NIE-42: THE CURRENT SITUATION IN ALBANIA, WITH PARTICULAR REFERENCE TO GREEK, YUGOSLAV AND ITALIAN INTERESTS AND PRETENSIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A001200030020-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 31, 2000
• Sequence Number: 20
• Publication Date: August 13, 1951
• Content Type: MF

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CEIiTa .L 1UTELLIGENCE AGENCY
NATIO!1 L MUIATE.3 BOARD
11 August 1951
1 0-MRA 714 : Mr. Awn Erana, OIR
Colonel 13. B. Tal.lGy$ G-4
Captain Ray I1 1 ss, ONI
Co1ona Edwn H. Porter, m1 m
Captain R. G. IbaCoo1, 31G
I -+42: The Gent Gituatlon in. A1bmia,
with Purtionlar Reference to Greek, Yugo
and Italian Interests and Pretensions
1. S. ested terms of reference for subject estimte are
er3losed for your consideration.
2. It U. ree ueated that yaurf representative be prepared
to most in Roam 14+6 South Building at IO:DO Friday, 17 Augur
to discuss these tens at which tim production relspanaibi1ities
aril]. also be oi.3.ooated.
25X1A9a
D *ibution "Bf'
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. I
L;kr DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED-TO. TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 70.2
DATE: 1 '$I REVIEWER: ~tg$ 7 ~Mk
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CENTRAL IETELLI CENC E AGENCY
cE of NA'TImL ,TD ATm
13 bVust 3.951
$ THE OJJMW SI' ON IN A~, I PUMMAIt NOS PH SI AND
ITALIO I IAC representat3vee)
(For consideration by the
THE p LIMO
to aMaW the
To
the t ~tumttans sod t of ODeeka Ite.tt$U and tu$osl bte?ests and
chi to which tbaes
aspirati in Albania ' to esttt to the degTOO
and to aeoss the ~,~ce of Qcmf].ioting
~teree'~ cats
t, ets ab 480108 to tho effective defense of SOUthme'tn
Swope, and the i diter=?eane
SCOPE
I =Wine T#~3.s a of e id the 8tebiliitg of the B=ba TOE project
Albq the eta of its ties Vith the Soviet Un cne erred
ftl- end e'temt of resister activities Wit bin M8ziao
the M
-i~v It~4
gv9oslw
The possible epo"c1"B iP of such ac~tiV * by
to iOh the intsrestae
be a and the d
md amecs should.
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~fto PIIWNP
of theses t1sae countries conflict should be evaluated. The sigr& .
fiosnee of such c .sating interests as obstacles to the cation
of an effective defense of Southeastern Europe and the Msdit neen
should be aaaesasd A) on the aasuz tion that this Hm&a runs
runs in powers and B) on the as ticn that the Hogha regtn
is O erthrowna
QUESTICNb HELRING} C THE Y'J L 1
s, Jrtn 2 A2=?
1o . theca m' sigAftegmt, dtvisicns among the top
l eadershi pp
2 Are the pollas and, armed forces trader firm political
control?
To at extent does the regime a s sndstance depend on
Soviet ff4port?
to What Soviet start and direction is Hems and
A. Is the Hen regfine fiav1y estcbl ohed po2itioaII77
how Hach is being provided?
What militeerg or political agreamento exdst bet men
A3bani* and the USSR or the other oat 11ites?
C. Tit, zaoiatanese to tho rem exists sad how effective
is it?
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40
MMM
A, What is the bistoriaal't round of the interests
of these alas. .gauntries in Albsofa?
B What kind of a solutd od to the ATeonien problem
would each of these ooimtriea deal"?
What specif a revs tamce groups exist and what
are their methods of operatics?
Is theo~a cooperation between resister gam?
What we ye the political goals of various raaistanoe
groups?
What is the relatianship been resistance, gi'aups
in AThazaia and eWgre mavemsnts in Ite3 sr, Greece or
Yugoslavia and what is the extent of support pro-
vided by those three goweraments?
What i amn'es are these fens countrlaa now to d ng in
pursuit of their Interests, either tlnw1 Albwd
omig a groups or o*ierwiss?
Do To whet ext-wit would e h of these thr.e countries
*cq=MA a* in the interests of obt a maitualiy
agreed solution?
E there clearly defined oon .ct8 of interest
between the thswe countries =da prr+e e t caaiditd cns?
go 3-
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1a Sat affect do such conflicts ham an relatic
been the thra.a countries?
21 Are euoh. =Mots of rote nt or mutual suppicicn
obotac1,e to effective political and mlltery
cooperation among the thr" oountries s
11I, .~ ~T HO A H I AM= 2M19A2AU1~
ARE-- 0111
1N AAA ( STAC7.S TO
p EGaI' 99
wASm EIIRQPN ANA THE
WOMMILMW
A4 What is the degreax and uaturrs of cooperat3 bo,tu
Italy. !ugosl vial and Graft desirable for effective
defense of this aiaaR?
S. What s pct,a It suxy$ &rs currently beg takau to
coordinate the defense plate of the oauntrleel
Co That effect does Albatiis- in hostile hande have on the
defensive plasm of each count?
To want a nt do tho inta3i a is and pretenaics of the
thr aomtries in AXbBnia iufla e their ml3 to 'yr
p1sning and to what emta t does this comp. aato the
devejo nenxt of a coordinated defense?
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PS sE I 8 YMOSW
AtQD s1RE`F7~E HagE nN THECURITY flF THAT_ Ate.'
A. In the daesnt of the overgrow of the Hosbe regiu a:, under
each c ir aete ea that. USSR and the satellites find it
Ugmwttaal to intervene openly, how actiio would eash
of the tbxvo -countries atteaupt to influence the natures of
the ieg1 to follow?
1. Would such activity be likely to result in open
hostilities ssms dg enxy of the three countries?
2. Given present trends, what would be the nature of the
neat probable asuccceaor regime?
R. What chars in the rel tione of the three countries would
be ce u. d bar the repot of the Hoatba regime?
l.. What aha a in the military planes of es ah country
'wood be necesitated by such an event?
2. Ems, ,ah ob nges facilitate or obstrtaet the develop-
meat of military and political cooperratdossa ammg the
three wantries?
CQ That would be the effent of a ohmage in the Albanian
regime ca the prosspeatss for the development of an
*Motive coordinated defense of Southeastern Hume
and the Mediterranean?
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