RAILROAD CONSTRUCTION IN THE USSR, 1946-60

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
50
Document Creation Date: 
December 23, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 13, 2013
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 18, 1957
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6.pdf2.08 MB
Body: 
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 (-7 ThteR-EL N? 3 ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE REPORT RAILROAD CONSTRUCTION IN THE USSR, 1946-60, AND PROSPECTS THROUGH 1970 CIA/RR 98 18 September 1957 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 WARNING This material contains information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18, USC, Secs. 793 and 794, the trans- mission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 -E -C -R -E-T ECONCYZEC INTELLIGENCE REPORT RAILROAD CONSTRUCTION IN THE USSR, 1946-60, AND PROSPECTS THROUGH 1970 CIA/RR 98 (ORR Project 47.1068) CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Reports S -E-C .-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T CONTENTS Page Summary and Conclusions I. Introduction II. Volume of New Construction, 1946-60 1 2 7 A. Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) 7 B. Fifth Five Year Plan (1951-55) 10 C. Sixth Five Year Plan (1956-60) 13 III. Capital Investment in New Construction, 1946-60 ? . 16 IV. Postwar Construction Practices, 1946-60 18 A. Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) 21 B. Fifth Five Year Plan (1951-55) 21 C. Sixth Five Year Plan (1956-60) 22 V. Prospects for Future Construction, 1961-70 23 Appendix A. Progress Chart Appendix B. Unusual Construction Projects 27 Appendix C. Methodology Appendixes 25 29 S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Tables Page 1. Length of Railroad Lines Completed and Planned for Com- pletion During the Fourth Through the Eighth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-70 3 2. Share of Railroad Track Laid by Forced and Free Labor During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60 5 3. Cumulative and Added Carryover of New Railroad Construc- tion During the Fourth Through the Seventh Five Year Plans in the USSR) 19146-65 6 4. Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Fourth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1946-50 8 5. Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Fifth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1951-55 11 6. Estimated Length of Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1956-60 14 7. Estimated Capital Investment in New Railroad Line Construction Compared with Total Volume of Construction and Installation Work During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60 17 8. Estimated Annual Capital Investment in New Line Con- struction as a Share of Total Capital Investment for Railroads During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 19146-60 19 9. Prospective New Railroad Lines To Be Constructed During the Seventh and Eighth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1961-70 ? - iv - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 24 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T 10. First-Stage Construction by Forced Labor on Railroad Lines During the Fourth and. Fifth Five Year Plans In the USSR, 1946-55 Page 30 11. Time Interval Between Passage of the First Train and Official Completion of New Railroads on Selected Lines in the USSR 31 12. Relationship Between Volume of Earthwork and Total Cost of Construction in Railroad Construction in the USSR . 32 13. Derivation of Average Volume of Earthwork per Kilometer of Railroad Construction on Major New Railroads Planned for Construction During the Fourth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1946-50 33 14. Derivation of Average Cost of New Railroad Construction During the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR by Map Study of Terrain Conditions, 1956-60 34 15. Computation of Final Average Cost of New Railroad Construction During the Sixth Five Year. Plan in the USSR, 1956-60 36 16. Capital Investment in New Railroad Construction and Volume of Uncompleted Work During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60 . . . . 38 17. Derivation of Annual Investment in New Railroad Construction During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60 39' - v - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Illustrations Following Page Figure 1. USSR: Annual Railroad Track Laid and Lines Completed, 1946-60 (Chart) Figure 2. USSR: Progress of Construction on Individual Railroad Lines, 1946-60 (Chart) 26 Figure 3. USSR: Railroad Construction Progress, 1946-60 (Map) - vi - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Inside Back Cover Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 CIA/RR 98 S-E-C-R-E-T (ORB Project 47.1068) RAILROAD CONSTRUCTION IN THE USSR, 1946-60, AND PROSPECTS THROUGH 1970*. Summary and Conclusions The USSR has initiated a program of long-range development of its railroad network with major emphasis in the eastern areas** of the country. During the period of the Fourth and Fifth Five Year Plans (1946-50 and 1951-55, respectively) the USSR was unwilling to devote sufficient resources to new railrgad construction to insure Plan ful- fillment. Since the start of the Sixth Five Year Plan (1956-60), this policy has been changed, and the tempo of railroad construction has significantly increased. The development of railroads in the eastern areas of the USSR, which started during World War II, has continued in the Fourth Five Year Plan. This Plan called for a 4,000-kilometer (km) South Siberian Main Line, new connections to Central Asia, and numerous shorter lines. Schedules were not met, however, and the completion of these lines be- came one of the primary goals of the Fifth and Sixth Five Year Plans. About 75 percent of these lines have now been completed, and most of the remainder are under construction. During the period from 1946 through 1956, 84 percent of all lines completed and put into operation in the USSR were located in the eastern areas. Present plans and sur- veys for future lines indicate that the emphasis on railroad construc- tion in the east will continue at least through 1970. The quality of construction on new main lines in the USSR at the rpresent time approaches the standards for similar lines in the US. Railroads built by the USSR in the early postwar years were often poorly constructed, even by Soviet standards of that time. During 1946-56, various measures were taken which improved the quality of construction -- forced labor was gradually replaced by free labor, modern machines and equipment were introduced, and the quality of construction materials was ordered to be improved. * The estimates and conclusions contained in this report represent the best judgment of ORB as of 1 June 1957. ** Including the Urals, Central Asia, Siberia and the Far East. .S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T The absolute length of new railroads completed and put into opera- tion during the Fourth Five Year Plan averaged 440 km per year. This amount has increased gradually, and during the Sixth Five Year Plan it should reach an annual average of 1,300 km.* It is estimated that new railroad construction will continue at about this rate during 1961-70. I. Introduction. This report covers the construction and planned construction of new railroads in the USSR from 1946 through 1960** and prospective plans for construction through 1970. All broad-gauge main lines more than 50 km in length are included,*** but reconstruction, repair and maintenance, double tracking, electrification, station tracking, sidings, and narrow-gauge lines are excluded. xxxx Soviet statistics on railroad construction deal with two general stages of construction: first-stage construction and second-stage construction. First-stage construction requires about 53 percent of the total capital investment in railroad construction 2/ and includes all work from basic planning and survey through the laying of track. A new line is usually opened for "temporary" operation at the con- clusion of this stage. Many lines, particularly those built by forced labor, have been carried through this stage of construction and have * For length of lines completed and put into operation or planned, see Table 1, p.3 , below. ** The railroad system of the USSR contained 112,868 route-kilo- meters of main-line railroad on 31 December 1945. Route-kilometers measure the length of main-line railroad, either single or double track. The 112,868 km include about 4,260 km of narrow-gauge lines, most of which were added to the Soviet network when the USSR seized eastern Poland, the Baltic republics, and South Sakhalin. Some of these lines have now been converted to Soviet standard gauge. *** The Salekhard-Igarka-Dudinka and the Pobedino-Okha broad-gauge lines are not included in the body of this report, but are discussed in Appendix B, p. 27, below. xxxx See Appendix B for a 1.--ief description of the narrow-gauge lines in the "new lands." -2 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T been operated on a temporary basis since then. These lines have never been fully completed and are not considered part of the rail- road system by Soviet authorities, although many carry regular traffic. Second-stage construction consumes the remaining 47 percent of the capital investment in railroad construction and includes the construc- tion of communications lines, service buildings, water supply, energy supply, housing, cultural and communal building, and other ancillary work. Under normal conditions, this stage in construction of Soviet railroads follows immediately after the first stage and takes an average of 15 months to complete.* "Completion and putting into opera- tion"** occurs only after the end of both stages of construction. Plan directives, Plan fulfillment reports, and announcements of the acceptance of new lines into the railroad network are all con- cerned with railroads which have been officially completed. The total length of new railroad lines officially completed and accepted by the railroad systems during the Fourth and Fifth Five Year Plans and estimates of future completions through the Eighth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1946-70, are shown in Table 1. Table 1 Length of Railroad Lines Completed and Planned for Completion During the Fourth Through the Eighth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-70 Kilometers Five Year Plan Fourth (1946-50) (completed) Fifth (1951-55) (completed) Sixth (1956-60) (planned) Seventh and Eighth (1961-70) (prospective) Length a/ 2,200 hi 3,100 2/ 6,500 di 10,200 2/ a. Figures rounded to nearest hundred kilometers. b. See Table 4, p. 8, below. c. d. g/./ e. A minimum. See Table 9, p. 21f, below. See Appendix C, Table 11, p. 31, below. Hereafter referred to as official completion. - 3 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Estimates of the length of track laid (volume of construction) and planned in each year, 1946-60, for the two stages of railroad construction work are shown in the chart) Figure 1.* The volume of first-stage construction work (shown in Figure 1 as Track Laid) on individual railroad lines in each year, 1946-60 is shown in the chart, Figure 2.** The annual increments of second-stage construc- tion (shown in Figure 1 as Lines Completed) have been derived from analysis of Five Year Plan official completion figures XXX and from evaluation of the general trend of railroad construction. Although the estimated length of lines accepted in any 1 year may be in- accurate, the 5-year totals for the periods 1946-50) 1951-55, and 1956-60 are considered to be accurate to the nearest hundred kilo- meters. During World War II and throughout the Fourth Five Year Plan, large numbers of prisoners of war, Russian political prisoners, and Soviet troopsxxxx were employed in railroad construction in the USSR. These lines usually were built to a stage where temporary operation was possible and then were maintained and operated in that condition -- that is, no more than the first stage of construction was completed. During the Fifth Five Year Plan the use of forced labor gradually diminished and its composition changed, so that by the end of the Plan Soviet troops constituted the vast majority of forced labor. These troops were nearly all working on the 710-km section of the Trans-Mongolian Railroad between Ulan Bator and Erh-lien, which was rushed to completion in 2 years./ 2/ Work on this line (completed on 2 January 1956) accounted for about three-fourths of all work done by forced labor during the Plan. Forced labor is expected to play little part in railroad construc- tion during the Sixth Five Year Plan. All known new lines are being * Following p. 4. ** Following p. 26. *** See Tables 4, 5, and 6, pp. 8, 11, and 14, respectively, below. xxxx Soviet Any troops used in new railroad construction are con- sidered to be forced labor throughout this report. / See the map, Figure 3, inside back cover. The use of troop labor to expedite construction of this line may indicate that Soviet military authori- ties were interested in the project. -k - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 2200 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 U.1 1000 0 800 600 400 200 SECRET USSR ANNUAL RAILROAD TRACK LAID AND LINES COMPLETED 1946-60 Figure 1 I 1 i I 1 / 1 I /4 / 1 1. 1 / 1 1 1 / 1 .. 1 1 1 1 1 ANNUAL TRACK LAID ........ ? ...it - / '. ........ .. . // / / / .. \/ / _...??????#. I g????? ?????????? woo.. \ \e/1 / .... MANNUAL COMPLETION OF LINES ESTIMATED PLAN 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 25918 7-57 SECRET 1955 1956 1957 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 1958 1959 1960 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 built by civilian port Construction free labor during USSR, 1946-60, is S-E-C-R-E-T construction organizations of the Ministry of Trans- . The share of railroad track laid by forced and the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the shown in Table 2. Table 2 Share of Railroad Track Laid by Forced and Free Labor During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-60 Total Forced Labor Free Labor Track Laid Kilo- Percent Kilo-12/ 1 Percent Five Year Plan (Kilometers) meters of Total meters E/ of Total Fourth (1946-60) 4,539 a/ 2,211 49 2,328 51 Fifth (1951-55) 4,041 2/ 1,157 29 2,884 71 Sixth (1956-60) 5,403 fi Negligible 5,403 100 a. b. C. d. e. f. Including Soviet Army labor. See Appendix C, Table 10, p. 30 ) below. Residual. See Table 4, p. 8, below. See Table 5, p. 11, below. See Table 6, p. 14, below. Some uncompleted work, or carryover,* must be brought over from Plan to Plan in any continuing construction program, and railroad con- struction practice in the USSR requires about 15 months (see Appendix C, Table 11**) to complete second-stage construction after the track has * Carryover is the term given to all work on a construction project which remains to be done at the end of a Five Year Plan (or any selected period) and must be carried over into the next. For the purposes of this report, carryover is defined as the requirements of second-stage construction. First-stage construction which was left uncompleted at the end of a Plan (that is, some work done but track not yet laid) has not been included in carryover but has been entirely charged to the following Plan. ** P. 31, below. - 5 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T been laid. Thus if construction continues uninterruptedly to comple- tion, uncompleted work should roughly equal the value or volume of work necessary to carry out second-stage construation on that length of track laid during the last 15 months of a Plan. As shown above, much of the new railroad construction in the USSR during World War II was done by forced labor. As a result, on 1 Jan- uary 1946, 1,796 km of lines were in temporary operation, and thus the Fourth Five' Year Plan started with a large carryover. Both the cumulative and newly added carryover of new railroad construction during the Fourth through the Seventh Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-65, are shown in Table 3. Table 3 Cumulative and Added Carryover of New Railroad Construction During the Fourth Through the Seventh Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-65 Kilometers Five Year Plans Cumulative carryover at Fourth (1946-50) Fifth (1951-55) Sixth (1956-60) Seventh (1961-65) the beginning of Plan 1,796 2/ 4,o94 -2/ 5,075 2/ 3,998 2/ First-stage construction 4,539 2/ 4,o41 q/ 5,403 2/ N.A. 'Second-stage construction 2,241 2/ 3,060 2/ 6,48o 2/ N.A. Carryover added f/ 2,298 981 -1,077 N.A. a. Track laid during World War II. b. Algebraic sum of "Cumulative carryover" at beginning of previous Plan and "Carryover added" during previous Plan. c. See Table 4, p. 8, below. d. See Table 5, p. 11, below. e. See Table 6, p. 14, below. f. Difference between "First-stage construction" and "Second-stage construction" -- positive when "First-stage construction" is greater, negative when "Second-stage construction is greater. - 6 - S-E7C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T During the Fourth Five Year Plan) because of the availability of large numbers of forced laborers, the USSR laid hundreds of kilo- meters of new track into remote areas in apparent anticipation of future development. Most of these lines were completed only to the stage of temporary operation and have been operated on that basis since. Without forced labor it is probable that many of these lines would not have been built. AS the number of forced laborers diminished, the volume of work performed by them decreased during the Fifth Five Year Plan. As a result, only a "normal" carryover of 981 km developed during this Plan. The directives of the Sixth Five Year Plan announced that about 6,500 km of new railroad lines are to be completed in 1956-60. Y The actual construction of new track will be only 5,403 km (see Table 6*), and the balance of planned completions will be from the carryover of lines now in temporary operation. It is significant that, even with a substantial reduction during the Sixth Five Year Plan, the cumulative carryover at the beginning of the Seventh Five Year Plan will be about 4,000 km. II. Volume of New Construction, 1911.6-60. A. Fourth Five Year Plan (19)e6-50). The USSR planned to construct and put into operation 7,230 km of new railroad during the Fourth Five Year Plan. 7./ The amount of track laid and sectors completed on individual railroad lines during this Plan in the USSR, 1946-50, is shown in Table 4.** The Fourth Five Year Plan was fulfilled by only 31 percent with the official com- pletion of only 2,241 km. The failure to meet the planned goals is pointed up even more by the fact that only 445 km of this amount were made up of lines started during the Fourth Five Year Plan. The remain- ing 1,796 km officially completed were made up of second-stage con- struction work on lines carried over from World War 11. g/ During the Fourth Five Year Plan, new tracklaying was carried out on 4)539 km of new railroads. As shown in Table 2, XXX forced labor was relied upon for the completion of almost half of this work. * P. 14, below. ** Table 4 follows on p. 8. *** P. 5) above. - 7 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 4 Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Fourth Five Year Plan in the USSR 1946-50 Kilometers Line Track Laid 21* Official Completions Akmolinsk-Ravlodar Artyshta-Chesnokovka Barnaul-Kulunda 12/ Bystrovka-Rybachlye 2/ Chardzhou-Kungrad Dudinka-Norillsk 350 195 65 370 4o 78 1/ 212 2/ Dzharthul - Chulak-Tau 2/ 70 98 f/ Fedorovka - Kakhovka - Snigirevka E/ 31 Irkutsk-Slyudyanka 130 Ishimbay-Yermolayevo 98 98 12/ Izvestkovyy-Urgal 1/ 350 2/ Kizel'-Molotov 126 Komsomol'sk - Sovetskaya Gavan' 1/ 454 y Kamsomol'sk-Nikolayevsk 130 Kostroma-Galich 125 Kozhva-Vorkuta 1/ 458 1/ Lokotl-Leninogorsk 1/ 336 2/ Magnitogorsk-Kuybyshev region 12/ Magnitogorsk-Sibay-Baymak b/ Miass-Kyshtym 85 Mikhaylovskiy-Semipalatinsk 12/ Mointy-Chu 387 Morozovskiy-Kuberle 150 Murmansk-Pechenga-Nikel' g/ 30 Naushki - Ulan Bator 350 Reshety-Boguchany 80 Seyda-Labytnangi 175 Shuya-Il'ino 2/ Sossva-Alapayevsk 2/ 6o 157 1/ Stalinsk-Abakan 80 * Footnotes for Table 4 follow on p. 9. - 8 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 4 Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Fourth Five Year Plan in the USSR 1946-50 (Continued) Kilometers Official Line Track Laid Completions Syzrani-Kuybyshev 1.i/ 4o Tayshet-Osetrovo c 600 Urgal-Komsomol'sk 470 Ust'-Kamenogorsk - Zyryanovsk 87 Shaygino-Vakhtan-Sharlya 25 Vorkuta-Kara 150 Suoyarvi-Yushkozero g/ 15 Yerevan-Sevan 25 Total 4,539 2,2i-1 a. See Appendix A, Figure 2, following p. 26. b. Planned, but not started, during the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50). c. Some track laid before 1 January 1946. d. e. Estimated. g. Probably not in original Plan directives; added later. i. In temporary operation before 1 January 1946. j? 1?/ The track laid by free labor was mainly concentrated on segments of the South Siberian Main Line between Akmolinak and Abakan, on the lines Mointy-Chu and Chardzhou-Kungrad in Central Asia and Kazakhstan, and on scattered shorter lines throughout the country. Progress on these lines was very slow, and of these lines only a 212-4um sector of the Chardzhou-Kungrad line was completed. None of the lines, includ- ing Chardzhou-Kungrad, were opened for through traffic, even on a temporary basis during the Plan. - 9 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Some of the factors leading to the failure to complete new lines were as follows: (1) much of the available free labor was used in Carrying out second-stage construction on the 1,796 km of lines laid during World War II; (2) reconstruction of war-damaged lines in the western USSR received first call on men and material; and (3) the Plan seems to have been a statement of maximum aims rather than of expectations. Most of the track laid by forced labor during the Fourth Five Year Plan was located in the eastern areas. These lines, not urgently needed, were built slowly, and construction was of low quality. Roadbeds, bridges, and tracks were built to minimum speci- fications, and lines were only put into temporary operation. These lines generally had not been completed at the end of 1956 and are still operating on temporary status.* B. Fifth Five Year Plan (1951-55). The goal of the Fifth Five Year Plan in the USSR was con- siderably scaled down from that of the Fourth Five Year Plan and had as its main objective the completion of the major lines started during the Fourth Five Year Plan. The goal for completions was not given, but the statement was made that approximately 2.5 times more lines would be completed during 1951-55 than during 1946-50 11/ -- that Is, about 5,600 km.** Official completions again fell short of the estimated Plan of 5,600 km, in spite of the fact that many of the lines scheduled for completion were in the final stages of construction when the Plan started. The amount of track laid and sectors completed on in- dividual railroad lines during the Fifth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1951-55, is shown in Table 5.xxx Official completions reached about 3,100 km, 15J or 55 percentxxx* of the estimated Plan. Tracklaying * The exception to this statement is the Trans-Mongolian Rail- road. The first sector, Naushki - Ulan Bator, was built during the Fourth Five Year Plan and completed early in the Fifth. The second sector, Ulan Bator - Erh-lien, was built and completed during the Fifth Five Year Plan. Both sectors were built mainly by forced labor. ** Computed by multiplying 2,241 km by 2.5. *** Table 5 follows on p. xxxx Computed. -10 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 5 Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Fifth Five Year Plan in the USSR 1951-55 Kilometers Line Track Laid Official Completions Agryz-Bulgul'ma-Pronino-Surgut Akmolinsk-Pavlodar 12/ Artyshta-Chesnokovka hi Alasuskiy-Karazhal Barnaul-Kulunda Bratsk GES (bypass) Chardzhou-Eungrad b Dudinka-Noril'sk b Fedorovka-Kakhovka-Snigirevka b/ Eherson-Nikolayev Ehodorov-Stanislav KizelLMolotov 12J Kokchetav-Kaymanachikha Kurgan-Peski Kustanay-Dzhetygara L'vov-Uzhgorod Magnitogorsk-Sibay-Baymak Mointy-Chu hi Morozovsk-Kuberle h/ Murmansk-Pechenga-Nikel, b/ Omsk-Karasuk-Barnaul Reshety-Boguchany h/ Stalinsk-Abakan bi Syktyvkar-Mikun' SyzranI-Kuybyshev 12./ Ulan Bator - Chinese Border (Erh-lien) ii Uritskoye-Peski-Volodarskoye Ust'-Kamenogorsk - Zyryanovsk Vorkuta-Kara )21 Suoyarvi-Yushkozero hi 255 88 5 60 343 30 257 60 193 35 77 32 80 200 47 138 150 60 25 190 20 105 260 100 138 710 50 88 6o 125 438 si 200 d/ 343 2,/ 309 f/ 154 g/ 109 hi 447 2/ 175 710 h/ 175 f/ Footnotes for Table 5 follow on p. 12. - 11 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 5 Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Fifth Five Year Plan in the USSR 1951-55 (Continued) Kilometers Official Line Track Laid 2/ Completions Yerevan-Sevan hi Yermolayevo-Chkalov hi Yesilt-Turgay Total 15 35 10 4041 3,060 a. See Appendix A, Figure 2, following p. 26. b. Construction started during Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50). c. 161 d. 171 e. Li f ? 12/ E2j j. Outside Soviet borders. on new lines reached 4,041 km during the Fifth Five Year Plan, slightly less than the length of track laid during the Fourth Five Year Plan. In spite of this drop in track laid, the actual capability of free labor increased. The length of track laid by forced labor dropped to 1,157 km, but free labor laid 2,884 km (see Table 2*). In addition, second-stage construction, which was mainly done by free labor, increased from 2,241 km to 3,060 km. * P. 5, above. - 12 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T C. Sixth Five Year Plan (1956-60). The directives of the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR call for the construction and placing in operation of about 6,500 km of new rail- roadj 21.1/ the first time since World War II that the length of lines planned to be completed will exceed the length of new track planned to be laid. The estimated length of track laid and sectors completed on indi- vidual railroad lines during the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1956-60, is shown in Table 6.* During this Plan, 4,288 km of new lines will be built,** and 981 km of carryover, continuing from the Fifth Five Year Plan, will increase the total amount completed to 5,269 km. The 1,211 km*** necessary to meet the Plan goal of about 6,500 km will be made up by completing some of the cumulative carryover accrued since 1946 (see Table 3****). The completion of lines from the cumulative carryover, some of which have been on temporary operation status since 1950, is to take place at a time when great economic development is going on in areas served by these lines. Some of the lines now are carrying heavy loads and merit the additional work needed to make them fully operational. An additional benefit to the Soviet economy is found in the fact that these lines can be officially completed at less than half the capital invest- ment of totally new lines./ The USSR is thus able to set large new goals for railroad completions during the Sixth Five Year Plan with only a moderate expansion of the railroad construction force. For the first time since World War II, prospects for fulfillment of the new railroad construction goals are good. During the first year of the Sixth Five Year Plan, 1956, about 1,200 km of track were laid on new railroads (see Appendix A, Figure 2/7). The good showing in tracklaying was somewhat offset by failure to complete second-stage construction. Only 416 km of lines were completed because of failure to construct housing and cultural facilities for workers and other subsidiary installations. 33/ * Table 6 follows on p. 14. ** New track amounting to 5,403 km will be laid, but 1,115 km will be carried over into the Seventh Five Year Plan (1961-65). *** The estimated length of lines to be completed, 6,480 km less 5,269 km, gives 1,211 km. See Table 6. xxxx P. 6, above. / The initial investment in the firSt stage of construction on many of these lines, generally built by forced labor, was possibly hidden in the MVD budget. // Following p. 26. -13- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 6 Estimated Length of Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR 1956-60 Kilometers Line Estimated , Track Laid L.1/* Completions 12/ Achinsk-Abalakovo 258 Agryz - Bulgullma-Pronino - Surgut c/ 8o 335 Aktogay-Gosgxanitsa (Dzhungarskiye Vorota) 308 308 Atasuskiy-Karazhal ? 14 74 Chardzhou-Kungrad 27 107 Dzhizak - Syr-Dar'inskiy 120 60 Fedorovka-Kakhovka-Snigirevka e/ _ 70 Gurlyev-Astrakhan' Irkutsk-Slyudyanka hi 330 130 1/ Kamensk-Ural'skiy - Krasnoufimsk 165 Kentau-Turkestan 70 Kherson-Nikolayev 2/ 35 Khodorov-Stanislav 2/ 77 kJ Kizell-Molotov 2/ 158 11 Kokchetav-Kaymanachikha 330 410 Krasnaya-Sopka - Goryachaya 55 55 Krasnoyarsk - Krasnoyarsk GES 150 Kurgan-Peski 2/ 75 275 Kustanay-Dzhetygara 2/ 171 218 L'vov-Uzhgorod 2/ 17 155 mJ Magnitogorsk-Abdulino 500 500 Miass-Uchaly 98 98 Mikunt-Mezen' Lioo 150 Murmansk-Pechenga-Nikell e/ 20 Novgorod-Kresttsy; Michurinsk-Sosnovo 100 100 Omsk-Karasuk-Barnaul c/ 730 750 Omsk-Ekibastuzugoll ? 400 Pugachevsk-Balakovo 100 100 Seyda-Labytnangi h/ 175 * Footnotes for Table 6 follow on p. 15. S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 6 Estimated Length of Track Laid and Sectors Completed on Individual Railroad Lines During the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR 1956-60 (Continued) Kilometers Line Estimated , Track Laid 2J Completions 12 Stalinsk-Abakan 2/ Syktyvkar-Mikun' s/ Tayshet-Osetrovo 12/ (including new Bratsk GES bypass si) Uritskoye-Peski-Volodarskoye c/ Suoyarvi-Yushkozero Yerevan-Sevan s/ Yermolayevo-Chkalov 2/ Yesil'-Turgay s/ 100 187 120 200 30 60 215 44o 100 700 170 340 70 95 225 Total 2,403 6,48o a. See Appendix A, Figure 2, following p. 26. b. The estimates of completion are based on the status of construction, Plan goals, and the relative importance of the line to the economy, unless otherwise noted. c. Construction was started during the Fifth Five Year Plan (1951-55). e. Construction was started during the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50). g. 21/ h. Tracklaying was completed during the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50). 1. LI - 15 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S -E -C -R -E -T During 1956 first-stage construction was rushed on many new lines in order to provide access to new industrial sites. The construction force was scattered and therefore could not be used most efficiently, which undoubtedly contributed to the poor completion figure. Despite some difficulties in 1956, the goal for completion of about 6,500 km of new railroads in 1956-60 should be attained. If Additional difficulties arise, or if a cutback occurs in capital investment for new railroad con- struction, the official completion goal could still be attained. There are included within the Sixth Five Year Plan about 900 km of lines which could be postponed until the Seventh Five Year Plan with little harm to the development program for the eastern areas.* The construction of these lines could be replaced by the official completion of additional lines from the still large cumulative carryover.** These lines would have the advantage previously mentioned of requiring less than half of the construction resources demanded by the construction of the new lines which they would replace. III. Capital Investment in New Construction, 1946-60. The capital investment in new railroad construction for the period 1946-60 in the USSR has been calculated by applying the average cost of construction per kilometer, in 1 July 1955 rubles: to the annual length of new railroad construction for the same period. Terrain conditions, the chief cause of variation in the cost of railroad construction, have been used as the weight for derivation of average cost.*** The capital investment allocated for new railroad construction is only a small part of the total volume of construction and installation work carried out in the national economy, varying between 1.3 and 2.3 per- cent of the total. The estimated capital investment in new line con- struction compared with the total volume of construction and installation work on railroads during the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60, is shown in Table 7,xxxx The importance of. new rail- road construction, especially to the development of the eastern areas of the USSR, is not indicated by the volume of capital investment. * Among these lines are Gur'yev-Astrakhan' (330 km); Achinsk- Abalakovo (258 km); and Mikuni-Mezene ('.loo km). Little or.no work was done on these lines in 1956. See Appendix A, Figure 2, following p. 26. ** Lines estimated to be most likely to be put into operation if needed are the following: Komsomol'sk-Urgal (470 km); Murmansk- Pechenga-Nikel' (240 km); and Vorkuta-Kara (210 km). *** For detailed methodology, see Appendix CI p. 291 below. **** Table 7 follows on p. 17. S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 7 Estimated Capital Investment in New Railroad Line Construction Compared with Total Volume of Construction and Installation Work During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-60 Five Year Plan Total Volume of Con- New Railroad Construction struction and Instal- lation Work / Capital Investment/ Percent (Billion Rubles) 2/ (Billion Rubles) of Total Fourth (1946-50) (completed) 208.2 2/ 4.9 2.3 Fifth (1951-55) (completed) 394.8 11 5.0 1.3 Sixth (1956-60) (planned) 600.o 2j 8.3 1.4 a. 1 July 1955 rubles. For derivation, see Appendix C, Table 16, p. 38, below. b. 321/ c. 25/ -17- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Fulfillment of the goals of the Sixth Five Year Plan for expansion in the eastern areas largely depends upon the construction of the new lines discussed in this report and the improvement of existing lines (including double tracking, electrification, dieselization) and modernization of signaling). Freight traffic on railroads in the eastern areas of the USSR by 1950 had increased 91 percent above ? the level of 1940, but for the country as a whole it had increased only 45 percent. (The average freight density on these lines is about twice the national average, and on some lines it reaches eight times the national average.) The planned economic expansion in these areas will further increase the demands on railroads -- it is esti- mated that by 1960 the freight traffic will be at least 2.5 times the level of 1950. The annual expenditure for new railroad construction remained relatively stable at about 1 billion rubles from 1946 through 1955. It is planned during the Sixth Five Year Plan to increase this ex- penditure to a maximum of 2.1 billion rubles in 1959 and 1960. The annual capital investment in new line construction as a share of total capital investment for railroads during the Fourth) Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60, is shown in Table 8.* It is probable that new railroad construction is done on orders from Gosplan in accordance with plans for long-range development and not for particular railroad systems. New lines are separate from the existing railroads (except for physical links) until the time when they are formally accepted into the railroad system. This is true even for those lines carried for prolonged periods on a temporary operation status. IV. Postwar Construction Practices, 1946-60. Railroad construction practices in the USSR have been undergoing changes since 1946 which will probably continue through 1960. These changes have occurred and are continuing to occur in the composition of the railroad construction labor force, the degree of mechanization, and the availability and quality of construction materials. * Table 8 follows on p. 19. -18- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-pDP79R01141A000800130002-6 ' Table 8 Estimated Annual Capital Investment in New Line Construction as a Share of Total Capital Investment for Railroads During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-60 Plan and Year Total Capital Invest- ment in Railroads, (Billion Rubles) a./* Capital Investment in New Railroad Construction (Billion Rubles) 12/ New Construction as a Percent of Total Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) 2/ 1946 4.2 0.8 19 1947 4_8 0.9 19. 1948 5.9 1.0 17 1949 9.9 1.1 11 1950 9.8 1.1 11 Total 34.6 4.9 14.2 Fifth Five Year Plan (1951-55) di 1951 9.0 1.0 11 1952 7.9 1.0 13 1953 9.0 0.9 lo 1954 9.4 0.9 lo 1955 9.7 1.1 11 Total 45.0 L22/ 10.9 Fobtnotes for Table 8 follow on p. 20. -19- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Table 8 Estimated Annual Capital Investment in New Line Construction as a Share of Total Capital Investment for Railroads During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-60 (Continued) Plan and Year Sixth Five Year Plan Total Capital Invest- ment in Railroads, (Billion Rubles) af Capital Investment in New Railroad Construcion (Billion Rubles) 12/ New Construction as a Percent of Total (1956-60) 1956 12.6 fj 1.2 10 1957 N.A. 1.5 N.A. 1958 N.A. 1.6 N.A. 1959 N.A. 1.9 N.A. 1960 N.A. 2.1 N.A. Total 70.0d 8.3 12.0 Grand total 14-9.6 18.1 12.1 a. 1 July 1955 rubles. b. 1 July 1955 rubles. See Appendix C, Table 17, p. 39, below. 50X1 e Differs from Tables 7 and 16 because of rounding. 50X1 -20 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T A. Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50). During the Fourth Five Year Plan In the USSR, ambitious plans were an- nounced for the completion of 7,230 km* of new railroad construction, but the resources for this program were not provided. Because pri- mary emphasis during this period was on the reconstruction of de- stroyed and damaged lines and facilities in the western USSR, new construction moved at a slow pace. The vast bulk of the work was done by hand labor.** Even on the lines built entirely by free labor, the heavy work of excavation, filling, and other roadbed con- struction was carried out by the mass use of common labor. The more experienced cadres and the available machinery were concentrated on the construction of bridges, culverts, tunnels) and other work re- quiring technical skills. It was stated that on the Chardzhou- Kungrad line, "tens of thousands of kolkhozniks from the Chardzhou- skaya, Khorezmskaya, and Tashauzskaya Oblasts and the Kara-Kalpak- skaya ASSR participated in the construction of the roadbed ... . Work was conducted by the tested method of people's construction." !Ili Materials in use were based on prewar Soviet standards (un- acceptable for main-line use in the US). The heaviest rail available in the USSR was type R-43,*** la/ but this type was used mainly on existing lines, and new construction received even lighter types. Many untreated ties were used, and even those treated were often of inferior quality. Many new lines were laid with minimal ballast and some with no ballast whatever, although gravel ballast was mandatory for official completion. 11.31 On lines laid by forced labor, even poorer materials were used, such as even lighter or used rails, low- quality ballast (or no ballast at all), and untreated ties.121/ The speed of construction generally was slow and the quality of the completed work poor. "the entire 50X1 system of railroad line construction in the USSR seems like an im- provisation."115./ B. Fifth Five Year Plan (1951-55). During the Fifth Five Year Plan in the USSR a transition be- gan. Heavy rail types R-50 and R-65**** were developed11.6./ and * By comparison, the Sixth Five Year Plan calls for completion of only about 6,500 km LI-2/ (see Table 1, p. 3, above). ** See I, p. 2, above. *** R-43 rail weighs 43 kilograms per meter (86 pounds per yard). **** R-50 rail weighs 50 kilograms per meter (101 pounds per yard), and 11-65 rail weighs 65 kilograms per meter (130 pounds per yard). - 21 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T gradually put into use, although type R-43 remained the most common throughout the period. A similar improvement took place in other materials late in the period of the Plan. The composition of the labor force also changed greatly during this period. Forced labor was gradually reduced, and modern machinery was introduced on an increased scale. As a result, the speed of construction increased, and the general quality of con- struction improved. In spite of these improvements, however, serious shortcomings continued to exist. In mid-1954, Kaganovich emphasized the problems still facing railroad builders when he pointed out that the acceptance of the Akmolinsk-Pavlodar Railroad into full opera- tion was a "gross error" because of its low operational capacity. He also gave numerous examples of lagging construction and stressed the need for increasing the rate of construction. 111/ C. Sixth Five Year Plan (1956-60). During the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR the transition to the use of materials comparable to those of US standards should be completed. Statements on the construction of new railroads dur- ing this period emphasize the use of heavy rails (probably R-50) laid on gravel ballast.* ILLY The use of precast reinforced concrete for culverts, small bridges, track buildings) communications poles, and track signals is becoming widespread. In addition) considerable work has been done toward the development of practical prestressed concrete ties. Although some difficulties have been encountered, experimental sections of track are already testing such ties. L?9/ It was originally planned to produce and lay some 10 million of these ties** during 1956-60. 52/ Although this figure will probably not be reached, a large number of them should come into use during the later years of the Plan. R-50 rail came into use late in the period of the Fifth Five Year Plan, on a limited basis, and R-65 has not as yet been widely used. Both types approximate US weight standards, although the quality of steel may be inferior. * The use of heavy rails would be limited to new lines planned for heavy traffic. Railroads of lesser capacity would receive lighter rails. ** Sufficient for about 6,200 km of track. -22 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Mechanization is now common in the construction of the new railroads, and the mass use of hand labor in clearing and grading is being decreased.* As in other fields, mechanization and increase in productivity of labor are being stressed. On the Magnitogorsk - Beloretsk-Abdulino line all earth moving is to be done by mechanized processes, and the large embankments at the approaches to the Belays and Dem Rivers will be done by suction dredges. 21/ Among the types of equipment arriving at new construction sites are the following: bulldozers, levelers, graders, tracklayers, excavators, mobile elec- tric power stations, and concrete drying installations (for the preparation of precast reinforced units). 22/ Emphasis on the use of precast reinforced concrete, the in- creased use of modern machinery and equipment, the introduction of new equipment, and the improvement in the qualifications of the workers should continue through 1960. V. Prospects for Future Construction, 1961-70. Although only general indications have been given of plans for railroad construction in the USSR beyond 1960, continued emphasis on construction in the eastern areas seems certain. Many lines have been mentioned as desirable, and two lines in particular are repeatedly named, the Amur-Yakutsk Railroad 52/ and the Polunochnoye-Labytnangi Railroad.** 214/ A recent article in the Soviet press 22/ on economic development in the eastern areas included a small-scale map and several pages of text on the prospects for new railroad construction in 1961-70. The completion of these lines, some of which reach far into the areas of permafrost and swamp land, seems at first glance to be overambitious. They could be completed, however, by continuing the annual rate of con- struction attained in 1956. The technical problems of railroad con- struction over permafrost have already been solved by the USSR. The cost of such a construction program would be high, but would not con- stitute an excessive burden on the Soviet economy. Even under the assumption that the average cost would equal 2.2 million rubles per kilometer 2?/ -- an extremely high estimate -- the capital investment required over a 10-year period would be only about 22 billion rubles. Prospective new railroad lines to be constructed during the Seventh and Eighth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1961-70, are shown in Table 9-1*** * This process is not completed as yet, but has made considerable head- way. ** Also called the Ural-Pechora Railroad. *** Table 9 follows on p. 24. - 23 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 9 Prospective New Railroad Lines To Be Constructed During the Seventh and Eighth Five Year Plans in the USSR a/ 1961-70 Kilometers Line 12/ Approximate Length Abalakova - Podkamennaya Tunguska - Yermakovo Aleksandrov-Gay - Makat - KUngrad Aral'sk-Dzhezkazgan Balkhash-Aktogay Bol'shoy Never - Yakutsk - Magadan Kara-Amderma Karaganda-Aktogay Kaymanachikha-Karasuk 1)180 1,100 450 380 2)590 160 620 180 Lodeynoye Pole - Vytegra - Cherepovets 530 Mezen'-Arkhangel'sk 240 Polunochnoye-Labytnangi 920 Sevan-Kirovakan 6o SoIikamsk-Ukhta 500 Syktyvkar - Verkhne-Kamskaya 280 Tayshet-Abakan 520 Uchaly-Magnitogorsk; Baymak-Sara 240 Yushkozero - Alakurtti (West Karelian Railroad) 220 Total 10,170 a. A limited amount of work already may have been carried out on some of these lines. b. 2/ c. Distances derived from 1:4,000,000 scale map. -24 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX A PROGRESS CHART The following progress chart (see Figure 2*) shows the annual progress of tracklaying on all major railroad construction projects In the USSR in 1946-56 and gives estimates of planned annual track- laying in 1957-60. * Following p. 26. - 25 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 Figure 2 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 USSR: PROGRESS OF CONSTRUCTION ON INDIVIDUAL RAILROAD LINES, 1946-60 RAILROAD LINES 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 I 1954 1955 1956 1957 I 1958 I 1959 1960 Fedorovka-Kakhorke-SnIgIrevka Yerretn-Sera Ayr -Bugurma-Pronino-Sergut Sooyani-Yushkorero Murmansk-Nano-Nike Norprod-Kresttsy-Michurinskoye-Sosnovo Otosk-Elaroaul Omsk-Ekibastoz-Upor Miass-Kyshtyra MagnItogarsk-SIbay-8tymak Koon-Peski Kostanay-Tobol-Dzhttygora Miass-Uchaly KarnenskAlrarskiye-Krasonfimsk Sos.va-Alopayivsk Kizer -Molotov Pugachirsk-Volsk (8alakovo) Geyer-Astrak Kuybyshev-Syran' han' Cog ma-Galich Shaygino-Vakhten-Shar 'yo Kuberle-Morozovsk Chertlzhoo-Konend Artyshta-Chesnokorka Kolunda-Bam aul Komsomorsk-Nikoleyersk-ne?Amore Urgal-Kommorsk Nosh1.1-Ulan-llator-Vang-Pei (Erhlien) Irkutsk-SATS Mointy-Orn gystrovka-Rybach'ye Ust' Kamenononl-Zyryaftorsk Clzhambol-Oulak-Tau Aktogay-GosmoRsa (Dzhnorskiye Vorota) Knsnoyarsk-Krasnoyarsk GES AthInsk-Abalokora Reshery-Relehor Krum. Sankt -Goryachaya Kherson-Nikolayev Dzhizak-Syr-DarinskIy Kenna-Tuft-Min Ishimbay-Yermalaytato-Chkalor Magnitonorsk-Belortesk-Abdolino L'vor-Uthgorod Khodorov-StanIstar Ak I' sk-P Aosta Yesir -Tutor Kokehetar-Kaymanatigkha Uritskoye-Peski-Volodarskoye Atasokly-Korazhat Styria -Labith f Vorkuti-Kan-Araderma Sykereltat-MIkon -Koslan-Mezen' Darlieka-NorIrsk Stalinsk-Abakan Tayshet-Lena . . I 31 77 46 12/ 35 35 64/ -1? 15 10 10 . 5 ?2,-f- + -I- 15 - + ---E- 25 - 30 I 15 15 _f_ ? 50 ? 100 50 1 50 30 6-1/ 40 --4- 1 + 25 25 1 25 25 25 1 40 40 40 i i ? 30 30 40 . 40 I 40 40 20 ,o1/ I + + - 1. I- 25 25 25 25!' ? 20 150 80 150 150 200.3U I 1 I I 100 150 150 20 30 . 35 " I 1 I + 50 41 22/. 59 ! -I- I 1 200 i 75 ili I . I 47 70 51 50 n _h____ _ I f i I 53 45 i2v I I f 1 33 49 50 33 " inI I I I 1 1 32 47 - 47 32 22/1 . 1 50 50 1 90 50 40 100 1 38 " 1- .._ t -t + t + - 1 + t + 30 30 35 . 30 a/ I -I-- - -4- -r H___ 1.- 1 5 (L inconik") A 30 ? -1-- -I- -t- . 75 75 25 1- 25 75 ?_I 130 140 140 1 45 ? 25 t 17 IV I -I-- + 35 35 ? 30 50 45 5 _e_e ?f 300 1- + 4- + _ _ 9-- ? 30 30 + me 30 40 + (LA fncomplett) 100 83 175 85 Alit ..1j, -IT 4-- i + + + + + - ---i- 4- ? 1- 70 100 100 100 -+ -+ 125 ! 285 ? -- ? . + ? +- ' " _ -i-- It I + 100 ' 100 . 100 o 11/ + + + + - 140 60 ili 25 65 40 21 , 140 + + +- + + toy - 35 I t + t +- + + + + + -I- -I- - -f- -a- 47 --e 60 ?- 20 30 15 SY + - t + 35 52 53 -91/ , 40 . 30 4- 108 s 1 Et 75 _ _ -4- -...-fr - . -i-----I- ? - 1- I- t -1-? 50 55 I 15 -I- 85 100 -. -I- so t 50 50 .ly 1- 75 I i 4- + 40 sA., t t ? 15 15 40 I 53 .--4-- - -1-- _ _ .1_ i + +-- - -I- 50 40 t t t -3-57-- -2.13 -I- -I- -I--I- -I-- -t ' 30 30 30 ILI + + ? ID_VI + + 1 -1- + _ 75 ? ? + - + + -F + I 20 log, -I-? 30 + -I- - I 30 - + -I- t 3 ' ,40 --I- + + -4 1 -I- 20 Etv -I- t 150 n1 35 351/ 48 ? -1- 150 1 mi ? _. + t 60 4_ __ _i_ + 90 110 _ 4._ _ _f.. + -1- t ? + 4-- . 75 +- _ 35 43 1 f 30 ? 17 -F - 5 AO/ I i - t 4_ 50 t t 1 60 ---1- 20 lin 27 30 -i- 50 75 -I-- -I-- 75 75 in., 13 -1- H_ + ? 10 1 160 -1-----1- . -F 80 110 50 1 50 50 50 20 1 -I- 10 25 ny 25 14 1 I 25 25 -f--- 50 50 25 Ille -30 -11V --t -1- 4----, 1 + + 4- 90 I 901" 30 30 30 30 30 30 1- 4_ .. _ 1 . 20 10 ; 30 30 I30 L-I5 V- i 20 t . - 20 I 20 20 1A111 ' - 60 Ille - -I-? . 30 4 37 o121/. I 20 I 20 i 40 90 no (7 _ . ao A 11' gl 40 120 , 120 120 1 120 ? 120 1121 I 1 30 1 40INe -I- 30 TOTAL 690 830 I 902 I 1052 I 1065 I 930 I 852 . 743 I 716 I 800 I 1239 1059 I 1077 I 1090 I 938 25917 7-57 * Kilometers of track laid per year. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 im?ESTIMATED PLAN?tm 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX B UNUSUAL CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS This appendix discusses briefly three railroad construction pro- jects in the USSR which were not considered in the body of the re- port but are nevertheless worthy of attention. Two of these projects are broad-gauge lines on which reports are inconclusive, and the third is a major narrow-gauge network in northern Kazakhstan. 1. Pobedino-Okha. A broad-gauge railroad has been reported under construction on Sakhalin Island between Pobedino or Keton (northern terminal of the South Sakhalin narrow-gauge network) and Okha. It is reported that some construction has been carried out and that a broad-gauge line runs northward from Pobedino) but the extent of the construc- tion is unknown. When completed the total length of the line will be from 450 to 500 km, depending on the route chosen. Economic con- siderations do not appear to justify such a project unless the sec- tor of narrow-gauge line from Pobedino south to the port of Poronaysk is to be converted to broad gauge. 122/ 2. Salekhard-Igarka-Dudinka. A 1,050-km railroad between Salekhard and Igarka in the USSR, with a 250-1cm connection to Dudinka) has been reported under construc- tion since 1945. At present the status of this line is indefinite. Track has probably been laid at least 250 to 400 km eastward from Salekhard (on the Ob' River)) and train movement at very low speed has been reported on this section. Although the terrain is flat, the route was reported to have many curves in order to avoid the worst of the swampy areas. The roadbed was reported to be poorly built and the quality of the completed construction poor. 123/ Little is known about the eastern end of this line. In 1953-54, construction materials were reported to be stockpiled between Dudinka and Igarka (along the Yenisey River), and rumors were prevalent that construction to the west or southwest was under way. 124/ It is pos- sible that the line was open along its whole length in 1954 for limited construction traffic. 125/ It is believed that since then much of the line has been allowed to deteriorate and that through traffic is not possible at present. -27- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Neither economic nor military considerations appear to jus- tify the construction of this line. Work on it probably was aban- doned at the time of Stalin's death along with a number of other grandiose projects. 3. The "New Lands" Narrow-Gauge Railroads. In late 1954, in connection with the "new lands" program) the planned construction of an 1,850-km narrow-gauge railroad net- work was announced. 126/ Plans were changed shortly afterward) and by mid-1955 it was clear that many of the planned narrow-gauge railroads were actually being built as broad-gauge railroads. 127/ The change in plans was confirmed early in 1956 by the directives of the Sixth Five Year Plan) which called for the com- pletion of only 935 km of narrow-gauge railroads in the "new lands."* 128/ Recent statements in the Soviet press indicate that even some of these remaining lines may be converted to broad gauge because of their present low traffic capacity and the high cost of transshipment. 129/ * The remainder of the lines, originally planned to be narrow gauge, have been built (or are under construction) as broad-gauge lines. These are included in the body of the report. -28- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX C METRODOLCGY 1. First-Stage Construction. During the Fourth and Fifth Five Year Plans, forced labor was used to carry out first-stage construction on about half of the new railroads in the USSR. Such first-stage construction work done by forced labor on individual railroad lines during the Fourth and Fifth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-55, is shown in Table 10.* It may be noted that all of the lines under construction during the Fifth Five Year Plan had been started during the Fourth, except for the Ulan Bator - Erh-lien sector of the Trans- Mongolian Railroad. 2. Second-Stage Construction. The second stage of construction on a new Soviet railroad occurs between the completion of the first stage of construction (which is marked by the first through passage of a train) and the official com- pletion of the railroad. On railroads built under normal conditions, this second stage may begin before the first stage is completed. The time interval between passage of the first train and official completion of new railroads on selected lines in the USSR is .shown in Table 11.** In this table, selected railroads have been chosen and the lengths of time necessary for their second-stage construction have been averaged to get an approximate average length of time for second- stage construction. 3. Cost of Construction. An average cost per kilometer for railroad construction, in 1 July 1955 rubles, is needed in order to estimate capital investment in new railroads. This cost, based on average terrain conditions, has been estimated as follows: the ranges of volume of earthwork and total cost of construction per kilometer of new line under varying terrain condi- tions It is found that for every 1,000 cubic meters of earthwork per kilometer in excess of 15,000 cubic meters per kilometer the total cost of construction is increased 30,000 rubles. The relationship between the volume of earthwork and the total cost of construction in railroad construction in the USSR is shown in Table 12.*** Increase in volume of earthwork covers only a part of Table 10 follows on p. 30. Table 11 follows on p. 31. *** Table 12 follows on p. 32. - 29 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T the additional cost. Other factors which increase the cost of con- struction are the following: additional bridging; strengthening of slopes; rock excavation (which is 2 to 3 times more costly than nor- mal earthwork); and tunneling. Table 10 First-Stage 2/ Construction by Forced Labor on Railroad Lines During the Fourth and Fifth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-55 Kilometers Line Fourth Five Year Plan Fifth Five Year Plan (1946-50) (1951-55) Dudinka-Noril'sk 12/ 4o 6o Kizel'-Molotov 2/ 126 32 Komsomol'sk-Nikolayevsk d/ 130 Murmansk-Pechenga-Nikel' 30 s/ 1901/ Naushki - Ulan Bator g/ 350 hi Reshety-Boguchany i 80 105 Seyda-Labytnangi jJ 175 Sos'va-Alapayevsk y 6o Tayshet-Osetrovo 1 600 Ulan Bator - Erh-lien g/ 710 LI/ Urgal-Komsomol'sk 2/ 470 Vorkuta-Kara 2/ 150 6o Total 2,211 1,157_ a. See p. 2, above. b. 130/ c.? 131/ d. 132/ e. Li/ g. Part of the Trans-Mongolian Railroad outside Soviet borders. h. 1351 i. 13 / j. 134/ k. 13 / 1. 1439/ m. 1 0/ n. 141/ o. 142/ -30- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 11 Time Interval Between Passage of the First Train and Official Completion of New Railroads on Selected Lines in the USSR Line Akmolinsk-Pavlodar Artyshta-Chesnokovka KUlunda-Barnaul Mointy-Chu Ulan Bator -Erh-lien Average time interval Date of First Through Train 16 February 1952 a/ 19 February 1952 s/ May 1953 2/ August 1951 g/ 18 April 1955 1/ Date of Official Completion 27 December 1953 la/ 18 March 1953 q/ 26 December 1953 f 27 October 1953 h 1 January 1956 1/ Time Interval (Months) 21.5 13.0 7.5 26.0 8.5 15.3k/ a. 143/ b. 11442 c. 14i/ d. 14_/ e. lray f. g. 1 9/ h. 150/ i. 151/ j. 152/ k. There is no apparent correlation between the time needed to complete the additional work done p.2, above). length of the line and the In the second stage (see Because average terrain conditions are the critical factor in the determination of total construction costs of railroads, estimates were made by three methods and an average cost found for each. These three average costs were then weighted and a final average cost derived. The three methods of cost estimation and final derivation of average cost follow. -31- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 12 Relationship Between Volume of Earthwork and Total Cost of Construction in Railroad Construction in the USSR 91 'Range of Total Cost Volume of Earthwork of Construction per Kilometer per Kilometer , Condition of Terrain 12/ (Thousand Cubic Meters) (Million Rubles) 2./ Level 12 to 15 Slightly hilly 15 to 25 Hilly 25 to 35 Mountainous 35 and over 0.9 to 1.0 1.0 to 1.3 1.3 to 1.6 1.6 to 2.2 a. 153/ b. Terrain conditions are translated directly from Russian. c. 1 July 1955 rubles, rounded to two significant figures (converted from 1 July 1950 rubles Method 1. The average volumes of excavation per kilometer of line were announced for the most important lines planned for construction during the Fourth Five Year Plan. 155/ The total volume of earthwork was computed and divided by the total kilometers to obtain an average volume of earthwork per kilometer, 29,000 cubic meters per kilometer. The derivation of the average volume of earthwork per kilometer of railroad construction on major new railroads planned for construction during the Fourth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1946-50, is shown in Table 13.* The cost for this average volume was determined from Table 12 to be 1,420,000 rubles per kilometer (Estimate 1). The average cost obtained by this method is given double weight in the final average for the following reasons: specific average volumes are given for specific lines, the over-all length of the lines involved is great, and the lines were actually under construction during the Fourth and Fifth Five Year Plans. Method 2. The routes of all major lines under construction or planned for construction during the Sixth Five Year Plan were laid out on large- * Table 13 follows on p. 33. - 32 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 13 Derivation of Average Volume of P.Prthwork per Kilometer of Railroad Construction on Major New Railroads Planned for Construction During the Fourth Five Year Plan in the USSR 421 1946-50 Line Planned Length (Kilometers) Planned Average Volume of Earthwork (Thousand Cubic Meters per Kilometer) Planned Total ? Volume of Earthwork (Thousand Cubic Meters) Bystrovka-Rybach'ye 78 39 3,042 Chardzhou-Kungrad. 615 lb 8,610 Ishimbay-Yermolayevo 95 30 2,850 Mointy-Chu 418 15 6,270 South Siberian Main Line 12/ 2,884 34 98,056 Total 4,090 118,828 Average volume Of earth- work, 29,000 cubic meters per kilometer 2/ 50X1 b. Including the following (from west to east): Abdullno-Magnitogorsk (now under con- struction); Akmolinsk-Pavlodar; Kulunda-Barnaul; Artyshta-Chesnokovka; Stalinsk-Abakan (now nearing completion); and Abakan-Tayshet (not yet started). c. Computed by dividing 118,828,000 by 4,090. Result rounded to two significant figures. - 33 - s-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T scale terrain maps, 157/ and estimates were made of terrain conditions.* The total length of these lines was apportioned among the four terrain categories and equated to the cost for the midpoint of the appropriate category. The derivation of the average cost of new railroad construction during the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR, by map study of terrain con- ditions, 1956-60, is shown in Table 14. The average cost, weighted by the percent of total lines in each category, was then computed to be 1,159,000 rubles per kilometer (Estimate 2). This method is considered less accurate than Method 1 because of the subjective nature of the terrain evaluation process. Table 14 Derivation. of Average Cost of New Railroad Construction During the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR by Map Study of Terrain Conditions 1956-60 (A) (B) Midpoint of -Cost Range Percent per Kilometer Condition of Terrain 2/ 12/ of Total (PMallon Rubles) 2/ (c) Weighted/ Factor 2/ Level 50 0.95 0.475 Slightly hilly 29 1.15 0.334 Hilly 11 1.45 0.160 Mountainous 10 1.90 0.190 Total 10o 1.179 a/ a. 158/ b. Terrain conditions are translated directly from Russian. c. Neighted Factor" is computed by multiplying "Percent of Total" times "Midpoint of Cost Range" (C = B x A). The sum of the four weighted factors equals the average cost of construction per kilo- meter in million rubles. d. Average cost per kilometer. * Numerous references in Gudok and Stroitel'naya gazeta were also used as aids in arriving at these estimates. -34- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Method 3. The volume of earthwork for double tracking is stated to be 150 million cubic meters for every 10,000 km of track, or 15,000 cubic meters per kilometer (average). 159/ The cost of earth- work for double tracking is stated to be 35 to 40 percent above the cost of earthwork for single tracking. 160/ Because the cost of earthwork and volume of earthwork under similar conditions are directly related, the additional volume needed for double tracking is 35 to 40 percent greater than that required for single tracking. As a result the following computations were made: Volume (Cubic Meters per Kilometer) Index Volume of earthwork, single track 100 Additional volume of earthwork to construct double track 15,000 37.5 Thus: X 100 15,000 37.5 _ 1,500,000 37.5 . 40,000 Therefore the average volume of earthwork needed for single tracking is 40,000 cubic meters per kilometer. The average cost of construction for lines having an average volume of earthwork of 40,000 cubic meters per kilometer was determined from Table 12* (by interpolation) to be 1,750,000 rubles per kilometer (Estimate 3). This method is considered less accurate than Method 1 because the basic data given do not apply directly to single-track earthwork. Derivation of Final Average Cost of Construction. In calculation of the final average cost, Estimate I (derived by Method 1) was given a weight of 2, and Estimates 2 and 3 (derived by Methods 2 and 3) were each given a weight of 1. The computation of the final average cost of new railroad construction during the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR, 1956-60, is shown in Table 15.** * P. 32, above. ** Table 15 follows on p. 36. -35- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 15 Computation of Final Average Cost of New Railroad Construction During the Sixth Five Year Plan in the USSR 1956-60 Thousand Rubles Lti Estimate Weight Cost per Kilometer Weighted Cost per kilometer 1 2 1,420 2,840 2 1 1,159 1,159 3 1 1,750 1,750 Total 4 5,749 4 Final average cost per kilometer: 5,79)000 1,437,250 rubles 4 Rounded to two significant figures: 1,400,000 rubles a. 1 July 1955 rubles. The average cost per kilometer from Table 15, 1.4 million rubles (rounded to two significant figures), was used for the calculation of all capital investment figures for new railroad construction. 4. Capital Investment. The capital investment in new railroad construction was estimated by applying the average cost (per kilometer) for railroad construction to the total volume of work done (in kilometers) in each of the Five Year Plan periods, as follows: the average cost for the construction of 1 km of railroad in the period 1946-60, estimated to be 1.4 million rubles,* has been broken into two parts in accordance with Soviet railroad construction practice. The first part covers the cost of first-stage construction** and takes about 53 percent of the total capital investment per kilometer 161/ -- that is, 740,000 rubles per kilometer. The second part covers the cost of second-stage construc- tion** and takes the remaining 47 percent of the total capital invest- ment per kilometer 1?.2/ -- that is, 660)000 rubles per kilometer. * See 3, p. 29) above. iee See I, p. 2, above. -36- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T The cost for first-stage construction was applied to the total length of track laid during each of the Five Year Plan periods be- cause tracklaying is a rough indicator of completion of first-stage construction work. The cost for second-stage construction was applied to the total length of lines completed during each of the Five Year Plan periods, because official completion marks the end of second-stage construction. The capital investment in new rail- road construction and the volume of uncompleted work during the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60, are shown in Table 16.* The annual capital investment in new construction has been esti- mated by the methodology used in estimating capital investment for Five Year Plans)** except that annual periods replace the Plan periods. The derivation of annual investment in new railroad construction during the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR, 1946-60, is shown in Table 17.*** The annual capital investment figures are considered less accurate than Plan figures because the annual official completions are estimated from Plan total completions and are based on general trends. It is estimated that the least accurate of the annual capital investment figures is within 20 per- cent of the actual figure. * Table 16 follows on p. 38. ** See p. 36, above. *** Table 17 follows on p. 39. -37- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 16 Capital Investment in New Railroad Construction and Volume of Uncompleted Work During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-60 (A) Time Period and Stage of Work Volume of Construction a/ (Kilometers) Average Cost per Kilometer Si (Thousand Rubles) Derived Capital Investment s/ (Billion Rubles) World War II (1939-45) Carryover, 4/ 31 December 1942 1,796 66o 1.2 Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) First-stage construction s/ 4,539 74o 3.4 Second-stage construction LI 2,241 660 1.5 Total 4.9 Carryover, 1/ 31 December 1950 4,0914 66o 2.7 Fifth Five Year Plan (1951-55) First-stage construction s/ 4,041 74o 3.0 Second-stage construction f/ 3,o6o 66o 2.0 Total 2.0 Carryover, El/ 31 December 1955 5,075 66o 3.3 Sixth Five Year Plan (1956-60) FirSt-stage construction s/ 5,403 74o 4.o Second-stage construction f/ 6,48o 66o 4.3 Total 8.3 Carryover, sy 31 December 1960 3,998 66o 2.6 a. See Table 3, p. 6, above. b. 1 July 1955 rubles. For derivation of figures, see 4, p. 36, above. c. 1 July 1955 rubles, rounded to two significant figures. Computed by multiplying "Volume of Construction" times "Average Cost per Kilometer" (C = A x B). d. See I, p. 5, above. e. See I, p. 2, above. f. See I, p. 3, above. -38- S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 17 Derivation of Annual Investment in New Railroad Construction During the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Five Year Plans in the USSR 1946-60 Plan and Year Fourth Five Year Plan Additional Work Carried Track Laid Out to Complete Lines Total Capital Length Investment ,.1 E _ _ ?1 Length Investment Investment ? / (Kilometers) (Billion Rubles) 9i (Kilometers) (Billion Rubles) W (Billion Rubles) W 1946 690 0.5 400 0.3 o.8 1947 830 o.6 420 0.3 0.9 1948 902 0.7 440 0.3 1.0 1949 1,052 0.8 460 0.3 1.1 1950 1,065 0.8 4801 0.3 1.1 Fifth Five Year Flan 1951 930 0.7 500 0.3 1.0 1952 852 0.6 540 0.4 1.0 1953 743 0.5 590 0.4 0.9 1954 716 0.5 67o 0.4 0.9 1955 Boo o.6 Boo o.5 1.1 Sixth Five Year Flan 1956 1,239 0.9 416 e/ 0.3 1.2 1957 1958 1959 1960 1,059 1,077 1,090 938 o.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 1,000 - 1,500 1,7C0 2,084 0.7 o.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.1 a. See Figure 1, following p- 4. b. 1 July 1955 rubles, rounded to two significant figures. c. Computed by multiplying the cost per kilometer (740,000 rubles) by the length of track laid annually (see p. 36, above). d. Computed by multiplying the cost per kilometer (660,000 rubles) by the length of lines completed annually (see p. 36, above). - 39 - S-E-C-R-E-T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13: CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 le# 40 Next 10 Page(s) In Document Denied e Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 le# 40 Next 10 Page(s) In Document Denied e Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6 SECRET SECRET Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/08/13 : CIA-RDP79R01141A000800130002-6