THE SITUATION IN CUBA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00429A001100010004-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 13, 2006
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: January 2, 1963
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For F e5lease 2006/10/13: CIA-R P79T00429A001100010004-0
SEC
OCI No. 0425/63
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
Office of Current Intelligence
2 January 1963
n 31 December a crow of t would-
be exiles was broken up by the Cuban police
I land then set upon by pro-Castro strong-arm
types.
2. This year's sugar harvest has already begun
and regime leaders have publicly warned that produc-
tion this year will be little if any better than last
year when the crop of about 4.8 million tons was
abnormally low. Cuba will thus have less to export
this year than last (when it had sugar carried over
from the previous year) and any increase in trade
with the bloc--which Cuban leaders predict--will be
at the expense of further bloc commodity credits.
3. Castro propagandists are playing up the
"indemnification" received from the US for the re-
turned prisoners, but appear to have made little
headway in promoting this interpretation outside
of Cuba.
iarc
SECRET
Approved For Release 2006/10/13: CIA-R?P79T00429A001100010004-0
 Approved For Release 2006/10/13: CIA-RDP79T00429A001100010004-0
SECRET
5. The military parade began in Havana at
1007 this morning, only seven minutes behind
schedule. It is the central part of today
observance of the regime's fourth anniversary.
At its conclusion, an hour and a half later, Castro
began speaking--his first public speech since
1 November.
6. Delegations from the Sino-Soviet blow
and from many Latin American and other Western
countries are in Havana for the affair. The
Soviet delegation includes Cosmonaut Popovich.
Khrushchev's congratulatory message to Cuban leaders
on the occasion reiterated Soviet support for Castro's
"Five Points," warned that the US must be made to
.observe its "pledge" not to attack Cuba, and stated
that Cuba "can always depend on the amicable sup-
port and aid" of the Soviet Union.
7. Preparations have been underway for some
months on the formal establishment of the Cuban po-
litical machine, to be called the United Party of
the Socialist Revolution. To be modeled after
bloc Communist parties, it is to replace the pro-
visional Integrated Revolutionary Organizations
(ORI), probably at a formal "First Congress" some-
time early this year.
VrV
Approved For Release 2006/10/1 .~19bp79T00429A001100010004-0