PLANNING PROJECT #21 'THE CURRENT SITUATION IN ALBANIA, WITH PARTICULAR REFERENCE TO GREEK, YUGOSLAV AND ITALIAN INTERESTS AND PRETENSIONS'

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A001200030022-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 31, 2000
• Sequence Number: 22
• Publication Date: July 26, 1951
• Content Type: MF

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
CriTCE OF NATIONAL WTIMATES
MINORANDOM FOR THE NATIONAL ESTIMATES BOARD
VIM Chief, Estimates Staff
1171014:
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26 July 1953.
SUBJECT: Planning Froject 11,t3. "The Current Situation in Albania,
with Paracular Reference to (took, Yugoslav and Italian
Interests end Pretensions"
1, Attached are draft terms of reference for Plemning Project
#21, There are several aspects to this problem which the Board should
probably consider before deciding upon the action to be taken on this
subject,
3, The problem, by its nature, Ms to be considered in 50Meatilit
artificial terms. Conflicting Yugoslav, Greek and Italian interests
in Albania would only become critical in the event of liceehaes fall
fraa power, and leost observers agree that there is little immediate
prospect of this, The problem is matter of current conceiin, however,
In that eattual suspicions, even at the present stage, could be me
obstacle to a coordinated defense effort, Although no substantial
steps heat? been taken toward the coordination Of Yugoslav, Italian
and Greek militew plans this is a log:Leal step in the Western
defense effort and an intelligence state such as this might well be
of considerable value in that conneotion,
4. A key faster in the Albanian resistance problem is the
attitude of Yugoalavia. As indicated in Staff leneerandum 89, Western
observers in Belgrade do not anticipate any early Yugoslav attempt to
develop a proeTito moveaent in Albania, lar, lty for fear of'Invittng
DOCUMENT No-.
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Soviet or satellite interventd.on. Should %ate= extd Yugoslav
strength develop as pleaceds howevers reducing the Soviet threat
Southeastern Europe, Tito o hardly be expected to continue to
refrain from Worts to orient Albania towards Yugoslavia. In the
interim periods it would obviously be to U.S. advantage for Yugo.
alavias, Greece and Italy to reach some understanding with regard to
Mania. An intelligenoo estimate of the situation :telt emphasize
this desirability to the policy plermers,
5. We have limited this project to a consideration of Greeks
Italie:at and Yugoslav interests es they relate to Western security
and have excluded consideration a Soviet reaction to possible
developments in Albania, This as done in the belief that considers.
tion of the Soviet reaction would require the examination of broader
problems whioh might obscure the question of possible conflicts of
intereat among Yugoslavia, Greece and Ital,y and their bearing on
Western defense planning for ths Nbditerreneen.
6. It is receSimended that this project be sehoduled as an
DIE and also that OPO be requested to participate.
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