NOTE TO THE BOARD

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00967A001400020009-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 21, 2005
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: September 10, 1970
• Content Type: NOTES

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C E N T R A L I N T E L L I G E N C E A G E N C Y
10 September 1970
Herewith a new listing of memoranda subjects we hope
to treat during the Fourth Quarter. This should not be
considered all-inclusive; we will undoubtedly be producing
additional memoranda on short deadlines to meet specific
requests. And we will, of course, also be preparing and
circulating staff notes and other informal papers within
ONE for the purpose of stimulating debate and exploring
fresh lines of thought.
Chief, Estimates Staff
GROUP 1
Excluded from automatic
S-E-C-R-E-T downgrading and
declassification
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C E N T R A L I N T E L L I G E N C E A G E N C Y
10 September 1970
SUBJECT: Proposed Topics for Memoranda
1. THE PACIFIC POWERS AND THE STRAIT September/October
OF MALACCA
(A look at the interests and (Coord: OCI., DDP)
roles of the powers in this strate-
gic region and their relations with
the coastal states -- Indonesia,
Malaysia, and Singapore. The focus
will be on Soviet and Japanese
prospects for increased influence.
2. URBAN TERRORISM IN LATIN AMERICA October
(This will consider recent
developments in the modes and motiva-
tions of those who have resorted to
urban terrorism 5ncluding kidnapping..
We shall examine the proposition that
a coordinated movement may develop
among the disparate terrorist groupings
in the hemisphere, and assess the impact
of terrorism on the governments and
peoples of Latin America.)
(Coord: OCI, DDP)
GROUP 1
Excluded from automatic
S-E-C-R E-T downgrading and
declassification
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3. ISLAND NATIONS OF THE PACIFIC: SOME October
PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS
(A follow-up to a 1963 NIE on a (Coord: OCI, OBGI,
neglected subject; timely in view of DDP)
recent rapid decolonization in the area --
particularly of Fiji in late 1970 -- and
US problems in handling the political
evolution of the Trust Territory.)
4. THE OUTLOOK FOR GHANA October
(Ghana's experiment with Western style (Coord: OCI, OER;,
dent-racy is running into snags. The DDP)
massive foreign debt, rising unemploy-
ment, and a cumbersome bureaucracy pose
major problems for Prime Minister Busia.
Busia's relations with parliament, the
supreme court, and his own foreign
minister are touchy. her Africans
are watching the events in Ghana with
interest or concern. Our memorandum
will assess Busia's future and specu-
late about Ghana's political prospects.
5. THE TOLL OF TIME ON CHINA'S LEADERSHIP
October/November
(We still want to have a try at (Coord: OCI, SRS,
this subject and are hopeful that events DDP)
in the next few weeks will provide addi-
tional data. Our focus will be on the
implications for China of its continuing
dependence upon an aged and dwindling
band of top leaders.)
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6. CUBA'S FOREIGN RELATIONS November
(Here we will discuss possible (Coord: OCI, OER,
changes in relations between Cuba and DDP)
some of the Latin American states and
the repercussions of such changes on
the Organization of American States,
on US relations with Latin America and
on Soviet relations with Cuba and Latin
America.)
7. INTELLECTUAL PROTEST IN THE USSR November
(An attempt to look at this (Coord: OCI,
particular phenomenon in a new way -- SRS, DDP)
to explore angles and aspects not
frequently discussed. How is dissent
evolving, whom does it involve, and
where may it be leading? Is the
regime's reaction to it symptomatic
of its attitude toward other problems
domestic and foreign? Is the regime
likely to magnify the problem and does
it run the risk of alienating key
elements of the Soviet intellectual
class including some within the
establishment? We have read OCI's
recent paper on Intellectual Dissent
in the USSR, and we feel there is ample
room for the different sort of paper we
have in mind.)
8. PEKING'S STRATEGIC STANCE AND POLICY November
PRIORITIES
(This will speculate about the (Coord: OCI, OSR,
broad strategic concepts probably SHE, DDP)
held by China's top leaders and how
-3
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recent Chinese advances in technical
and military spheres seem to fit Zor
not fill this conceptual pattern. Can
we draw any inferences as to future
Chinese priorities?)
9. BLACK AFRICAN ATTITUDES TOWARD THE UK November
AND THE COMMONWEALTH
(This piece will explore the (Coord: OCI., OER,
changing attitudes of Black African DDP)
states, particularly the ex-British
colonies, toward the UK. An assess-
ment will be made of their likely
policies toward the UK and the Common-
wealth as the British move toward
accommodation with White minority
regimes in southern Africa.)
10. ANOTHER LOOK AT -- SOUTHEAST ASIA AFTER November
VIETNAM
(What we have in mind is a pocket (Coord: OCI,, DDP,
estimate reviewing and updating the SAVA)
salient judgments in NIE 50-68 of
November 1968. We will give particular
attention to Thailand's changing atti-
tude toward the US and toward US works
in Asia.)
11. THE GDR AND OSTPOLITIK December
(Brandt's Ostpolitik poses some (Coord OCI, DDP)
especially delicate and difficult
problems for East Germany; relations
with the USSR, the rest of Eastern
Europe, and, of course, Bonn itself
,are involved. This paper would identify
the issues and ponder their implications
for the future . )
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Two Additional Titles
(These are experimental projects which may or
may not result in finished memoranda.)
a. THE HUNTINGTON THESIS AND THE REVOLUTIONARY PROCESS IN
LATIN AMERICA
b. IS THE SOVIET GOVERNMENT'S PERCEPTION OF THE US CHANGING?
HOW MUCH? HOW PAST? WHAT IS THE EVIDENCE?
S-E-C-R-E-T
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