POST-MORTEM ON INTELLIGENCE GAPS REVEALED IN THE PREPARATION OF NIE-35/1

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00971A000500020018-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 7, 2007
• Sequence Number: 18
• Publication Date: March 10, 1952
• Content Type: MF

Apprpved For Release 2007/02/07: CIA-RDP79R00971A000500020018-1
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
OT`FICE OF NATIONAL ESTMAT.ES
10 march 1952
1 Efi4ORAN 4 .OR: Mr. Allan Evans., Of
Colonel B. B. They, G-2
Captain Ray l .. s, ONI
Colonel Edward N. Porter, .FFOIN
Colonel S. M. Lensing, TIG
Post-T lortem on ! t l l igence Gaps Eevea1e in
the ationn of NI-35/1
NCE s Minutes of Meeting an Intelligence Gaps Bold
in O/NE on 13 Feb 1.952
1. As agreed at the meeting on this general subject hold
on 13 Few, it is requested that your re :resentativec be
present at 10:00 Tuesday,' 18 Merch, In Rte, 146 South 1Building,
for a postmortem meeting on intelligence gape revealed in the
prepamtIon of N -35/1, "Probable, Dowlopmnts in Indochina
through Mad 1952.'1
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2. It is the opinion of our Staff that. ME, -35A suffered
from insufficient intel3 i gen on a number of questions, and
that subsequent eotimatea concerning IndooMra would benefit
from any improvement that could be made in fill. g those
intelligence. gaps. We suggest the attached questions as the
agenda for the meeting. This list Is not intended to be
definitive, and any suggestions the IAG representatives rscy wish
to mate at the meeting will be welcoed,
FCR THE, ASSISTANT D .ECTOR FCC NATIONAL ESTIMATES:
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II.etaagr dslnt.
Can more reliable Intelligence be obtained concerning the
folowing
What is the state of morale and political viability
within the Vietnam?
B. To what extent are Vietnamese official statements
French sponsored?
0. To chat extent are Vietnamese press statements Franc
sponsored?
III. Viet i dabs.
Can more reliable intelligence be obtained on the following
points s
A. What is the state of morale among the Viet lanh leader-
ship, army, and population?
B. What is the extent of consolidation of control over
territories under Viet Mich military control?
C. What is the present role of Ho Chih 1tinhh Where is he?
Who are the other Important figures in the Viet Ph
(bac ounds, responsibilities.. etc.)?
D. What Brio tions, if arr.. exist between the Viet h and
the Gh.3sso C ists?
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E. JJbat relations are them,, if any, between the Viet
Ydnh and the meets?
F. What is the Viet I manpower situation? Food situation?
IV. 3'e Mgg?M and R'- ct3an of 94m.0 0i "ad. ti
the Viet T.nta .
Our present estimates on this subject appear to be largei
a matter of guesswork. Can more reliable intelligence be obtained
on the following a
A. How are these people integrated? What functions do
they perform? What degree of control., if any, does
their "advice" carry?
B. Are these "advisors" largely technicians, or is there
a large percentage of senior pereoml.?
C. How are language differences bridged? Hoer
tional Chinese-Indochinese frictions bridged?
Lopeti p l vs I. tserp with tT
V. ~ i3d
Viet gi
Can more reliable intelligence be obtained an the following
points:
A. . any Chinese military units attached to Viet Muh
units? Are any Chinese attached as individuals to Viet
Minh units? Have any Chinese been definitely identified
In combat zones?
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B. What is the reliability of reports of Chinese "tribal"
or darn peoples serving with Viet Minh combat units?
C. Do azr Chinese "volunteers" perfcxii gLu-rigon,, support
or rear-area f nctians?
D. What is the reliability of reports of Chinese "volunteer
headquarters and training organizations?
B. Are there any Indications of the in=ea d introduction
of Chinese "volunteers" with the Viet Minh?
VI. the carabi' ity of the me mmnxista to c an~saxt to tsti I,
an invasion of ige.
A. Is there &my method of getting increased and Improved
InteLligence concerning transportation routes and
facilities within south Ch i? Within Viet Mah
territory?
B. Is there any method of getting Increased and improved
intelligence concerning Chinese moist stockpiling,
both in south China and with Viet Minh territory?
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