ARMS SALES TO THE THIRD WORLD, 1976

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CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4
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September 1, 1977
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Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Secret 25X1 Arms Sales to the Third World, 1976 State Dept. review completed Secret ER 77-10500 September 1977 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 ? Copy 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Arms Sales to the Third World, 1976 Central Intelligence Agency Directorate of Intelligence September 1977 Arms sales to the Third World fell to US $14.4 billion in 1976, registering the second annual decline from the record $20.7 billion sales of 1974 and the $16.7 billion total of 1975. The reduction is attributable to (a) a huge backlog of outstanding arms orders and (b) the continuing heavy flow under old contracts of deliveries-$8.7 billion in 1976-which was being absorbed into inventories of the less developed countries (LDCs). Over the next several years, we expect the market to stabilize around an annual average of approximately $15 billion in sales and $10 billion in deliveries. Middle Eastern and North African buyers continued to dominate the market. Iran and Saudi Arabia remained the largest single customers. The US share of the market, though reduced from the 1972-75 average, was 54 percent of the total in 1976. At the same time the Communist share Note: This paper has been coordinated with the Department of State and Defense Intelligence Agency. US data are for fiscal years, from Defense Security Assistance Agency sources. Fiscal Year 1975 and 1976 data are preliminary. Because of differences in the categories included in arms sales data and, in certain cases, different methods of pricing arms sales, the data in this report have major problems of comparability. Data on US arms sales and deliveries are the most comprehensive-they include military hardware, sup- port items (some of which are not recorded in data on other suppliers), and services (which are usually excluded from estimates of other suppliers' sales). This means that the US figures greatly overstate the role of the United States as a supplier of military hardware in the narrow sense. The problems and implications inherent in the use of customary data on arms sales will be discussed in a forthcoming report. SECRET Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 rose to 20 percent. Non-Communist (except US) countries also expanded their share to 26 percent, despite a reduction in the absolute level of French, Italian, and West German sales in 1976. The United Kingdom, which main- tained its record 1975 level of sales, was able to gain a sizable edge over West European competitors. ii SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Arms Sales to the Third World, 1976 Sales Drop Again Arms sales to Third World customers con- tinued to fall off in 1976, as major LDC buyers absorbed large deliveries of new equipment under old orders and concentrated on technical training and infrastructure development. While Saudi purchases rebounded from the temporary slump of 1975, other large customers-especially Iran, Syria, and Libya-reduced their orders. The reductions pushed sales down to $14.4 bil- lion, compared with $16.7 billion in 1975 and $20.7 billion in 1974. France, Italy, West Ger- many, and the United States bore the brunt of the reductions, their combined sales falling by almost 30 percent from 1975 (figure 1 and appendix tables 1 through 8). This second consecutive annual decline fol- lowed a precipitous rise that had culminated in record 1974 sales of $20.7 billion. About a third of the increase was attributable to inflation. Substantial price rises were part of the global pattern of inflation; they were accentuated by the upsurge of Middle East orders after the 1973 war and supported by the new wealth of oil producers. The rising proportion of more expen- sive modern weaponry also helps account for the sharp rise in orders through 1974. The decline in sales in 1975-76 is even more pronounced if viewed in real terms. The world- wide inflation has persisted. The inflation rate for arms probably is in the neighborhood of 6 percent per annum. Altogether Third World nations purchased $75 billion of arms in the past five years. Coun- tries in the Middle East and North Africa ac- counted for 70 percent of the total. The Customers Middle Eastern and North African countries retained their position in 1976 as the most lucrative arms market in the developing world. . ec_ -- - Non-Camn unist 1971 a a are or isca ears. ata are or a ern- ur n 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 SECRET Figure:2 Global Arms Sales to the Third World, 1976 Middre East and North Rfeiea 7E Even though orders from the area fell well be- low recent records, continuing massive arms pur- chases by OPEC countries kept Western order books full and provided the USSR with a large new source of hard currency. Iran and Saudi Arabia still were the biggest customers, account- ing for 40 percent of all LDC orders (figure 2). From only about $1 billion in 1972, their com- bined purchases shot past $8 billion in 1974. Subsequently, their orders have hovered around $6 billion a year. Iran's $3.2 billion of orders last year con- tinued to outrun Saudi Arabia's. In the past five years, Tehran has bought a total of $15.8 billion Third World Arms Purchases, 1972-76 Total Middle East and North Africa 53,063 Asia and the Pacific 15,460 Latin America 3,938 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,184 of arms to upgrade and to expand its armed forces and to project a big power image at home and abroad. Its purchases have included armored personnel carriers and artillery from the USSR, ships and advanced aircraft from the United States, and Chieftain tanks from the UK. The United States remains by far the largest supplier, although recent large purchases in the UK have reduced the US share to less than 50 percent, down from 80 percent during 1972-75. Saudi arms purchases increased to $2.7 billion in 1976, moving closer to Iran's. These expendi- tures again focused on infrastructure and sup- port. More than any other LDC, Saudi Arabia has allocated massive amounts of money to mili- tary support facilities, such as base construction, vehicle maintenance facilities, and warehouses. In 1976, about two-thirds of the total value of its US contracts were for operation of Saudi facilities and for maintenance of F-5Es over a three-year period. Almost all of Riyadh's $10.7 billion of foreign arms expenditures since 1971 have been in the United States, a pattern that continued last year. Though dwarfed by Iranian and Saudi arms purchases, orders placed by other Middle East- ern and North African countries in 1976 were large by LDC standards. ? Iraq rose to third place on the buyers' list, largely because of acontract with the Soviets for jet lighters, missiles, and tanks. ? Israel's orders, while well below 1974 crisis levels, topped a billion dollars and featured fighter aircraft and missiles purchased from the United States. ? Egyptian orders rallied moderately after a two-year lull, with more than $450 million of orders, placed largely in the West. ? New purchases by Libya and Syria fell off sharply in 1976 as these countries continued to take delivery under major contracts signed in earlier years. Sales to East Asia as a whole were cut again from the already reduced levels that followed 25X1 B Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 the end of the war in Vietnam. The drop was accounted for by the termination of US arms sales to Vietnam and Cambodia. South Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand-the largest East Asian arms customers-all expanded their purchases. Led by Brazil, Chile, and Peru, Latin Ameri- can countries pursued arms modernization pro- grams begun a decade ago. Chile and Peru spent lavishly on modernizing their forces, each to enhance its security against the other. Peru's I lorders from the USSR in 1976 move oscow into the forefront as Peru's major supplier; for the first time, the Soviets received orders from the Peruvian Air Force. Peru's navy, heretofore dependent on Western suppliers, also initiated negotiations for naval craft from the Soviet Union. The perceived threat from Peru gave the Chilean Government domestic support to increase arms purchases and to divert attention from persistent economic problems. Orders totaling $40 million included submarine spare parts, helicopters, and missiles from the UK, West Germany, and Israel. Brazil's $55 million of orders were mostly from the United States. Arms for sub-Saharan Africa, while only a small fraction of the LDC total, continued to make headlines in 1976, partly because of the expanding Soviet commitment to the continent but also because of the high potential for con- flict throughout the area. Growing national ri- valries, national security problems, and an un- stable political climate were all exacerbated by new promises of weapons for established govern- ments and insurgent groups. Sub-Saharan LDCs placed orders totaling about $800 million last year, 43 percent with Communist countries. These orders maintained the new higher levels reached the year before and also included modern weaponry that had begun to flow into Africa in 1975. In East Africa a major arms race developed between Ethiopia and Somalia as political tensions mounted. It was fueled by a major new Soviet arms accord with Ethiopia; at the same time, Moscow remained Somalia's chief source of arms. Further south, Tanzania, Mozambique, and Angola were major recipients of Communist arms. High Deliveries Continue Despite the reduction in new orders in 1976, arms deliveries rose slightly as suppliers filled orders from previous heavy commitments. The $8.7 billion of arms received by LDCs last year was surpassed only in 1973 during the massive resupply of the Middle East belligerents follow- ing the October War. The oil-rich clients again were the major recipients, with Iran's $1.5 bil- lion of receipts by far the largest. Next in order were Israel, Libya, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Syria, which together with Iran accounted for over half of all 1976 deliveries. In 1975 they had accounted for less than 45 percent (appendix tables 9 and 10). The United States was the only major arms exporter-except for Italy-to experience a de- cline in the value of deliveries in 1976. Although US deliveries to large Middle Eastern clients were at near record levels, the virtual elimina- tion of the Military Assistance Program (MAP) after fiscal year 1975 dragged the overall total down by more than 15 percent. This decline reduced the US share of arms deliveries to the Third World from 57 percent in 1975 to 44 percent in 1976. The slack in US deliveries was more than offset by large increases from other Western and Communist countries. British and West German arms exports reached their highest levels, while French deliveries also rose sharply, although still below the 1973 peak. Communist shipments were at a near record pace, surpassed only by deliveries in the crisis year 1973. Third World orders of expensive high-technol- ogy ordnance that showed up in 1976 deliveries included: ? Osa-II missile attack boats to Algeria, Libya, and India. ? The SA-3 surface-to-air missile system to Tanzania. Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 ? MIG-21 fighter aircraft to Angola. ? MIG-bis aircraft and the SA-6 surface-to-air missile system to India. ? An F-class submarine to Libya. ? Advanced L version export model of the MIG-21 jet fighter to Algeria-Algeria's first aircraft from Moscow since 1974. First West European deliveries of: ? One type-209 West German submarine to Venezuela. ? French Exocet antiship missiles and a West German guided-missile boat to Ecuador. ? One British Mark 10 guided-missile de- stroyer to Brazil. ? Two British Oberon submarines, six West German BO-105 helicopters, and 100 Israeli Shafir air-to-air missiles, all going to Chile. ? British Swingfire antitank missiles to Egypt. French Mirage. III jet fighters to the United Arab Emirates. In 1976 the United States for the first time exported advanced attack aircraft and missile systems to a number of LDCs. Iran received advanced variable-geometry F-14 fighters and F-5 F fighters; Jordan, Redeye missiles; and Greece, A-7 attack aircraft. Suppliers Competition to maintain foreign earnings and to keep order books full intensified as LDC orders fell off last year. Historically, the United States has claimed the largest share of the mar- ket, followed by the USSR, France, and the United Kingdom. The data tend to overstate the US share of actual weapons sales, however, since only about 40 percent of the US total has con- sisted of actual military hardware. Another 40 percent has been for support, including com- munications and radar; the remainder has gone for training, construction of ancillary facilities, and other services. In contrast, the estimated figures for Communist and other Western sup- pliers include very little infrastructural develop- ment and services. France and Italy were most affected by re- duced LDC demand in 1976 as their combined sales fell by almost 80 percent from 1975 levels. The United States also lost part of its market while UK orders maintained record 1975 levels, giving the British a sizable edge over other West European arms merchants. Meanwhile, the smaller Western exporters as a group more than tripled their sales, making some inroads into the shrunken 1976 market. The United States US weapons are among the most sought after because of their advanced technology and repu- tation for performance. Also important are De- partment of Defense and manufacturer support for incorporating the weapons into recipient military systems and reliable follow-on spare parts programs. These support and maintenance operations, especially for advanced equipment, create considerable follow-on sales, which may exceed initial outlays. Over the life of a US aircraft, the cost of support equipment (includ- ing initial and follow-on spares) and training may be two to four times the cosT of the origi- nal plane; the cost of the initial support pack- ages may be as much as 30 percent of the flyaway cost. Virtual elimination of the MAP has put al- most all US arms sales on a cash or credit basis under Foreign Military Sales (FMS) or commer- cial orders. US sales, which had skyrocketed in the mid-1970s, totaled $42 billion for 1972-76. Sales peaked in 1974 at $11.5 billion, fell to $8.3 billion in 1975, and dropped further to $7.7 billion in 1976. The recent declines reflect especially the reduction of Iranian pur- chases and the cutoff of aid to Vietnam. Mean- while, record sales to Saudi Arabia established Riyadh as the largest US customer. Sales to Israel, the third largest buyer, did not change markedly from 1975; they remained down al- most 60 percent from the 1974 peak. Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Western Europe Italian, French, and West German arms sales declined far more sharply than US sales last year. Still, all major West European accounts, except Italy's, were well above pre-1974 levels. The UK's 1976 sales maintained their fast 1975 pace and were highlighted by Iran's order of $840 million worth of Chieftain tanks. The $1.5 billion total was double the annual average of 1973-74 and moved the UK up to third place among LDC arms suppliers. The $5 billion in British arms sales in the past five years have helped to bolster the United Kingdom's balance of payments and to maintain a healthy defense industry. Arms exports to LDCs have contrib- uted to the employment of 300,000 in British arms factories-1 percent of the labor force-and account for about 3.4 percent of total exports. London also sees arms sales as yielding political advantages in certain areas of the world. Until the mid-1960s, British weapons exports were almost entirely to former dependencies that London regarded as strategically impor- tant-Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, India, Pakistan, and South Africa. More recently most of the de- mand for British weapons has come from Iran and the oil-rich countries of the Arabian Penin- sula. London's Middle Eastern and North Afri- can clients accounted for more than two-thirds of total British orders in 1972-76. Latin Ameri- can countries, particularly Argentina and Brazil, also have purchased major amounts. The United Kingdom has imposed few re- straints on foreign arms sales, although as a general rule it forbids sales to countries engaged in military hostilities. All contracts are subject to Ministry of Defense approval. From time to time, political considerations have controlled sales, as illustrated by London's current refusal to sell arms directly to South Africa or to cer- tain rightwing dictatorships. Credits are auto- matically extended for all sales, terms varying with the nature of the goods. France, which had ranked as the largest arms supplier to the LDCs after the United States and the USSR, lost its place to the UK in 1976. SECRET Sales tumbled to about a half billion dollars from more than $2 billion the year before. Mid- dle Eastern and North African clients have ac- counted for the bulk of France's total $5.8 billion of military sales in 1972-76. Although the manufacture of weapons systems contrib- utes only about 2 percent to France's GNP and directly employs less than 2 percent of the labor force, arms exports are considered vital for elim- inating the trade deficit. Exports also are seen as an important way of reducing the unit cost of arms for the French military and as a means of expanding French influence abroad. Military equipment has ranked as the third largest French export in recent years, accounting for about 5 percent of total French exports and nearly 10 percent of the value of exports of finished industrial goods. West German arms exports are small by global standards and in comparison with the size of the FRG economy. Bonn has sold a total of $2.6 billion worth of arms to LDCs in the past five years. The 55-percent drop in 1976 sales, to less than a half billion dollars, increased pressures on the government to liberalize controls over arms exports. Bonn's policy is the most restrictive among major suppliers, authorizing the export of only a limited range of modern conventional weapons, primarily ground forces equipment. The weapons industry now employs about 200,000 workers directly and another 40,000 indirectly. Advocates for relaxation of controls argue that expanded arms sales would increase the number of jobs and help to reduce the slack in the steel and shipbuilding industries. They also argue that increased arms sales would help to stimulate orders for civilian goods. 25X6 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 SECRET The USSR Moscow's willingness to provide modern weapons to almost any LDC-often at prices below those for comparable Western equipment and on attractive financial terms-has given the Soviets a big slice of the LDC arms market. Sales in 1976 accounted for almost 20 percent of the world total; deliveries, for more than 25 per- cent. Many less developed countries obtained their first supersonic jet fighters, missile sys- tems, or missile patrol boats from the USSR. Moscow, not bound by various restrictions that inhibit Western suppliers, has established itself as a credible supplier, particularly to countries with few other potential sources. Moscow parlayed its arms deals into a $2.6 billion business in 1976. If US costs of produc- tion were substituted for Soviet trade prices, the value of last year's sales would increase to al- most $3.5 billion. An estimated 70 percent of the 1976 orders will be paid in hard currency or its equivalent. A massive arms agreement with Iraq, huge new sales to Iran and Peru, and major contracts with India and Angola pushed the 1976 sales to heights previously reached only in 1973-74. Soviet sales in the past five years totaled $12.4 billion, only 25 percent below sales of all Western Europe. Prospects Given no major economic or military develop- ment that upset current international balances, we expect annual arms sales to the Third World to level off at about $15 billion through 1980. This estimate does not take into account a possi- ble multilateral agreement to restrict exports. It assumes that any further decline in the US mar- ket share will be taken up largely by other Western suppliers, especially France, the UK, 2~X1A The author of this paper isInter- 25X1A national Trade and Services Division, Office of Economic Research. Comments and que- are welcome and should be directed to ries I I and possibly West Germany. We expect Moscow to continue its aggressive sales campaign, particu- larly in view of Soviet need for additional large inflows of hard currency; sales possibly could move up in the $3 billion to $4 billion range in the next few years. We assume a moderate slow- ing of the rate of inflation of arms prices be- cause of reduced demand (in real terms) and some easing of cost pressures on munitions in- dustries. In any event, a fairly stable dollar figure for arms sales in the Third World would entail a distinct downward trend in real volume, given likely inflation rates. In making projections of demand, we have reviewed recent patterns and also have taken into account the $45 billion in orders still out- standing at yearend 1976, which will require considerable time for absorption into LDC in- ventories. These orders could barely be worked off by 1980 even if present delivery levels rise by as much as 25 percent, to $11 billion a year. We expect demand to follow recent patterns, with the Middle Eastern and North African cus- tomers dominating the market. Perceived re- gional threats will continue to generate competi- tion and to provide the rationale for large pur- chases in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America. The countries in these areas will replenish and update their stocks to prepare for possible con- frontation and, in the case of Africa, for large- scale insurgent activity. LDCs will continue to seek modern weapons systems and large support packages.. The existing absorption problem created by the more sophis- ticated weaponry will be accentuated and fur- ther increase the need for logistical support de- velopment and a larger deployment of trained personnel to use the equipment. Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 APPENDIX Arms Sales to the Third World, by Supplier' Total ' ........................................... 74,645 8,283 14,611 20,706 16,682 14,363 Non-Communist Countries ....... 60,521 6,549 11,599 16,654 14,232 11,487 United States' ......................... 42,364 5,458 9,365 11,532 8,326 7,683 Western Europe ...................... 16,862 974 2,141 4,698 5,616 3,433 Other ......................................... 1,295 117 93 424 290 371 Communist Countries' ............. 14,124 1,734 3,012 4,052 2,450 2,876 USSR " ....................................... 12,372 1,504 2,808 3,506 2,003 2,551 Eastern Europe ........................ 833 151 131 325 136 90 China ......................................... 340 78 24 81 36 121 Other' ....................................... 579 1 49 140 275 114 ' These data are sales and aid commitments and are to be differentiated from arms exports (deliveries). Recipient total includes Greece and Turkey and excludes Spain and Portugal. ' Data are for fiscal years, and data for 1975 and 1976 are preliminary. ' All values of Communist country agreements are at Soviet trade prices, which are generally lower than prices of comparable equipment sold to- the West. Soviet dollar values do not indicate cost of producing comparable items in the US. If Soviet arms sold to the Third World were priced at US costs of production instead of trade prices, the total value would be increased by about one-third. ' Includes Cuban, North Korean, Vietnamese, and Yugoslav sales. Arms Sales to the Third World, by Major Recipient Total .................................... 74,645 8,283 14,611 20,706 16,682 14,363 Of which: Iran .................................... 15,850 762 2,283 5,383 4,182 3,240 Saudi Arabia ................... 10,653 482 2,652 2,962 1,835 2,722 Israel ................................. 5,230 530 205 2,521 914 1,060 Iraq ................................... 4,035 423 364 1,290 531 1,427 Syria .................................. 3,302 446 1,181 857 704 114 Libya ................................ 3,101 156 49 1,973 588 335 Egypt ................................ 2,193 431 1,095 22 179 466 South Korea .................... 1,944 370 309 222 347 696 Greece .............................. 1,679 203 81 851 414 130 India ................................. 1,141 153 209 71 563 145 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Table 3 United States: Arms Sales to the Third World Total ......................... 42,364.4 5,458.2 9,365.1 11,532.4 8,326.2 7,682.5 Middle East and North Africa .... 28,952.8 1,870.7 4,828.9 9,571.5 6,544.6 6,137.1 Egypt ..................... 67.4 0 0 0 Negl. 67.4 Greece ................... 1,039.2 203.3 66.2 461.8 218.6 89.3 Iran ......................... 11,683.7 556.1 2,177.1 4,408.5 3,070.4 1,471.6 Israel ...................... 5,151.0 472.3 203.3 2,5053 910.8 1,059.3 Jordan .................... 869.6 60.6 48.0 103.2 146.8 511.0 Kuwait ................... 554.4 0 Negl. .32.1 388.1 134.2 Lebanon ................ 21,2 0.2 8.8 10.3 0.8 1,1 Morocco ................. 448.2 7.5 2.7 8.3 300.8 128.9 North Yemen ....... 136.6 0 0 2.6 .4 133.6 Saudi Arabia ........ 8,325.3 465.8 1,999.3 1,924.7 1,408.4 2,527.1 Tunisia ................... 12.0 1.5 3.9 2.3 2.1 2.2 Turkey ................... 6310 100.0 319.5 111.3 93.7 7.5 Other .................... 12.2 3.4 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.9 East Asia ................. 12,128.6 3,432.0 4,366.0 1,677.9 1,490.1 1,162.6 Cambodia .............. 981.6 176.8 154.8 406.0 244.0 0 Indonesia ............... 135.6 18.4 17.5 14.2 62.1 23.4 Laos ....................... 632.8 277.3 277.1 66.7 11.7 0 Malaysia ................ 77.8 42.9 3.9 12.0 7.7 11.3 Philippines ............ 176.0 14.8 23.0 22.5 54.2 61.5 Singapore .............. 58.4 9.9 11.7 13.4 6.8 16.6 South Korea ......... 1,872.3 370.2 309.0 198.4 300.3 694.4 South Vietnam..... 6,863.8 2,284.7 3,254.6 759.8 564.7 0 Taiwan .................. 927.3 117.0 263.2 128.3 191.7 227.1 Thailand ................ 402.1 119.6 50.8 56.5 46.9 128.3 Other ..................... 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 Negl. Negl. Sub-Saharan Africa . 274.4 15.4 13.5 30.3 40.8 174.4 Ethiopia ................. 214.6 10.0 9.7 18.7 34.3 141.9 Nigeria .................. 36.6 2.7 1.4 6.6 3.3 22.6 Zaire ...................... 16.1 2.4 .7 1.6 1.7 9.7 Other ..................... 7.1 0.3 1.7 3.4 1.5 0.2 South Asia ............... 154.9 3.4 19.5 16.1 47.4 68.5 India ...................... 22.3 2.0 Negl. 3.3 8.4 8.6 Pakistan ................. 132.4 1.4 19.3 12.8 39.0 59.9 Other ..................... 0.2 Negl. 0.2 Negl. 0 0 Latin America .....,.. 853.7 136.7 137.2 236.6 203.3 139.9 Argentina .............. 98.1 28.4 28.0 9.3 18.0 14.4 Bolivia ................... 16.6 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.1 Brazil ..................... 208.6 33.1 15.7 75.5 31.6 52.7 Chile ....................... 150.1 6.6 15.5 77.8 41.5 8.7 Colombia ............... 13.7 5.6 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.5 Ecuador ................. 19.7 Negl. Negl. Negl. 16.4 3.3 Guatemala ............. 15.2 4.0 3.9 1.8 2.1 3.4 Panama ................. 11.0 0.6 3.6 4.0 0.8 2.0 Peru ....................... 124.5 1.5 25.0 43.7 26.4 27.9 Uruguay ................ 20.6 3.4 2.6 2.9 8.7 3.0 Venezuela .............. 140.5 47.2 28.5 9.4 44.8 10.6 Other ..................... 35.1 2.8 9.2 7.2 7.6 8.3 ' Data are for fiscal years, and data for 1975 and 1976 are preliminary. Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Western Europe: Arms Sales to the Third World Total .................................... 16,862 974 2,141 4,698 5,616 3,433 France .............................. 5,756 291 484 2,391 2,064 526 United Kingdom ............ 4,991 266 881 765 1,542 1,537 West Germany ............... 2,564 247 241 705 940 431 Italy .................................. 2,052 121 432 539 839 121 Netherlands ...................... 417 14 40 93 34 236 Belgium ............................ 394 17 49 90 82 156 Other ................................ 688 18 14 115 115 426 25X1 B Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 25X18 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Arms Deliveries to the Third World, by Supplier Total' ............................. 41,407 6,466 10,090 7,946 8,196 8,709 Non-Communist ............ 29,557 5,093 6,863 5,541 6,110 5,950 United States S ........... 22,161 3,896 5,650 4,119 4,649 3,847 Western Europe ........ 6,317 1,009 1,103 1,246 1,224 1,735 France ..................... 2,115 375 519 416 349 456 United Kingdom ... 1,638 239 297 394 310 398 West Germany ...... 1,382 222 119 185 260 596 Italy ......................... 632 83 94 177 167 111 Belgium ................... 190 7 18 44 49 72 Netherlands ............. 162 35 35 5 56 31 Switzerland ............. 76 39 13 14 9 1 Spain ........................ 122 9 8 11 24 70 Other ........................... 1,079 188 110 176 237 368 Communist Countries. 11,850 1,373 3,227 2,405 2,086 2,759 USSR ............................ 10,332 1,207 3,008 2,246 1,685 2,186 Eastern Europe .......... 727 72 117 129 213 196 China ........................... 344 90 77 19 72 86 Other 8 ......................... 447 4 25 11 116 291 ' Total includes Greece and Turkey and excludes Spain and Portugal. E Data are for fiscal years, and data for 1975 and 1976 are preliminary. Includes Cuban, North Korean, Vietnamese, and Yugoslav deliveries. Arms Deliveries to the Third World, by Major Recipient 1972-76 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Total ..................... 41,407 6,466 10,090 7,948 8,196 8,709 Of which: Iran ..................... 4,654 556 566 885 1,180 1,467 Syria ................... 3,241 282 1,273 1,017 282 387 Israel .................. 3,006 282 242 1,052 725 705 Iraq .................... 2,578 141 646 638 465 688 Saudi Arabia .... 1,877 159 124 480 480 634 Egypt ................. 1,850 548 724 155 345 78 Libya ................. 1,728 129 182 221 501 695 South Korea ..... 1,235 367 283 118 217 250 Turkey ............... 932 185 118 209 267 153 India .................. 900 204 180 131 161 224 12 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Secret Secret Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 ADMINISTRATIVE - INTERNAL USE ONLY Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 29 August 1977 MEMORANDUM FOR: Chief, Distribution Section, P&PD/OL FROM: Chief, Registry and Dissemination Branch, PPG SUBJECT: Dissemination of QER Report, ER 77-10500 (Job 425-1122-77). Arms Sales to the Third World, 1976, Attached is the dissemination list for subject report. Copies # 1 through '#., 50 will be picked up or forwarded to PPG/R&D, Room 7G07, STATINTLHq, please notify when you receive the remaining copies for distribution. When a report has an ELITE, the elite copies must be disseminated before standard distribution is made. Attachment: a/ s Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 ADMINISTRATIVE - INTERNAL USE ONLY STATINT STATINTLI STAT Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Next 6 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 (COPY) MEMORANDUM FOR- Mr. Haro H. launders Director Bureau of Intelligence and Research Department of State Attached is your personal copy of our memorandum, "Arms Sales to the Third World, 1976." FR 77-1fcnn MAURICE C. E NS Director of Economic Research Central Intelligence Agency 1$ SEA 1977 (DATE) STAT Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 STAT Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Next 5 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/08/06 : CIA-RDP79B00457A000700110001-4 Ap lF T UNCLA SIFIED CONFIDENTIAL SECRET OFFICIAL ROUTING SLIP TO NAME AND ADDRESS DATE INITIALS 1 Chi D/S 2 DD/0ER 3 EO/ER 4 ASA/ER 5 DSA/ER 6 PPG/R&D ACTION DIRECT REPLY PREPARE REPLY APPROVAL DISPATCH RECOMMENDATION COMMENT FILE RETURN CONCURRENCE _ INFORMATION SIGNATURE Remarks : Any additions or deletions to the attached suggested elite dissem? FOLD HERE TO RETURN TO SENDER FROM: NAME. ADDRESS AND PHONE NO. 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