
Excluded from avtomdfic
'--downgrading and
decl assifi ration,
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This document contains information affecting the
national defense of the United States, within the
meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US
Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation
of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized
person is prohibited by law.
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Pace
25X6 1 ? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
2. Syria - Pipeline . . . . . . . . . 2
25X6 3. . . . . . . . . 3
4. Cuba . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
5. Colombia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
25X6 6.
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SYRIA
Tripoli
LEBANON
BEIRUT*
Sidon;
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NO FOREIGN DISSEM
2. SYRIA - PIPELINE
Syria is demanding that the Western-owned Iraq
Petroleum Company (IPC) remit $280 million in al-
leged back payments for oil transiting the country
via pipeline from Iraq to the Mediterranean (see
map). Damascus also is insisting on an immediate
100-percent increase in transit rates. It presently
receives $27 million in fees annually.
The Syrian demand would make Kirkuk oil non-
competitive, and IPC has rejected it. Damascus
has refused to consider IPC's counteroffer for an
increase of $4.5 million annually, plus a substan-
tial advance payment at present rates in return for
Syrian cooperation in eliminating several thousand
superfluous workers.
IPC suspects that Syrian intransigence on this
matter is not engendered by financial need alone
but may be intended to put political and economic
pressure on Iraq. However, inasmuch as Syria is
faced with poor crops and is currently financially
strapped, it probably is primarily interested in
money, as well as a "victory" over the Western oil
company to bolster its position in the Arab world.
The regime's radical leftist leadership, abysmally
ignorant of economics, might seize or close down
the line as a pressure tactic.
IPC maintains that it will close the line
rather than accede to Syrian demands, although
it has not so informed the Syrians or the Iraqis.
IPC's parent companies (Standard Oil of New Jersey,
Mobil, British Petroleum, Compagnie Francaise des
Petroles, and Gulbenkian interests) would not suf-
fer greatly from such a move because the pipeline
was amortized long ago and Kirkuk oil can be re-
placed with that from other countries.
Iraq, however, would stand to lose some $270
million annual income from oil exports via Syria
out of its total $382-million oil income. There
is at present no means for exporting northern
Iraqi crude except through Syria. (SECRET NO FOR-
EIGN DISSEM)
-2- 31 October 1966
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25X1 C
25X1 C.
Recent insurgent activities indicate that the
Cubans are now willing to back their militant words
with deeds by providing new assistance to selected
guerrilla groups. Cuba has emphasized a revolution,
ary hard line for Latin America since the January
Tri-Continent Conference.
armed revolution would succeed in Guatemala, Vene-
zuela, Colombia, and Peru as it did in Cuba. Roa
On 18 October Foreign Minister Raul Roa deliv-
ered a militant speech to the UN General Assembly.
Following the usual attacks on the US, he said that
the purpose of
ference was to persuade the USSR to support its
policy of fomenting violent revolution in Latin
America and Africa.
a Cuban diplo-
mat in Mexico City has been implicated in arms
smuggling to Guatemalan guerrillas. In Cuba, train-
ing has recently been renewed for Panamanian, Bo-
livian, and Dominican extremists. There is also
new evidence establishing a direct link between
Cuba and Venezuelan guerrillas. Venezuelan author-
ities have identified the serial numbers on two
outboard motors believed to have been used by guer-
rillas who landed at Tucacas in July. These num-
bers are the same as those on two outboards known
to have been in Cuba in August 1965. The insur-
gents reportedly brought arms and $220,000 in cash
for the dissident rebel group led by Douglas Bravo.
These activities and statements indicate that
Cuba may be reviving support for certain key guer-
rilla groups after soft-pedaling insurgent action
for a year and a half. However, a sizable increase
in aid to rebel forces would further exacerbate
Cuba's already strained relations with Latin Amer-
ica's pro-Moscow Communist parties--which for the
most part are convinced that the strategy of vio-
lence is an erroneous one. (SECRET NO FOREIGN
DISSEM/BACKGROUND USE ONLY/NO DISSEM ABROAD/CON-
TROLLED DISSEM)
-4- 31 October 1966
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President Lleras has decreed stringent antisub-
versive measures.
The decrees had apparently been readied earlier
for promulgation at an opportune moment in line with
Lleras' belief that strong measures must be taken
against unruly student agitators and those who sup-
port Communist guerrillas. The decrees were issued
in response to a stone-throwing semi-riot directed
against Lleras on the campus of National University
on 24 October and the subsequent call for a student
strike by the non-Communist student council.
The new laws state that anyone "linked to sub-
versive activities" can be held under house arrest,
that subversive publications can be closed down,
that travel to Cuba is forbidden, and that the stu-
dent council at National University is suspended.
The decrees affirm the legal right of police and sol-
diers to enter university grounds to preserve order.
They also provide severe punishment for such favorite
student extracurricular activities as stone-throwing,
impeding traffic, and baiting policemen.
These decrees, combined with one issued in Sep-
tember aimed at curbing student strikes, should fa-
cilitate the government's tasks of controlling pub-
lic order and keeping the students in class. Left-
ist student leaders have replied so far with noisy
complaints, and there is a possibility of further
disorders induced by Communist or reckless student
elements.
The leftists seem to have been taken aback by
the decrees, however, and may be wary of challeng-
ing the measures at this time. This lack of reac-
tion and the government's purposeful stand diminish
the chance that the situation could disintegrate into
serious disorder. (CONFIDENTIAL)
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