MILITARY CONSUMPTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS SINO-SOVIET BLOC 1956-1957

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79S01100A000200170001-0
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 31
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 11, 2000
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 1, 1958
• Content Type: REPORT

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S-E-C-R-E-T
ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE
Subcommittee on Petroleum
MILITARY CONSUMPTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
SINO-SOVIET BLOC
1956-1951
(Limited Distribution)
Army Declass/Release Instructions on File
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
I 1 DECLASSIFIED
GLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
1 March 1958 AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: REVIEWER:
S-E-C-R-E-T
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This material contains information affecting
the National Defense of the United States
within the meaning of the espionage laws,
Title 18, US'C, Secso 793 and 79k, the trans-
mission or revelation of which in any manner
to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law.
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S-E-C.=R-E-T
FOREWORD
This report provides estimates of the consumption of petroleum products
by the military and paramilitary Services of the countries of the Sino-Soviet
Bloc for the years 1956 and 1957. It is an updating of EIC-PSG-WP18 dated
l April 19569 which provided estimates for the years 1950 through 1955? No
attempt has been made to revise the estimates contained in the earlier
report.
The report was prepared under the sponsorship of the Economic Intelligence
Committee Subcommittee on Petroleum to meet a designated research deficiency.
It is intended that the report serve members of the intelligence community
in petroleum supply/demand studies for countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc.
S?E-C-R-E-T
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CONTENTS
10 Introduction O O O O o O o 0 0 0 O 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 a O 1
20 Estimates of Consumption a a. o o a o 0 c o c o 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Appendixes ~~^
Appendix A. Ground Forces 0 . 0 a 0 0 0 a 0 0 0 a o 0 0 a 0 4
Appendix B. Naval Forceso .. o o a 0? 0 0 o a o o o a a o, o o 117
Appendix Co Air Forces0 a o o . o o 0 0 o 0 o a a o 0 0 a o 0 o
Tables
1. Estimated Annual Consumption (by consumer) of Petroleum
Products, Sino-Soviet Bloc Military Forces, 1956?1957 a a 0 0 2
2. Estimated Annual Consumption (by product) of Petroleum
Products,, Sino-Soviet Bloc Military Forces, 19561957 0 0 0 ? 3
A?10 Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products,
Soviet Army Ground Forces, 1956-1957. a o 0 0 0 0 00 0 0 0 7
A?20 Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products,
Soviet Army Ground Forces (by type of Unit), 1956 0 . 0 a 0 8
A-2a0 Estimated Annual Consumption of Motor G=asoline,
Soviet Army Ground Forces (by type of Unit), 1956. . . . . 9
A?2b0 Estimated Annual Consumption of Diesel Fuelgg
Soviet Army Ground Forces (by type of Unit), 1956. . . . 10
A=3o Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products,
11
Soviet Militarized Security Forces, 1956W1957 . . . . . . .
Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products,
European Satellite Ground'Forcea,_1956=1957a 0 0 0 12
A?56 Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products,
Communist China and Asiatic Satellite Ground Forces,
1956-1957. . 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o a 0 . 0 0 0 0 o a 0 0 0 0
B-1. Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products.,
Soviet Bloc Naval Forces, 1956?1957 . . . . . . 0 a a a 15
B-20 Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products,
Communist China and Asiatic Satellite Naval Forces,
1956-1957. ... 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 a o 0 a 0 a. o. 0 0 o 16
C-10 Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Productsg
Soviet Air Forces . . . . a . . . . o . . 1956
1957
13
18
20
Cm20 Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Productsg
European Satellite Air Forces . . a . . . . . . 1956 . . . 22
1957 24
C..3, Estimated Annual Consumption of Petroleum Products,
'Communist China and Asiatic Satellite Air Forces, 1956.
1957.
a 0
. 0
26
27
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1, Introduction,
The estimates of military consumption included in this report were developed
independently by the appropriate intelligence authorities of the U.S. Departments
of Army, Na, vyand Air Forces, The particular responsibilities for the preparation
of consumption estimates for similar consumers in the Sino-Soviet Bloc are as
follows,
Army - Appendix A. Sinc-Soviet Bloc ground forces; militarized
security forces,
Navy - Appendix B, Sino-Soviet Bloc naval forces ashore and
afloat,
Air Force m Appendix C. Sino-Soviet Bloc air forces; naval air
forces3 civil aviation; aircraft engine testing.
Since consumption data,, per se, was not available, the estimates represent
calculations based on probable numbers and types of equipments the estimated
use thereof, and the petroleum product consumption per unit time or distances
The margin of error is estimated to be + 15 percent for all consumption
estimates,
2. Estimates of 'Consumption, J
The estimates of consumption of petroleum products by the Army, Navy.,
and Air Forces of the countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc for the years 1956
and 1957 are summarized in Table 1, Military consumption by product and
by location of forces is summarized in Table 2,
The supporting data and methodology for Tables 1 and 2 are included in
the appropriate appendixes,
as The estimates of consumption represent the best available information
as of December 1957,
S?E- C?R-E=T
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Appendix B
NAVAL FORCES*
1. Sino-Soviet Bloc Naval Forces*
A, Methodolpgy.
These estimates were developed by the following method:
(1) Order of Battle was taken from Strength and Disposition of
Foreign Navies (ONI-30-S/D) as revised for each year.
(2) An operational schedule (number of days at sea, in port and in
shipyards) of each vessel type was developed on the basis of the best
available intelligence., filled in and expanded by the use of USN experience.
(3) Fuel consumption for each vessel type for each day at sea, in
port and in yards was estimated on the basip of the best available intelligence
or the most comparable USN type, modified as required,
(14) The fuel consumed per vessel year was estimated using data
developed in steps 2 and 3 and multiplied by the number of vessels of that
type on 1 July of each year to give annual consumption per type.
(5) Annual consumption of all vessels in each type was totaled to
give total consumption for the naval forces afloat.
(6) Consumption of Naval Forces ashore is estimated on the basis of
a per man requirement. The result is considered as all gasoline, although a
small., probably insignificant, part of this total would be kerosene and diesel.
(7) Requirements for lubricants are estimated at 1 percent for fuel
oil data, 2 percent for diesel oil data and 5 percent for gasoline data.
(8) These estimates include units attached to pare-military
organizations.
B. The estimates.
The consumption estimates for Sino-Soviet Bloc naval forces
shown in Tables B-i and B-2..
Naval Air Forces consumption ~s included with Air Forces in Appendix C.
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Appendix C
AIR FORCES-
1. Sino-Soviet Bloc Air Forces.
A. Assumptions and methodology.
(1) Aircraft fuels and lubricants.
(a) Aircraft in operating regiments - The air order of battle
for aircraft of each Satellite country, Soviet forces in each Satellite
country, and the.USSR, for'the years 1950@1955, was established. Since Soviet
aircraft strengths are normally stated as TO/E strengths, the perceztap.e of
TO/E for each type regiment was used to determine actual aircraft strength.
Flying time per aircraft was based on the estimated pilot time per year for
each type regiment. A factor for the ratio of aircraft to pilots was determined
in order to get actual aircraft times per year. A handling factor. loss of
3.04 percent for aviation fuel, and 3,57 percent for aviation lubricgating oil
was used.` Oil consumption factors used are 1.62 percent of fuel consumed for
-piston engines, and .163 percent of fuel oonsumed for jet engines.
(b) Aircraft in training establishments - Aircraft assigned to
the military training establishment and,para-military organizations were
determined for each year. Flying hours per aircraft in these training schools,
as estimated in the current issue of AIS-26/1, "Sino-Soviet Bloc Air
Planning Factors9fe were used in determining the consumption for all training
aircraft.
(c) Aircraft in civil aviation - Civil aircraft include those
assigned Civil Air Fleet, Polar Aviation, and civil training schools. Monthly
flying hours for aircraft in the Civil Air Fleet,, as shown in AIS 2-2,
"Estimated Sino-Soviet Bloc Selected Air Order of Battle," were used to
determine consumption.
(d) MAP Aircraft (testing) - Time factors were established for
engine run-in and aviation industry testing prior to turning aircraft over to
the military establishment, for aircraft and engine modifications and
overhauls performed by MAP, and for aircraft permanently assigned to the MAP.
(2) Diesel fuel and motor gasoline.
(a) Based upon the current average daily consumption rate against
regimental strengths as estimated in AIS 2=26 and current AOB publications.
(3) Kerosene and fuel oil.
(a) The requirements for heating and lighting are considered
to be insignificant in comparison to other petroleum product requirements.
No estimates have been made for kerosene and fuel oil used for this purpose.
B. The Estimates.
The estimated increased aircraft fuel consumption for 1956-1957 reflects
the transition to jet aircraft, without any significant decrease in the number
of conventional aircraft, the increased consumption of fuel per plane, and the
increase in operational flying time.
The consumption estimates for Sino-Soviet Bloc Air Forces, including
Naval Air Forces, are shown in Tables C?1, C-2, and C-3.
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