SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE FUELS AND POWER INDUSTRIES OF THE USSR IN 1960

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CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5
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June 1, 1961
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Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE FUELS AND POWER INDUSTRIES OF THE USSR IN 1960 June 1961 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED IN WHOLE OR IN PART WITHOUT THE PERMISSION OF THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 9:756 7/I Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 NOTICE This report has been loaned to the recipient by the Central Intelligence Agency. When it has served its purpose it should be destroyed or returned to the: CIA Librarian Central Intelligence Agency Washington 25, D. C. Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE FUELS AND POWER INDUSTRIES OF THE USSR IN 1960 CIA/RR ER 61-29 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Reports Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5-- Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Summary and Conclusions CONTENTS Page 1 I. Crude Oil and Natural Gas 5 A. Production 5 1. Crude Oil 5 2. Natural Gas 6 B. Drilling 6 C. Refining of Crude Oil 8 D. Consumption of Petroleum Products and Natural Gas 11 1. Petroleum Products 2. Natural Gas E. Oil Pipelines F. Natural Gas Pipelines 11 13 13 15 II. Solid Fuels (Coal) 16 III. Electric Power 18 IV, Trade 20 A. Crude Oil and Petroleum Products B. Coal Appendix 20 20 Source References 23 Tables 1. Estimated Production of Primary Energy in the USSR, by Source of Energy, 1958-60 and 1965 3 2. Estimated Production of Crude Oil in the USSR, 1955, 1958-60, and Plans for 1961 and 1965 5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Page 3. Estimated Production of Natural Gas in the USSR, 1955, 1958-60, and Plans for 1961 and 1965 7 4. Exploratory and Developmental Drilling for Crude Oil and Natural Gas in the USSR, 1959-60 and Plan for 1961 7 5. Estimated Production of Petroleum Products in the USSR, by Type of Product, 1958-60 and 1965 9 6. Estimated Refining Capacities in the USSR, by Refining Area, 1959-60 10 7. Estimated Increments in Refining Capacity in the USSR, by Type of Process, 1960 11 8. Estimated Balance of Supply and Demand for Petroleum Products in the USSR, 1960 12 9. Estimated Construction and Availability of Oil Pipe- lines in the USSR, 1955-60 and Plans for 1961 and 1965 14 10. Estimated Production of Coal and Coking Coal in the USSR, 1959-60 and Plans for 1961 and 1965 17 11. Estimated Production of Electric Power by Thermal Electric and Hydroelectric Powerplants in the USSR, 1959-60 and Plans for 1961 and 1965 18 12. Estimated Capacity of Electric Powerplants in the USSR, 1959-60 and Plan for 1965 19 13. Estimated Trade in Crude Oil and Petroleum Products by the USSR, by Destination, 1955-60 21 14. Estimated Trade in Coal and Coke by the USSR, by Destination, 1955 and 1958-60 22 Chart Percentage Distribution of Production of Primary Energy in the USSR, 1958-60 and 1965 2 - iv - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS IN Tut FUELS AND POWER INDUSTRIES OF rut USSR IN 1960 Summary and Conclusions Production of primary energy in the USSR in 1960 is estimated to have been about 733 million tons of standard fuel, about 7.7 percent more than in 1959.* The share of oil and natural gas in the total production of primary energy increased from 33.4 percent in 1959 to 36.3 percent in 1960, and the share of solid fuels declined from 63.4 to 60.1 percent. All goals for production of energy were achieved with the excep- tion of those for coal and natural gas. Although the USSR produced 45.3 billion cubic meters (cu m) of natural gas, an increase of approximately 10 billion cu m above 1959, the plan was underfulfilled by 6.2 billion cu m. Production of coal was 513 million tons, approxi- mately 2 million tons below the plan, although the reduction probably was deliberate and reflected the continued existence of a surplus of anthracite fines. The 1961 plan for producing 512 million tons of coal reflects a continuation of this downward trend, and, insofar as is known, 1961 is the first time that the announced goal has been be- low the level of achievement (513 million tons) of the preceding year. Production of crude oil in 1960 reached 148 million tons, 4 million tons above the goal; and a total estimated at 294 billion kilowatt- hours (kwh) of electric power was generated -- an increase of 29 bil- lion kwh above 1959 and 3 billion kwh above the plan. The contribu- tion of less important sources of primary energy -- peat, shale, fuel- wood, hydroelectric power, and nuclear electric power -- showed rela- tively little change (in either percentage or absolute terms) in the over-all output of energy. (The estimated production of all types of primary energy in the USSR in 1958-60 and 1965 is given in Table 1,** and the accompanying chart*** shows graphically how the shares of oil and gas in the total production of primary energy have been increasing and will continue to increase at the expense of coal.) Probably the most important feature of the performance of the Soviet fuels and power industries was the increasing availability of * Standard fuel has a calorific value of 7,000 kilocalories per kilogram. Tonnages are given in metric tons throughout this report. ** Table 1 follows on p. 3. *** Following on p. 2. Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF PRODUCTION OF PRIMARY ENERGY IN THE USSR, 1958-60 AND 1965 Other 13% 13% 12% 9% Natural Gas -- 17% 5% 6% 7% Crude Oil 25% 27% 29% 35% Coal 57% 54% 52% 39% 1958 1959 1960 1965 (Estimated) 35137 6-61 oil in excess of the amount required for domestic consumption. In 1960 the USSR sold 19 million tong of oil to the Free World, about 4 million tons more than in 1959. Three countries, Cuba, India, and Guinea, imported Soviet oil for the first time. The willingness of the USSR to accept soft currencies and commodi- ties in exchange for oil advanced its competitive position considerably. Significantly, many of the trade agreements concluded or being nego- tiated with countries of the Free World for the export of Soviet oil provide for reciprocal imports of industrial equipment including pipe, which is urgently needed to complete the Soviet construction program for petroleum and natural gas pipelines. Other important developments in the Soviet fuels and power indus- tries in 1960 included an increase of 23 percent in oil pipeline transport, which reached 51 billion ton-kilometers; the first signifi- cant improvement in labor productivity in the coal industry in 8 years; a decline in the average cost of production of coal compared with the preceding year; and significant progress in automation and mechaniza- tion of the coal industry, including the successful, but limited, em- ployment of underground hydraulic mining. -2 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Table 1 Estimated Production of Primary Energy in the USSR by Source of Energysi 1958-60 and 1965 1958 1959 1960 b/ 1965 Million Metric Tons of StandArd Percent Million Metric Tons of Standard Percent Million Metric Tons of Standard Percent Million Metric Tons of Standard Percent Source of Energy Fuel c/ of Total Fuel c/ of Total Fuel c/ of Total Fuel c/ of Total Coal 362.1 56.7 370.0 54.3 384.8 52.4 420.0 a/ 38.8 Crude oil 161.9 25.3 185.3 27.2 211.6 28.9 379.0 fi 35.0 Natural gas 33.9 5.3 42.5 6.2 54.5 7.4 180.0 16.6 Peat 21.1 3.3 23.0 3.4 19.1 f/ 2.6 25.7 2.4 Shale 4.5 0.7 4.7 0.7 5.0g/, 0.7 6.0 0.6 Fuelwood 32.9 5.2 33.9 5.0 32.0 E/ 4.4 28.6 2.6 Hydroelectric power 22.3 3.5 21.8 3.2 26.4 3.6 39.5 3.7 Nuclear electric power Negl. Negl. Negl. Negl. Negl. Negl. 3.0 0.3 Total 638.7 100.0 681.2 100.0 733.4 100.0 1,081.8 100.0 a. Unless otherwise indicated, data are from source 1/. (For serially numbered source references, see the Appendix.) b. Computed on the basis of production data for 1960. c. The term standard fuel refers to a measure adopted by Soviet authorities for the purpose of comparing fuels on the basis of their calorific values. Standard fuel has been assigned a calorific value of 7,000 kilocalories per kilogram. d. Computed on the basis of an estimated production of 560 million metric tons in 1965. The plan is 606 million to 612 million metric tons. e. Computed on the basis of an estimated production of 265 million metric tons in 1965. f. Production data estimated on the basis of data in source J. g. Estimated. 3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Many of the problems in the Soviet fuels and power industries in 1960 were a continuation of those that existed in 1959. Underfulfill- ment of the production goal for natural gas by 6.2 billion cu m con- tinued to be primarily the result of inadequacies in storage, gas- consuming equipment, city distributing systems, and a shortage of compressor equipment for major pipelines. Although primary refining capacity in 1960 was sufficient to handle the 130 million tons of crude oil charged to refining, the total secondary refining capacity continued to be inadequate. Production of diesel fuels, for example, reportedly were in short supply, although there were significant increases in capacity in the thermal conver- sion, catalytic cracking, and catalytic hydrotreating processes. It is probable that considerably more improvement in the construction and installation of secondary capacity than was evident in 1960 will be required if the refining capacities planned for 1965 are to be achieved. In 1960, fulfillment of a reduced plan for the installation of 5.7 million kilowatts of new generating capacity reflected the lowest annual rate of increase in capacity during the postwar years. AS in the previous 2 years, the installation of new generating capacity in the USSR was inadequate to maintain reserve capacity at the desired level, and the hours of utilization had to be increased. -4 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 I. Crude Oil and Natural Gas A. Production 1. Crude Oil Production of crude oil in the USSR in 1960 reportedly exceeded the plan goal by 2.8 percent, reaching 148 million tons, an increase of about 14 percent above production in 1959. 3/ Continua- tion of this rate of increase would result in production of 288 mil- lion tons by 1965, well in excess of the goal under the Seven Year Plan (1959-65) of 240 million tons. The plan for 1961, however, calls for only a 10.8-percent increase. It is currently estimated that pro- duction in 1965 may be about 265 million tons, a level that can be achieved by an average annual increase slightly in excess of 12 per- cent. (The estimated production of crude oil in the USSR in 1955 and 1958-60 and that planned for 1961 and 1965 are given in Table 2.) Table 2 Estimated Production of Crude Oil in the USSR 2/ 1955, 1958-60, and Plans for 1961 and 1965 Million Metric Tons Year 1955 Amount 70.8 1958 113.2 1959 129.6 1960 12/ 148.0 1961 Plan .2./ 164.0 1965 Plan 240.0 1965 265.0 a. Unless otherwise indicated, data are from source11/. b. e d. Estimated. 5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Probably at least 70 percent of the Soviet production of crude oil in 1960 was provided by the Urals-Volga oilfields. Slightly more than 12 percent, or 18.1 million tons, was produced in Azerbay- dzhan SSR. Little significant growth in output of crude oil was ob- tained in the other principal producing areas of Kazakhstan, the Central Asian Republics, and the Ukrainian SSR. The use of water flooding to maintain formation pressure resulted in the extraction of 45 million additional tons of crude oil, an 89-percent increase above the amount recovered by this method in 1959. At present, deposits that are included in the water flooding program account for 63 percent of the national production of crude oil, and it is claimed that up to 70 percent of the oil in place is being recovered. 2. Natural Gas Production of natural gas in the USSR in 1960 amounted to 45.3 billion cubic meters (cu m), an 88-percent fulfillment of the planned 51.5 billion cu in. In 1959 the plan was fulfilled by only 90.6 percent. Underfulfillment of the plans for extraction of natural gas appear to be more related to shortcomings in supporting activities than to difficulties in production. It is probable that the continu- ing underfulfillment of plans is due mainly to inadequate storage fa- cilities, insufficient gas consuming equipment, limited city distribu- tion systems, and lack of compressing equipment for pipelines. Planned additions to reserves have consistently been exceeded, and proved re- serves as of 1 January 1960 were estimated at about 1.7 trillion cu m..1/ (The estimated production of natural gas in the USSR in 1955 and 1958-60 and that planned for 1961 and 1965 are given in Table 3.*) B. Drilling Exploratory and developmental drilling for crude oil and natural gas in 1960 fell below the level in 1959. This decline re- sulted primarily from a rather sharp underfulfillment of the explora- tory drilling program, although the amount of exploratory drilling exceeded that of developmental drilling for the second consecutive year. The relatively poor performance in exploratory drilling served to depress to an unknown degree the increments in the proved reserves of crude oil and natural gas. Nevertheless, in the RSFSR alone, it was reported that 15 new oil deposits were discovered in 1960, includ- ing the discovery of the first commercial crude oil deposit in Siberia. * Table 3 follows on p. 7. 6 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Table 3 Estimated Production of Natural Gas in the USSR 1955, 1958-60, and Plans for 1961 and 1965 Billion Cubic Meters Year Amount 1955 2/ 1958 p.../ 1959 2./ 1960 12/ 1961 Plan 1965 Plan p.../ 9.0 28.1 35.5 45.3 61.4 148.0 a. 2/ b. 12/ c. 11/ (The amount of exploratory and developmental drilling for crude oil and natural gas in the USSR in 1959-60 and that planned for 1961 are given in Table 4.) Table 4 Exploratory and Developmental Drilling for Crude Oil and Natural Gas in the USSR 1959-60 and Plan for 1961 1960 1959 Plan Actual Percent 1961 Plan Type (Thousand (Thousand (Thousand of (Thousand of Drilling Meters) Meters) Meters) Plan Meters) Exploratory 4,094 4,608 41000 87 5,100 Develop- mental 3,649 3,74-8 3,700 99 3,900 Total 7,743 8,356 7,700 92 9,000 7 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 C. Refining of Crude Oil In 1960 the USSR is believed to have had a yield of 119.6 mil- lion tons of refined products, an increase of 11.7 percent above 1959. Because of a shortage of secondary refining capacity, the practice of maximizing output of residual products, especially fuel oil, at the expense of gasoline, kerosine, and light diesel fuel was continued in 1960. 12/ Production of a high percentage of residuals is to continue throughout the Seven Year Plan. (The estimated yields of principal petroleum products in the USSR for 1958-60 and the yield planned for 1965 are given in Table 5.*) The yield of gasoline, kerosine, and light diesel fuel declined from 52.4 percent in 1959 to 50.8 percent in 1960, and, concomitantly, the yield of residuals increased from 31.9 to 33.3 percent. The total primary refining capacity in the USSR amounted to 157.3 million tons in 1960, 19.9 million tons, or 14.5 percent, above that in 1959.** This rate of growth is well above the average annual rate of about 10 percent necessary to reach the goal for 1965, esti- mated to be 252 million tons. Of the increase in capacity for refin- ing of roughly 20 million tons, about 15 million tons, or about 75 percent, are estimated to have been installed at existing refineries, including 12 million tons at the following six refineries: Million Tons of Capacity Location of Refinery 1959 Installed in 1960 1960 Batumi 2.4 1.2 3.6 Fergana 2.6 2.4 5.0 Groznyy 10.2 2.1 12.3 Omsk 14.5 1.5 16.0 Perm' 2.6 2.4 5.0 Stalingrad 2.6 2.4 5.0 The remaining 5 million tons of the increment in capacity for refining in 1960 is assumed to be accounted for by the commissioning of new refineries at Angarsk (4-million-ton capacity)*** and Ryazan' (1-million-ton capacity). la/ * Table 5 follows on p. 9. ** For a list of refineries in the USSR with their estimated capac- ities for 1959 and 1960, see Table 6, which follows on p. 10; *** Represents only the capacity available for efficient use in 1960. - 8 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Table 5 Estimated Production of Petroleum Products in the USSR, by Type of Product 1958-60 and 1965 Product Gasoline Kerosine Light diesel fuel Total light products Heavy diesel fuels Total distillation Lubricants Residuals and others a/ Total output of petroleum products Gas and loss Grand total 1958 Million Metric Tons 21.5 13.2 21.5 56.2 3.2 1959 Percent Million of Total Metric Tons 20.7 12.7 20.6 23.4 14.6 23.0 54.0 61.0 3.1 59.4 57.1 4.6 4.4 31.7 30.5 95.7 8.3 104.0 92.0 8.0 100.0 4.0 65.0 5.0 37.1 1960 1965 Percent Million Percent Million Percent of Total Metric Tons of Total Metric Tons of Total 20.1 25.4 19.5 35.4 16.5 12.5 16.0 12.3 24.0 11.2 19.8 24.7 19.0 31.8 14.9 52.4 66.1 50.8 91.2 42.6 3.4 4.8 3.7 11.2 5.2 55.8 70.9 54.5 102.4 47.8 4.3 5.4 4.2 7.9 3.7 31.9 43.3 33.3 86.7 40.5 92.0 119.6 92.0 197.0 92.0 8.0 10.4 8.0 17.0 8.0 100.0 130.0 100.0 214.0 100.0 a. Residual fuel oil, road oils, asphalts, bitumen, and bituminous tar. -9- Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Table 6 Estimated Refining Capacities in the USSR by Refining Area 1959-60 Million Metric Tons Capacity Location of Refinery 1959 1960 Baku 20.6 21.0 Kuybyshev 17.5 18.0 Ufa 17.5 18.0 Omsk 14.5 16.0 Groznyy 10.2 12.3 Syzran' 7.0 7.0 Krasnovolsk 6.7 6.7 Ishimbay/Salavat 6.3 7.0 Gur'yev 4.9 4.9 Gor'kiy 3.2 3.6 Saratov 3.2 3.6 Tuapse 3.1 3.1 Moscow 2.7 2.7 Fergana 2.6 5.0 Perm' 2.6 5.0 Stalingrad 2.6 5.0 Batumi 2.4 3.6 Orsk 1.8 1.8 Vannovskaya 1.8 1.8 Krasnodar 1.2 1.2 Angarsk 0 4.o Ryazan' 0 1.0 Other 5.0 5.0 Total 137.4 157.3 Although Soviet publications indicate that notable gains were achieved in 1960 in secondary refining, especially in thermal conver- sion, catalytic cracking, and catalytic hydrotreating processes, the total secondary refining capacity probably is still below the level desired, particularly for production of diesel fuels that were re- ported to be in short supply. It is not known at what sites the in- crements in secondary refining capacity occurred. (The estimated - 10 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 increments in refining capacity in the USSR for 1960, by type of proc- ess, are shown in Table 7.) Table 7 Estimated Increments in Refining Capacity in the USSR by Type of Process 1960 Type of Process Refining Capacity (Million Metric Tons) Increase in 1960 Million Metric Tons Percent 1959 1960 Primary distillation 137.4 157.3 19.9 14.5 Secondary process Thermal conversion 27.5 31.5 4.0 14.5 Catalytic cracking 16.3 22.0 5.7 35.0 Catalytic reforming 2.9 5.4 2.5 86.2 Catalytic hydrotreating 5.9 12.4 6.5 110.2 Lubricant processing 6.2 7.0 0.8 12.9 D. Consumption of Petroleum Products and Natural Gas 1. Petroleum Products (The estimated balance of supply and demand for petroleum products in the USSR in 1960 is shown in Table 8.*) Of the slightly more than 103 million tons of petroleum products available for domestic consumption, a total estimated at about 90 million tons was consumed by the civil sector of the economy, and about 13 million tons remained for consumption by the military sector and by civil aviation. Compared with 1959, military consumption declined 10 percent, and civil consump- tion increased about 13 percent. Changes in the organization and equip- ment of the military forces will continue to reduce the POL requirements of this sector of the Soviet economy. Significant increases in the ex- tent of civil air activities will be insufficient to offset the decline in military demand. The industrial sector of the Soviet economy * Table 8 follows on p. 12. Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 continued to dominate the civil consumption of petroleum products, as shown below: Percent Million Tons of Total Industry 46 51 Transport 17 19 Agriculture 20 22 Communal and household 7 8 Total 22 loo Table 8 Estimated Balance of Supply and Demand for Petroleum Products in the USSR 1960 Million Metric Tons Supply Production Imports Amount 119.6 3.0 Total 122.6 Demand Military 13.0 2,./ Civil 90.0 Exports 15.0 Losses and increments in storage 4.6 Total 122.6 a. Including consumption by civil aviation. b. Estimated at about 3 to 4 percent of the total supply. -12 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 The continued emphasis on dieselization in transport and agriculture in the USSR helps to explain criticisms by the Soviet press regarding the inadequate supply of diesel fuel and an oversupply of gasoline. The Soviet regime alleviated this condition somewhat by using low-quality straight-run gasoline in light diesel fuel blends, a practice that had an added advantage of improving diesel fuel for use in frigid weather by lowering its initial freezing point. 2. Natural Gas 1 The share of Soviet industry in the total consumption of natural gas was estimated to be about 85 percent in 1960 and is ex- pected to be more than 90 percent in 1965. In 1960 the major industrial consumer of natural gas was the electric power industry, which utilized about 50 percent of the total natural gas consumed in the industrial sector. This share is expected to decline, however, to about 25 percent of the total by 1965. Reportedly, considerable progress was made during 1959-60 in increasing the use of natural gas in the metallurgical in- dustry of the USSR. The share of the metallurgical industry in the total consumption of natural gas is expected to increase from less than 5 percent of the total in 1960 to about 20 percent in 1965.* E. Oil Pipelines A significant advance in the USSR in 1960 was achieved in the transport of oil by pipeline, which increased to 51 billion ton- kilometers in 1960, a growth of 23 percent compared with 1959. The USSR fulfilled the annual construction plan for trunk oil pipelines for the first time since 1950. However, the plan was so modest -- about 2,000 kilometers (km) -- that the achievement was not particularly significant, at least in terms of the increment to the total availability of pipelines. 22/ Availability of pipelines at the end of 1960 amounted to 18,700 km. Significantly the construc- tion plan for pipelines for 1961 calls for 2,800 km, a 40-percent increase above the construction in 1960. Apparently this increase is to be made at the expense of the construction of gas pipelines because there is a 15-percent reduction in the construction program for gas pipelines for 1961. (The estimated construction of oil pipe- lines in the USSR and their availability for 1955-60 and as planned for 1961 and 1965 are given in Table 9.**) * Data based on information contained in studies listed in source ** Table 9 follows on p. 14. - 13 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Table 9 Estimated Construction and Availability of Oil Pipelines in the USSR a/ 1955-60 and Plans for 1961 and 1965 Thousand Kilometers Year End-of-Year Availability Annual Construction 1955 10.4 N.A. 1956 11.6 1.2 1957 13.2 1.6 1958 14.4 1.2 1959 16.7 2.3 1960 sj 18.7 2.0 1961 Plan 21.5 2.8 1965 Plan 2/ 45.1 8.1 a. Unless otherwise indicated, data are from source 18/. b. Derived from end-of-year availability data. c. 19/ The major achievement in the construction of pipelines in the USSR in 1960 was the completion of that part of the proposed Tuymazy- Irkutsk crude oil pipeline between Sokur and Klukvennaya, a distance of 771 km, that will permit the completion of this system probably late in 1961 or early in 1962. Other major installations completed in 1960 were as follows: Origin Length Terminus (Kilometers) Ishimbay* Orsk 300 Gortkiy** Ryazan' 415 Penzaxxx Michurinsk 342 Novosibirskt Krasnoyarsk 375 to 400 For the supplying of Urals-Volga crude oil to the Orsk refinery. ** For the supplying of Urals-Volga crude oil to the Ryazan' re- finery. *** A part of the planned Kuybyshev-Bryansk products pipeline. f A part of the planned Omsk-Chita products pipeline. -14 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Initial construction on the proposed Soviet-European Satel- lite crude oil pipeline was not begun until early 1961, probably re- flecting a lack of steel pipe. During 1960, negotiations were con- tinued with firms of the Free World for purchases of steel pipe to close the apparent gap between requirements and indigenous output, and a contract was concluded with the Italian State Corporation for Oil and Natural Gas (ENI) that called for the delivery of 240,000 tons of steel pipe during 1961-64. 20/ Early in 1961, additional .contracts providing for imports of pipe into the USSR were reported to have been concluded with a firm in Sweden for 135,000 tons and with a firm in the UK for 150,000 tons. Negotiations are reported to be in progress with Japan that would provide for Soviet imports of as much as 250,000 tons of large-diameter pipe. F. Natural Gas Pipelines The construction program for natural gas transmission pipe- lines in the USSR for 1960 exceeded the plan by about 12 percent. The plan called for laying 3,660 km of pipeline, 21/ and a total of 4,101 km was installed. 22/ The length of the transmission gas pipe- line system in the USSR at the beginning of 1961 was approximately 21,000 km. Significantly the plan for 1961 is only 3,400 km, 17 per- cent below the gas pipeline installations in 1960. 21/ Many Soviet gas pipelines have operated at only 35 to 70 percent of planned capac- ity.211/ The major difficulty is the failure of the USSR to achieve the planned construction of compressor stations. Attempts to import and/or produce compressors apparently have not eliminated the bottle- necks. Other problems have been the lag in construction of adequate storage facilities and in development of city distribution systems. A major accomplishment in the installation of gas transmis- sion pipelines in 1960 was the installation of more than 1,200 km of 40-inch pipeline. The major part of the 40-inch, 1,000-km line from Krasnodarskiy Kray to Serpukhov, which is expected to be completed early in 1961, and all of the 240-km branch line from Shebelinka to Ostrogozhsk was completed. 22/' Other significant transmission gas pipelines installed in 1960 include the 665-1m, 32-inch pipeline from Dashava to Minsk 2./; the 652-1m, 32-inch pipeline from Saratov to Gor'kiy 22/; and the 570-1m, 28-inch pipeline from Dzharkak to Bukhara to Samarkand to Tashkent. 15 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 II. Solid Fuels (Coal)* Production of coal in the USSR reached 513 million tons in 1960 -- about a 2-million-ton underfulfillment of the 1960 plan, which called for a 1.7-percent increase above output in 1959 of 506.6 million tons. As there is no evidence of a shortage of coal in the USSR and as all preliminary reports show that coal targets were exceeded, the original annual plan for 1960 must have been deliberately reduced.** Perhaps the revision reflects an acceleration of the program under the Seven Year Plan for virtually eliminating production of high-cost, low- quality energy coal in the Moscow Basin and reducing output of surplus unprocessed anthracite coal dust in the Donets Basin. A problem of surplus low-quality, high-cost energy coal has plagued the Soviet coal industry for the past few years. Early in 1960, because of this surplus, electric power stations in the Ukraine that had been converted to use low-cost natural gas were reconverted to coal. Significantly, production of energy coal declined from 405.7 million tons in 1959 to 403 million tons in 1960. One of the most important tasks of the Soviet coal industry in 1960 was the continued output of adequate quantities of coking coal. Output of coking coal reached 110 million tons, exceeding the pre- liminary annual plan for 1960 by about 2 million tons. 32/ The share of coking coal as a percent of the total production of coal increased to 21.4 percent in 1960 compared with only 19.9 percent in 1959. (The estimated production of coal and coking coal in the USSR in 1959-60 and that planned for 1961 and 1965 are given in Table 10.***) Even though the total production of coal is scheduled to be reduced below that of the previous year for the first time in 1961, production of coking coal is expected to increase 5.5 million tons to 115.5 million tons. In 1960 the USSR made considerable progress in the mechanization and automation of coal mines. A great deal of equipment, including pumps, ventilators, and conveyors, was converted to completely auto- matic, semiautomatic, or remote control. The coal industry of the USSR now leads the world in the use of mechanical coal mining equip- ment. Reports indicate that during 1960 several new models of combines * Except for coal, the data on solid fuels in this'report are limited to Table 1, p. 3, above. ** The original Seven Year Plan goal of 606 million to 612 million tons of coal in 1965 probably also has been reduced. Production of coal in 1959 and 1960 and the plan for production of coal in 1961 (511.7 million tons) are not adequate to meet the goal for 1965. It is estimated that production of coal in 1965 probably will be about 560 million tons. 29/ *** Table 10 follows on p. 17. -16- Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 were introduced with good results. The USSR also is replacing scraper conveyors and locomotives with belt conveyors in order to improve coal haulage in the mines. Table 10 Estimated Production of Coal and Coking Coal in the USSR a/ 1959-60 and Plans for 1961 and 1965 Coking Coal Year Coal (Million Metric Tons) Million Metric Tons Percent of Total Coal 1959 506.6 100.8 19.9 1960 12/ 513.0 110.0 21.4 1961 Plan 511.7 115.5 sj 22.6 1965 Plan 560.0 d/ 153.0 27.3 a. Unless otherwise indicated, data are from source b. 2 c. Based on data contained in source 12/. d. Estimated. The official plan called for 606 million to 612 mil- lion metric tons. These advances in the automation and mechanization of the Soviet coal industry in 1960 have resulted in the first significant Improve- ment in labor productivity in 8 years, labor productivity in the mines having increased about 6 percent compared with 1959. Because of the increase in labor productivity, it is believed that the average cost of production of coal decreased during 1960 compared with 1959. For example, in the Ukraine, where one-third of the total Soviet coal is produced, costs of production of coal decreased 2.65 rubles per ton, from 108.8 rubles in 1959 to 106.15 rubles in 1960.* * Ruble values throughout this report are in current rubles (pre-1961 exchange rate) and may be converted to US dollars at a rate of exchange of 4 rubles to US $1. This rate does not necessarily reflect the value of the ruble in terms of dollars. -17- Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 A significant technical achievement by the Soviet coal industry in 1960 was the successful employment of the hydraulic method of mining, whereby water under pressure is used as a cutting force to extract coal as well as to transport it to the surface. In 1960 the hydraulic method was employed to some extent in the Donets Basin in 15 mines with a total capacity of only 2 million tons. However, a new Donets mine came into operation which has an estimated eventual production of about 3 million tons annually and which is designed to produce coal exclusively by the hydraulic method. By 1965, produc- tion of coal by this method is planned to reach 41.6 million tons, and labor productivity is expected to be from two to three times greater with the hydraulic method than with conventional mining methods. III. Electric Power Production of electric power in the USSR in 1960 is estimated at about 294 billion kilowatt-hours (kwh), an increase of 29 billion kwh above that in 1959 and 3 billion kwh above the plan. (The estimated production of electric power in the USSR in 1959-60 and that planned for 1961 and 1965 are shown in Table 11.) Table 11 Estimated Production of Electric Power by Thermal Electric and Hydroelectric Powerplants in the USSR 1959-60 and Plans for 1961 and 1965 Million Kilowatt-Hours Type of Powerplant 1959 LI/ 1960 11 1961 Plan 2/ 1965 Plan 21/ Thermal electric 217,482 236,000 N.A. 420,000 Hydroelectric 47,630 58,000 N.A. 100,000 Total 265,112 294,000 327,000 520,000 a. 12/ b. Production of electric power in the USSR in 1960 was reported to have been 292 billion kwh. ..aW The figure was preliminary, however, and on the basis of past adjustments of such figures it is estimated that it will be adjusted to a final production figure of almost 294 billion kwh. The figure for hydroelectric production assumes an annual utilization of hydroelectric capacity close to the historic average. d. The total figure is the upper limit of the Plan range for 1965. ,3.i3j The figure for hydroelectric production is a rounded fig- ure from an average of several Soviet statements. -18- Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 The final 1960 plan for the installation of 5.7 million kilo- watts (kw) of new electric power generating capacity is estimated to have been fulfilled. ..U./ The original plan of 6 million kw, however, was underfulfilled by 300,000 kw, and the actual installation re- flected an annual rate of increase in new capacity of only 9.7 per- cent, the lowest annual percentage increase during the postwar years. In 1960, as in the previous 2 years, the installation of new capac- ity for generating electric power was inadequate to maintain reserve capacity at the desired level. Only the more intensive use of in- stalled capacity enabled the USSR to exceed the 1960 plan for generat- ing electric power. It is estimated that the average annual hours of operation increased from 4,775 hours in 1959 to 4,84o hours in 1960. (The estimated capacity of electric powerplants in the USSR in 1959-60 and as planned for 1965 is given in Table 12.) Table 12 Estimated Capacity of Electric Powerplants in the USSR 1959-60 and Plan for 1965 Thousand Kilowatts Type of Powerplant 1959 21 1960 IJ 1965 Plan .2.1 Thermal electric 46,557 50,190 92,000 Hydroelectric 12,710 14,810 22,000 Total 59,267 65,000 114,000 a. ).i2i b. The total is as reported. 41/ Hydroelectric is based on re- ported additions to specific plants; thermal electric is a re- mainder. c. Derived by adding the planned new capacity to be installed dur- ing 1959-65 142/ to the capacity at the end of 1958.1132 The construction of 27,900 km of new high-tension lines by the end of 1960, as scheduled under the Seven Year Plan, is believed to have been fulfilled. 44/ The plan for 1961 calls for the completion of 29,280 km of new transmission lines. 45/ 19_ Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 IV. Trade A. Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Soviet exports of crude oil and petroleum products to the Free World have increased annually since 1955. In 1960, at a time when the consumption of oil by the Free World increased less than 10 percent and when world oil supplies were in excess of demand, Soviet net ex- ports of oil to the Free World increased 4.4 million tons, or about 32 percent, reaching 18 million tons. Of this amount, it is estimated that 9 million tons were crude oil and that 9 million tons were petro- leum products. Soviet oil was exported to at least 28 countries of the Free World, including 3 countries -- India, Cuba, and Guinea -- that imported Soviet oil for the first time. Economic considerations may be secondary to political considera- tions in Soviet sales of oil to underdeveloped countries, but the main objective of the USSR in selling oil to industrialized countries prob- ably is to pay for the imports of needed industrial equipment. Signifi- cant to the Soviet success in selling oil is a willingness to accept payment in soft currencies and in commodities. Many of the agreements to export Soviet oil to the Free World provide for the reciprocal im- port of pipe that is urgently needed to complete the Soviet construction program for pipelines. In 1960 the Italian State Corporation for Oil and Natural Gas (ENI) agreed to import 12 million tons of Soviet crude oil over a 4-year period, to be paid for principally by Soviet imports of pipeline material, including 240,000 tons of steel pipe.)14,/ The USSR also hopes to conclude a long-term agreement with Japan to sup- ply oil in exchange for 250,000 tons of pipe. In 1960 the total Soviet net exports of crude oil and petroleum products increased by 6 million tons, to 26 million tons. Net exports to other countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc increased by 1.6 million tons, or about 25 percent. (The estimated Soviet trade in crude oil and petroleum products with the Free World and with the Sino-Soviet Bloc in 1955-60 is given in Table 13.*) B. Coal In 1960, Soviet net trade in coal and coke amounted to only about 7.5 million tons. In comparison with 1959, Soviet exports of both coal and coke declined by about a half million tons. Imports were less than a half million tons. (The estimated Soviet trade in coal and coke with the Free World and the Sino-Soviet Bloc in 1955 and 1958-60 is given in Table 14.**) * Table 13 follows on p. 21. ** Table 14 follows on p. 22. -20 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Soviet exports of coal to the Free World, although relatively small, have increased annually since 1955. Trade negotiations with Japan late in 1960 reflect further Soviet efforts to increase the future exports of coal to the Free World. Japan agreed informally to double imports of coal from the Kuznetsk Basin during 1961-63. The estimated average prices for Soviet coal delivered to Japan (about $15 per ton) are $3 to $4 lower than comparable prices for US coal ($18 to $19 per ton)./21/ The US, which currently supplies 80 to 90 percent of Japanese imports of coal) probably will face more serious competition from the USSR in the future. Table 13 Estimated Trade in Crude Oil and Petroleum Products by the USSR, by Destination a/ 1955-60 Million Metric Tons Destination 1955, 156 1957 19>8 1959 1960 With the Free World Imports IV 0.5 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.0 1 Exports 3.1 4.6 7.9 s/ 9.6 pi 14.6 21 19 Net d/ 2.6 3.2 6.6 8.6 13.6 18 With the Sino-Soviet Bloc Imports 3.8 3.9 3.0 2.9 4.4 3 Exports 2.1 4.1 5.8 8.5 10.8 11 Net 1/ -1.7 0.2 2.7 5.6 6.4 8 Net total trade 0.9 3.4 9.4 14.2 20.0 26 a. 8 . Except for 1960, which was estimated on the basis of pre- liminary reports. b. Austrian reparations. c. Residual. d. Net imports are designated by the use of a minus sign. -21- Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Table 14 Estimated Trade in Coal and Coke by the USSR by Destination a/ 1955 and 1958-60 Million Metric Tons Destination 1955 1958 1959 3.60 Coal Coke Coal Coke Coal Coke Coal12/ Coke s.1 With the Free World Exports 1.8 0.2 3.6 0.4 4.2 0.4 4.5 0.4 Imports 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Net 1.8 0.2 0.4 4.2 0.4 4.5 0.4 With the Sino-Soviet Bloc Exports 0.2 1.0 2.8 1.3 2.7 1.4 1.9 1.0 Imports 6.6 o 0.3 o 0.3 o 0.3 o Net d/ -6.3 1.0 2.6 1.3 2.4 1.4 1.6 1.0 Net total trade -4.3 1.2 6.1 --- 1.7 6.6 1.8 6.1 1.4 a. Basic studies used in the construction of this table are those listed in source Official Soviet data include Polish coal and coke that are reexported but never enter the USSR. These amounts are excluded from these data. c? a/ d. Derived from unrounded data. Net imports are designated by the use of a minus sign. -22 - peclassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 APPENDIX SOURCE REFERENCES 1. US Joint Publications Research Service. JPRS 6901, The National Economy of the USSR in 1959, P. 175. (hereafter referred to as National Economy in 1959) 2. Torfyanaya promyshlennost', no 5, May 60, p. 3. 3. Pravda, 28 Oct 59, p. 1. 4. National Economy in 1959, p. 182-183. 5. Pravda, 21 Dec 60, p. 2. 6. Ekonomicheskaya gazeta, 21 Dec 60, p. 2. 7. Ibid., 1 Jan 61. 8. Gazovaya promyshlennost', no 12, Dec 60, p. 2. 9. Bokserman, Yu.I. Gazovyye resursy SSSR (Gas Resources of the USSR), Moscow, 1959, Table 22, p. 65. 10. Pravda, 27 Jan 61. Gazovaya promyshlennost', no 6, Jun 60, p. 56. 11. Gazovaya promyshlennost', no 1, Jan 61, p. 2. 12. Planovoye khozyaystvo, Jan 59, p. 42-52. Ibid., Mar 58, p. 14-23. 13. Stroitel'naya gazeta, 3 Aug 60, p. 1. Ibid., 16 Oct 60, p. 1. 14. Neftyanoye khozyaystvo, Jan 60, p. 1-12. 15. Planovoye khozyaystvo, Mar 58, p. 14-23. 16. Maslakov, D, I. Toplivnyy balans SSSR (Fuel Balance of the USSR), Moscow, 1960, p. 112-146. World Power Conference. Principles of Compiling Energy Balance in the USSR, Madrid, 9 Jan 60, p. 6. Voprosy ekonomiki, no 9, Sep 60, p. 117. 17. Stroitel'stvo truboprovodov, no 1, Jan 60, p. 2. 18. National Economy in 1959, p. 493. 19. Stroitel'stvo truboprovodov, no 2, Feb 61, map insert. Neftyanoye khozyaystvo, no 1, 1961, p. 1-7. 20. Russo-British Chamber of Commerce. Information Circular to Members, no 1 (60/61), 3 Nov 60, p. 5. 21. Stroitel'stvo truboprovodov, no 1, Jan 60, p. 2. 22. Gazovaya promyshlennost', no 4, 1961, p. 56. 23. Stroitel'stvo truboprovodov, no 1, Jan 61, p. 1. 24. Gazovaya promyshlennost', no 9, Sep 60, p. 45. 25. Ekonomicheskaya gazeta, 29 Dec 60, p. 1. 26. Neft' i gaz, Dec 60, p. 58. 27. Ekonomicheskaya gazeta, 28 Oct 60, p. 1. 28. US Joint Publications Research Service. JPRS 7945, 12 Mar 61, p. 19. -23 - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5 29. USSR. Osnovy tekhnicheskoy progressa ugoltnoy promysh- lennosti SSSR (The Basis for Technical Progress in the Coal Industry of the USSR), Moscow, 1959. 30. US Joint Publications Research Service. JPRS 3625, 27 Jul 60, p. 2. 31. National Economy in 1959, p. 176-180. 32. SSSR v tsifrakh v 1960 godu (The USSR in Figures in 1960), Moscow, 1961, p. 128. 33. Koks i khimiya, no 1, 1961, P. 1-2. 34. Ugol' Ukrainy, no 1, Jan 61, p. 4. 35. USSR. Narodnoye khozyaystvo SSSR v 1959 godu (The National Economy of the USSR in 1959), Moscow, 1960, p. 193. 36. Izvestiya, 26 Jan 61, p. 1. 37. Ibid., 20 Dec 60, p. 2. 38. Ibid., 8 Feb 59, p. 3. 39. Planovoye khozyaystvo, no 7, Jul 60, p. 65. 4o. Narodnoye khozyaystvo (35, above). 41. Elektricheskiye stantsii, no 4, Apr 61, p. 2. 42. Izvestiya, 8 Feb 59, p. 3. 43. Narodnoye khozyaystvo (35, above). 44. Stroitel'naya gazeta, 6 Jul 60, p. 1. 45. Ibid., 25 Dec 60, p. 2. 46. Soviet Weekly, 20 Oct 60, p. 6. 47. Interior, Bureau of Mines. International Coal Trade, vol 29, Aug 60, p. 21. 48. USSR, Tsentral'noye Statisticheskiy Upravleniye. Vneshnyaya torgovlya SSSR (Foreign Trade of the USSR), Moscow, various years, 1955-59. 49. Ibid. 50. Interior, Bureau of Mines. International Coal Trade, vol 29, no 11-12, Nov-Dec 60. 51. Ibid. ECE. coal/144/cTsc/151, 5 Jul 6o. ECE. Coa1/145/CTSC/153, 28 Sep 60. - 211- - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP79R01141A002100010001-5