THE SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
27
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 12, 2012
Sequence Number: 
4
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 23, 1965
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4.pdf1.98 MB
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 Now Napo WEEKLY REPORT OCI No. 0625/65 Copy No. 94 THE SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM 23 June 1965 INTELLIGENCE AND REPORTING SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE INTERAGENCY VIETNAM COORDINATING COMMITTEE 25X1 25X1 SECRET GROUP I Excluded from automatic downgrading and declassification Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 N?ie Norro,' THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT- ING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECTIONS 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMIS- SION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30 : CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 25X1 OCI No. 0625/65 Published by the Directorate of Intelligence Central Intelligence Agency THE SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM (17 June - 23 June 1965) CONTENTS Page THE WEEK IN PERSPECTIVE iii Maps, South Vietnam, following page I. THE SITUATION WITHIN SOUTH VIETNAM 1 A. POLITICAL SITUATION Ky and Thieu, installing n w military government, outline its charter and program (p. 1); cabinet has seven hOld- overs and high technical-professional level (p. 1); Ky plans vigorous diplo- matic campaign, possibly breaking with France (p. 4); foreign minister sets Saigon' conditions for peace (P. 4); Embassy's assessment of regimes pros- pects (p. 5); Buddhist, Catholic reac- tion (p. 6). B. MILITARY SITUATION 7 Viet Cong activity dropped off last week (p. 7); government operations also down as ARVN commanders appear more cautious (p.7); statistics (p. 8). C. RURAL RECONSTRUCTION 9 Refugees approach half-million mark in first five months of year (p. 9); bot- tleneck in coastal shipping (p. 9); ARVN stressing psywar ops as Chieu Hoi figures remain high (p. 9). SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 NW' ECONOMIC SITUATION Viet Cong activity brings shortages, higher pricesv hoarding -0;11); worker idleness, shortages caused by dis- rupted transportation (p. 11); military requirements boost labor costs (p. 11); supplies for provinces backlogged (p. 11); Viet Cong expand own economic system (p. 12). Page 11 II. THIRD COUNTRY DEVELOPMENTS 13 Ky government shows interest in foreign relations (p. 13); South Vietnam appoints Algiers Conference advance party (p. 13); Thailand to push GVN seating at conference (P. 13); GVN welcomes Commonwealth peace initiative (p. 14); peace proposal planned for Algiers'Con- ference (p. 14); Philippine Congress yet to receive aid bill (p. 14). III. DEVELOPMENTS IN THE BLOC 16 Fourth surface-to-air missile sight spotted in North Vietn m (p. 16); US aircraft destroy three Communist jets in two battles (p. 16); bloc turns down Wilson peace bid (p. 16); Libera- tion Front opens drive for Afro-Asian Conference seat (p, 17); Peiping may use Vietnam issue to keep USSR out of conference (p. 17); North Vietnamese leaders stand by four-point peace plan (P. 17). ANNEX** SOUTH VIETNAM BATTLE STATISTICS The Weekly Report on the situation in South Vietnam is based on contributions from CIA, DIA and INR edited and published by CIA without final coordination. A fully coordinated Monthly Report is dissemin ted the first Friday of every month. ii SE CRE T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 S. 2.I %. 46000' THE WEEK IN PERSPECTIVE Saigon's new military government, with General Nguyen Van Thieu in the role of chief of state and Air Marshal Nguyen Cao Ky as premier, was formally installed on 21 June. Although ultimate sovereignty resides in a Congress of the Armed Forces, comprising all general officers and senior army commanders, actual policy direction and legislative power rests with a 10-man Directory of key generals including Thieu and KO "war" cabinet is made up for the most part of young but qualified technicians, particularly in ministries related to the economy. A key factor affecting the new government's prospects for success may be the ability of Premier Ky to shed his image of rashness and bravado and to develop attributes of real leadership. KO 26-point program of action, aimed at strengthen- ing the war effort and fostering social justice, would effect a radical departure from past political, social, and economic patterns. While entailing a serious risk of friction with entrenched political and economic interests, the program's heavy demands on the coun- try's limited administrative talent, both in the control of manpower and of economic resources, poses a greater danger of internal dislocation and chaos. While both the Catholics and the Buddhists appear to be intrigued with the prospect of revolutionary change, both groups have serious reservations with one or another of the key generals, and their attitudes are at best ones of watchful waiting. Despite the easing of the war last week, there are indications of further Viet Cong pressure designed to destroy government forces. Operations to be expected include Viet Cong attacks in more-than-battalion strength 111 SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30 : CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 =sod Noe against isolated government forces and probably against a district or provincial capital, as well as ambushes of friendly forces moving along lines of communication or arriving in helicopter landing zones. iv 25X1 25X1 SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/07/30: CIA-RDP79T00472A001700060004-4 NIMILIMMONIMMIMPIN Deng Hai- TE,h.P.^.:...., t ,,,,. \., ? m , " ,..! I :1-s7: Div I '?,...,,,J ? ,,,) Hlie ., k I. 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