THE LEADERSHIP UPHEAVAL IN COMMUNIST CHINA

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June 17, 1966
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Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 BEST COPY Available TH.ROUGHOUT FOLDER Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826AW0900100001 17 JUN 1966 .T,C ItAi4 fLP`'. Th fl*44rzb1e fl =it. bra ost iiai x# S :n- to tae President `it`ieJ1 CT i xe save roun bear .~ ' as ~~ Wit eu14 te ~qq~ia future. in the tsigned), VL.. F., Raborri act Concur: /s/ R. J . Smith it. J. SNIW Deputy Director for Intel Distribution: Orig. Addressee (w/;?L.t t,) I -- ER (rr/att) 2 - DCI (w/one co,?y of I, - O/ I (e/att) D/OCI (w/o/att) C/4 - I - OCI/Pres (w/o/att) 1A DDI/OCI/Press : Identical me ; sent w/att (Attacbsent to No. 1578/66, 17 June 66, "The Leadership Upheaval to Ceunist China," (SECRET) an revised 17 June) The Honorable Bill Moye J The Honorable Robert S. ss r=~ The noi pprove FFor a eas 2005/ f f..?' i o r - The Honorable Dean . The Honorable Geo'ge W. Ball The Honorable Wi ll ias Bundy. General Earle G. Wheeler 8/01 P79T00826A000900100001-5 VEO 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Q,elease 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T008264W00900100001-5 CLASS ATION OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE MEMO NO.: SUBJECT: REQUESTED OR ORIGINATED BY: ADDITIONAL COMMENTS: CLASSIFICATION 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For eas05/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826'09d0001-5 'As SIFICA'1'1oN CIFFICf: OF ('T-RP'NT T:mFI,LI(- EN('p' MEMO NO. SUBJECT: REQUESTED OR C)RIG-n:ATJ-.. ILLEGIB ~_~ =.11~,SIr IC'ATION Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 No.1578/66 OPY r0. Z 4 App,~ir~d,br RIdase2005/p//~''{{1.. ^~jl/A`7-=^jy`/j P_ Approved Fclease 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T008V0000900100001-5 This Document contains information affecting the Na- tional Defense of the United States, within the mean- ing of Title il. Sections 793 and 794, of the U.S. Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. The _ reproduction of this form is prohibited. Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2001-t"DP79T00826A000900100001-5 No, 1578/66 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence 17 June 1966 The Leadership Upheaval in Communist China Communist China has, in a sense, entered a transi- tion period even before Mao's final departure. Mao's absences from the public scene are growing longer and longer, suggesting recurring illnesses, perhaps of growing seriousness. Circumstances surrounding his last absence for five and on.e-half months this past winter and spring are unknown, but it is inconceivable that events would have unfolded as they have if his grip on the party had not slipped. Mao Tse-tung probably remains the dominant leader, and can probably impose his will, but at least since November has not had the sure sustained control of events that a party leader aims at; he is more de- pendent on his key lieutenants than he used to be; and not all of them are thoroughly reliable in his terms. It is possible, moreover, that he is being pushed. by ambitious colleagues to turn over to them more and more of the party machinery and the authority to make domestic and foreign policy decisions. It could be that we are seeing the beginning of the end of the long Mao era. At the present moment, the situation is highly fluid. Disclosures already made point to a power play by Teng Hsiao-ping, the powerful general secre- tary of the party, who seems to be making a bid to replace Liu Shao-chi as Mao's deputy in the party and therefore the heir apparent, and in this he may be succeeding. Teng is probably working with or *Prepared by the Office of Current Intelligence and coordinated with the office of National Estimates. Approved For Release 2005 A "9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 20051 kW9T0082 0900100001-5 :..No, 1578/66 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence 17 June 1966 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM* The Leadership Upheaval in Communist China SUMMARY Communist China has, in a sense, entered a transi- tion period even before Mao's final departure. Mao's absences from the public scene are growing longer and lon.ger., suggesting recurring illnesses, perhaps of growing seriousness. Circumstances surrounding his last absence for five and on.e-half months this past winter and spring are unknown., but it is inconceivable that events would have unfolded as they have if his grip on the party had not slipped. Mao Tse-tung probably remains the dominant leader, and can probably impose his will, but at least since November has not had the sure sustained control of events that a party leader aims at; he is more de- pendent on. his key lieutenants than he used to be; and not all of them are thoroughly reliable in his terms. It is possible, moreover, that he is being pushed by ambitious colleagues to turn over to them more and more of the party machinery and the authority to make domestic and foreign policy decisions. It could be that we are seeing the beginning of the end of the long Mao era. At the present moment, the situation is highly fluid, Disclosures already made point to a power play by Teng Hsiao-ping, the powerful general secre- tary of the party, who seems to be making a bid to replace Liu Shao-chi as Mao's deputy in the party and therefore the heir apparent, and in this he may be succeeding. Teng is probably working with or *Prepared by the Office of Current Intelligence. Approved For Release 2005/1~ 9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Paiease 200 T9T00826QA0900100001-5 using Lin Piao, whose place in. the army would make him a useful ally. Teng probably built the case that :Led to the recent ouster of Peng Chen, a rival in Mao's inner circle of advisers, and is probably attempting to place loyal followers in key spots throughout the party, security, and military ap- paratus. Peng Chen has already been replaced in the Peking city apparatus with one of Teng's proteges. Teng is in a key slot. As general secretary of the party and ranking member of the secretariat, he controls the day-to-day business of the party machine. There are important parallels between Teng's position, today and that of Stalin and Khrushchev when they made their bids for supreme power. The duration of this fight and its outcome are conjectural. Forces have already been loosed which may be hard to cage again. If the process is a lengthy one--a definite possibility--it could turn disorderly. Men who have submerged differences and ambit:ion.s under Mao will not necessarily continue to do so under his successor. The situation could even degenerate into regionalism, which traditionally ap- pears when central authority is weakened. We do not expect to see abrupt shifts in do- mestic or foreign policy while the struggle goes on. All the contenders--Liu Shao-chi, Teng Hsiao-ping, Chou ]gin-lai and Lin. Piao--are hardline Chinese Com- munists, and quick changes are unlikely. There might be some modifications in approach, however, if only in reaction to the immobilism of Mao's de- clining years. Any new leadership might, for ex- ample, elect to turn the country's attention to the problems it faces at home in an effort to get the Chinese Communist revolution moving again. Approved For Release 2005/Q$I,Q1 Q 9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Raiease 2006fiC - '79T00826-,t~Q00900100001-5 Table of Contents THE LEADERSHIP UPHEAVAL IN COMMUNIST CHINA Page Summary i The Fall of Peng Chen 1 The Power Struggle Continues 5 The Role of Mao Tse-tung and Others 8 The Period Just Ahead 11 ANNEXES: (A) Chronology of the Leadership Struggle 1 September 1965 to Mid-June 1966 (B) Peng Chen.'s Activities Since 1 October 1965 (C) Treatment of Liu Shao-chi in the Chinese Press Since November 1965 (D) Status of Chinese Communist Leaders Approved For Release 200TVi~.Wfy 179T00826A0009001 00001-5 Approved For R,ease 2005 1 L; ~ffi6p9TO082GQ00900100001-5 The Fall of Peng Chen 1.. The Chinese Communist Party, long one of the most stable and tightly knit in the Communist world, is being racked by an. unprecedented chain. of events which have already extended over six or more months (a detailed chronology is provided as Annex A). The external manifestations of the internal realities of these events are fragmentary and usually tardy. Firm conclusions as to what really is going on are a risky business, since the known facts lend themselves to several explanations. 21. Conceivably, Mao Tse-tung may be fully in. charge of the purge of an errant comrade or two. If so, he is proceeding in a most uncharacteristic way. In the past, Mao has conducted his infrequent purges by acting first and explaining to the Chinese public later. He has shown a distaste for airing dirty leadership linen in public. In the present case, leading party journals have been openly and persis- tently attacking one another over a period of months. This we take to be a sure sign of disarray in the higher councils of the party, from which normally flow the rigid guidelines governing the makeup of the publications. The hypothesis which best fits this and other unusual features of the Chinese political landscape this past winter and spring is that a genuine power struggle has been and is under way in Peking. Central to this interpretation are both the case of Peng Chen, until March one of the five or six top Chinese Communists, and the indications since his fall in April that some party leaders re- main unsatisfied. Peng was a key figure in the con- trol of the party apparatus, and it was whispered in Peking that he was a leading contender for party leadership after Mao was gone. As such he was a natural rival of Teng Hsiao-ping, similarly placed and with similar ambitions. 4. The case Teng built against Peng Chen, the only important figure publicly removed so far, re- veals tactics which may be used to bring down other officials. Approved For Release 2005A~8{A,1~:,CIQpP,~9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For R ease 20609'~C:F~1~DP79T00826 0900100001-5 5. Peng's authority stemmed primarily from his senior positions in the politburo and the secre- tariat;, the body responsible for running the party's day to day affairs. He also performed largely cere- monial functions as first secretary of the Peking municipal party committee and mayor of Peking, and it was through these positions that he was publicly attacked. 6. The chief charge leveled against him, but never specifically articulated, is that he tried to pave the way for a coup d'etat. He reportedly did this by directing party journals published by his Peking committee to print numerous essays and ar- ticles from 1959 through 1962 satirizing and slander- ing Mao Tse-tung and the party. Writers employed by him are now described as revisionist renegades of the worst sort. They include men like Teng To, a Peking party secretary, and Wu Han., a vice mayor of Peking. 7. The major work which figured in the attack on Peng; Chen was "Dismissal of Hai Jui," a play written by Wu Han in January 1961. This play de- picts the trials of a virtuous Ming Dynasty (1368- 1644) official who tried to help oppressed peasan.ts and was dismissed by an unjust emperor for his pains. Since April, all major party newspapers have seen this as a symbolic play, in, which the leading figure represented former defense minister Pen.g Te-huai, purged as a "right opportunist" in August 1959. The unjust emperor, of course, was taken to represent Mao Tse-tung. The charges go on to claim that Wu Han., working on behalf of right opportunists who survived the 1959 purge, wrote the play both to pro- test Peng's removal and to encourage other survivors to wait for an opportunity to seize party leadership. 8. The charges make no effort to explain how the true meaning of "Hai Jui" and other allegedly slanderous material escaped the attention of the party for so many years, and it is difficult on other grounds to accept the charges at face value. Peng Chen was long a member in good standing of the dominant doctrinaire group of top leaders and had risen in recent years. In 1964 Peng was brought into the elite group of men identified as Mao's "close Approved For Release 2057//C]f79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For ease 200 SWA& ilME 79T00826QD0900100001-5 comrades-in.-arms." Liu Shao-chi, Chou En.-lai, Ten.g, and Lin. Piao are the others given. this accolade. As a hardliner, Peng has been, in. the forefront of the anti-intellectual campaign. begun several years ago by the regime. 9. The opening gun for the attack was fired in the 10 November Shanghai Wen Hui Pao in an. ar- ticle by Yao Wen-yuan, a name a er inked directly with the attacking forces. Yao called "Hai Jul" a big poisonous weed. The article was republished in. the 29 November Liberation. Army Journal, which ap- pended an. editorial note endorsing ao's view. The journal later called this an "important, militant and correct" view. The Peking Daily, published by Peng's party committee, also reprinted Yao's article on 29 November, but added a neutral editorial note stating that "Hai Jui's" status was undetermined. This stand was promptly endorsed explicitly by People's Daily and implicitly by Red Flag, the prestigious organs of the central committee itself. 10. The stand taken by these two organs means that Peng, in effect, was being protected from at- tacks by the party leader then in, charge, who would have been Liu Shao-chi in Mao's absence. Peng's heavy schedule of appearances from November through March also indicates that his position remained se- cure. In. that period he made numerous speeches, some on important issues, and greeted many foreign delegations. (See Annex B). On. 1 January, Red Flag published a major statement which took an extremely harsh line against "cultural" enemies and attrib- uted this lin.e to Peng Chen, as well as to Mao and Lin Piao. Peng's last major act was to host Le Duan., first secretary of the Vietnamese party, on his 22- 25 March visit to Peking. Le Duan. may still be puzzling over that one. 11. During April, the case aimed at Peng Chen began. building up in the party press in, a way indi- cating that he had come under heavy attack in high party circles about the end of March. Red Flag on. 5 April finally conceded that "Hai Jui" was indeed an. antiparty, poisonous weed. People's Daily broke down on. 8 April, admitting that "all" articles pub- lished since November labeling "Hai Jui" a poisonous weed had been correct. Approved For Release 200 ?J b ,79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 200L;QV79T00826Q00900100001-5 12. The ambivalent record of the two organs later in. April, however, could suggest that Peng was still being defended among top leaders who were trying to mitigate the charges against him. Perhaps a better explanation is that they had already thrown Peng to the wolves and were busy trying to defend themselves. 13. The next major development in the case against Peng Chen. was an abject confession by Peking Daily (Peng's journal) on. 16 April. This bore aIT- t e earmarks of a last-minute, desperate attempt to defend against behind-the-scenes attacks. The Peking paper admitted that it had published much "antiparty" material in 1961-62 and that the principal authors-- Ten.g To, Liao Mo-sha, and Wu Han, all Peng's subor- din.ates--were members of an "antiparty gang." Neither People's Daily nor Red Flag took note of the confession.. People's Daily on 19 April attacked a writer not con- necEedwith the Peking apparatus, possibly to divert attention from it. Red Flag on 29 April again at- tacked Wu Han, but no eng To or Liao Mo-sha. 14. By early May, the fate of Peng Chen appeared to be settled. The Liberation. Army Journal, which has stayed in the forefront of the attack, declared on 4 May that the party was engaged in. a "life and death" combat with unnamed "right opportunists" within the party. This was the first public revelation that such enemies were currently active. On. 8 May, the Liberation Army Journal unleashed a savage attack on the Pe ing Daily and Teng To. 15. The army journals' onslaught signaled the beginning of a nationwide campaign of extraordinary intensity. For more than three weeks, all party papers, including People's Daily and Red Flag, were filled with attacks on Teng WS "black store." Meetings and symposia were held throughout the na- tion to denounce Teng To and his "backers." Expo- sure of the "behind-the-scenes boss" was demanded with increasing frequency. The Chinese people were therefore well prepared for the disclosure on 3 June that Peng Chen had been. dismissed. Peng has publicly been. stripped only of his post as first secretary of Peking, but the press has been treating his downfall in all political roles as an accomplished fact. Approved For Release 200K$/~~{r4, T79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Ryease 200 171 &Er[779T00826"00900100001-5 16. Behind these public revelations lie the facts of the matter: that persons opposed to Peng Chen used the intensifying anti-intellectual drive set in motion by Mao in 1964 and 1965 to get Peng, and that they carefully built a case against him. The record indicates that Peng was brought down shortly after his last public appearance on 29 March and was formally stripped of his powers in early May, possibly after a behind-the-scenes trial during April. The Power Struggle Continues 17. It is possible that Mao, morbidly suspicious, was persuaded that Peng Chen was no longer reliable and condoned the purge for this and no other reason. This is not likely, however. The slow development of the attacks against Peng and the growing signs that other key figures fell with him and that still others are under attack strongly suggest that this is not a situation where a unified leadership under Mao is conducting a purge, but that it is a genuine power struggle. 18. The two ostensible charges against Peng-- that he is a bourgeois revisionist opposed to Mao's thinking and that he aspired to the top post--are implausible. Peng's record stamps him unmistakably as a doctrinaire hardliner. He was sixth in the power structure, and did not have enough power assets to pull off a coup by himself. 19. As already noted, in the past when Mao found it necessary to remove an errant comrade, he moved quietly, not even hinting that a purge was under way until it was an accomplished fact. 20. If this were a purge of men who could not be trusted to carry out Mao's revolutionary line, then. the wrong leaders have been brought down. Peng Chen, and others on a growing list of suspects, are hardbitten old revolutionaries, without an ounce of softness, stamped in the same mold as Mao. They are mainly key officials in the control apparatus of the party and army, the kind of men one would expect to see picked off early in a genuine power struggle. (See Annex D) Approved For Release 200xrl~kp`T 9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For PkWbase 200 OP79T00826QO0900100001-5 21. Signs of confusion at the top last winter and spring--while Mao was out of sight--also argue that the leadership had been disputing. 22. The clearest evidence that factions have been disputing is the differing, and at times op- posing, lines taken by major party journals since last November. Liberation Army Journal was in. the forefront of the attack that led ultimately to Peng Chen.'s downfall. From November through March, People's Daily and Red Flag were trying to soften. and deflect the attack: The two fell in line after 1 May, but there are still signs of differences, and the army paper continues in. the forefront. Its attacks have been. consistently sharper than those of the two central committee publications, and other differences remain.. 23. So far the Liberation Army Journal has not attacked the People's Daily and Red Flag by name, as it did Pen.g en s e ing Daily.`3t has criti- cized stands taken by the pair an implied that they had lagged in'the struggle. On. 17 May the army journal blasted the "absurd" view set forth by the People's Daily on 14 April that the purpose of put- ts gnti poicsin command was to get work done. Ac- cording to Liberation. Army Journal, the purpose should be to revolutionize people' s outlook. 24. On 6 June the Liberation Army Journal pub- lished a list of key statements on the struggle that have appeared in various party journals. The paper represented itself and the Shanghai Wen. Hui Pao as being in. the forefront of attacks launched in- No-vember 1965, with Red Flag entering the fray in Feb- ruary and People's Daily in June. This version of history, however, was promptly disputed in an 11 June NCNA (.New China News Agency) broadcast. The broad- cast agreed that Shanghai Wen. Hui Pao had launched the attack, but did not credit the Liberation Army Journal with playing a role until May. e first follow=ups to the Shanghai attack cited by NCNA were articles that had appeared in Red Flag and People's Daily in early April. 25X1 Approved For Release 200r 4 ,79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2005AWO'Ct,&&T79T00826W0900100001-5 25. It is reasonably clear by now that a group controlling the Liberation Army Journal and the Shang- hai Wen. Hui Pao has been attacking t e group in con- trol of the major central committee organs, People's Daily, Red Flag, and NCNA. The attackers appeared to have won the first round by early May, but the struggle is far from ended. 26. The Liberation Army Journal has been, de- scribed recently as an organ of e military affairs committee of the central committee. Because of its responsibility for indoctrination in the armed forces, the general political department (which is subordinate to Terig Hsiao-ping's secretariat) may actually publish the paper. In any event, the editor in chief is an old associate of Teng's. 27'. The Shanghai Wen. Hui Pao is published by the East China bureau of the party. This bureau has been without an announced head since April 1965, and is quite likely being run directly by the secretariat. 28. The People's Daily and Red Flag, the party's most authorita ive journals, have a ways been con- trolled by the top leadership. Their secondary, and at times defensive, role in developing the attacks on party "enemies" is significant; it indicates that the entrenched top leadership team of Mao and Liu was not behind the attacks. 29. Mao himself may not necessarily be under attack. He could, however, be under strong pressure to replace Liu with a more impressive deputy to serve during his absences. 30. Much of the vacillation apparent in People's Daily and Red Flag recently could be explainey Mao's reluctance to turn against his old comrade Liu. Or, since Mao presumably condoned the ouster of Peng Chen, a Liu protege, he may have already agreed to retire Liu, but is still undecided on his replacement, 31.. Whatever the explanation, fresh disclosures of leadership turnover are expected. Since Pen.g's announced ouster on 3 June, the Peking press has hinted several times that there are "party overlords" and enemies in "very high positions" who will not be able to conceal themselves much longer. Approved For Release 2005 9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Phase 2005SI# Ciffil'T9T00826#1p00900100001-5 The Role of Mao Tse-tung and Others Mao Tse-Tung His absences from public view are getting longer and longer. He did not make a single public appearance between 26 No- vember last year and early May. On 10 May Peking announced that he recently met with a visiting Al- banian delegation. He has not reappeared. 34. The meeting came at a time when diplomatic rumors and press stories that Mao was incapacitated had reached a high point. Foreign press speculation to this effect had drawn angry denials from Chinese Communist Foreign Ministry spokesmen on 26 March and 3 May. 35. Mao's grip on party affairs appeared to be weak during his absence. This is suggested by a num- ber of things. Almost immediately after Mao went out of sight on. 26 November, party newspapers began taking opposing positions on, issues which led to the ouster of Peng Chen. 36. There was a remarkable upsurge in adulatory attention to Mao as an institution in the Chinese press from December through March, and again in June as all. parties tried to wrap themselves in Mao's mantle. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/0 //011 C DP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For RAbease 2005f RAUR P79T00826"00900100001-5 37. Most signs of leadership confusion since November occurred during his long absence. He prob- ably was incapacitated, especially in the early months of his absence, but he has been able to exercise a greater unifying influence since his return.. In, general, however, his position, seems to have been weakened and his current role must be put down as uncertain. 38. The role of Liu Shao-chi, who has been. Mao's deputy in the party and chosen successor since the mid-50s, is equally in question. It is diffi- cult to see how Liu could avoid being weakened by his irresolute leadership from November through March as well as by Peng's downfall. Peng had been Liu's deputy in the party from 1949 to 1954 when Teng Hsiao-ping came in and squeezed Peng out of the inner circle. Liu was presumably at least partially responsible for Peng's comeback in recent years. 39. Liu's appearances since Peng was brought down in March and the slight but perhaps significant change in treatment of him in the Peking press sug- gest that his party stature has declined. From 22 March to 20 April, during a period of intense po- litical infighting in Peking Liu was out of town. I IThere was no reception for him on his return to e :Lng or even an acknowledgement that he was back. No precedent is known for this omission. Even minor officials are greeted publicly on their return from abroad. Liu did not appear with Mao at his re- surfacing ceremony in May. Liu's place at Mao's right hand was taken by Teng Hsiao-ping. 40. Liu continues to appear routinely in his ceremonial role as chief of state (Chairman of the Chinese People's Republic), but press attention to him as a leader and ideological authority has dropped off since March. All top leaders are normally greatly overshadowed by the attention given to Mao, but for several years Liu, more than his colleagues, has 26x1 Approved For Release 200 fT$ V"T79TOO826A000900100001-5 Approved For R ase 200SS891C I EC 79T00826W0900100001-5 been allowed to share a small part of the limelight. His work "How To Be a Good Communist" has been recom- mended,alon.g with Mao's works, as ideological study material. Liu had been described as an, effective leader, a reliable interpreter of Mao, and--along with Mao--an authority for domestic policies. Last winter Liu's name was cited in this manner two or three times a month, but few such references have been rioted since March. (See Annex C) Tong Hsiao-ping 41. On the surface, the three remaining men in the top power structure--Teng Hsiao-ping, Chou En.- lai, and Lin Piao--appear to have remained in good shape or gained as a result of recent developments. All appeared with Mao Tse-tung in early May. Photo- graphs of that meeting show Teng, Chou, and Lin, in that order, sitting to the right of Mao. 42. At the moment, Teng seems to be gaining. The removal of a potent rival, Peng Chen, strengthens his position.. Peng's replacement as first secretary of the Peking city apparatus, North China party boss Li Hsueh-feng, probably is a protege of Teng's. Few of the key officials who dropped out of sight with Peng had important past connections with Teng, who may well be replacing them with his own loyal. fol- lowers. The most important official whose status is in. question is Lo Jui-ching, army chief of staff and top security chief. Lo has not appeared since 27 November and, according to diplomatic rumors in Peking, was removed in March. A likely replacement for him, at least in the security job, would be Min- ister of Public Security Hsieh Fu-chih, a long-time Teng man . 43. Premier Chou En-lai, China's Mikoyan in terms of flexibility, appears thus far to have managed to stay aloof from the struggle. He is a useful technician and as such has a good chance to survive. Approved For Release 2005/g81-9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For ReWase 2005 C. Rk 79T00826AU00900100001-5 Lin Piao 44. Contrary to western. press speculation, De- fense Minister Lin Piao probably is not a contender for the top slot. His name is sometimes used to re- inforce Mao's authority, but this practice goes back several years. Exhortations to study the instruc- tions of Lin Piao as well as Mao have appeared with increasing frequency since the publication of a ma- jor article by Lin in September 1965. 45. Lin Piao may be cooperating with Teng Hsiao- ping, presumably the driving force behind the attacks. Lin's place in the army would make him a useful ally. It is unlikely that Lin himself, with his long record of illness and absence from public life, seriously aspires to the top job. This and the fact that Lin has little strength in the party may be reasons why Teng might be willing to work with him. It is pos- sible that Mao now considers Lin Piao a suitable interim successor. If so, Teng might acquiesce, be- lieving he could use Lin as a front man. 46. Lin. has a brilliant record as a revolutionary field commander and is the only military man in the inner circle. This in itself makes him an unlikely candidate for the top post in a state that places such great stress on party primacy over the army. 47'. Thus, on the basis of all information available to us, we believe that a struggle for Mao's mantle has already broken out and will go on until Mao finally does shuffle off and his successor is able to consolidate power. Although the struggle has developed with a rapidity which must have been startling to some in. Peking, its duration and out- come are uncertain at this point of time. 48. The process could turn out to be even more disorderly than it has been so far. We cannot ex- pect men who have submerged their personalities and ambitions for years under Mao's restraining hand to be equally willing to do so for another figure. Mao was absent for five and one-half months this past Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 ,SECRET Approved For Rase 200/GU(C-T79T00826MA00900100001-5 winter and spring and was probably ill for some part of this period. His absence seems to have reminded party officials that he will not be around forever. Signs of disarray were not long in appearing. 49. There is indeed a chance that Mao's final removal will permit differences to be brought more clearly into the open. This could lead to overt factionalism, affecting the cohesion and direction of the regime. If the struggle is protracted we may even see a recrudescence of regionalism, which traditionally appears in China when the central au- thority is weakened. 50. The possibility of such a series of devel- opments would be less if the hard-driving Teng Hsiao- ping were able to bring down his major party rivals before Mao goes. He has already been instrumental in Pen;g Chen.'s downfall. In the process he has prob- ably weakened Liu and possibly even Mao. He has not yet won all the cards. He could still be stopped if his potential victims were to write and work ener- getically against him. Now, however, the tide seems to be running in his favor. 51. As we see it now, the struggle among the leaders is primarily over power, not issues. Its public manifestations have been couched in terms of hard-core revolutionary purity and an absolute fi- delity to the thought of Mao Tse-tung. The attackers present themselves as unswerving champions of both, willing and able to spot the first hint of deviation. Those attacked are presented in this material as having tried over a period of years to besmirch the true revolutionaries, undercut Mao's thought, and restore the hated bourgeoisie. These an.tiparty ele- ments are shielded by "knuckleheaded" party leaders who cannot tell a fragrant flower from a poisonous weed. 52. Such charges and testaments of orthodoxy are, however, poor guides to what the attackers actually represent and will do if they win. out. In. the Soviet Union the attackers sometimes stole the very policies espoused by those they attacked and vanquished. It is too early to speculate as to what will come out of the struggle in the way of specific policy. Approved For Release 200 1-, ~iAsRB,Pr79TOO826A000900100001-5 Approved For l ase 2005'S 'R4 I9T00826AW0900100001-5 53. Some special remarks can, perhaps, be made. It seems fair to say that for the duration of the struggle, the attention of the top men in Peking will be fastened on the issue of personal survival. Abrupt shifts in policy--or even in the execution of established policy--do not seem likely either at home or abroad. There is already evidence that the disarray at the top is breeding confusion at the lower levels. 54. All the contenders for the leadership are confirmed and practicing dogmatic Communists, and this is not likely to change no matter who comes out on top. There might be changes in approach, however, if only in reaction to the immobilism of Mao's declining years, which has gained the Chinese precious little at home and led to a series of set- backs abroad. Future Chinese leaders would surely wish to better this record, and could conceivably turn 'their attention to an effort to get the nation rolling again. The task at home will be formidable, especially since the party apparatus is likely to be damaged and made less effective by fallout from the power struggle. 55. We see no reason to expect any changes from the present implacable hostility toward the US. Nor do we see Chinese leaders moving quickly to kiss and make up with the Soviets. Basic changes, of course, are possible over the long term but the shift would take time. Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 SECRET Approved For R16 ase 20~ ~P79T00826 0900100001-5 ANNEX A CHRONOLOGY OF THE LEADERSHIP STRUGGLE SEPTEMBER 1965 to MID-JUNE 19-6T-- Sep 65 AT A PARTY CENTRAL COMMITTEE PLENUM, MAO SAYS IT IS NECESSARY TO CRITICIZE "BOURGEOIS REACTIONARY THINKING." LIBERATION ARMY JOURNAL ON 6 JUNE 3966IMPLIED IS INSPIRED CURRENT STRUGGLE. 1 Oct Routine National Day speech. by Pen.g Chen. SHANGHAI WEN HUI PAO (A PARTY PAPER PUBLISHED 1 I) LABELED WU HAN'S 1961 PLAY "DISMISSAL OF HAI JUI" A "POISONOUS WEED." LATER SAID TO BE OPENING GUN IN ATTACKS AIMED AT PENG CHEN. THIS INITIAL CRITICISM, BY AN UNKNOWN WRITER YAO WEN-YUAN, CHARGED WU HAN WITH PRETTIFYING THE FEUDAL CLASS IN HIS PORTRAYAL OF .HAI JUI AS A VIRTUOUS MING DYNASTY OFFICIAL WHO HAD THE PEASANTS' INTERESTS AT HEART. WU HAN WAS ACCUSED OF OPPOSING THE COMMUNES IN HIS DESCRIPTION OF HAI JUI'S EFFORTS TO GET LAND RETURNED TO THE PEASANTS. 12 Nov Liberation Daily (Shanghai municipal party committee organ, not the Liber.a- tiOn Army Journal) reprints Yao's artic e. Liu Shao-chi drops out of sight, does not reappear for two months. 24-26 Nov East China provincial committee organs reprint Yao's article. Mao, Chen Po-ta drop from sight (Chen is a politburo member, ghost writer for Mao, and editor of Red Flag.) Lo Jui-ching, army chief of staff, made his last noted appearance, it was in Shanghai. Approved For Release 200 W"C 79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For ease 2005 C 4E"['3 n9T00826A4p0900100001-5 28 Nov 65 Shanghai Wen Hui Pao initiates a column for discussion, calls for "hundred flowers," i.e., open, debate. 29 Nov Yang Shang-kun, Mao's aide-de-camp, drops from sight. 29 Nov LIBERATION ARMY JOURNAL REPRINTS YAO'S 10 NOVEMBER ARTICLE, LABELS HAI JUI A "POISONOUS WEED," 29 Nov PEKING DAILY (ORGAN PEKING MUNICIPAL PARTY COMMITTEE) ALSO REPRINTS YAO, BUT EDITOR'S NOTE CALLS FOR "HUNDRED FLOWERS" DEBATE. 30 Nov PEOPLE'S DAILY (THE ORGAN OF THE CENTRAL COMMITTEE KES HAI JUI A NATIONAL IS- SUE BY REPRINTING YAO BUT IT ENDORSES PEKING DAILY'S VIEWS; EDITOR'S NOTE CALLS H NDRED FLOWERS'! DEBATE. 6 Dec Shanghai Wen Hui Pao prints a box-score on which papers had printed what on "Hai Jul." RED FLAGARTICLE IMPLICITLY ENDORSES REFUSAL-OF PEOPLE'S DAILY AND PEKING DAILY TO CALL HAI JUI 'POISONO US WEED." 13 Dec Peking municipal party committee spon- sors forum of literature students to discuss Hai Jui; Teng To, a committee official, speaks, defends Wu Han, criticizes Yao's article on Hai Jui. 15 Dec People's Daily presents summary of views on Hai ui; editor's note finds weaknesses but still does not condemn 27 Dec Peking Daily publishes a self-serving criticism ~y Wu Han, Wu admits to un- intended error but says he wished to portray true character of Hai Jui and thus prevent "right opportunists" from using him. Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 SECRET Approved For Fase 2006 DT79T00826AQ#0900100001-5 CVG 30 Dec 65 People's Daily republishes Wu Han's see -criticism, 1 Jan 66 RED FLAG PUBLISHES SPEECH BY CHOU YANG, A-MA(TVSPOKESMAN AND REGIME'S CHIEF HATCHETMAN IN CULTURAL MATTERS. AL- LEGEDLY GIVEN ON 29 NOVEMBER, IT WAS ONE OF BITTEREST ATTACKS EVER MADE AGAINST INTELLECTUALS. CHOU QUOTES PENG CHEN AS AN AUTHORITY, CITES LIN PIAO'S INSTRUCTIONS AS RIGHT FOR ALL CULTURAL WORKERS, FAILS TO CALL "HAI JUI" A POISONOUS WEED. Shanghai symposium discusses Wu Han.'s self-criticism; some defend, most are critical. Wen. Hui Pao in publishing minutes labels Fie sf-criticism a counterattack and charges that he actually had been trying to support "right opportunists" in Hai Jui. People's Daily reprints the minutes of the symp?sum and the Wen Hui Pao comment. 21 Jan. Liu Shao-chi reappears. Signed article in People's Daily charges that Wu Han, Tien. 1Han an:dTh 't:6 i d writer wrote "ant;iparty" plays in 1.961. First antiparty charge levelled at Wu Han. Brunt of attack aimed at Tien Han, who has no connection with Peking city, was not mentioned in later Liberation Army Journal charges. Red Flag addresses itself to Hai Jui, deSCrlU-6s Wu Han as anti--Marxist but not as antiparty; claims he aimed ai class reconciliation, not class struggle. 25X1 Approved For Release 2005511 C. - q+19T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Rase 2005DEC 79T00826AQ,pb900100001-5 27 Feb 66 Red Flag again attacks those who will not appl I y "class struggle" to history and will not put history in service of politics; this again is "anti- Marxist." 3 Mar Teng Hsiao-ping drops out of sight and remains out through March. Possibly Mar Ouyan.g Chin, believed to be a protege of Peng Chen, replaced as first secre- tary of Heilungkiang Province. 25X1 High Soviet officials indicate Chinese still expected to attend Soviet congress. Peking sends letter refusing invitation to Soviet congress. Liu Shao-chi and Foreign Minister Chen Yi leave Peking for Urumchi, in far western China, as first step in a for- eign tour. 22 Mar Ai Ssu-chi's funeral committee: Peng Chen is chairman., Teng To a member. Historian Chien Po-tsan first comes under attack. Red Flag and People's Daily accuse him of taking a "bourgeois" view of history and call him the "chief anti-Marxist" historian, along with Wu Han, to have emerged in recent years. Apparently, this is an, attempt to divert attention from Wu Han as the dominant culprit. 26 Mar PEKING SAYS THAT MAO IS NOT ILL. 26 Mar Liu and Chen Yi leave Urumchi for West Pakistan.. Peng Chen, makes a speech at-Peking rally for visiting Japanese Communists; speech is tough, anti-Soviet. Approved For Release 2005 $~Qy:,, 4,R~p79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Rase 200-1821 RT9T00826AG90900100001-5 SWA 5 Apr PENG CHEN MAKES HIS LAST APPEARANCE. RED FLAG DESCRIBES HAI JUI AS "POISONOUS WEED," CHARGES THAT WU HAN WAS PROMOTING AN "IMPORTANT GENERAL" OF RIGHT OPPOR- TUNISM WHO HAD BEEN DISMISSED IN 1959 (FORMER DEFENSE MINISTER PENG TE--HUAI). ALSO, FOR FIRST TIME, RED FLAG DESCRIBES 25X1 5 Apr Liberation Army Journal editorial, on p'o1itics a--#Tie ore says "old com- rades" and those in "high positions" must engage in self-criticism. 7 Apr People's Daily links Hai Jui. directly to the 195 Lushan plenum of the cen- tral committee. Paper all but explicitly charges that Hai. Jui in reality repre- sents Peng Te-hua:iand that Wu Han was inciting surviving members of Peng's group to try a comeback. A-5 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 SECRET 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Next 9 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Rase 2008J@CRiE 79T00826U00900100001-5 ANNEX C TREATMENT OF LIU SHAO-CHI IN THE CHINESE PRESS SINCE NOVEMBER 196b For several years the Chinese press and radio have been building up Liu Shao-chi as an ideological authority, an effective leader, a reliable interpreter of Mao, and Mao's deputy. This buildup has been in a low key, with usually only one or two refer- ences a month to Liu's name in this manner. No other leader besides Mao has been given this attention, however, and it has been clearly designed to groom Liu as Mao's suc- cessor. This list of references to Liu's name is limited to those that deal with his party role and his writings, and does not include his numerous public activities as ceremonial chief of state. The attention to Liu in his party role was heavier than usual last winter and spring, but dropped off after March. In this listing, SCMP is an abbreviation for "Survey of China Mainland Press" published by the American Consulate General in Hong Kong. All references to "FBIS" are to the FBIS Far East Daily book. --4 November 1965, Peking, Kuang-ming Daily: An article on agricultural middle schooossta -e ave not sufficiently studied and implemented the directives of the party center, Chairman Mao and Chairman Liu, and as our experience is still inadequate, there are still many problems in our work." (SCMP 3582, 22 November 1965) --5 December 1965, Peking, NCNA: Peking reported that a National Conference on Part-Work Part-Study Education in cities "was called under the direct leadership of the party central committee and Chairman. Liu and pre- sided over by the Ministry of Education. Chairman Liu, Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 SECRET Approved For K!L(ease 200?RAPC79T00826"00900100001-5 Premier Chou, and other leaders gave important in- structions at the conference. The conference re- called the instructions given by the party central committee, Chairman Mao and Chairman Liu about the party's educational guideline." (SCMP 3598, 15 December 1965) --8 December 1965, Nanking, NCNA: At a National Conference of Higher Education held in Nanking dele- gates "studied Chairman Mao's idea of education and Chairman Liu's instructions about enforcing two laboring systems and two educational systems and intensifying spare-time education and the CCP cen- tral committee's related documents." (SCMP 3599, 16 December 1965) --9 December 1965, Peking, NCNA: Minister of Higher Education told a rally of young people on the 30th anniversary of the "December 9 movement" that Liu Shao-chi had organized and led the movement. The front-page of the 9 December issue of Jen-min Jih-pao headlined both Mao and Liu's role in the movement, with calligraphy of both priminently dis- played. (SCMP 3597, 14 December 1965) --18 December 1965, Peking, Liberation Army Journal: An editorial quoted Liu's How To Be Good Communist in exhorting every member of-the ommunist Party, of the Communist Youth League and the PLA to emulate Wang Chieh in "absolute obedience to the Party's orders." (SCMP 3606, 29 December 1965) --31 December 1965, Peking, People's Daily: An article by Soong Ching-ling reviewing 16 years of "liberation" quoted Liu (The Victory of Marxism-Leninism in China): "...We have in practice oiscovere the road t~ia , under the prevailing conditions in our country, will lead to the gradual transition from socialist collective owner- ship to socialist ownership by the whole people, and to the future gradual transition from socialism to communism in the countryside." (FBIS, 5 January 1966) --24 January 1966, Peking, Radio: A report by Hsiao Hua, director of the General Political Department of the PLEA, at a PLA conference on political work quoted Liu on cadre relationship with the "masses." (FBIS, 27 January 1966) Approved For Release 2005/08/01 n RD 9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Rase 2005 9T00826Q 0900100001-5 --3 February 1966, Canton, Yang-ch'en.g Wan-pao: An article by a regimental comman er in Canton tells how he studied Chairman Liu's directive requiring leading cadres to work at selected spots at the basic level and this "made his regiment technically proficient." (SCMP 3637, 14 February 1966) --7 February 1966, Peking, NCNA, English; 10 February 1966, Peking, NCNA, English; 11 February 1966, Canton, Yang-ch'eng Wan-pao: These items dealt with the February campaign-fo "emulate" Chiao Yu-lu. They all mentioned the two books found under the pillow of Chiao's sickbed: Selected Works of Mao Tse-tung and Liu Shao-chi's How T& Be A Good Communist. (SCMP 3639-3641, 16-18 February_196 --12 February 1966 Peking Radio (on the transfer of the department of philosophy of China People's Univer- sity to a commune in Peking's suburbs): "Old teaching method consisted entirely of lectures, unsatisfactory. Now students work... When Ch Mao and Ch Liu gave their views in support of the work-study educational system, the department discussed the possibilities and, in the summer of 1964, started a work-study course on an experimental basis..." (FBIS, FE, 23 Feb 66) --18 and 25 February 1966, Peking Review (issues 8 and 9): Both issues had. items on Chiao Yu-lu and both included the reference to the two books found under Chiao's pillow: the Selected Works of Mao Tse-tung and Liu's How To Be A o0 ommu~ nist? --19 February 1966, Peking Radio: Peking announced that it was "equally necessary" for "leading cadres at all levels" of the army to "repeatedly study" three of Mao's works and Liu's How To Be A Good Communist. --2 March 1966, Peking, Liberation Army Journal: This article used Liu as a source Tor stressingie impor- tance of Mao's work "as highest directive for all PLA work." ..."More than 20 years ago Comrade Liu already said: 'When the revolution was directed by Mao and his thinking,it would win victories and achieve develop- ment. Whenever it was separated from the direction of Comrade Mao and his thinking, it would fail and fall back.' This is the conclusion of history: nothing else is so efficacious as the thought of Mao Tse-tung." (SCMP 3652, 8 March 1966) Approved For Release 2005q$LQ W4RPF9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For R4kease 2005~AIL71CW9T008260900100001-5 --8 April 1966, Canton, Yang-ch'eng Wan-pao: Cadres in the Central-South Bureau of the CCP referred to Liu's writing in discussions on the need to study Mao's works. (SCMP 3680, 19 April 1966) --31 March 1966, Urumchi Radio: Foreign Minister Chen Yi spoke at a banquet, given by the Hotien CCP committee honoring the visit of Liu and Chen, at which he stated: "It is hoped that cadres at all levels and the masses will study Chairman Mao's works seriously and Chairman Liu's works, work well, produce more grain and industrial goods..." (FBIS, 4 April 1966) --April/May 1966, Liu met Albanians in his role as Party Vice Chairman. --May 1966, China Pictorial., both English and Chinese versions, date of pu icaton uncertain but probably early May: The lead article was titled "Chiao Yu-lu, Good Student of Chairman Mao" and contained the reference to the two books found under Chiao's pil- low: the Selected Works of Mao Tse-tun.g and Liu's How To Be A Good Communist. --9 May 1966, Canton, Nan-fang Jih-pao: A hsien party committee decided that works of Mao and Liu should be studied for the next two months and be used "as weapons for thought reform." (SCMP 3702, 20 May 1966) --18 May 1966, People's Daily carries a long article attacking Teng To, wrften y four Chinese People's University staffers, in which Comrade Liu Shao-chi's speech at the 1961 celebration of the 40th anniver- sary of the founding of the CCP is mentioned as praising Mao's works at the same time that Teng To is ridiculing one of them. --21 May 1966, Kweiyang Radio: A work-study con- ference in Kweichow Province reviewed the "relevant instructions" by Mao and Liu on the educational system. (FBIS, 26 May 1966) --2 June 1966, Central-South China regional party boss Tao Chu praises the accomplishments of the masses of people from the home villages "the two chairmen, Mao Tse-tung and Liu Shao-chi." People's Daily carries Tao's speech on the first page of its Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 SECRET Approved For Lease 20051 0''C*BT9T00826 00900100001-5 3 June issue. This is a mention of Liu in his ceremonial role. --6 June 1966, People's Daily, on page 4, prints a summary of an. ar i~ cfe inert e April issue of the Australian. Communist Party (Marxist-Leninist) journal which is largely devoted to the value of Mao's "On Contradictions" and "On Practice" in training Com- munist Party members. In. the last paragraph, the document is quoted as saying: "Marxism-Leninism definitely strives to create a new man, to create the kind of man spoken of by Liu Shao-chi in his How To Be A Good Communist." Approved For Release 2005/?$p XfI7,9T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Fe ease 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826''00900100001-5 ANNEX D Status of Chinese Communist Leaders Normally in a Communist state the power structure equates roughly to the Central Committee. In China, however, the current central committee was formed ten years ago, and many members have become inactive for one reason or another, while some who are not central committee members have risen to positions of authority. The following list includes the men who were at the top of the apparent power structure in 1965, plus selected provincial leaders whose career have been connected to either Peng Chen or Teng Ilsiao-ping. Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5) I. LEADERS WHOSE STATUS IS IN QUESTION Number of Appearances Last Noted 31 Oct 65 to date Appearance With With With Name Positions as of 13 June Teng Both Peng if any, with Teng or Peng Party and Security Officials P'eng Chen ......... Politburo and secretariat member, one of Mao's inner 29 Mar 66 circle of advisers; 1st secretary and mayor of Peking Lo Jui-ch'ing ........ Army chief of staff; chief of secret police; party secre- 27 Nov 65 tariat; secretary general of Military Affairs Committee of CCP-CC Lu Ting-i ........... Director, party propaganda department; alternate polit- buro member and secretariat member Yang Shang-k'un ..... Mao's personal aide and party secretariat alternate member First important target and victim of current power struggle. A Mao protege. As one of few Chinese leaders to hold a considerable power position with a large degree of independence from General Secretary Teng, he would be, like Peng, a natural rival with Teng for the succession. He is rumored in Peking diplomatic circles to have been ousted about late March. Close to Mao. Has not been seen in Peking since 28 February; noted at undated appear- ances in provinces in March. An Tzu-wen ......... Director, party organization department (dealing with 25 Mar 66 personnel) Chou Yang .......... Deputy Director, party propaganda department 3 Jan 66 Military Men connection with anti-Mao "28 Bolsheviks" in 1930s, but has worked as Mao's personal link with the secretariat since 1956. 0 1 Possibly Peng ............. Hsiao Hua .......... Head of army's General Political Department;. deputy 27 Mar 66 0 2 1 secretary general of MAC Nieh Jung-then ...... Runs advanced weapon program; MAC Vice Chairman 1 Oct 65 ... , . . Yang Yung .......... Commander, Peking Military Region 8 Feb 66 ... . , . ... Wang Shu-sheng ..... Vice Minister of National Defense 20 Jan 66 Hsiao Ching-kuang ... Navy commander 23 Feb 68 Yang Ch'eng-wu ..... Deputy chief of staff Chang Ai-p'ing ...... Deputy Chief of Staff 27 Mar 66 ... ... ... ri n r-ro she Vice MMinister Nat' v uw Defense ,.1 DefenSc ivl M dr W 66 n .,.......~,.-,... ng .,w ..,,..w. u v 1 ...... Liang Pi-yeh ........ Deputy Director, General Political Department, PLA 14 Feb 66 0 0 1 Provincial Leaders Liu Jen ............. 2nd Secretary, Peking Ou-yang Ch'in ....... 1st Secretary, Heilungkiang Tian Ch'i-lung ....... 1st Secretary, Shantung Chia Ch'i-ydn ....... 1st Secretary, Kweichow Huang Ou-tung ...... Governor, Liaoning Ch'en P'ei-hsien ...... 1st Secretary, Shanghai Li Pao-hua .......... 1st Secretary, Anhwei Lin T'ieh ........... 1st Secretary, Hopeh Ma Ming-fang ....... 3rd Secretary, Northeast Bureau 26 Mar 66 0 0 3 10 Feb 66 ... 29 Mar 66 ... . , . ... 5 Apr 66 ... 6 Mar 66 14 Feb 66 Apr 66 24 Mar 66 Mar 66 Part of Mao's brain trust since 1937, has held his present job since 1955, has been a chief spokesman for Mao's policies in the field of culture. ... Has served as political commissar under Lin Piao and Yang Yung. .. Closely allied with Chou En-lai throughout his career. A former Marshal. Listed as possibly a Teng Has served primarily (1939-52) under Liu Po-ch'eng and his political commissar, Teng; has also served under P'eng Te-huai, Lin Piao, and Hsd Hsiang-ch'ien. As Peking commander, he presumably worked closely with P'eng Chen. Activities have been primarily military, avoiding involvement in political shakeups. Served under Lin Piao in late 1940s; went to school with Liu Shao-ch'i and probably Mao; studied in Moscow for several years. Political commissar of air force 1957-65; Deputy PC 1954-57; before that a political com- missar in Kwangsi Military District. The Air Force was attacked by Liberation Army Journal on 20 May for its ideological problems. Deputy to Nieh Jung-then, early 1950s; succeeded Nieh as Peking Military Region Com- mander (1954-1959), and as such associated with P'eng Chen; Air Defense commander in late 1950s. P -ably a I eng leuuai parow62. Peng (entire career) ...... Replaced by Wu Te, 3 Jun 66. Possibly Peng ............. Replaced by P'an Fu-sheng, May 66. ... Branch of Teng To's "black store" exposed in Shantung Province in May 66. ... Branch of "black store" exposed in Kweichow Province 5 June 66; Chia, best-known as incompetent head of State Statistical Bureau during Leap Forward, was made head of Kweichow party in summer (Jul or Aug) 1965. Possibly Peng ............. Named to succeed the late K'o Ch'ing-shih, who was possibly a Peng man, in Nov 65. Possibly Peng ............. A "black store" has been identified in Anhwei. A schoolmate of Kao Kang and Hsi Chung-hsiin, he also served under Teng and was probably moved into NE Bureau to help weed out Kao supporters. Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 ApprftvqL AffE gle1 020 ?Na1 T&If ER 733 Party and Government Officials Number of Appearances 31 Oct 65 to date With With With Teng Both Peng Last Noted Appearance as of 13 June Party and Government Officials Mao Tse-tung ........ Chairman, CCP and Politburo Liu Shao-ch'i ....... Chairman, PRC (ceremonial chief of state), and Mao's 7 Jun 66 chosen successor since 1959 as Vice Chairman, CCP and Politburo Teng Hsiao-p'ing ..... General Secretary, CCP; Politburo and ranking secre- 11 May 66 tariat member; Vice Premier (Acting Premier in Chou's absence) 12 2 1 Lin Piao ............ Minister of National Defense; Vice Chairman, CCP and May 66 1 0 0 Politburo; First Vice Chairman, CC Military Affairs Committee Li Hsien-nien ........ Politburo; overseer of 4 finance and trade ministries; 13 Jun 66 9 4 5 Minister of Finance; party secretariat Ch'en Yi ............ Minister of Foreign Affairs; Politburo Po I-po ............. Director, Industry and Communications Staff Office (overseeing 24 industrial ministries); also heads State Economic Commission; Vice Premier; Alternate Polit- buro member T'ao Chu ........... Chief, Central-South Regional Bureau Li Fu-eh'un ......... Chairman, State Planning Commission; Politburo and As Mao's personal position of leadership can hardly be helped by the present divisive party struggle, it is possible that Mao had already lost partial control of the party machinery to Teng after a serious illness last winter. As the long-established heir-designate to Mao, Liu has undoubtedly lost stature as the result of current party in-fighting. There is further evidence that the low-key process of grooming him for the succession virtually halted at about the time of P'eng's political demise in March. Occupies strategic position in placement of top personnel and transmission of party policy; third in power structure since mid-1950's, he appears to have benefitted the most from the political demise of his rival for leadership withip the radical wing of the party, P'eng Chen. May now play the leading role in party. Once the focus of loyalty for the party's "moderates," he appears so far to have gone along with, perhaps even abetted, Teng's drive. He is a useful technician and probably will survive. Lin is the only leader besides Mao to have been cited as an ideological authority during the past two months in the major party journals. It is likely, however, that he is being used as little more than a front man for Teng. A former Marshal. An unlikely ally of Teng, Li has managed so far to stay out of obvious trouble, like Chou. In most respects closely associated with Chou, but may have profited from the purge of Jao Shu-shin and, thus, from Teng's concomitant rise. A former Marshal. man ....... One of Peking's three top economic administrators, aligned with radical group during Great Leap. , 2PRM 00001 i Est. Associations, if any, with Teng or Peng Comment 14 May 66 10 3 0 Possibly a Teng secretariat member T'an Chen-lin ....... Coordinator of four agriculture and forestry ministries; 11 May 66 Politburo and secretariat member Li Ching-ch'uan ...... Heads Southwest Bureau of CCP; Politburo member 1 May 66 Li Hsueh-feng ....... Heads North China Bureau of CCP; now also 1st Secre- 11 May 66 tary, Peking; secretariat member K'ang Sheng ........ Secretariat and alternate politburo member 11May66 Liu Lan-t'ao ......... Heads Northwest Bureau of CCP; alternate party secre- 22 May 66 tariat member Hsieh Fu-chip ....... Minister of Public Security, also overseeing Ministry of Internal Affairs; Vice Premier Sung Jen-ch'iung ..... Heads Northeast Bureau of CCP 5May66 Liao Ch'eng-chih ..... Deputy Director, Foreign Affairs Staff Office; heads Over- seas Chinese Affairs Commission 9 Jun 66 Ch'en Po-ta ......... Alternate Politburo; Editor, Red Flag; Deputy Director, 10 May 66 Central Committee propaganda department Wu Hsiu-ch'uan ...... Director, party Central Committee's International Liaison Department As the only regional leader who seems to have built his own personal power base, T'ao would be a likely ultimate target for Teng. There has been some evidence that Central- South propaganda outlets have not kept pace in the attacks aimed at P'eng Chen. As of now, however, T'ao seems to have made his temporary peace with the victors. Counted among the economists of the party's moderate wing. 5 3 3 Long an associate of Mao; spokesman for radical agricultural policies of Leap Forward period. 1 0 0 Long associated with Teng in Southwest and Szechwan, has risen rapidly as a result, made Central Committee in 1956, Politburo in 1958. Also serves as Political Commissar for Ch'eng-tu Military Region. 5 1 0 Closely associated with Teng since 194US, has now emerged as one of his chief batchetmen First key leader to receive new public prominence as result of current power struggle, he has replaced r eng Chen, nrst major purge viciim, in one of his pose. 16 5 8 Until 1956, reputed to be secret police boss; has since specialized in ideological work. ... ... ... Teng man .............. Liu has a background as political commissar in the military, owes his NW appointment to Teng. Served as army political commissar in units under Teng Hsiao-p'ing in Southwest China; replaced Lo Jui-ch'ing in public security in 1959 when Lo went over to the PLA general staff; will likely replace Lo in latter capacity. ... ... Probably a Teng man ...... Formerly a military political commissar, later minister for atomic energy and defense 2 1 9 ... production, Sung is now top party man in region which Kao Kang used to build a personal power base. Increasingly active in foreign trade matters, especially with Japan. 1 1 0 ... Red Flag was slow to join the attack on Peking committee; also, an unnamed deputy director of the CCP-CC's propaganda department has been made a public target. Ch'en could be in trouble on both counts. Has specialized in Sino-Soviet and East European inter-party affairs. A strong voice in anti-revisionist propaganda. Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 arty anu overnmenisofgigQ s~~t.onfinJ I~ 7it?aTr9Oa ~~o ~n~o~I90 Name Positions Party and Government Officials Number of Appearances Last Noted 31 Oct 65 to date Appearance With With With Est. Associations, as of 13 June Teng Both Peng if any, with Teng or Peng Liu Ning-i .......... Heads All-China Federation of Trade Unions; Deputy 20 May 66 12 4 15 Director, Foreign Affairs Staff Office Chao I-min .......... Deputy Director, CCP International Liaison Department 2 Jun 66 7 2 5 Lin Feng ........... Head, Higher Party School; long-time propagandist 8 Jun 66 9 0 6 Wu Leng-hsi ........ Editor, People's Daily; Head of NCNA; deputy director, 6 May 66 0 0 2 propaganda department Chang Chi-ch'un ..... Director of Culture and Education Staff Office, overseeing 25 Mar 66 0 0 3 four ministries; deputy director, party Propaganda Department Hu Yao-pang ........ 1st Secretary, Young Communist League 20 Apr 66 0 0 2 ... Active in China's foreign relations, especially with non-Communist countries. ... Spokesman for Peking's anti-Soviet propaganda since 1962. A Possible Peng man ....... Listed as possible Teng man Like Ch'en Po-ta, Wu's party role and the lag in his paper's taking up the attack make him suspect to the Teng forces, but past linking to Teng may mitigate. Probably a Teng man ...... Possibly a Teng man, but Perhaps associated with Liu Shao-ch'i, his status is in doubt, largely because of obvious mixed failures of YCL. Possibly a Teng man ....... Transferred to SEC from 1st secretaryship in Shansi Province in 1965; has also been a secretary on North China Bureau, CCP. ... Chu at 79 is pretty much out of it as far as political maneuvering within the party is concerned. A former Marshal. . , . One of 12 founders of CCP with Mao, Tung still sits in inner party circles, but at 80 is no longer an important active member. ... Top non-Han leader in CCP, but apparently has little authority in his own right. Tung Pi-wu ......... Politburo; heads party's Control Commission; Vice Chair- 14 May 66 1 1 0 man of the PRC Ulanfu ............. Alternate politburo member; 1st Secretary, Governor, 11 May 66 3 0 1 Military Commander and Political Commissar in Inner Mongolia; 2nd Secretary, North China Bureau Military Men Ho Lung ............ Politburo member, vice chairman, Military Affairs Com- 25 May 66 6 0 3 mittee of CCP-CC Yeh Chien-ying ...... Member, standing committee of Military Affairs Com- 3 May 66 6 2 2 mittee Hsii Hsiang-ch'ien . . Top military figure for 40 nears; member Military Affairs 5 May 66 1 0 0 Committee's standing committee Hsu Kuang-ta ....... Vice Minister, National Defense; Commander, PLA 2 Jun 66 ... ... ... Armored Forces P'eng Shao-hui ....... Deputy Chief of Staff, PLA Wang Hsin-t'ing . . Deputy Chief of Staff, PLA Chang Tsung-hsun ... Deputy Chief of Staff, PLA A former Marshal, is probably not as important as his posts might indicate. Associated in 30s with Chang Kuo-t'ao, who was purged in 1938, Hsu has nevertheless remained publicly active. A former Marshal. Served under P'eng Te-huai, but not implicated in 1959 purge. 20 May 66 0 0 1 ... Not on Central Committee. 28 Apr 66 1 0 1 Probably a Teng man Not a Central Committee member. 3 May 66 1 0 1 ... Over 30 years service with Chu Te, Ho Lung, and P'eng Te-huai, does not appear greatly Liu Chih-Chien....... Deputy Director, PLA's General Political Department 3 Hsu Shih-yu ......... Vice Minister, National Defense; Commander, Nanking 20 Military Region May 66 Apr 66 Provincial Leaders Liu Chien-hsun ...... 1st Secretary, Honan; Secretary, Central-South Bureau, May 66 CCP Li Ta-chang ......... Secretary, Southwest Bureau, CCP; Governor, Szechwan 1 May 66 Liao Chih-kao ....... 1st Secretary, Szechwan; Secretary, Southwest Bureau, 1 May 66 CCP Yen Hung-yen ....... 1st Secretary, Yunnan; Political Commissar, K'un-ming MR 1 May 66 Wu Te ............. 2nd Secretary, Peking (since 3 Jun 66) 5 Jun 66 Ts'ao Ti-ch'iu ........ Mayor, Shanghai; Secretary, Shanghai party committee 10 Jun 66 P'an Fu-sheng ....... 1st Secretary, Heilungkiang (since May 66) 5 May 66 Li Fan-wu .......... 2nd Secretary, Heilungkiang 5 May 66 important. Not a Central Committee member. Appointed to Ministry in 1959 after P'eng Te-huai purge; however, earlier associated with Chang Kuo-t'ao; once opposed Mao in Yenan. Possible Teng man ......... Replaced Wu Chih-p'u in Hon an (1960 or 62) after Wu's radical Leap Forward and com- mune policies there had led to agricultural disaster and peasant/militia riots. Probably a Teng man ...... Served apparently as trouble-shooter for the party in Kweichow Province in spring of 1965, replacing Chou Lin as 1st Secretary there until relieved himself by Chia Ch'i-yun. Possible Teng man ......... Probable Teng man ....... A military commander since the 1930s, Yen has served under Teng, Li Ta-chang, Li Ching- ch'uan, and Hsieh Fu-chih. Mixed associations, including Was 1st Secretary, Kirin, at time of his assignment to help Li Hsueh-feng clean out Peking Teng, P'eng, and police party machinery. Probable Teng man ........ Succeeded K'o Ch'ing-shih as mayor in Dec 65 (K'o had died in Apr); appears frequently, his last appearance being directly connected with the present "cultural revolution" (i.e., power struggle). ... Had been 1st Secretary in Honan until accused of "right opportunism" in May 1958 and Possibly, P'eng ...... . .... . replaced by Wu Chih-p'u; later headed All-China Federation of Supply and Marketing Cooperatives. His new job, replacing Ou-yang Chin, a possible P'eng Chen man, suggests some connection with Teng Hsiao-p'ing. 62671 d Approved For Release 2005/08/01 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000900100001-5 Approved Felease 20d/U8/DT: &M RDP79T00A000900100001-5 Approved For Release 2005 /Q1 DP79T00826A000900100001-5