PROPAGANDA GUIDELINES

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CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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91
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November 11, 2016
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August 5, 1998
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1
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Publication Date: 
May 1, 1969
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REPORT
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25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : MINISEPPF9-01194A0005001100014/5 World-wide Perspectives KEY DATES May 16 - 18 Stockholm Emergency Action Conference on Vietnam, to step up condemnation of war in Viet- nam. Announced by Gunnar Myrdal, Chairman of Swedish Vietnam Committee. May 22 Moscow 1943 - End of Third International (Comintern) announced. The statement declared the autonomy of Communist par- ties outside the USSR (a principle once again at issue on the eve of the World Communist Conference). May 23 Moscow Meeting of Preparatory Commission for conference of world Communist parties. June 4 - 26 Geneva Annual International Labor Conference (ILO 50th Anniversary) June 5 (maybe) Moscow World Communist Conference June II - 12 Moscow 1937 - Soviet Marshal Tukhachevsky and seven other top Red Army generals ar- rested, tried secretly and executed. In ensuing Stalinist purge of Soviet mili- tary, about half of all officers, in- cluding all II Army and Navy Vice Com- missars, disappeared (an event seemingly being ignored by those in the Soviet military now pushing for a revival of Stalinism). 25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02.: CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 41.61.11?14 25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Next 5 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 ARigazisazionve? Releig11999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 May 1969 THE COMMUNIST SCENE (22 March - 18 April 1969) 1. Soviets Attain Objective in Czechoslovakia After prolonged effort, the Soviets have finally succeeded in removing Alexander Dubcek from his key position of Secretary General of the Czechoslo- vak Communist Party (CzCP) by virtue of a Second Soviet Intervention. The CzCP Central Committee met on 17 April and announced major changes in the leadership. Slovak Party leader Gustav Husak replaced Dubcek, who, however, remains on the new 11-man Presidium (Politburo), which itself replaces the old 21-man Presidium and its 8-man Executive Committee ("Super-Politburo"). Josef Smrkovsky, the most consistent and outspoken of the reformist Czech party leaders, was dropped from the Presidium. To make the demotion of Dubcek and Srmkovsky palatable to the population and to forestall violent mass protests, it was arranged for the Presidium to contain a sprinkling of men of known liberal reputation, most notable among whom is Karel Polacek, the leading Czech trade union leader, in order to counterbalance the increased conservative coloring of the leadership. The inclusion of notorious pro- Moscow conservatives like Lubomir Strougal, Jan Piller, and Vasil Bilak is an ominous portent. The retention of President Svoboda and Premier Cernik helps give an air of stability and continuity. Husak himself is generally held to be a "realist"; he can hardly be labeled a complete conservative or a true liberal. The central fact is that he seems to consider accommodating the Soviets as the first and foremost task of the Czech leadership -- and it is unquestionably this fact, along with his reputation of being neither liberal nor conservative, that persuaded the Soviets to install him as the new leader. The changeover was accompanied by extensive police action in the form of detention and questioning of hundreds of people. Whether this was a precautionary measure or a foretaste of a more aggressive police state should soon become clear. Also subject to doubt is the sincerity of Husak's claim that the change in leadership means no change in policy, that the liberal reform program will continue, and that there will be no return to the dark pre-Dubcek days of Novotny. The Soviets engineered these govern- mental changes and installed Husak in his key position for just the opposite purpose, namely to hasten "normalization," the Soviet euphemism for making Czechoslovakia conform to the colorless pattern of orthodoxy displayed in East Germany, Poland, and Bulgaria. The main question to ask is not whether the new regime will re-impose an orthodox Communist dictatorship, but rather how they will go about it and how long it will take. The answer to these questions is to be found partly in the course of action that will be taken by the groups in the Czech population who consistently supported Dubcek's policies -- students, intellectuals, scientists, journalists, trade unionists -- but also in how much moral support they receive from the free world. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 2. East and West: Two Communist Congresses It would be hard to find two more widely divergent phenomena of current Communist activity than the Ninth Chinese Communist Party and the 15th Congress of the Finnish Communist Party. Both took place in April: the CCP Congress beginning on the first and the FCP Congress taking place 3-6 April. Apart from that coincidence, virtually all they had in common was the fact that both ignored the wishes of Big Brother CPSU, thus illustrating quite per- suasively the ability of Communist parties to make their own decisions independently of the CPSU if they are but determined to do so, regardless of CPSU attempts to dictate. The Chinese Congress Ten years overdue and after only a brief announcement in January that the Ninth Party Congress would convene sometime in 1969, the Congress was suddenly pronounced assembled on 1 April at an undisclosed site in Peking. The Chinese radio announced that Mao Tse-tung made an "important speech" and Defense Minister Lin Piao, later officially confirmed as heir-apparent to Mao, gave a "political report." For typically mysterious, Maoist reasons, not even the substance, much less the text, of either report was made public. The 1,512 delegates to the Congress then were said to have broken up into discussion groups to study the reports in detail, paragraph by paragraph, sentence by sentence, and also to study the new draft constitution. This task, clearly a rubber stamp procedure, seems to have absorbed all the energies of the delegates for the next two weeks of the Congress. Free world "China watchers" have scrutinized the meager offerings from Chinese news media, including the slight television coverage of the Congress, for clues of its significance. The unconfident consensus, perhaps best expres- sed in the attached article by correspondent Peter Grose in the New York Times, is that a factional struggle is being silently waged between fanatic Mao adherents who want to continue the Cultural Revolution (a purge and purification of the Party) and more moderate leadership elements, including the military, who seek to restore a semblance of normalcy in the administra- tion of the country. The course of the Congress and a communique (attached) issued during the Congress on 14 April deserve study. Stalin was in command for roughly 25 years before the world fully realized and Communists, including his own countrymen, acknowledged that he was a megalomaniac. The wording of the 14 April communique, as a masterpiece of vacuity in content and of sycophancy in its flattery of Mao, apart from being an offense to human intelligence, contends for honors with the "cult of (Stalin's) personality." It seems reasonable to assume that many of Mao's colleagues are suffering under the burden of his manias just as Khrushchev and his colleagues suf- fered under Stalin's manias. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 The conduct of the Congress, incidentally, illustrates the complete contempt in which the Chinese leadership holds its own people -- in whose name the Congress is held. Clearly it does not feel the slightest obli- gation to keep them informed of what the leadership thinks or has decided about the fate of the people, for this fate is supposedly what the Congress is determining. The Finnish Party Congress On the other side of the world, another important CP meeting was taking place: the Finnish Communist Party Congress. The FCP's claim to distinction is that it is among Europe's most powerful CF's. It holds 41 seats in a 200-member unicameral parliament, has polled some 20% or more of the popular vote in national elections since World War II, and is the only CP in non-Communist Europe to be participating in government (it holds three cabinet posts in coalition with Social Democrats and Centrists). Since Stalin's death in 1953, the party had been gradually liberalized under pressure from younger Communists of modern outlook who have little knowledge of, and less patience with, the irrelevant, ossified Stalinist (and even Leninist) dogma still espoused by their older, Moscow-trained, conspiracy- minded colleagues. The "generation conflict" of recent years unexpectedly reached crisis proportions on the occasion of the Congress, when key Stalinists, seeing the prospect of defeat after defeat on party statutes, program, and membership in key party offices, walked out in a huff, planning to meet separately on 25-26 April to discuss, among other things, whether they should establish a separate party. One of the obsolete pieces of Leninist baggage seemingly thrown out at the Congress was the traditional Communist aim of establishing a "dictatorship of the proletariat" and the notion of the Communists' wielding exclusive power. This doctrine gave way to acceptance of the ?principle of multiple parties even after establish- ment of a "Socialist" State. It was largely due to this very heresy that the Soviets invaded Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968. The Soviets seem not to have taken a public stand on these debates within the Finnish party, evidently because they are powerless to change the FCP stand. But in the matter of the split in the party they could not refrain from reverting to direct interference. The main Finnish news- paper, Helsingin Sanomat, reported that representatives of the Finnish Old Guard and of the now dominant liberal group were summoned to the Soviet Embassy by Arvid Pelshe, visiting CPSU Politburo member and pressed to reconcile their differences with the admonition that whoever splits the Finnish Communist Party is no friend of the Soviet Union. Considering recent trends in the FCP toward independent decisions, (the dominant leadership firmly denounced the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia), there is no guarantee that Soviet admonitions will have any appreciable effect. 3. Briefly Noted a. Rumanian Foreign Minister to Moscow. Foreign Minister Corneliu Manescu was greeted on his formal visit to Moscow, 7-9 April, with a not- so-subtle insult in the form of a strong reiteration in Pravda of the Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-pP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Brezhnev Doctrine, among the main targets of which is Rumania. It is a matter of intriguing speculation for foreign correspondents in Moscow why this one-shot insult was printed. No other newspaper carried it, and there seems to have been no follow-up. One thing is clear: the Soviets are retaining their options concerning future action toward Rumania, and one of these options is to apply the Brezhnev Doctrine to Rumania as they applied it to Czechoslovakia last August. The purpose of Manescu's mission remains even now shrouded in mystery and Communist news media offer no enlightenment. His visit was completed with a non-committal joint announcement and an invitation to Brezhnev, Kosygin, and Podgorny to pay a visit to Rumania. They accepted. b. Brutal PCI-Soviet Polemics. Attached are translations of a bitter exchange of polemics started by Giuseppe Boffa, prominent journalist-com- mentator and former Moscow correspondent for the Italian Communist news- paper L'Unitg, who often speaks for the leadership of the party. Boffa, writing in L'Unit6 on 9 April took the occasion of the Sino-Soviet border conflict to raise all the objections and apprehensions the PCI has about CPSU policies and intentions, including the invasion of Czechoslovakia, and the role of the Soviet Union as a "guiding state" for the world's Communist parties. Stung badly, the Soviets lost little time in replying through Pravda on 13 April in an article by one Ivanov. Boffa's article may well be the PCI's way of serving notice on the CPSU that they still have grave doubts about participating in the World Communist Conference on 5 June 1969, at which it is expected that the CPSU will try once again to reassert a measure of control over the world's Communist parties. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 4 3PYRQHT. SigAile$ Art,. Zy PL'IiIt GROSE . I', The New 7,,rk WASHINGTON, A ril 4 iiescatincloiatipairii ef, ern ip oma s . ave e- !tected signs that Communist !China's ninth party congress, Inow under way, is embroiled in ,dissension and serious argu- ment, contrary to their expecta- tion that it would be a rubber- stamp occasion. , Their analysis is that basic 'Issues that have been fought :over in the Cultural Revolution of the last three years have not yet been resolved. Foremost among these are the conflicting demands of ,ad- ministrative stability and chair- man Mao Tse-tung's dream of continuing the revolutionary zeal of his generation, along :with the frictions and rivalries, among the bureaucracy of the iCommunist party, the army and such ' revolutionary organiza- tions as the Red Guards. .! Finally, there is evidence that the central question of person-. nel ? tha? of who, under the level of the top leadership, will, ,actually carry out Tarty and, government functions in Peking' ? has not been decided. Diplomatic analysts drew these conclusions four days after Ithe long-awaited congress be- gun in Peking. They are based.: these specialists hasten to point! NEW YORK TIMES 5 April 1969 ?T cpYi!RGHPART? REMOLD111 SEEN AS MAO AIM. Ideological Purity Believed Key Objective in Congress By CHARLES MOHR :special to The Nor York Times HONG KONG, April 4?The CPYRGHT 91-01411N00 Me410001 -9 not on hard information emerg- .the 1,512 delegates at the cur:- in,g from any authoritative rent con ress is the a saren the top ea?ers are not in doubt?the congress communi- ? .? ? Indeed, the tight secrecy sur- rounding the congress is con- sidered impressive evidence that significant issues are be- ing threshed out. Since the opening day, Tuesday, the Chi- nese press and radio have maintained a total silence ,about the proceedings. . A Hanel rommoniquis, of the 'opening clay is still repeated iregularly by ,Peking, four days later. No additional details ;have been given to the Chinese ipeople about the speech of ;Chairman Mao or the political ireport of his heir apparent, De- 'loose Minister Lin Piao. When the eighth party con- gress first met, in 1956, the major opening day speeches were published in full two days later. That congress recon- vened in 1958, and then the proceedings were not made known until a final report at the end. Analysts believe that the 1958 meeting provoked consid- erable internal controversy over decisions leading up to the ambitious and unsuccessful economic program called the "Great Leap Forward?' Another sign that solidarity Arhievpci :nmnrig congress or the Chinese Com- munist party now under way in Peking appears to be an at- tempt by Mao Tse-tung not only to rebuild the party but also to insure its future ideo- logical purity. , It was the party chairman's conviction that the old party bureaucracy was riddled with men who opposed him person- ally and ideologically. That is believed to have led him to undertake in 1966 the pro- longed purge known as the Cul- tural Revolution. Tho party congress has met without press publicity since it opened Tuesday. It is believed to be deliberating on a politi- cal report given by Defen:e: Minister Lin Piao, Mr. Mao's hand-picke 'r A draft stitution that reached Kong in January defines a pa.- ? as observers. Normally, Communist party congresses attract a large num- ber of representatives from al- lied parties. Peking has not reported the presence of any foreigners, and diplomats know that in the weeks preceding the congress several potential dele- gations were discouraged from attending, at least at the early stages. This suggests that the lead- ership did not want to have outside witnesses to whatever deliberations are taking place. A final indication that unanimity was lacking on key issues was the long delay in convening the congress. Prom- ised since August, 1967, the opening was repeatedly post- poned, even, apparently, up to the last minute. Almost all the important provincial leaders are reported to have been in Peking for the congress from the beginning of March; yet the congress did not open until the beginning of April. The most pressmg question for Western analysts is thel identity of the officials who will emerge with key Government and party jobs. The narnpq y congress ea "tlIC h:010t leading organ of the party," and 1,512 delegates have ga- thered in Peking for the meet- ing. To Adopt Party Charter One of their jobs will be to adopt the new charter, the Pe- king radio has said. The draft document suggests much abot:t the tactics that Mr. Mao evi- dently intends to follow in re- structuring the party.} He is believed to have been! obsessed in recent years withl chef that a "socialist" state; n clangbr of a restoration oi. italisra or of "revisionist" as as it proceeds toward,: e "communism." he preamble, or "general pro- m," of the draft constitution, ects this view when it says t in the stage of transition, . socialism to communism; re will throughout exist ses, class contradictions and! class struggle, there will: t the struggle of the two s between socialism and talism. there will exist the ger of a capitalist restore- ." number of measures are ned to forestall these dan- . ticle 5 of the draft says the lc party must "obey a uni- AVnutr4g? pallPm.:7me9 to protest and appeal any 1041al lit:USIU115 th..t may a is ca id pu gr. ref th, fro ,,t cla .the exi roa cal da tio pla ger wh RO/ ber erences from the group of leaders that has dominated the Cultural Revolution for the last three years. Rut there are as yet no clues to the personnel that will oc- cupy ministerial and subminis- terial posts directly below the top group around chairman Mao. The 176 persons listed as members of the congress pre- sidium were initially supposed to constitute the approximate composition of the party's new Central Committee. Analysts now doubt that this will be borne out, since about 60 per cent of the presidium mem- bers are local figures from the provinces. These specialists believe, that the governing Central Committee would have to in- clude a larger representation of full-time officials at the cen- ter, who would operate the party and government ap- paratus. ? Dispute over this question, : over whether the administra- tive apparatus should be weighted . toward the military or toward the established party bureaucracy, may well be at the center of the congress's deb^tir, diplomats believe. Nays ? " oe in violation of Mr. asao s tnat a party member policies. must particularly guard "If a party member does not against careerists, plotters and agree with the decisions or di- two-faced persons and must rectives of the party organiza- prevent bad persons of this tion, he may reserve his opin- sort from usurping party or This will probably encourage ions and has the right to pass state leadership at any level." -over his superiors and report directly to the Central Commit- zealots to continue to hrinp tee and the chairman of the their complaints of "bourgeois Central Committee," the draft, thinking" and revisionism to 1 charter said. Mr. Mao and the group around 'Slavish Obedience' Scored him. The preamble also asserts1 This provision is clearly that the "party must un-. meant to deal with what the ceasingly get rid of the old Maoist press calls the concept and absorb the new" and an- of "slavish obedience." The other article says that one Maoists say that men such as must be a "revolutionary dc- the." former chief of state, Liu to gain admittance to Shao-chi, and the party's for- 'the party. mei-. general secretary, Teng A reading of the press in re- Hsih-ping, used the concept of cent years shows that nothing unwavering obedience to spread has disturbed Mr. Mao more t anti-Maoist policies, such as the thanthe possibility that his old extension of private land in enemies would succeed in gain- agriculture. ing political rehabilitation. An example is former Defense headed by Mr. Teng that al- Minister Peng Teh-hoai, who It was the party secretariat lowed the Liu forces to usurp so much day-to-day power struggled for four years to be from Mr. Mao, and ? the draft rehabilitated after his dismis. charter reflects suspicion of sal in 1958. In present jargon, such bureaucracy. ) this is called "the evil wind of , It alludes to replacement of reversing verdicts." the old secretariat by saying To prevent it, the new draft' that "there shall be established provides for no appeal proce- l the necessary competent or-1 dures at all and says that AuktioyiyaligajiNariffiontbil.'17 stubbornly re- ITle. "m st be I eminent and army? purged ? from the party and ' . Article 3 of the draft nicn!novor anew" h... CPYRGHT An^ 1 Lo rIbIA-RDP79-OI194A000500110W1*GHT ? pNF . c.: proved For Release 19ARAG- 9 4. S 7,` ? ceV44/0 ? HONG KO:-;6?Th ril- tialistie Chinese Cornr:-.?;- nints, obsce;sed by the monies of of their unique theology, are foicver .-.);ftt- ing The China- watcher finds that habit both a major irritation and a blessing. It is had for the eyes and trying for the memory, but the meticu- leus ranking clearly spells out the pecking order of .the hierarchical society. China - watchers were poring Thursday over a windfall?the list of 176 members of the Presidium of the 5th National., Con- gress of the /Comniunist- Party ' of China, finally convened after months of anticipation and years of delay. Detailed examination of the new aristocracy yields some fascinating hypoth- eses.: The Presidium is; atter all, almost certain to be the new Central Com- mittee of the Communist Party. Now Aristocracy The most obvious and politically most significant conclusion is that the new aristocracy is, as the Chi- nese put, It, "like a rad- ish ? red outside and white inside." After the red skin of the 24 leading men and women is peeled away, several strang phenomena support that conclusion. Most striking is the preponderance of the mili- tary; 7.1 of the 176 are ? either officers, soldiers, or unquestionably identified with the People's Libera- tion Army, China's regu- lar army. The second -Conclusion is :t h a t matrimony pays, even in China, where abso- lute equality of the 'sexes is a cardinal tenet of faith. 'Among approximately 18 women on the Presidium, 'five are listed largely be- ,cause they are the wives of "senior cadres." A whiff :of bourgeois nepotism ri- A I 1 so II area ? oft. 16. o s New Aristocracy I Ranking of Presidium Members Clearly Spells Out Pecking Order in Hierarchy . BY 110BERT S. ELEGANT start Wr.rtr tho -prolcr.i aec 81.e dc1;bc,d+,. xiety. offerings to the disaffected Among those five wo- "Old Party member s,` men, two stand with the whose ranks were scythed tint 14 Presidium mem- by the Great Proletarian b-rs. Chiang Ching, No. 6,* Cultural Revolution. the %vile of Chairman Along with the dominant 1Cao Tse-tung, and Yeh military, they, by and Clun, No. 12, is the wife of large, represent the pre- Lep. Chairman Lin Piao. vaiiing conservative and Power of Military compromising tendency. Yet the full list Includes only 42 survivors of 193 full and alternate mem- bers of the Central Com- mittee appointed at the tl.e power of the military. .8th National, Congress in Chiang Ching's favorite 19'8. Their number was -hjsieian, the man who .also thinned by 18 natural "N-estern piano into the deaths. .? ritroduced the abhorred Striking Contrast .riditional Peking Opera, it inds 138th. Scattered rough the Presidium are 11 model peasants, farm- ers, and workers, the gloss )r the new "proletarian rd poor peasant" comple- ici)n claimed for the Pre-: The political in- luence of two "model en- ted men" is also tenuous. The list is also padded ,with essentially nonpoliti- \c..1 individuals. That ano- maly both denigrates the P-esidium and emphasizes Somewhat more signifi- :ant are about five scien- ts intimately associated v th nuclear and rocketry dc-velopment. Chief among hem is Chien kisueh-shen, o ?mer professor at the k,Alifornia Institute of 'rc chnology. ? , Former Officials The list also displays six . o r in e r cove.;?nors, vice -,p.vernors, mayors. ann. vice mayors. They are 'dies of the days when Mina was ruled by a )r maI go vernmental Po-ta, but two opportu- ;t. -ucture. Impromptu Re- nists distinguished prima- v lutionary Committees rily for their devotion to lz.ve now displaced both Chiang Ching. he provincial and local Unless an extraordinary wgans of the Communist reversal occurs, those 14 t"). r y and the ?People's !will be the Ztantung Com-; kiovernment. ?rnittee ?of' the Political Those former officials Bureau of the Communist. ? The most striking con- trast between the red out- er skin and the white inner skin lies in the difference betweeii t h e first group of 14 and the second of 10 set above the rank and file. Chairman Mao and his deputy chairman, Lin Piao, stand at the head of the first 14. The remaining 12 in this group include not only the indestructible Premier Chou En-lai, secretary ge- neral of the Presidium, but six soldiers, whose loyalties generally tend toward Lin Piao?as well ?as Lin's -wife, who is a member of the People's Liberation Army's Cultur- al Revolutionary Group. The four civilians on the heights include not only Mao's wife, Chiang Ching, and his ghostwriter. Chen rarty. they should, In theory, exercise total pow- ? er over all China. But the next 10 names. set above the commonalty; make that conclusion hazi ardous. They are, by Maoist standards, t h e white inner skin just be- neath the red outer skin. That group includes six officers who were field marshals untirformal mi- litary rank was abolished in 1965. Although at least one, former Generalissimo Chu Teh, is politically negligible at 83, the other field marshals are a sIgni, f icant force. i Remarkable Choice *, Quite remarkably, LW Po-cheng, the one-eyed general who once fought with Soviet troops against a Manchurian warlord, is first among the marshals: Yet Liu was, among those men, the most obdurate and the most viciously attacked by Red Guard extremists. He Is, howev- er, exceedingly powerful in the disputed southwest. Among the four civilians In the second rank, Tung Pi-nu, 83, is a political monument like his con- temporary, Chu Teh. The remaining three are all vice premiers, the techni- cians, managers and adm1-: nistrators of Premier' Chou. ? The balance Is both. precise. and delicate. It is, also, obviously deliberate. , is as if Peking had put up a big signboard. reading: 'Communism at. All Costs! We Will Create Our Own Paradise No .Matter What Becomes of the Economy. and Civil Order!" one acute specia- list remarked. : 'But. in small. print un- derneath. 41. reads: 'Bust-, ness as Usual?Just as, Soon as We Can. Get Back tO BusInesaL" he added. roved For RCIC83C 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-0 9PYRGHipp " rpyia""drEor Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 CPYRGHT CHINA'S RUA VOTE CHARM AKING EEIR TO fi1A01 Party Congress Approves ' New Po!icy Program ? DiF,doses No Details By CHARLES MOHR ti) The New YwV rmtz 'HONG scrim- April 14?The inth congress of the Chinese Communist party unanimously adopted today a new party charter that stipulates that De- fense Minister Lin Piao will eventually succeed Mao Tse- tung as China's leader. ' A communique made public today by the official press agency Ilsinhua said the con- gress also unanimously adopt- ed a political report by Mr. ln that will' probably become 'blueprint for policy in for- eign, economic and domestic political fields. But it gave no details of the report. The communique added that the party congress would begin tomorrow to elect a new Can.: tral Committee. During the Cul- tural Revolution initiated by Mr. Mao three years ago, about two-thirds of the members of the old Central Committee were dismissed as "power-holders taking the capitalist road." Unusual Occasion A congress Is described by Chinese Communists as the highest governing organ of their party, and such convoca- _ ?Ions are both rare and im- ithiosertant. The ninth congress is ,only the second held since the Communists won control of China in 1049. The last con- gress was elected in 1956 and 'last met in 105S. TO PICK LEADERS TODAYI ine Loiz delegates to the present, or ninth, congress met 411 PA1116 14 days a8u vu April TtntHtnnt Vflore had Won no further news on their de- liberations, but today's corn- muniqu6 indicated that the congress would soon adjourn. The first two items on the congress agenda, as announced April I, were the adoption of Mr. Lin's politieal report and a new party constitution. These tasks have been completed. Mao Title in Doubt Tonight's communiqud said the congress would begin elect- ing a new Central Committee ."starting from April 15." It was unclear how long this process would take. The Central Committee will then meet to select a new Politburo, which, in turn, will elect a standing committee. This will be the supreme ruling party body in China. The new Central Committee would technically be empow- ered also to elect a new chair- man of the committee, but most analysts in Hong Kong assume that Mr. Mao will be re-elected to his post with Lin Piao the sole vice chairman. Some observers in Washing. ton have speculated that Mr. ;Mao may be elevated in title :to something approximating ...Great Leader" and Mr. Lin named party chairman. In either case it seems clear that ric innt s VI, 75 year old Full Central Committee Is .to Be Elected, Replacing ? Purged Rulin Mr. Mao is fit he will remain thr. pnri,,Aunt ft.re 'munique did not revail it: The list of persons that leadership. .s.lowed the ranking of major deleg,?or 'var. the raw n thc BUldUJI: of Its ambiguity aria one issued when the congress lact of details; tonight's com- muniqu?ave no real indica- On the basis of past experi- ence, tion of any new departures in ence, specialists on China have policy by China. However, it said that the speculated that the top names' congress had entrusted the among the delegates to this sec- congress will probably be sc- retariat of its presidium, which lected to serve on the new is headed by Premier Chou En Politburo. lai, with publishing "two docu- ments after making modifica- tions in wording." From the Session on Peking TV context of the announcement. it ' PEKING, Tuesday, April 173 seemed that these would be the (Agencc France-Presse) ? The texts of the new party constitu- congress delegates appeared ra- tion- and of Mr. Lin's' political taxed and smiling yesterday report.The when they named Lin Piao ns' announcement that the future successor to Chairman new constitution "clearly stipu- Ntao. lated that Comrade Lin Piao is The delegates, who have been the successor of Chairman meeting behind closed doors Mao" came as no surprise. since April 2. seemed in excel. Second Rank Expected lent humor when they appeared on television shortly after mid- A draft of the new constitu- night today in a program de- tion that reached Hong Kong voted to the second plenary in January had specified Mr. session of the congress. Lin as Mr. Mao's closest corn- The program offered viewers rade and political heir. Soon domestic, family-like shots of after the Cultural Revolution Chinese leaders?Premier Chou began in 1966, Mr. Lin dis- En-lai arranging the micro- placed the former chief of phones for Chairman Mao, state, Liu Shao-chi, as China's Chairman Mao drinking tea, second-ranking Communist, wagging an admonishing finger The draft constitution also at the audience and being en- declared the "thoughts of thusiastically applauded by his ,Chairman Mao" to be the guid- wife, Chiang Ching. .ing doctrine of Chinese corn- Viewers were able to see Lin 'munism. The test was worded Piao giving an extemporaneous y 'with the clear intent of at- speech, being applauded b Mr. .tempting to perpetuate Mr. Mao, Premier Chou and the - Mao's militant and "left-wing" whole Congress,ancl Mr. Chou version of communism, reading his speech and being If the discussions of the con- applauded by Mr. Mao, Mr. Lin grass had resulted in any im- and the congress. portant realignment of personal The delegates approved the new nartv statutes by hrandi.h. power ' China, toai ht's cern unt their little red books. NEW YORK TIMES 35 April 1969 CPYRGHT Text of the Chinese Communist Party's Communique HONG KONG. April 14 to if the C air..tuiri..L party (Pt 4-1 u/linvirig is die of China and unanimously text of a communique made public today after a plenary adopted the Constitution of SCNSIOtt of the ninth national the Communist party of congress of the Communist China. party of China in Pching, as When the great lead- distributed in English by cr chairman Mao-Tse-tung llsinhiia, the Chinese Corn- and his close comrade in midst press agency: arms Vice -Chairman Lin Pim) mounted the rostrum. The ninth national con; p gress of the Communist party prolonged, thunderous cheers , of China, at the plena and applause resounded plenary and held on the afternoon of throughout the hall. April 14, unanimously adopt- Chairman Mao. pres,led td theApprOvedt Fe taRtgeOtY19991091172r, by Co:1111in Lin Pao on be- %a dcumenss we.e? .half of the Central. Commit- unanimously adopted, the whole hall burst into pro- Chairman Mao at the onen- longed cheers: "Long live the mg session of the congres; Communist party of Chinal they expressed their warm "Long live the invincible support ts it and their deter- thought of Mao Tse-Tung. minata,n tc., act accordingly.. Long live Chairman Mao, a Party Iti..tory Reviewed long, long life to him:" In accordance with Chair- Starting from April 2 after man Mao's teachings, the the opetUng of the ninth na- delegates reviewed the his. tonal congress of the Corn- tory of the party. In Ifi21. at munist party of Chasa, all the time of the party's fast, the delegates he:.: group dis- national corigres, there were cussions. only a few groups with a few All the delezsts. received dozen patty members, where. darettar . mts1}4440:9A1AtOailr 0 Wifa!rtYlVY155?f correct ohliskracitileAVitimguAlnce studying the extremely im- line our party. has developed portant speech made by and become the learier nf oho. CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 poy:Prful People's RepJblic of The! this is ti?: ?mc by history on the grez:t tory our party has won after its 48 years of he.roic s:rug- gle, and is also the cr:nclu- sion made by history on the complete bankruptcy of .the "left" and right opportunism of Chen Tu-hsiu, Wang Ming and others, which did tre- mendous harm to the Chinese revolution. Only by understanding the history of the party is it pos- sible to understand how Chairman Mao has inherited, defended and developed Marxism-Leninism and un- derstand the 'greatness of Chairman Man, the greatness of Mao Tse-tuns thought and the correctness of Chair- 'man Mao's proletarian revo- lutionary line, Chairman Mao said in his speech: "We hope that the present congress will be a congress of unity and a con- gress of victory and that. after its conclusion, still greater victories will he won throughout the country." The delegates unanimously expressed, with dation that they are determined to re- spond to the great call of Chairman Mao. With full con- fidence they declared: Our party is unprecedentedly united after shatterin^t' the ea bourgeois hdquartershead- ed by Liu Shao-chi. 'Smoothly and in Unity' . Under the direct leadership of Chairman Mao, our con- gress has been going on very smoothly u and in great nity i and it s very fine: it is bound to be a congress of unity, a congress of victory and a congress of pledge for seizing still greater victories throughout the country. ? All the delegates conscien- tiously discussed again and again the political report made by vice chairman Lin Pao, paragraph by paragraph ? and sentence by sentence. The delegates held that this report hohls high the great red banner of Marxism- Le-'-'sm, Mao Tse-tugs thought, expounds profound- ly Chairman Mao's theory of continuing the revolution under the dictatorship of the proletariat, sums up systema- tically the experience of the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution of our country, analyzes the situation at home and abroad ar,d sets forth the fighting tasks here- after for the whole party, the whole army and the whole' nation. It is a great program guid- ing posts said that Comrade tion and Socialist construc- tion. The delegates who have come from different fight- ing posts said that Comrade Lin Piao's report has sum- marized all that they want to say and that the more they read it the happier they feel. The more they read it the more it warms their hearts. The delegates have made many good proposals for ad- ditions to and revisions of the report. All the delegates conscien- tiously discussed the revised draft constitution of the Corn- munnst party of China, chap- ter by chapter and article by article. 'A Vivid Manifestation' The delegates held that the revised draft was jointly Worked out by the whole party and the revolutionary masses throughout the coun- try?it is the product of the integration of the great leader Chairman Mao's wise leadership with the broad masses and it is a vivid man- ifestation of ?the party's dem- ocratic centralism and the party's mass line. The delegates pointed out that the draft constitution of the party has clearly reaf- firmed Marxism - Leninism, Mao Tse-tung's thought, as the theoretical basis of the party's guiding thinking and clearly stipulated that Com- rade Lin Pao is the succes- sor of Chairman Mao?this is a great Victory of the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolu- tion, a great victory of Marx- ism-Leninism, Mao Tse-tung's thought. In accordance with the pro- visions of the new party Con- stitution, our party will surely be built to become still greater, still more glo- rious and still more correct. Slogans Are Shouted At the plenary session in ?April 14, the great leader chairman Mao made an ex- temely important and inspir- ing speech. Comrade Lin Pao made an important speech. Comrades Chou En-lai, Chen Po-ta, Kang Sheng, liguang Yung - shcng, Wang Hung- wen, Chen Yung-kuei, Sun Yu-kno Weii Feng-ying and Chi Teng-kuei also spoke. They expressed their unan- imous support for the ex- tremely important speech made by the great leader Chairman Mao. for the politi- cal report made by Comrade Lin Piao and for the draft constitution of the Commu- nist party of China. '? Their speeches were punc- tuated by warm applause and shouting of slogans through- out the hall. After adopting Vice Chairman Lin Piao's po- litical report and the Constk tution of the Communist party of China, the congress decided to entrust the secre- tariat of the presidium of the congress with the publication of the two documents after making modifications in wording. Seated in the front row of the rostrum today were Chou En-lai, Chen Po-ta, Kang Sheng, Chiang Ching, Chang Chun-chiao, Yao Wen-yuan, Hsieh Fu-chih, Huang Yung- Sheng? Wu Fa-hsien, Yeh Chun. Wang Tung-hsing and Wen Yu-cheng. Also there were: Tung Pi- wu, Liu Po-cheng, Chu Tch, Chen Yun, Li Fu-chun, Chen Y. Li . Hsien-Nien. Hsu Hsiang-chien, Nieh Jung-then and Yeh Chien-ying. Since the opening of the ninth national congress of the Communist party of China, the whole nation has been in jubilation. Hundreds of mil- lions of revolutionary masses of all nationalities held grand parades and meetings to celebrate the convening of the congress. This is what was never witnessed before by the previous congresses of the Communist party of China. A new high tide in the mass movement of the live study and application of Nlao Te-Lung's thought and a new high tide of grasping revolu- tion and promoting produc- tion and other work and pre- paredness against war are rising. ? Messages From Albania Since the opening of the ninth national congress of the Communist party of China. it has received 1,977 messages and letters of greet- ings from the Central Com.' mittee of the Albanian Party of Labor, many other frater- nal Marxist- Leninist parties and organizations. from many friendly countries, for- eign progressive organiza- tions and friendly groups and personages. They extend warm con- gratulations to the present congress of our party. The ninth national congress of the Communist party of China expresses heartfelt thanks to them for their greetings and support. Starting from April 15, the ninth national congress of the Communist party of China takes up the third item on the agenda: to elect the Cert. tral Committee of the party. All the delegates will con tinue to hold group discus- sions, in the light of the actual conditions of their localities, fields of work and their units on further im- plementing all the fighting tasks set forth by the con- gress. 23 April 1969 PYRGHT innish0 ? 1211121.1111S LS A.sszime Independent Line By DAVID BINDER tO The Not York TImes SIT:I_SINKT Finland. April 20 ?The Finnish Communist par- ty's leadership appears to have fought itself free of Soviet domination for the first time in the 50 years of its existence un. M. a..el h13 tcam ti,c., ,,c.. IS of young liberal Communists, tral Committee. tending the congress, Arvid including his deputy, Eriski Mr. Saarincn's reform major- Pelshe, indicated that his party CPYRGHT 5,11 nIn nnuy rmnr.11 It Iv h-trtr etc! hy the* Crivint dirt not intrnci trk interforr in secretary. Arvo Aalto. won a Communist party before, dur-1 the Finnish party's affairs and re5ounding victory over a pow- erful faction of Stalinists at the party's 15th congress over the Easter weekend. ing and atter the Finnish party, mat Moscow prized me unity cor.r,ress even though he has of the Finnish party above all been critical of the Soviet in-; else. At a Soviet Embassy re- vasion of Czechoslovakia and ception after the con^ress he Voted downon key issues, of Moscow's attempts to re- assailed the Stalinist faction of its chairm ParrlaVtf t inen. leaving, Me reformers to elect movement der the dynamlAreform policies cieFt I e t 1 ? " est 's . . - f the . . Stalinist omsition members iAgOliat42tHetaffritiftliti9AAthigasfetolitirtiters." VC Prid to r, rrrnin to tahich a risial party. nut, it k re;'orted, they has.e neither financial nor political support from the Soviet Union, In a recent interview, Mr. Saarinen and Mr. Aalto sug- gested that Moscow's tolerance for the Finnish Communist dis- 'sidence was a result of a So- viet need not only for making peace with as many of the world's Communist parties as possible but also for Maintain- ing cooperation with Finland. Most Finns, including Com- munists, believe it is an axiom of Soviet foreign policy to cul- tivate normal relations with Finland and to keep her out of the tensions besetting cen- tral Europe. A further peculiarity of the Finnish Communist party is that it is the only one in Western Europe that is repre- sented in a national govern- ment. Under Mr. Saarinen's guidance, it has committed it-, self to responsible participation both in the five-party coalition Government headed by Social Democrats, and in Parliament where it holds 41 of the 2()B - c to , t,c Fin Democratic League. Rejecting old slogans of "dictatorship of the proletari- at," Mr. Saarinen has cam- paigned for "peace, democracy and socialism. Elected in 1966 He has consistently fought for this approach since he was elected chairman in January,' 1966, replacing Aimo Aaltonen, an old-time Stalinist. The chairman and Mr. Aalto concede that the walkout of the Stalinists may cost the par- ty some voter strength in next year's parliamentary elections, but they are hoping that the general trend in Finnish politi- cal thinking is leftward and that, as liberal Communists, they may one day be strong enough to form a government coalition alone with the Social Democrats. The Social Democrats, under Premier Maunio Koivisto, are the strongest single party in Finland, with 55 seats in Par. 'lament. The Saarinen leadership's new freedom ..of maneuver is, `11111 I I Pp I (sum 1),):.?itio1;s power in the Politburo and the Central Committee. It is evident especially in the chairman's critical stance to- ward certain elements of Soviet policy, for example, his move to send a delegate to the Yugo- slav Communist party congress last month, even after Moscow ordered the Soviet-bloc parties to boycott the Yugoslays. Ironically, the Finnish clele: gate to Belgrade was Mrs. Hertta Kuusinen, the grand old lady of the party who is the daughter of the late Otto Kuusinen, a Bolshevik who was prominent in both the Finnish and Soviet parties. Mrs. Kuusi-, nen, 65 years old, was former- ly a Stalinist and is now a member of the Saarinen reform majority and of the new 12. member Politburo. The only other member of the Politburo previously iden- tified with the orthodox group is the fornler general secretary, Ville Pessi, and he, like Mrs. Kuusinen, has pledged loyalty to Mr. Saarinen and his reform program. Helsingin Sanomat, Helsinki 10 April 1969 CPSU SHARP WITH STALINISTS Splitting The FCP Irresponsible He who embarks on splitting the Finnish Communist friend of the CPSU and .has no sense of responsibility. member of the CPSU Politburo, extended these greetings present leaders of the Finnish Communist Party (FCP). procedure the present political committee, (Politburo) one were summoned to the Soviet Embassy. CPYRGHT -9 ? Party is not a Arvid Pelshe, a to the former and In In an exceptional as well as the former Taisto Sinisalo and Markus Kainulainen, who are former members of the political committee and belong to the FCP opposition, were at the dinner. Reportedly they listened solemnly as Pelshe read his carefully prepared speech many pages long. Aarne Saarinen, chairman of the FCP, Erkki Salomaa, vice-chairman, and Arvo Aalto, Secretary General, also attended the dinner hosted by Ambassador A.E. Kovalev on Tuesday evening, 8 April. The tone of the speech by Pelshe, the leader of the CPSU delegation attending the FCP congress, was said to be.that those who walked out of the congress should return without delay to the mother party. It is said that the feelings of the Stalinist have already calmed down AM:319i4Y Rif ffas 694/69/62*C0941301 9%1101 wideosbcppiftiolig taken 5 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 and the foundin: of a new party is not considered very probable. Possibly Arvid l'elshe's messa-Le had some influence on this. The preparatory'committee of the FCP opposition camp is supposed to meet in a fQw days. The arrangement:for the meeting have hit a snag: "A sufficiently large hall has not been found available in Helsinki," our paper was told. Arvo Aalto, the new Secretary General of the FCP, is optimistic about the possibilities for a reconciliation: "Very likely these problems can be resolved. The desire for reconciliation is in the wind more than during the congress and it creates a favorable atmosphere," Aalto stated. The 15th congress of the FCP was concluded on Easter with sharp differences between the two Communist camps. The Stalinist minority which walked out of the Culture House on Saturday held its own meeting in Koitto. At the conclusion of the Koitto meeting, it was reported that a country-wide Communist meeting would be held on 26-27 April. The intention at that meeting is to consider the founding of a new Communist Party. The regular congress placed Communists supporting the party line into FCP leadership positions; not even one Stalinist visibly participating in the opposition activity was elected to the FCPis leadership bodies. KAN'SAN UTISET, Helsinki 11 April 1969 CPU CONCERNED ABOUT THREAT TO SPLIT FCP ^ ,"The necessity to achieve unity in the FCP was strongly emphasized in the discussions which were held with the representatives of the CPSU already in Moscow and later during the congress. Similarly it was made clear that the difficulties arising from a party split would not concern internal policies only, but the situation would also lead to foreiEn policy problem," stated Aarne Saarinen, chairman of the FCP, on Thursday L.10 April/ when he presented an evaluation of the events of the congress to the SOL executive committee. "The CPSU delegation presented the view at the congress and in discussions during the congress that the minority group should return from the Koitto hall to the congress," said Saarinen. Chairman Saarinen stated that, "Arvid Pelshe, the leader of the CPSU delegation, dealt with the situation on Tuesday at the dinner at the Soviet Embassy, which was attended by the former and present members of FCP political comittee. At that time, Pelshe repeated in his speech that the line of the FCP has been correct and this also holds true for the party's new program in principle, the immediate objectives, and the decisions for collaboration in the government. Similarly he stated in speech that there were no obvious reasons for splitting the party. Administrative measures do not resolve differences since they would continue despite everything." Approved For Release 1999/09/02 6CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 2aarinen stated in his report that under no circumstances would it be possible to continue in the same way as before. Disciplinary actions are the extreme means' when everything else has been tried. Saarinen mentioned that the ndw Central Committee would meet after the Finnish People's Democratic League (SYZL) council meeting. The League council would meet 19-20 April. HELSINGIN SAMMAT, Helsinki 10 April 1969 CPYRGHT Mzip jyr51 kkana stalinisteille: Sip :n jLcanainen. edesvastuu.tont Sc, joka ryhtyy hajottamaan Skpaa, ei ole Nkp:n ystiivU cikii tunnc vastuu- ta. Niirnii terveiset csitti Neuvostoliiton kommunistisen puolueen (Nkp) polit- byron jasen Arvid PcIshe Suomen kommunistisen puoluccn (Slip) entisil- lc ja nykyisillc johtajille. Neuvostoliiton suurlahetystoon oh i poikkeuksellises- ti kutsuttu Skp:n nykyiscn poliittisen, toimikunnan lisiiksi royos cntinen. Enti,scn poliittisen totmi. scurannecn Nkp:n valtuus- kunnan jasenina oli.vat pal. kunnan johtajan Pelshen pu- valilisp6ydiissa myr.s Skp:n }leen savyn sanotti;in oliccn opposition lolvtorYhmiKin se, ctta cdustajakokou;ksesta kuuluvat Taisito Sinisa to poisqunciden on viipymattii jaMarkusKainuleincn. palattava emapuoluceseen. licid5p kerrottiitt istunecn; Stalinistileirin ?tuntcidea totisi;na Pelshon lulcicsia '. . J.Ce rrataan jo viilentyncco huolel;lisesti ralmistettua.; odushajakokoutcsen jalkcen. useita liuskoja pit kaii puthot. ; Kiihkeimpi kannanottola taan.` kadutaan ja uuden puolucca :a pubcenickttaia Aar. perustamista pkIct fii n,.va rsio TE Sac' ri.n en, varapu. epatodennakoisena. Tamil ; hccnjohtaia Erkki S a lo.1 !knee Arvid Pc1;shen tcrvei- paa rna-a ja s;ihtcer; . Arvo , rAil.la ()mut v-aikutusta. A 41.1 t o olivat mYiis? Pisa Skp:n oppositiolcirin ko- stturtahettiliis A. E. Kovale. kousta vcolimistcicv.an rtoim.s. vitt iiistai-il;tana latioarnalla pli kunnan on mai?ra koktu oonn vall,lisella. . ipiivina. Kokou.ksen jar. _ Skp rn ? edipst ejakokou?sts : tuuritalosta lauantatina pots. jestcky joutu,nut vastatuu. ken: 9104.;.ngi9ca e; ole ;ay. tunut stalinistineh vahcm. misto omaa kokoustuan tynyt suurta' va. paata kerrotan {ch. Ke4.1?5,5.3. dellernme. Koiton kokouksen pt. tccksi ihuoitettiin, cttii 26.? Kornmunistipuolucen utrsi 27. huhtikuuta pidetaan ko. piiasihtceri Arvo Awito on optimstincn sovntion ko maata kasktava komm.up ii nisticn kokous. on tar. do!lisuuksista: "On hyvin todcnnkiista, koitus hark ita widen ko. i nama on. goimai sclvitetaan. Sovn. munistiscn puolucen porvs. t i nonhalua on 1.1massa enern. "rnIsql* man kun clu k Vans in a ;nen c d ustn j alto. isstalakokotlk. 0.1k9 michitti Skp :n johto. 'sen aiacena ja se luo tui.' parkat puolucon linjaa kan. s?an sanol. mattancilla kommunistcilla; Skp :a 15. clustajakokous ynakyviisli opposi. ,paatty.1 paasiaisensi mo:ern. .-ClOt.oimintaan osallistutvut pi jyrk. ci issyg Skp joh roe! i mi 141? ki i?n e Xut1.11. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : Ca-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 CPYRGHT LQ3 L.1-J,IL7DC.ysG --SSE\jP8n n el: re4= 174.7* rl a [7\ 1111 ?2 LI 2E3 VtirnitUmyys saaaa aikaan yhteniiisyys Suoinen lionmunistisessa puolueessa korostui voimakkaasti niis- s:i kcskusteluissa, joita NNP:n edustajien kans- sa jo Moskovassa ja hernmin edustajakokouksen aikana. Sarnoin todettiin, ettii puolueen hajotuksesta koituvat vaikeudet eiviit jiiisi vain sislipoliittisilisi, vaan tilanne jobtaisi niy?s ulicopoliittisiin ongelrniin, mainitsi SKP:n puheenjoh- taja. Aarne Saarinen esitt5- essilLin torstaina arvion cdustajakokoustapahturnis- ta SKDL:n tyiivaliokunnal- le. Kokouksessa ja sen aika- na kiiydvissii keskusteluis- sa NKP:n ? valtuuskunta csitti kantanaan, etta, hemmist5uhmiin tulisi pa- lata Koiton salista mukaan edustajakokoukseen, sanoi Saarinen. Puh e njohtaja Saarinen totest, ettii NKP:n valtuuskunnan johtft- ja Arvid Pelshc koskettell than- netta myos puheessann tlistalna Neuvostolliton Uik ?ses suurift- hetystbssil jiirjestetyillit pitiviillLsil- la, joule osallistuivat SKP:n po- llItttsen toimlkunnan nykylset ja entLsct jiisenet. Tindln Peishe tolft- tl puheesAatm. ettii SKP:n johdon Haja on ollut oikea ja krv,,kee myos puolueen uutta pert- nateohjelruaa. lahlftjan tavolteoh- jelmaft ja piititokstiL hallitusyhtels- tyostii. Samotn hiLn linalsL pu-. heessaan. ettel ole nithtftvir4L syl- t puolueen hajottruntseen. Erimlo- lisyyksia cIvt ratkalse liallinnol- ilset toimet, Itecla ne jatkuL5ivat ftaikesta huolimatta. Saarinen totest selostukzessitan, etta, LiihanastLseen taparin el Vol. da jatkaa missliAn tapauksesz.a. Kurinpidolliset toimet ovat keinoja, kun Jo katklci muut on kitytetty. Saftrinen inalnits1 et- tft uusl keskuskomitca kokoontuu SKDL:n hatoneuvoston kokouk- sen jiilkeen. Llittoneuvoston kokous pldetalin 10-20. huhtikuuto. ? ? Approved For Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 8 CPYRGHTw Apporrs orWease 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-VYRGHT Soviet Assails Views of Italian Communist Party .fteeeeinax.acirtetriae. MOSCOW, April 131?Pravda, Lew, in its retenE ?circler eravda licensed Mr. Soffa Of clashes with Communist China, having demanded a new defini- the communist party new 4aa e{ Eke term -sprefeta,a. per,. today sharply criticized the views of the Italian Corn- munist. party on one of the principal issues that divide the world Communist movement. The criticism came in the form of a reply to an article printed last Wednesday In L'Unita. the Italian party daily. iThe article had ouestioned the AoViet contentien,? that,M?It L'UNITA, Rome 9 April 1969 CPYRGHT .1G 1.11011 .5 T1111 Czechoslovakia last August, was representing the interests of the world Communist move- ment. The article in L'Unita was written by Giuseppe Boffa. who usually presents the views of his party's leaders, particu- larly on relations between Italy's Communists and Com- munist countries. - internatidnalism." Soviet use of the term to mean that it is the duty of the world's Communist parties to follow the Soviet lead in international relations. aloecow defended the inva- sion of Czechoslovakia on the ground that communism had been endangered In Prague. Similarly. Moscow holds that in its military clashes with China on its eastern border. it . . "China Weighs Heavily, One Feels It" by Guiseppe Boffa defends not only its own terri- tory but also the cause of oro-' Ichaiwo 4a4crriatiena/13n Observers believe that Mos- cow's decision to publicize its differences with leaders of the lItalian party?the largest out- side the CommunfSt camp?ine dicates the depth of their dif- ferences as the June 5 confer- ence, of all Communist parties draws near. Until now. Moscow has made no public comment On the di' vergendes. . Moscow, April --Throughout these recent weeks Soviet public opinion has been , anxiously eyeing tne country's eastern zrontiers where trio long border with China lies. ? It is a genuine concern. Any observer comes to realize it within a few hours. A few signs of nervousness in the streets--and I have seen more such signs that at any. ' time in the past--suffice to reveal this concern at the beginning of March when. for the first time, it was learned that blood had been shed. Whereas no one among the ft:, better informed circles believes that graver dangers are imminent, among the "man ea in the street" there are those who fear the worst. bn i!ea But let us clarify some points. Peking's claims over vast areas of Soviet territory are absolutely unjustified. There is little that is socialist in any territorial Jczei claim. This is particularly true when the territories in question are not inhabited ca, by people of the claimant nation. And this is the case in the territories of the ? nail Soviet Far East, weare there are in effect no Chinese and practically have never beenLI, any. The arguments of the unequal treaties, according to which those borders were ,.);.r fixed, is not convincing. On this basis one cottld, in fact, demand the revision of almost all frontiers in the world. Anyway, the Chinese themselves became aware that a.. these treaties were unequal only in 1963 when they came into open conflict with the Soviets. Nor is there any validity in that other argument (which, in truth, even the ?/ Chinese themselves do not seem to use), according to which Chinese territory is too small for such a large population as that of the CPR. Quite apart from resembling , te other such dangerous theories, the fact is that there are in China enormous underpopui. lated areas where man's creative energy could be well applied. True, these areas ;14 are not all hospitable. But the same applies to the entire Asiatic area of the Soviet Union where the Soviets have invested colossal efforts and worked extremely hard to , - transform those lands in the past 50 years. Despite these points in their favor, the Soviets have noticed with some embarrassment , how during this very spring their position vis-a-vis the Chinese has become weaker, and particularly so from the viewpoint of the sympathy which international. progressive ) opinion could have aroused for the Soviets. Why? Primarily because of the shock e; caused by the fact, in itself very grave, that such a conflict should have occurred between two large socialist countries which have both effected great revolutions of , a socialist nature. But there are also more detailed reasons. 4 , What has struck this time has been the Soviet difficulty in finding a socialist ,and positive reply to the Chinese claims. Let me explain. In 1963 Khrushchev was also faced with similar claims. Although some of his most serious errors were committed in the field of relations with China. Khruahchev knew then how to give a constructive' answ,rikl4PrPaYoghfctrReleasectOWNiaa:04k.milan -01f9U01306K15t01 day all frontiers would disappear, that this was the communists' objective; u e r also added that this could not be achieved by starting with an arbitrary shifting of, existing frontiers, because this would open the way for a worldwide process which could culminate only in a general war. On this basis he then proceeded to propose negotiations which were at that time blocked by the prejudiced manner in which, the Chinese asked that the existing treaties should be declared invalid--at least preliminarily and in principle. ToLL, time, however even before reac.hing the stage of a constructive offer to negotiate, boviet propaganda has eontlned itself to getting excited about the theme, of the "inviolable nature" of the "fatherland's sacred borders." This is certainly not the way to make an impression on leftwing opinion in the world, which is justly concerned about the very hypothesis of a possible Sino-Soviet conflict. To this have been added some absolutely deplorable voices such as that of the Soviet Journalist who, addressing himself to the political forces of the West, went So far as to suggest in the Paris LE MONDE that the USSR is not defending only its own borders in the Far East. Irresponsible voice? Could be. However, it also indicate* a certain climate and a certain mentality which is not that or one individual alon0f Let it be said that the support given to the Soviet positions in the ideologival and political dispute with China by a large section of progressive world opinion, and by the communist movement in particular, has never been, nor could it have ever, been support for the USSR as such and against China as such. And in my opinion, the reason it could not have been so has been explained excellently in a recent article by Comrade Carrillo, Spanish Communist Party secretary, who explained that :the "unconditional defense of the USSR" was valid for the communist movement only when the Soviets were isolated and encircled by hostile countries. "Today," he added, "there are 13 socialist countries. When one of them--and it does not mattor :which one it is--finds itself in conflict with the imperialist camp, there are no :problems and there can be no doubt as to the choice that must be made. But when ;there is a conflict, of whatever nature, between socialist countries, the question As no longer as clear and as simple. The old conditioned reflexes of the time )(bon :the Soviet Union was the only socialist country are no longer enough." What,, then, was the nature of the support given by so many parties (including the 'Spanish and Italian ones, among others) to the Soviet communists in their polemic with Peking? It was support primarily for a definite political line. To be quite 'clear about it, we could say briefly that it was support for the political line of the 20th CPSU Congress. IV would be just as well, however, to recall some of the ,main points of that political line, points which were defended in the Peking polemic. They included, and still do, peaceful coexistence, understood not as a simple rejection of atomic war but as a struggle for a new system of international relations d system particularly based on the peaceful resolving of controversies, noninterferen and respect for the sovereignty of others. They also included a confirmation of the 'need for socialist democracy and its continuous development; seen in this light, it included a criticism of Stalinism, its methods, and its consequences. They included d new concept of relations between parties, a concept which was to do away with any residual idea of a leading center and would thus make room for the autonomy of every party in choosing its own path to socialism and its own model of .ocialism. That is what we Italian communists have been struggling for, and still are, in the international communist movement, and it seems to us that this is the path that must be followed, also in order to avoid the degeneration of disputes between socialist countries. And precisely because these were the stakes, our polemic with the Chinese was also accompanied, as things developed, by criticism of what seemed to go against such a direction in the Soviet Union itself, a direction which was opened by the 20th CPSU Congress and for whose development we have always wished. But the real crisis of thL direction happened in August 1969 an a result of the intervention in Czechoslovakia. It suffices to read again what was written in'Mosoow and in other countries to justiry Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP19-01194A000500110001-9 CPYRGI-11- -9 t . :el 2 CPYRGI-IT tA04.FV;140-0iit4E4RIPIPOJW lAiP4RAP4WitgatANARPAili1WWW1;1114)91t1AV - events have shown) to see that what was at stake were exactly those three points ' . . the policy set forth by the 20th congress; that same_solieit-in-whose.4name.t.he "Polemin..with-Chinese-pbsit16firvins conducted, that is, with positions which were explicitly in contradiction to that policy. The entire Soviet position with regarctz'," to China could only emerge seriously weakened. These questions are not openly discussed in the USSR, either in the press or at ' party meetings. -Nevertheless, they are talked about, although in more restricted circles. myself have talked about such questions in Moscow. Ido not know--; becausejt is rather difficult to measure--to what extent there is an awareness:0 the dilemmas which are,fdoing Soviet Policy so dramatically. ;What Ijlave been able to ascertain is the bewildered feeling, at various levels, that, grave dilemmas do'H exist I think that the knowledge ofthe,faotthat,..facing the conflictsbetween isooialist'stateshickhave all the characteristics-af,COnflicts'betiften:statesfit would serve'Puhlic.-0Pinion of the left-in:the-world nothing t0 simply take a poSiti* for one side and against the other,,thatthisfaet could'ile1R.bringtheseAilemme-..te flulturityt4a'.frir.betterto make-an.effort:to,diacover::thecausesi,s0-,ad.to:' penetrate the contradictions, both theoretical and political1 uhiah are concealed behind * 'c` L'UNITA , Rome 9 April 1969 SI registra ore, rispetto alla crisl de11963, untevidente?difficolta a trovare una risposta positive, socialista, elle grPui rivendicazionl duet e questa difficolta si riflette anche su scale internazionele - Fatto 6, come ha dello' Sirmago Carrillo, the cc I vecchi rlflessi condizionati del tempo in cui l'URSS era l'unico paese soclalista non bastano pi b Yht e che lappeggia aflajolemica ideate con to posizioni di Pechino ?tate innanzitutto,'nel .:movimento comunista, appoggio alla lima politica elaborate dal XX Congresso Dal nostro inviato MOSCA sprite. "5-In tulle questa ultimo settimane l'opinione pubblica sovietica, dalla pitt amorfa alla pi6 artieolata,.ha guar- dato con ansiosa preoccupazione alio frontiere orientali (lel paese, l?ove ?I lungo confine con la Cina. E' unit preoccupazione sincera. Qualsiasi osservatore pub rendersene. conic in poche ore, Bastano alcuni episodi di nervosismo per le strade e zte ho visti pill di quanti ne abbia visti in passata -- a rivelarlo. Per la prima volta, agli inizi di tnarzo, si 6 appresoshe ii sangue era stato versato. Se nei circoli pia informati non si crede all'imminenza di pericoli pitt gray!, fra uomo della strada ? cle invece chi teme ii peggio. A questo punto vanno precisate alcurte osservazioni. Le rivendicazioni Pechino avanza su vaste porzioni di territorio so- vietico sono assolutamente ingiuste. Qualsiasi rivcndicazione territoriale ha ben poco di socialista. In partico- larc. questo ?era quando richiedere la revisione di per una popolazione tanto ,negli ultimi cinquant anni si rivendicano territori the quasi tufte le frontiere del grand*. A parte le sorniglian. ;harm? investito energie co-' non sono abitati da gente del- mond?. Gil stessi eines!, del ze the cio avrebbe con al- lassali e durlssimo lavoro In propria nazione. E' quest? resto. si ?sono accorti the Ire pericolose teorie, vi sono per trasformarle. fl case dello term dell'Estre- quei trattati erano ineguali in mita in Cina cnorrol re- E'bbene, nonostante quest! mo orlentc sovietleo, dove solo domil 1963, quando sone giant poco popolate. 'cut pud punti a lora favore, 1 sovle- effdtivamente non vi ? sono entrati in aperto conflitto con benissimo applicarst l'ener- tic! hanno avvertito, ningarl rino31 c, in pratlea, non vi i sovietici. ? girt creatrioe delruomo. So- confusarnente/ che proprio Lona nu! stat-I. L'argomento MI pun Indere l'argomento no terra non scmpre ospita- In_questa prirnavera, In lore bi. del trat rwrebberotAt.hgowitt glisr Roka2?srehri 389/09102e: vevikyw.. F3 on 4Q044391A0 OW04 1 0 '1 aliaSonti del ftltir la' Vine asia Ica cinesi era ?ebolita. Era in- non sembrano usare) se- non 4 convincente. Ale atm- condo out II territorio eine. dell'llRS.5, costituita da ter- debolita aoprattutto per la ao?SUOde at potscbbo _ 1. Au IA ..&oviyu re i 1 pr.,pr.o I 5uvI,LlcI uspui,144 dos stet luny _ CPYRGHT CPYRGHT ' VAS H IN GTON POST matocyliatougur t.;olotxa.j 18 A pl4P1419:79ied For Release (119991B9102e:ALA-atinglegy -Retention Of Reforms -. Is Pledged. /- ??? i pie.' By Kenneth Ames specist to The Washington Post ' PlyiGUE, April 17?A1-: exander Dubcek, Czecnos1o.1 vakia's national political hero since January, 1968, today was forced to resign'# as First Secretary of the: ,Communist Party. Dubcok, 47, was removed. .from thb key Party post "at' this own request" in the course. ,of a plenum meeting of the Party 'Central Committee in' :Prague today. Elected in his, :place was another Slovak, Dr. ' Gustav Hausak, 56, until now .leader of the Slovakian Party. Dubeek was forced into a , tlosition where he virtually' had to resign after growing ' pressure from the Soviets and the conservative wing of the Party since the anti-Soviet demonstrations of March 28. The announcement of changes was made tonight in a television appearance -by Pres- ident Ludvik Svoboda and Dr. ,Husak at the end, of the firisi' day's meeting of the 190-mem- ber Central Committee. President Svoboda told a television audience: "We have been through many crises and' experienced many difficulties., Provocative actions in recent weeks have hindered our ef- forts of many months and damaged the efforls of the Party, particularly in our rela- tions with the Soviet Union."' Svoboda added: "The Cen- tral ;Committee is seeking ways out of the complicated situation. Comrade Dubcek ;has asked to be relieved of his post. The name of Dubcek will rethain in our history. During the period of his work he has "Our present situation re- quires," President Svoboda continued, "an energetic First Secretary and Dr. Gustav Husak has been chosen. I know that Husak is an honest worker and ask for the trust of the people." [AP reported the white- haired, bespectacled Husak told the television audience: "I beg ?yru to keep calm and support he new leadership. We are 'rot going to give up anything of the great ideas which in the past year have come int( our public life." [But, i.e added, "it will be necessary to determine how, When an I in what order we can imp' ement those ideas." He also warned that "some people magine liberty is something without limits, but rules must be ob- served."] The election of Husak to the Op Party slot repre- sents a concession to pres- sures whth have been increas- ing from the Soviets and from the orthodox,. left-wing- Ale- ments of the Party. It is significant that only a few bouts earlier a statement was isst ed which virtually whitewa4ted 10 of these con- servative members who had been under suspicion of col- laborating with the Russians. Husak, until now leader of the Slov ik Party in Bratisa- lava, ha: recently earned the reputatio for being a Slovak national' ;t and chauvinist. The newest joke in Prague to- night is .hat Husak will now change from being 'a ' Slovak nationalist io being a' czechp;. slovak nationalist. ' It is generally' conceded among ' Czeehoslovaks that Dubcek was showing definite' signs of falling down on the job. He has from the begin- ning bdet an extremely popu- lar man but has never been mistaken- for a strong or wily1 politician. As some Czechs say, "He Is too' nice i guy for that. In fact 1 he is just too nice period." ' Husak has shown definite" I indications of knowing how to ' handle r egotiations with ther Russians, tral Committee met. Roads surrounding the Hradeany Castle above Prague were cor- doned off and traffic diverted. Police patrqlled the. sur- youndings and army trucks were kept in reserve to be used as road blocks against possible demonstrations. But a mere handful. of 40 oir.'50 per- sons stood outside the palace gates as members of the Com- mittee drove in. , Earlier ; it was announced, that ' security forces had' rounded up. several thousand people in the country, the first action of this kind to be an- nounced in many years, and had arrested persons sus- pected of being "anti-social and criminal" elements. . On television, Husak, a quiet, able speaker talking off the cuff, explained: "We be- lieve it essential to request you not to .cause a panic. For almost a year we have been trying to get out of .a difficult situation and to produce the; atmosphere for a calm life." . He added that one of the Central Committee resolutions was the election of a new Party Chairman and First Sec- retary. ' At the. ;same time, in re- sponse to Soviet pressure, the Party presidium has been re- duced from 21 to 11 members, With the exclusion of the lead- ing reformist Josef Smrkovsky and aumber of other liber- als.l Apart from Smrkovsky, the er inal quartet of reform- ers remains intact. Oldrich Cernik head of the Czechoslo- yak gqvernment, Svoboda and Dubcqk stay as members of the smaller party presidium. [A report carried by the Bul- garian news agency BTA, which could not be confirmed, said the new presidium's mem- bers would be: Husak, Cernik, Dubcek, Svoboda, union leader Karel Polacek, National Front chairman Evzen Erban, Slovak Premier Stefan Sadovsky, con- servative Czech Party Bureau head Lubomir Strougal, con- servative leader Vasil Bilak, former Interior Minister Jan Pillnr Anti Parlors'. Avaamhly ounced changes made this a turning point in the recent political history of Czechoslovakia. It was the mo- ment which many Czechs have been awaiting since the Au- gust invasion, to see if the two leading figures of the 1968 progressive policy would be! quietly dropped or shoved into the sidelines. The immediate Party prob- lem is now to make the new set-up palatable to the trade, unionst the intellectuals and the students?all of whom have recently been united in a front against erosion of, re- formist policy. Husak told the nation to- night in his first television ap- pearance as party leader, "Our main task is to lead the coun- try out of the crisis situation and return to a normal life, solving our problems with the Soviet Union." [Reuters reported that Prague was tense but out- wardly calm tonight after the announcement. City police, reinforced. by blue-uniformed provincial police and troops, appeared on the streets in in- creasing numbers.] A communique issued after the Central Committee meet- ing stated that Dubcek would be moving into "a high state function." It was assumed by officials that this meant chair- manship of the Federal As- sembly. ; Referring to the appoint- ment of Husak to succeed Dubcek, the communique said, "We are convinced that in his new function he will do all possible to avoid repeating the practices and injustices of the 50's." In a separate appeal to workers, the Party committee asked for maintenance of law and order 'and referred to "opposition elements which abused freedom." There has been "serious danger from rightist forces which would bring us into a power conflict. The develop- ments of the past weeks have made the situation unbear- able," it said in a clear refer: once to the rift which had developed in the Party leader. snip on we boviet occupation. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500116W53HT CPYRGHT T LIES 18 April 1969 'IDUBCEK IS GUSTED AS PRNIIE YIELDS' TO THE RUSSIANS' To Remain in Party's Ruling, dropped from the ruling par- ti body.1 Svoboda Announces Shift President Ludvik Svobodk rai- n( unced the decision of the Central Committee on tele- vision tonight and appealc..d to tt e public to remain calm. He & id that the 47-year-o1d Mr. Dubcek had "asked to be te- ll !ved of his post" and urged the public to give their support to Mr. Husak, whom General Presidium ? Husak Gets '` ,Svoboda described as `honest, Cf !experienced find farsighted.", _ First Secretary's Post ' "The name of Comrade Dub- cek," the 73-year-old President ? SUCCESSOR URGES CALD:( "Id' "will be premanently litked In all our minds with th ceded Antonin Novotny, the Stalinist leader who had ruled or 11 years. ' The Central Committee, still osssion, also voted to estab- ish a new ruling Presidium,' )ut :he names of its members werc not disclosed immediately. Mr. Husak, appearing on tele- visien after President Svoboda, said the new leadership was into ided to end disunity in the Preddium. M. Husak was the second Slovak to assume leadership Of this binational country since the Communists seized powei In Czechoslovakia in 1948. Me. Dubcek, too, was First Secre- tary of the Slovak party. from 1961 to January, 1968, before bee( ming the leader of all of Cze:hoslovakia. ni post-January policy of the ? Communist party of Czecho- ? He Premises to Work foe, rdovakia." ? Liberalization as Soon as This is this policy of liberal ... reform initiated in January, Present Crisis Ends 1968 when Mr. Dubcek suc- By ALVIN SHUSTER Special to Thir New York Ilmet PRAGUE, April 17?Alexan4 der Dubcek, who led Czech?, sloyakia's efforts for liberaliza- tion under communism, fell from power tonight. The Communist party's Cen- tral Committee, yielding to Soviet pressure, named Gustay. Husak, the 56-year-old leader of the Slovak party, to succeed' Mr. Dubcek as First Secretary, of the national Czechoslovak, party. Mr. Husak, who was arrested in 1951 in a Stalinist purge and spent nine years in prison, said that Mr. Dubcek would remain in a "high responsible position.'!: Mr. Dubcek pledged himself to: work for liberalization once - the country emerged from thq P .esident Svoboda and Mr. crisis set In motion by the' Husak took note of the possi- Soviet-led invasion last August.; biaglaibinesst the deppuabrlituc ;.e por mstrs. ' [The Bulgarian press agen-s: Du t cek, who had become a cy said Mr. Dubcek would 4. popular Coinmunist leader. Des' remain a member of the par- t pite Mr. Dubcek's efforts to ty's new ruling 11-member bad with the demands from Presidium and Josef Smrkov-! Ma cow after the August In- vas;. on, he remained at the top sky, deputy chairman 'of. the' of he popularity polls. .National Assembly, would be t4i13 was a cad- dened country as the two lead- ers went on television to an- nounce what citizens had be- gun to fear would happen, first after the invasion and then aft- er the anti-Soviet riots that erupted following a Czechoslo- vak ice-hockey victory over the Russians last month. "Keep calm," Mr. Husak said. "Preserve peace. Support this course. We expect the Wide participation of the masses, of every citizen in creating our policy, in its realization and its control. "We are not giving up on any fundamental principles of our post-January policy. But we, have to know what to do andl when." It remained to be seen whether strikes and demonstra-! bons would be called by stu- dents, intellectual groups and, reform-minded traded unions.1 Tonight in Wenceslas Square, a small crowd of about 100 had gathered at the statute at St. Wenceslas, the informal memo- rial to those who died during the invasion. Police cars were patrolling the square. In appealing for support, President Svoboda noted that the current crisis had resulted from extremists "who caused great damage to our country in the anti-Soviet rioting last month. Declaring that "we have had only a few hopeful and pleasant days," he urged the "majority of honorable journalists, rep- resentatives of culture and sci- ence, the intelligensia and trade unions and youth" to "have nothing in common" with what he -Allr.d the extremlst forces. The bespectacled Mr. Husalt put the appeal with more blunt- ness. "Some people think that free- dom has no limits, no restric- tions," he declared, and I 'would say that they would want some elements of anarchy in it. But in every orderly statel there must be some rules of play. Laws must be kept. So- cial, party and civil disciplinel observed. And ther must be! stress on honest work." Once the country is out of the crisis, he said, the party will move to carry out such liberal demands as another party congress and elections to: the National Assembly. WWI U1e .en.menta. Mr-I Husak was apparently trying! to strengthen' his position wit1. the reform-minded groups, which have been supporting Mr. Dubcck in his efforts to transform Czechoslovakia in- to a liberal Communist state. Though considered a friend. of the liberals at the height of the reform movement, Mr. Him- ak is now generally regarded as more likely than Mr. Dubcek to compromise with Moscow an dcontinue with the restraints, imposed under Soviet pressure after last month's violence. ? Liberals first turned cool to Mr...11usalt, shortly ?after the in- vasion because he joined with conservatives in declaring il- legal the esults of the 14th party congress held secretly during the invasion to chose a liberal-minded Presidium. An articulate, 'lifelong Com- munist, Mr. Husak has risen to power rapidly. He became one of four deputy Premiers under Premier Oldrich Cernik during last year's liberalization and, after the August invasion, took over as Slovak party leder Vol the Vasil Bilak, who had been out of favor for his support of Moscow. Until after the invasion, Mr. Husak was not even a member of the National Central Commit- tee that elected him today as First Secretary. In recent months, he was regarded gen- erally as one of the ' three of- ficials who controlled levers of power. The two others ac Pre- mier Cernik and Lubomir Strou-1 gal, a leader of the party for the Czech? Republic of Czecho- slovakia. New Presidium Listed . SOFIA, April 17 (AP)?The. Bulgarian press agency said the, new 11 -member Presidium of; the Czechoslovak party was, made up of Gustav Husak, Oldrick Cernik, Alexander Dubcek, Exzen Erban, Stefan Sadovski, Ludvik Svoboda,; Lubbmir Strougal, Karel Pola- cek, Vasit Bilak, Jan Piller and; Peter Colotka. Mr. Polacek, liberal trade? union leader, and Mr. Colotka, liberal chairman of the Na-' tional Assembly, are new full, members of the Presidium. Among those dropped from the old 21-member Presidium were Josef Smikovsky, deputy chairman of the National Al' semblv. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 2 CPYRGHT AppromadicaorReteitse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A00050011006T-PGHT 18 April 1969 Czech ackd.4i ' n ai kip To Efforts of Grechko By Anatole Shub WitchIngton Post Foreign Service MOSCOW, April 18 (Fri- day)?With tne ceposiduir ef Alexander Dubcek in :Czechoslovakia the mar- shals of the Soviet army have manifested the great- est political power they have ever enjoyed in Corn% munist Russia. Marshal Andrei, Grechko, Union today is composed of cheslav Molotov and other Brezhnev, Grechko and Yak- foes. Zhukov was removed matters." The Soviet army has been on almost continuous ma- neuvers in Eastern Europe, for nearly a year, while the Soviet military budget. has increased some 25 per cent the 66-year-old Defense Min- made the situation unbear- ister. brought about in able," it said in a clear refer., Prague what the Soviet ence to the rift which had Communist Party Politburo developed in the Party leader.. Secretariat and a host of ship on the Soviet occupation. Party and government en- since 1967. Russia according voys high and low were luta- to London's Institute of hie to do at conferences in Strategic Studies, has pulled Dresden Moscow Karlovy. even even with the U.S. in the Vary Cierna Bratislava missile race, and new Soviet 'Prague Kiev and elsewhere rocket tests have been an- over the past year. , nounced for the Pacific next Grechko's ultimatum to month. Czechoslovak President Meanwhile, the Party Cen- Ludvik Svoboda last week tral Committee?theoreti- forced the rehabilitation of cally the country's leading discredited Czechoslovak So- force?has been meeting viet agents the ouster of less and less frequently, Dubcek and liberal hero with virtually none of its de- Josef Smrkovsky and the bates ever made public. admission that last spring's Since the invasion of Czech Czechoslovak renaissance oslovakia, the Central Com was a "counter-revolution.? mittee has met only once? Grechko thus completed the briefly, late last October, Os. political job that a half mil- tensibly to hear a report on lion Warsaw Pact soldiers, agriculture. (Preceding the commanded by his deputy meeting, there had been Marshal Ivan Yakubovsky 'widespread rumors of resig-? began with the invasion last August 20. nations in the Politburo.) Grechko came to Czecho- Another Central Commit' slovakia unaccompanied by tee meeting may take place, any leader or official of So., :next week, to ratify the viet Communist Party. He "Prague triumph," but there moved on to East Berlin to has been on confirmation so deal as an equal with Corn- far. Nor has a date yet been rnunist Party chiefs of occu- set for the 24th Party con- pied East Germany and Po- gress? land Walter Ulbricht and Ironically, the Soviet mar- Wladyslaw Gomulka. shal's Prague triumph today , Even before this week's came on the 75th birthday decisive "second round'' in of Nikita Khrushchev, the Prague, one of the highest man who first called in the leaders of the Yugoslav army to act as the final Communist Party was tell- arbiter of inter-Party con- ing visitors: "Do not overes- flict. In 1957, the support of timate the influence of such . Marshal Georgi Zhukov and politicians as Andrei Kiri- other army leaders enabled lanko, Pyotr Shelest or even Khrushchev to overthrow a Alexei Kosygin. The politi. 7-to-4 Politburo majority and cal summit in the Soviet oust Georgi Malenkov, Vya- IivL!y dLtewuLd,,u the' army's support cost Khrus- hchev dearly later on. In 1960, the military in- fluence committed Khru- shchev to a doctrine of sup- port for "wars of liberation" which helped doom pros- pects for the Paris Big Four summit conference even be- fore the ill-fated 13-2 inci- dent. A glowering Marshal Rodion Malinovsky, the new Defense Minister, accom- panied Khrushchev to Paris to be sure that the agile pre- mier did not strike a bar- gain with President Eisen- hower, whom Khrushchev publicly had proclaimed to be "a man of peace." In 1962 the military un- doubtedly helped plunge Khrushchev into his great- est gamble?the installation of offensive missiles in Cuba. Khrushchev was corn- Welled to use extraordinary means of personal diplo- macy to end the crisis by compromise with President Kennedy. ' The new regime moved swiftly to supply arms aid to North Vietnam?on which Khrushchev had turned his back?and to accelerate the arms race with the Vnited States-. The army entered last year's Czechoslovak CriSiS early. A group of leading Soviet marshals toured the, country in May, and soon after large Red Army units entered for "maneuvers," which did not end until the apparent political compro- mise reached in Clerna last July 31. The army returned in force, however, three weeks later. In 1964, the marshals re- mained neutral, at the very least, as Khrushchev was swiftly overthrown. He was replaced by. Brezhnev, ,who had never joined his pred- ecessor's unsuccessful cam- paign, to reduce the armed forces, curb the "metal eat- ore" tif the soviet Defense Ministry. or thin our. r Red Army occupation estab- lishment in East Germany and Eastern Env*. The new regime moved swiftly to supply arms aid to North Vietnam?on which Khrushchev had turned his back?and to accelerate the arms race with the United States. The role of the army and its intelligence services In bringing on the June, 1967, ; Mideast war remains to be clarified. ; In a key test of strength two years ago, the marshals prevented the selection of Dmitri Ustinov to become a "Sciviet McNamara" and chose Grechko as Defense Minister after Malinovsky's deatillsi Horically-minded Com- munists here- recalled how the late Joseph Stalin had defeated Leon Trotsky in the 1920s by stressing the danger of "Bonapartism," Trotsky, although a pro- fessional revolutionary and intellectual, had organized and led the Red Army to victory in the Russian civil war. Stalin and his allies had stressed Aire parallel with the French Revolution, when a conservative Direc- tory, or collective leader- ship, proved incapable of 'ruling and gave way to the victorious general of em- pire, Napoleon Bonaparte, who reconciled the remain- pig rhetoric of the revolu- tion with the restoration of large elements of the old autocratic regime. Mars bad analyzed these develients in great de- tail, nif until the last de- cade it, was a primary arti- cle of t'faith that the army be kept under firm Party control. Some non-Soviet Communists, however, com- pare the present Soviet lead; ership to the old French ? Directory. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 3 CPYRGHT . fr:nti poteva APiPrOyeti_F progrecsi!;ta internaziona- Perche? Innanzitutto, ry.,r h.scossa the qu? a ha ;WU- tC dal fatto, di tic-: gra- y che un simile con- I] Lb potes:ie prir;i fra due g'andi pac.fj, i tall Immo rran!ii oni di earats.tre sociHi. Mn vi sono anche raeioni ri? &costa nziate. Ci, che ha colpito questa %olta 6 stata In difficolth da t arte sovietica di trovare t na risposta positiva, alle rivendicazioni cine- I. spiego. Net 1963 lo tesso Kruseiov Si trovb.di I ronte ad analoghe richie- ,te. Egli, che pure oveva commeSso I suoi sbagli pii ,eri net rapporti con la seppe allora indicarc una -isposta costruttiva, capacc ii trovare pii larghi consen- si. In sostanza egli disse :he tuttc le frontiere un. giorno avrebbero dovuto spa- vire net mondo, che questo era l'obiettivo cut puntavano comunisti, ma che questo traguardo non poteva essere raggiunto conninciando a spo- stare arbitrariamente i con. tint esistenti, perche do avrebbc aperto tin process? mondiale che poteva culmi- nare solo in una guerra ge- neralizzata. Su questa base propose gih allora trattativc, che furono poi bloccate dal- la pregiudiziale con cut i ci- nest chiedevano di invaliclare. ? preliminarmente e &men? in linen di principio ? i trat- - tati csistenti. Questa volta, 'prima che si arrivasse all'offerta costrut- tiva di ncgoziati. In propa- ganda sovietica si 6 limitata ad esaltare II tema del a ea- ratter? inviolabile z dei sa- erl confini della patria *. Si. mill accent' non sono certo tali da toccare nal mondo un'opii,ione pubblica di sini- stra, che e giustamente co- sternata dalla sola ipotesi di Un nossibile conflitto cino-so- greteassai1990/09/021,1, glAnglaP7460-1194A000 qualche voce assolutamenle dep:orevole. come quella di un giornalista sovielico, II quale 6 arrivato a suggcrire a Parigi sul Monde, rivolgen- dosi afle forze politiche del- l'Occidente, che MISS di- f ende Estremp Oriente non solo le sue frontiere. Voce irresponsabile ? Pub darsi. Purtroppo essa 6 an- che indicativa di un certo clima e di una mentalita che non 6 quella di un solo individuo. Va detto che l'appoggio (into alle posizioni sovietiche net contrast? ideologic? c po- litico con la Cina da una gran parte clell'opinione pro- gressista nel mondo ? c, in particolare. del movimento comunista I? non 6 mai sta- to, ne poteva essere, un ap- neggio all'URSS in quanto tale contro In Cina. Perche non potesse esserlo 6 stato spiegato, a mio parere in modo eccellentc, in un suo recente scritto dal compagno segretario del Par- tit? comunista spagnolo, ii quale spiegava come la di- fesa incondizionata dell'U- nione Sovictica valesse per ii movimento comunista so- lo quando I sovietici erano isolati e accerchiati da pae- si ostili. c Oggi ? egli ag- giungeva ? ci sono tredici Stati socialisti. Quartdo uno di essi ? qualunque esso sia ? si trova in conflitto col cam pa imperialista. non ci sano problemi e to scelta non presenta dubbi. Ma quando il con flitto, di qual- siasi indole, sorge fra gli stessi Stati socialisti, la co- so non ?ia cosi semplice e chiarci. I vecchi riflessi condizionati del tempo in cut l'URSS era l'unico paese so- cialista non bastano pin. Che cosa 6 stato dunque l'appoggio che tanti partiti ? quello spagnolo come quel- no dato at comunisti sovieti- ei nella polemica con Pechi- no? Ebbene, e stato Innen- zitutto l'appoggio ad una de- terminate linea politica. Per intenderci. potremmo dire brevemente che ?tato l'ap- poggio alla politica del XX congresso. Ma sara bene ri- cordare sommariamente qua- ii crano i capisaldi di que- sta politica che venivano di- fesi nella discussione con Pcchino. Essi erano c sono in coesistenza pacilica, into- non come semplice rillu- to della guerra atomica, ma come lotta per un nuovo Si. sterna di rapporti internazio- nali, fondati principalmente sulla soluzione pacifica delle controversic, sulla non Inge- renza e sul rispetto della so- vranita altrui. Essi erano inoltre affermazione della necessita cli una democrazia socialista. di un suo continuo sviluppo e, in questa luce, la critica ale stalinismo, ai suoi metodi e elle sue con- seguenze. Infine, essl erano una nuova concezione del rapport( fra I parliti, che sopprimesse ogni residua idea di un centre dirigente, e facesse quindi posto alla autonomia di ogni partito nella suite della propria via al socialism? e del pro- prio modcllo di socialism?. Per questo ci siamo battu- ti e ci battiamo, net movi- mento internazionalc, noi co- munisti Reliant: tale ci sem- bra. tra l'altro, essere la via per evitare che anche I con- trasti Ira paesi socialisti pos- sano degenerare. Proprio perche tale era la posta in gioco, la nostra pa- lemica con i cincsi si 6 ac- compagnata via via anche con la critica di cie che nel- l'URSS ci sembrava e ci sembra andare contro quella direzione. aperta dal XX con- gress?, di cui abbiamo sem- pre auspicato l'approfondi- CPYRGHT no st 9 04109 ivail sia- quest! sAribdietro not 1 abbiamo detto. Ma la vera .risi di questo indiriz- zo 6 state determinate nel- l'agos.o scorso dall'interven- to in Cecoslovacchia. Basta rilegmre cio che si sent- to a \Iosca e in altri paesi per tatistificare quella tragi- ca d cisione (lc cui conse- guenzk, come gli avvenimen- ti pi recenti hanno dimo- stratc sono ben lungi dal- l'esse?.si attenuate) per ve- dere come fossero messi in gioco proprio quei tre capi- saldi della politica del XX congnesso, la stessa in no- me cilia quale si era condot- ta la polemica con le posi- zieni incsi, elle ad essa erano espliaitamente contrarie. Tut- ta to posizione sovictica an- che wi confronti della Ci- na n n poteva non risultarne seriaAente indebolita. Di questi tem' nell'URSS oggi non si discute aperta- ment ne mina stampa ne nelle riunioni di partito. Ep- pure Sc ne parla. magari in circo PlO ristretti. Io stes- so n ho discuss? a Moses. Non lo ? perche 6 ben dif- kik misurarlo ? fin dove Vi si consapevolezza dei di- lemrr che si pongono dram- matimmente alla politica so- victim. Quell? the io ho po- tuto 2ostatare 6 la confusa senstatione. a diversi dell'asistenza di dilemmi gra. vi. knit loro maturazione cred( possa contribuire la costal azione che per l'opinio- ne ratbblica di sinistra net monou a nulla servirebbe ? di fr'inte a conflitti fra Sta- ti che del conflitti Ira tall hanno tutte le ca. nate istiche -- premiere sem- plice lento posiziono per una parte contro l'altra. Meglio sforzhasi di scoprirne le cau- se per venire a capo delle contrkddizioni, teoriche e dietro di esse si clam Giuseppe Boffa Pravda 13 April 1969 "Darkening a Clear Day" by I. Ivanov CPYRGHT As usual the world press devotes extensive commentaries to bloody provocations by Maoists on the Ussuri River. These commentaries are of course different. The imperialist press is engaged in searching for something in favor of their masters. And why not "the old red flag is completely turn," exclaimed with malice a certain Karl Grobe in West GermanAVINAtir t, . . : s I= I 0 1-9 in the ure wiat11 II 0440iter MCMAS.Irk I 1! A i I 0 0 V 'di? ?otrumeinJtal00 4 , Ii.1111111 IlitIceYRGHT .01ThAWZMIECIffeRailga4ge19991049/020VCMADPgIVOil$9*1100105410117101504 II 1\14.10 P11 1111.11C It. .41 ' H says: i."we should think about the perspectives that this,Sovietmidwv m'Chinese'4apute-opensLfor the West. America's interests drian4it1i5" '"" And, Life calls ox theAUStoinake a "unilateral first, step" in establishing ' hHcopperatiOn with Mao. 'it is clear from this magazine article that 'the- "1 Illogic of class war is being revealed. nwrI I I( On the other hand, the press of the progressive forces, led by the icommunist press, is indignant about-the-treacherous activities of the Peking leaders. Those in Peking only butter the bread of. the enemies by resorting to armed provocations against a socialist state. The presb of socialist Countries, 'the press of communist parties in Pcapitalist countrieb, and-the press of young states that consider the Soviet ('Ilnionianciother sObialist countries their loyal friends angrily condemn the "gression OfvMaotb group., This is easy-to understand., ,Here it is also "YIJOSsible o,See thellogid ofclass struggle. II ? Itlid,much!morediffictlt, however,ito understand some journalists who seek to place themselves above the melee and to argue in general whether it is worthwhile supporting, the party that was attacked. There are not many of these, and they could, be ignored if among them were not included a contributor to the Italian communist paper, Comrade Giuseppe Boffa, who published an article on 9 April, under a strange, ostensibly neutral heading, ,"The' Chinese are Exerting Pressure, and It is Being Felt." Comrade Boffa admits that Peking's territorial pretensions are absolutely unjustified. Indeed, he also admits that any sort of territorial claim has little to do with socialism. Comrade Boffa immediately forgets this, however, and turns all his ardor against the CPSU. Yes, you understood perfectly. Comrade Boffa considers the present moment most suitable to darken the serene sky. You see, to begin with, immediately after the perfidious attack by the Maoists on our border guards, Soviet propaganda limited itself only to exalting the theme of the inviolability of the sacroSanc frontiers of the motherland. Such statements, writes Comrade Boffa with the tone of a mentor, certainly cannot receive the approval of leftwing world public opinion. Did you hear that? What do you expect, dear sir, that we should renounce the defense of our brothers? And do you believe that in that case, left- wing world opinion, in whose name you claim to speak with astonishing courage, would have understood us? We wish to be sincere. You know very well that progressive world opinion actually esteems and supports our people precisely because, while defending just positions in international relations, they also know how to defend their own borders Smd to deliver a crushing blow to any aggressor. In the second place, Comrade Boffa is indignant that a Soviet journalist in an article released by NOVOSTI and printed in the Parisian paper Le Monde Observed that the Soviet Union is not defending: merely Soviet borders in the Far East.' "What is this?" He exclaims, "An irresponsible statement?" Actually, it is Comrade Boffa's statement that is irresponsible. He should not forget that the Soviet people defended not only their own freedom and independence, but also the freedom and independence of other peoples in the battles against fascism during World War II. And also today, the Soviet Egasvavrc1e44grtilopfpciuthehcaugae of thetfreedam of till; peolitilar It 0 CPYRGHT borderN?)Pr9MegcrugrIPtIgPS9PIQ2arc atiVerr9-411e1 q4egiugt?cal two 1 -9 peace-loving peoples. And there is another important observation: Every communist keeps in his heart the idea of proletarian internationalism. Its importance is well understood by the 'working men of all countries, and in particular by Comrade Boffa's fellow countrymen, who remember the Soviet people's role in the destruction of the fascist regime in their country as well. The Soviets also remember the fraternal aid that the Italian workers rendered to our country during the tempestuous half century following the October Revolution. Now Comrade Boffa is trying to argue that the time may have come to reexamine the question of proletarian internationalism. Referring to the observation made by Secretary of the Spanish Communist Party Cartillo ' that today the old beliefs dating back to the time when the Soviet Union was the only socialist country are no longer sufficient, he purses his lips and concludes that at present support for the Soviet Union should be determined within the framework of a given political direction. What direction is meant? He claims that he is a supporter of the decisions of the 20th CPSU Congress--as though there were communists who question these decisions-- Comrade Boffa cites the following: peaceful coexistence, confirmation of the necessi.ty for socialist democracy, and finally a new concept of the relations between parties based on the renunciation of the idea of the existence of a directing center. And is that all? Yes, that is all. It is precisely in that, he states, that the way is to be found that will make it possible to avoid the intensification of differences between the socialist countries. And Comrade Boffa adds: precisely because this was at stake, our argument with the Chinese gradually reduced itself to a criticism of those same phenomena in the Soviet Union--which it seemed to us and still seems to us--that are contrary to that trend. And here, he immediately refers to the intervention in Czechoslovakia. So it came to that As we say) Comrade Boffa began praying for health, but finished praying for the dead. He began with an expression of sympathy for the Soviet people, but finished by blaming them for the "interference". Comrade Boffa, it is a dangerous thing to forget the principles of proletarian internationalism, which imperatively oblige all revolutionaries to close ranks, compactly and firmly, every time that danger emerges. This occurred in Czechoslovakia, where the rightwing and the counterrevolutionary forces formed a bloc with external imperialist reaction. The fraternal aid of the socialist and allied countries was rushed there to defend socialist gains. It also occurred in the region of Damanskiy. Island on the Ussuri River, where the Chinese soldiers, operating on Mho's directives, opened fire on their Soviet brothers. We could explain all this to Comrade Boffa privately, so to speak, without using the pages of Pravda for this purpose. The fact is, however, that he printed his confusea mnoughts in the Italian Communist Party paper L'Unita. Everyone who has the Marxist-Leninist unity of our movement at heart will understand that it was impossible to leave such a public statement without a published reply. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 6 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 PRAVDA CPYRGHT 13 April 1969 PER/114KA LLLIULW rtri [IT) ft fd i Mnponan nemarb no-npenolemy .nocanuoer 06Hnblib7e Hommeirra- pun Hoquaamm npouoxaHnnm mao- IICT011 Ha pexe Yccypn. Hommeu- ar Hone.mo. paanimbre. I flemaTb HmnepHanncroa muter nwron, n,i COON% X03F1CO. 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Raninton, un- to 1100010 MODICCIICTCH0-11C/11111. cane. eamicrao /1311114`0 01111/8141118 noiimer, 41?0 OCTaBann. ny6nx.b. !fin abrcrynneloin Taftoro porta Sea nyOniossoro OrDeTa 110003" MONUi0. ? pm:am:mom It HI:JANOS. 4. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : Clek-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 AmA9ialAcirtatablevia99/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A00050011000M 1969 THE FORGOTTEN WAR IN LAOS While military action in Vietnam and political maneuvering in Paris dominate the headlines, a war goes on in neighboring Laos, a war that per- sists in spite of the Geneva Accords and great nation guarantees of inde- pendence and neutrality. For most of the free world Laos has been a matter of almost subliminal concern -- crowded out by Vietnam, the Middle East, the events in Czechoslovakia, the Sino-Soviet clashes. And in the meantime the Communist Pathet Lao, led and bolstered by North Vietnamese troops, has gained control of at least half the territority of Laos. The Communist forces do not yet control half the population, although the long, wearing struggle has rendered the Laotian people and economy anemic, its youth cynical and many of its leaders corrupt. From 1964 through 1967, the military situation in the field at least looked hopeful and Government forces were able to maintain the military initiative and provide protection against the Communists for most non- Communist elements of the population. But in 1968 the number of North Vietnamese regulars (Peoples' Army of Vietnam - PANN) in Laos reached 40,000 and the Communist forces were able to inflict a series of shattering military setbacks on the Royal Laotian Government (RLG) forces. Govern- mental defeats on the battlefield not only wiped out many of the earlier territorial gains, but also badly eroded the confidence of the political and military establishment. The start of the Paris negotiations to end the war in Vietnam gave many Laotians a psychological breather in May 1968, but they felt so badly deceived when their hopes for a speedy end to the war were dashed that the general loss in fighting spirit intensified on the home front and battlefield alike. Despite the military edge they are believed to enjoy, the Communist forces have let pass many recent opportunities to seize governmental gar- risons and important towns by frontal attack. They seem instead to be trying to force the RLG to evacuate towns and garrisons of strategic or psychological importance without a pitched battle, the ultimate objective being to enable the Pathet Lao to quietly win more territorial control and therefore more leverage for political bargaining with Premier Souvanna Phouma. (Phouma's neutralists hold eight of the RLG's sixteen cabinet posts under the 1962 Geneva Accords and, although he could not allow the Pathet Lao much more power and hope to survive, he'could probably add two to their present four Cabinet posts on condition that the North Vietnamese forces withdraw from Laos.) Of course, a political settlement with its native Communists would by no means solve Laos' security problems because the ambitions of other near- by Communist powers must also be considered. China has been looking hungrily at Laos for a long time. The Soviet Union also has a lively interest in Laos. Under the terms of the Geneva Accords the Soviet Union and Great Britain are Co-Chairmen of the Geneva Convention on Laos and Moscow tries to appear to be the responsible mediator. It is suspected, however, that the Soviets are more interested in increasing their influence Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 over the Neo Lao Hak Sat (NLHS) which is the political organization of the Pathet Lao, than in establishing any serious dialogue between the NLHS and the RLG aimed at a political settlement. Certainly the recent affair of Soviet Ambassador to Laos, Viktor Minin, hints at this possibility. In February, Minin, with Souvanna Phouma's agreement, traveled to the NLHS stronghold in Sam Neua to talk with NLHS Chairman, Prince Souphanouvong. His alleged purpose was to persuade Souphanouvong to begin talks with his half-brother, Souvanna Phouma. Rather than preparing the ground for an RLG-NLHS dialogue, Minin's trip was almost immediately followed by a major Pathet Lao-North Vietnamese offensive, which is still going on. A real dialogue has yet to begin. Increasing its influence over the Pathet Lao is probably not Moscow's only reason for moving into Laos, although it may be the most compelling. Moscow probably believes that the Pathet Lao has a brighter political future in the long run than the politicians and generals who lead the present government in Vientiane. However, Moscow also has another objective: to pre-empt Chinese influence in Laos. And, of course, a Pathet Lao govern- ment in Laos would give the USSR a foothold in the center of Southeast Asia. China's view of Laos appears to be the one she traditionally casts on any small neighbor: potential food for the tiger. In September 1968 Peking, without permission from the RLG, resumed road building in northern Laos after a lapse of five years. By late January 1969 the Chinese had completed a motorable road between the Chinese-Laotian border town of Batene and Muong Sai, a Laotian town 70 kilometers from the border. It took two more months to push the next section of the road through difficult terrain to a point 10 kilometers northeast of Muong Sai. That branch of the Chinese-built road will lead into North Vietnam near Dienbienphu; the other branch will go south and west and could be extended south to the Mekong River and into Thailand. Estimates of the number of Chinese involved in this venture range from two to ten regular Chinese army (PLA) battalions, equipped with mobile anti- aircraft batteries, who are assigned to defend from 2,000 to 5,000 Chinese coolies and engineers working on the roads. There are also reports of PLA fighting units in northwest Laos with estimates on their numbers also widely varied. Support for the Chinese forces in Laos comes from Yunnan Province, from which hundreds of Chinese trucks pass into Laos monthly carrying food and construction materials and, presumably, military equip- ment for the PLA units in the area. Peking's possible reasons for being in Laos include her search for more territory, but there are others, as well: she may be seeking to create both a buffer zone and a sphere of influence in the region in anticipation of a settlement in Vietnam; she may be striving to prevent further growth of North Vietnam's influence with the Pathet Lao which the great number of PAVN regulars deployed in Laos gives to Hanoi; Peking may be establishing Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 a road link to old route 46 which runs southwest of Muong Sai and has long been used by Thai Communist terrorists to move into and out of Thailand. The new road system could also be intended to facilitate shipment of Chinese supplies to the Thai Communists, to the Chinese and North Vietnamese laborers keeping the Ho Chi Minh Trail operating, and to PAVN and Viet Cong units fighting in South Vietnam. The prolonged fighting has propelled the nation into a vicious cycle, for as long as the war continues the RLG is compelled to keep up a large military establishment which now consumes 50% of the national budget. The growth of this military establishment and the readiness of some to profit by built-in opportunities for special privileges, law evasion and cor- ruption have discouraged the Laotian people and made cynics of many among the younger element in politics. The swelling Swiss bank accounts of the elderly, non-military upper classes, who make up the Laotian ruling elite, have further alienated a vital group -- the men in their thirties who are at the beginning of their political careers. The small nation of Laos lives in very real peril. The most immediate menace comes from North Vietnam, already on the scene with 40,000 troops. But Communist China's thrust over the border with roads, laborers and her own troops shows she is as firmly committed as Hanoi to territorial expansion and subversion. And the Soviet Union stands in the wings. Any Asian knows that events in the Southeast Asian area will be largely determined by what happens in Vietnam, and Laos' future is no exception. Failure to reach peace in Vietnam will lead to additional fighting in Laos, and a peace in Vietnam without reference to Laos will surely mean more trouble for Laos, whose Communistoccupied areas will not readily submit to the discipline of any central government except one controlled by the Pathet Lao. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 3 cpyiknriored FOrAMGeicla2Di PL9499/02 : 1 March 1969 Laos Prince Says Red Activity Up VIENTIANE, Laos, March 1 CPYRGHT r 1 ? 3- (A 111?P rinee Snnvanna CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001crRGHT Phouma said today that Com- munist military activities have increased in Laos since the 'United States halted its bomb- ing of North Vietnam last, Nov. 1. The Laotian premier in a speech marking National War Victims' Day, said Pathet Lao terrorists supported by "many opposing untric stepped up their sabotage raids in Vientiane and the provinces in an effort to de- stroy the neutralist govern- ment.. JAPAN TIMES 2 March 1969 ? Changung War, in Laos New Communist Attempt to Stir Up Disorder' .ur rig t ,e Nist Ullee ytmts the Communist, 'Pathet Lao 'forces in the kingdom of Laos 1Jhave refrained, from spear- heading any major attack.! tNow, however, they have. 'started unleashing daring at- tacks in the neighborhood of Vientiane, the headquarters of Premier Sou- yanna Phou- ma's ? 'Govern- ment. And for the 'first time ti 's ince 1962, when the big powers tactly divided this Southeast- .Asi- an kingdom into an eastern half for the Communists and Western half for the Royal. Lao and neutralist forces, the. Royal Lao capital of Lump Prabang is seriously threaten- ed. It was just a year ago that in a battle .at Nam Bac, locat- ed to the north of the royal' s'eapital, the Government force lost 2,500 troops?about four, per cent of its 70,000 men. The Government has not recover- ed from the heavy defeat since. The Communists are appar- ently preparing for a straight-; forward assault in northern Laos against the Govern- ment base of Nakhang, which. Is not far from the Pathet Lao area of Xieng Xhouang. Their main objective, pre. Sumably, is to widen their territorial control in an ap- parent effort to reinforce the leverage of 'the Pathet 'Lao for a possible political bar- gain with Souvanna Phouma in the future. They want to hold as much ground as pos, sible in this country when the Paris talks reach a climactic point. Pathet Lao Objective i? In 1962, the coa.tion_Gor- erliexpfel?erch.Cor Release nat ritippi^ns 'natured CPYRGHT By CHU SATT0 fn access) to thc baidc't Souvania Phouma's neutral- regions of Thailand. Through territory controlled by the Pathet 'Lao, a major road is being constructed at high speed with bulldozers; graders, trucks and other modern equipment. From the Chinese town of Mengla in the province of Yunnan, it crosses the Laotian border at Ban Botene, and runs into Laos to a distance of about 30' miles. It is now roughly. three miles from the strategic; Laotian town of Muong Sal,. which guards 'the approaches to the valley of Nambang leading south diyectly to the Thai border. From this town, the Chi- riese Communists can build a road link eastward to the present Route 19, which leads to the important North Viet' namese, base at Dienbienphu: They can also head south tO Ban Houei Sai, on the bank Of the Mekong across from Thailand. ists holding eight Cabinet seats, and the rightist and leftist factions with four seats respectively, ? The Pathet Lao, led by. Prince Seuphanouvong, quit. "the coa Mon in the year that; followeal. Ever since then,: the Communists have claim-. ed tha , Soui,anna Phouma' now ha; become a mere pup.: pet of tie Amerigan imperial- ? ists. T ley assert- that the only al.thentic group in the center i; the so-called "Patriot- ic neutralists" they control., Implicit in ? this claim is the suggestmn that the. Commu- nists nay come forth with the con ention that they now deserve half the Government' seats. ? North Vietnamese troops, at present, surround both Saravan and Attopeu. They :could capture the two strategiC towns tomorrow:: They are attacking the near.' by road junction of Thateng; Which guards the approaches to the p ateau of Bolevens, in an appa -ent? attempt to force the Gov n?nment in Vientiane to evact-ate these towns. Contre 1 of these two towns would n iturally serve to sub- stantiate the Pathet Lao claim that the situation in their c )untry has utterly Changed. They could openly demand more than the four seats they were originally ac. Corded in the 16-member coalition created In Geneva.' At prent there are some 40,000 North Vietnamese troops ir Laos, most of them based n Jar the South Viet+ nam frootier. ? They consti+ Lute the )ackbone of the Com* munist forces in this country ; Road to Thai Border It mar be significant for the futui e of Soutl,ifseiiiatstdo_ escal 79-01 now pushing southward : ? through the territory of Lam' 1 This may signify a Chinese Communist attempt to stir; up confusion and disorder in: this region to prompt the, United States, who is wary. of another Vietnam war in, ?Asia, to withdraw its military! forces. Or they may be seeking td create ?a buffer zone and a sphere of Influence there, anticipating that an eventual, settlement in Vietnam could lead to some new kind of political formula for Laos, het; Immediate neighbor. At all events, a Settlethene in Laos depends on a settle ment in Vietnam. Until that is achieved, this troubled land is likely to be tormented by continuing skirmishes and obscure maneuvers. New Cause of Trouble The _ n_eegaiki Qufw. letrAragOeVd the war efforts of the North Vietnamese. Ther App CPYRGHT remedforoRelease 4-9991091MMIPgrer9290M4A? tration in Laos. Every Pathet Lao company or battalion has ,advisers from North Vietnam. Pathet Lao soldiers only serve as reinforcement. Or they are to be um' as occupation forces to keep towns and vit. lages under their control. This sometimes provokes a 'dispute between the Pathet Lao and the North Viet- namese troops; The North Vietnamese side blames the the other hand, protest that they have to go around the Lao towns and villages to look for food to feed the North Vietnamese fighting in their country. This, in fact, was the cause of the bitter armed conflict which took place between the two .on Dec. 11 last year at an area about 13 kilome- ters south of Muong Phong Sa Thone in the province of . Sam Neua. JAPAN TIMES 8 March 1969 Over the Horizon Stirrings in Laos Pallet Lao, the 'leftist Lao- tian forces entrenched in the eastern half of the country, have been stepping up their military and political activi- ties as the world uneasily watches the slow progress of the Paris talks. Their recent behavior would seem 'to show that they k . are planning' !T? to settle the Muffled civil war in Laos by the same tactics aspf, those employ , ed by North Vietnam and the National Liberation Front in South Vietnam. On Sept. 21 last year, just 10 days before the United States announced the com- plete suspension of the bomb- ing of North Vietnam, Radio, Pathet Lao declared that if, the U.S. halted the bombing of the "liberated areas" in Laos, conditions favorable for distussing the Laotian issue would be created. About three weeks after the complete suspension of the American bombing of North Yietnam, Radio Hanoi report- By SHINROKU NOZAKI oo5@efiirobi1T9 CPYRGHT ei the new Pathet Lao pont'. pi tenet to the effect that Fathet Lao aims at setting up a "democratic, national coati- t on Government" in colla- boration with "patriotic, na- t onal forces" in Laos. Pathet Lao's call for the s ispension of bombing is identical with Hanoi's appeal while their slogan for a *na- t onal coalition Government is an exact replica .of the ap- real made by the NLF in South Vietnam. After the American bomb. Ing halt against the north, owever, U.S. air attacks on tie "liberated areas" of Laos were reportedly tripled in in- t.nsity, presumably because of the increased need to disrupt the Ho Chi Minh Trail hilowing the bombing halt against North Vietnam. Last January, Prince Soup- lanouvong, who is the leader t) the Pathet Lao, again called f )r. the suspension of U.S. bombing of Laos' "liberated areas" as a condition for peace and threatened to in. tmsify Pathet Lao military activities "until peace mated. aizes." The U.S., however, cannot le expected to halt the bombing of the Ho Chi Minh Trail that runs through the "liberated area" in view of the uneasy situation in South Vietnam. Thus, the Pathet Lao forces, With the support of 40,000 North Vietnamese troops, are stepping up guerrilla attacks against the Royal Laotian region under, Premier Souvan- na Phouma. Their tactics re- semble those of North Viet- nam and the NLF in South Vietnam, whose Vietnam War strategy consists of "breaking the military balance" and "winning the political war." In another significant de- velopment, Y u e Tai-hong, Communist China's first high- ranking diplomat to return to an overseas post following 4 long diplomatic hiatus, resum- ed his assignment early last month as counselor in the Communist Chinese Embassy in Vientiane. Meanwhile, the Soviet ambassador to the Lao- tian capital, Viktor Minine, visited Hanoi early in Febru- ary and then proceeded to the Pathet Lao headquarters in Sam Neua. He carried with him Premier Phouma's letter to his half brother Prince Souphanouvong, who in known as the Red Prince. , CPYRGHT WASHINGTON POST 11 April 1969 Laos Killings VIENTIANE?Five French civilians were allied by 12 Communist Pathet Lao sol- diers at a Franch-supported agricultural school 22 mile* north of here. Three French technicians CPYRGHT were bound and shot at the school where they worked, tipsnitp the nleas of local Laotiano that they were French, not American. Two other visiting Frenchmen heard the shots and rushed over, also to be gunned down. Approved For Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RbP79-01194A000500110001-9 Loa ANGELES TIMES Approved kiwiRellAgse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 CPYRGHT Pekin te s' p Pressure on Laos , F-' '?? - : Apparent Goal : ii southernmost Yunnan province. One road leads to Thong Saly to r-S Control the east. A second road goes south to een as C; Muong Sai in Laos and there turns, ! . -of Border Areas. cf the way to connecting with: East where it has progressed a third , North 'Vietnam's famed border townf . . ? k ( f Dien Bien Phu. This is the site of , BY JACK FOISIE Mo Chi Minh's. climactic victory overi ' Tirriee Staff Writer : the French in 1954 and now is a way! : . BANGKOK?Peking appears to be, flop on Route 19 to Hanoi. A ' third road. from Mengla leadS stepping tip its efforts to establish ! buffer areas of influence .or control' ro;uthwesbte to Nam Tha in Laos and l pushed" west .1,9 . th Bum e, ieolav In the border provinces of Laos and bord m. 1.3urina adjoining mainland China's. The New Mina News Se rVi e el southern border. . ' Peking's propaganda agency, has lao'a St ed .1 bout these Lao r o a 4 ' . The same effort also is beiniinade. i 1. is them free hid to n the extreme northern , areas !of Thailand.. Thailand does not have a! La?8-? "' . . Thoere is a certain legitimacy to common i border with. China but 4 this !constru :tion for. shortly .after nbrthern ,provinces are easily, acces- s through shor t the Geneva accords' of 1962, which ible to infiltrators stretches of Laos or Burma. ? i ought to min to Laos g ' peaCe ? ; ! ' ) aeutralist Pi emier Souvanna Thou. ' One Chinese aim seems io be to arta. gave his approval to Chinese reach, more easily into areas of Lssistance. - . .. . possible subversion. , - The zeal with which the road .! In Laos the province of Phong, auilclers go forward-using ? a Saly protruding protruding into China's Yun-. Pure of trucl s, bulldozer? and coolie tan province is conceded by officials liabor to cu -t through jungle and in the Laotian capital of Vientiane to aiountains, plus the selection .p0 ,be entirely dominated by Chinese., routes?indi !ates the Chinese ahnld . , The only unpredictabld force in to react} more easily areas " that densely jungled., mountainous: of possible subversion. province is a 1.enegade Laotian band. k - American aerial surveil4 of perhaps 1,000 men commanded by a .Col. Khammouane, which _operates much like the war lord armies of pre-Communist China.. Orders. Taken rikora Chinese But even Khammouane, who for.! rnerly was loyal to Vientiane, .now grudgingly takes orders from the. Chinese consul in the town of Phong Saly, according to intelligence sour-. , . . Ces. ? There: has been extensive :road. Vembei to March or April construction .by the Chinese in the, i:d 1970 to complete that three Laotian provinces of Plion,,,,,, .oad. . Saly, northern Luang Prabang and._ Helm 'Chong bordering Thailand ?' Rece ltly Soviet Ambas-. since 1963. ?? . , iador 7 i c t or Minin in ': i Using* up to 10,000 Chinese coolies,- Vientiane .visited Prince who are directed by Communist' Chinese engineers and protected by; ouplic nouvong, the Red Chinese guards; wnetwork of roads ruler to the Communist* hag been built.- All stern from the,,.ield portion of Laos. One imivictieus town of Mengla, ap-, a his alissions,accordi tsowiadifelniReiletussi4r999/09/0 : CIA-RDP791:11 1 CPYRGHT p. speculation, was to lear more about Chinese r , volvement in Laos with the Americans hope Moscow effort in mind t 'subvert it. The increase of Pathe Lao attacks in areas ad jacent to the Thai borde Indicates an effort t protect and enlarge infil tration routes into Th Land Nan province abut ting Laos. The province i Mountainous and inhabi ed by aborigine tribe t,srhich have always bee scorned by the lowlan !Thais. t. Communist agent? I trained either in China b lNorth Vietnam are seek 1.1g to exploit this histori discrimination by Thais against the upland Meo Yao and lesser tribes. , v kt Insurgency Peril .,, ! Westerners who live this remote area, mainl anthropologists, missiona ries and American agents consider the nor ther That insurgency mor el 'dangerous now than thd more - publicized struggld in the barren flat country' fronting the middle belt a & northeast Thailand Laos. American counterinsur- gency efforts have been: ,r easona bly successful 'among the Thai farmers.' Seeking to eliminate the low-level but apparently firm foothold'the Commu. nists have gained in The rnountain tribe country, pal officials spmt 94A000500110001-9 lance has kept track of this activityy an d informed sources can say exactly how f.Er along the all* weathe 7 road has reached from TTuong Sai toward Dien B.en Phu. They esti- mate it will take only one inore d 7 season (next No.? . 3 , I ' , moApprovErdifbeReleasefp,011010 P79-0/1-149k1310t801711141111 -9 " e ? so Van,* Pao a Laotian Mea continues etween - nese- backed insurgents and loyal Shang and Bur- mese troops. The same situation is present in Assam in India, where the defiant Nagas opposing any settlement with New Delhi continue to resist with Chinese support Indian army pad- fication efforts. In all of the four border countries the unanswered question is whether , the, Chinese. motive is only te! create a ',buffer against hostile neighbors or is a creeping offensive for poli. tical or military gain. areas.rcier leader and staunch anti- Communist; to a parley. Thrt hope Was that he could regain the loyalty of the Meos in Thailand for the Bangkok government. Yang Pao, it is con- firmed in Vientiane, was flown to Thai Third Army advanced headquarters at the village of Chiang Kiang in an American plane. tut little resulted from the conference, pos- sibly because the Fhai gOvernment does not look favorably on a yang Pao private army in Thailand. In Burma and India Less is known about Chinese activities across the borders into Burma and India. But lack of detailed information avai- lable bere does not dam- pen the belief of qualified specialists that the Burma and Indian hill country adjoining China is also a target of Chinese insur- gen cy efforts. The Shan tribes in north- ern Burma have made an accommodation of sorts with the Rangoon govern- ment.* But the guerrilla ASSOCIATED ettr.Sb I" CPYRGHT 8 April 1969' :.'"` -L? 65 Hanoi Battalions ReportedA t. ? t Laos c tve Li . Hi Ili, I .1-IL-. ti 1, t hitIii? tI VIENTIANE, April 8 (AP)? '11,, ii);,?it ill, I, I ? I 1,1 I). It ti??01, 'Hu' I' '"WASIYIliGTOISTAR ilChamehanh Pracian, mation, director general of Iiaos, said today at least 65 , North Jiepamese battalions ,arp ioperating in Laos. , 14 l'Atpri 1 1969 d? 41. I 1??1 4 ht ,? it I 11,,11V CPYF,R6HT 1,1 H 1 1 tY:DONALD RIRK ,Wa ce4re,pondent of The Star VliNTIANE,Laos--=, Officials here ,are counting on tne bovieE Union' to help stem the gradual Comniimist advance across the mountains and jungles of Laos. Leaders of the royal govern: ment' as well as Western diplo- mats' believe Russia eventually may try to persuade the Pathet Lao and North Vietnamese lead- ers to abandon the military phase of their struggle. The rea- soning is that Russia wants the war to end before Communist China begins to include the coun- try within its sphere of influ- ence. One hopeful sign of Soviet in- terest in settling the war, an integral phase of North Viet- nam's struggle for domination over all the former French Indo- chinese states, was the journey, this winter of the Soviet ambas- sador to the Pathet Lao "capi- tal" in Sam Neua, the northeast- ern Laotian province largely controlled by North Vietnamese troops. Approved F T.To teld a tGv5f ere rice _ that some of these, 25 battal- ions are reported around Sam- , neua and 'Thong Saly in north, , ,.....-. T,_..._W II ll ,scattered in areas near Luang ,Prabang, Savannak het In sa,uthern Laos, and Pakse and ,Champassak. CPYRGHT ooks to ussia to from Vientiane . to Hanoi and ' then traveled by road from Ha- yei la Neua, carried a mes- sage from Laotian Premier Sou-, vanna Ph mma to his younger half-broth u r, Prince Souphanou- vong, the leader of the Pathet Lao. The ambassador returned to Vientiane, again by way of Ha- noi, with a reply from Souphan- ouvong iodicating he was not ready to think of rapproche- ment, at east as long as Ameri- can wan r lanes were bombing parts of U e country. Despite the inconclusive re- sults of ane trip, analysts here believe i , showed the Russian interest ii exerting direct influ- ence civet the Communists war for Laos. The Communists rely to some extent on Soviet arms, but they are shipped from Hanoi and not consigned directly for Laos by Moscow. Laotiar officials, notably Sou- vanna, oelieve the Russians would work even more actively 1 ?.1. ? ?? One view is that the question of Laos might finally enter the peace talks in Paris at the stage at which the participants had reached some solution, however. temp or ar y, for a Vietnam cease-fire. Before the talks reach this stage, however, the Communists appear determined to solidify their hold over vast stretches of the Laotian jungle. During the current "dry-season offensive," they have knocked out small government installa- tions from the northern to the southern provinces, have built new roads and ambushed vehi- cles on old roads leading to im- portant towns in the Mekong River lowlands. The Commu- nists, spearheaded by an esti- mated 40,000 regular north Viet- namese troops, seem bent on de- veloping a bargaining position on Laos that would enable the Pathet Lao to gain de facto con- trol of the government through 'a ? ? . ? ? ? ? ? .1 4 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT It the major towns along the river, they could rule the entire coui- try. And North Vietnam, as a result of its military and poli cal control over the Pathet Lao, could turn Laos into a satellke kingdom under a figurehead king. Some analysts believe ne Russians might favor the to objectives. At the same time, Russian policy at the moment calls for full recognition of Scu- vanna, whom the Russians origi- nally supported as neutral st leader when the accords on Laos were signed in Geneva neatly seven years ago. Souvan steadfastly insists on holding to the letter of the accords, whizh called for the departure of ill foreign troops. Despite his pie- sent relia-^,ce on U.S. military aid, he has often indicated he might revert to a pro-Soviet m u- tralist position if the North Vi et- namese withdrew. Such a dinouement to the struggle, while probably acce )t- Id I ? f.: ft I S I; ? CPYRGHT Approved For Releaso 1-9e9mei02 CIA-RD 79 01194A000500110001-9 nevitably arouse the ire of Com-- munist China, which for years, has accused the Soviet "revi- sionists" of collaborating' with the American "imperialists." ECONOMIST 15 March 1969 Laos Peace has its dangers CPYRGHT FROM A CORRESPONDENT LATELY IN LAOS " What we want is an independent life, blessed equally by both America and Red China. We must build together a peace- ful, independent, democratic, united, neutral and prosperous Laos." So runs the. manifesto just published by a group of right-wing politicians in Vientiane. 1 Their leader, Mr Chao Sopsaisana, vice- chairman of the national assembly, has no friend in the past of the neutral- it posed on Laos by the 1962 Geneva agreement, and certainly no supporter of I moves to find a fresh basis for co-opera- tion with the communist Pathet Lao. But the Vietnam peace talks raise the possib- ility of a new attempt to reunify Laos. If ; it happens these conservatives do not wish to be caught with their trousers down. ; "We have no political organisation to ; match the communists," Chao Sopsaisana told this correspondent in Vientiane. " We may well have to face a general election ; in Laos before 197i, We must now set up 3. political movement of all Buddhists andi ion-communists." Ile is trying, with syni-1 lathy from the Americans, and support .rorn certain politicians and generals. These are mostly relatively young men,1 n their forties, professing opposition to! 'injustice, corruption and inefficiency; rkomitie royal government headed by Prince Souvanna Phounia. But there isi little sign that they have captured the, dealism of the still younger men, gener-! 31Iy disgusted with their elders?including most of those involved in Laotian politics ;ince the early 196os?and with a good ! leal to be disgusted about. Power politics lave propelled the Laotians abruptly into i the twentieth century, and mountains of:: American money. Economic aid in 1967-'! :38 amounted to $63 million (for a popula- tion of some 1.5 million under royal government control). A fair part has gone to line the pockets and Swiss bank accounts of the numerous potentates who employees of the Soviet news agency Novosti in Vientiane can be seen distribu- ting in the streets anti-Chinese literature in French. One of the booklets, entitled " DuplicitC," describes Chinese policies as " irresponsible and insane." The Chinese are now building a road, :through northern Laos, to link Yunnan with Dien Bien Phu, just across North Vietnam's western border. They are !pernianently represented in Pathet Lao. territory by a consulate. Yet the Pathet! !Lao has given its full approval to the, !invasion of Czechoslovakia. The Russians, evidently can still pull strings. : The royal government claims the Pathet 'Lao threat would quickly evaporate if 'North Vietnamese units withdrew from Laos. It reckons they total 18,000 combat troops and over 21,000 men in support .units. They have been responsible for the communist military successes of the. last four years. Recently North Viet- namese reinforcements are reported to have come in from South Vietnam. Com- munist troops have also recently been. :supplied with 140 mm rockets and other new weaponry. Meanwhile the royal army, .now some 75,000 men strong, has reorganised with American assistance and advisers. Abler officers have been given responsible command. American' air force support has increased greatly? since the attpckx on North Vietnam were halted. Events in Laos are bound to be influ- enced by what happens to Vietnam. A' failure to reach peace there will probably' lead to more fighting in Laos. But peace, :in Vietnam may not mean peace in Laos: :Even if the Ho Chi Minh trails lose their: :significance, the large areas bordering on,: China and North Vietnam now occupied: by the communists will not easily return to the control of any central government,.' except a Pathet Lao one. make up the Latian rei ing class. No Laotian politician, right-wing or Pathet Lao, could survive if he did not pay at least lip service to the need for national reunification. But neither of the warring parties is prepared to work for union except on its own terms. The royal 'government unrealistically asks Prince Souphanouvong and three of his left-wing ! colleagues simply to endorse the old tri- partite formula, return to Vientiane and. :take up their vacant cabinet seats, as if nothing had happened in the six !years since the left-wing ministers fled from a right-wing coup. (The Pathet Lao, :in fact, now &:introls at least half the :territory, although somewhat less than half the povulation.) And except for Souvanna Phouma himself it is hard to name anyone in the non-communist ruling group who can be considered a neutralist. Some of the neutralists have joined the Pathet La.o, as a separate group, and may? now demand representation in a coalition! government. The Russians could do much to help Prince Souvanna Phounia (for whom they have a great liking) out of his predic- ament, if they wanted! to. But there is no real evidence to suggest that they do. Far from wishing to mediate they seem to. be principally anxious to rebuild their ,bridges to the Pathet Lao. This would explain the unexpected recent visit of the Soviet ambassador in vientiane to Prince Souphanouvong's headquarters .in Sam Neua, in northern Laos. They evidently do not wish to create, the impression of being in collusion with! the Americans over a possible settlement.: And they believe that the Pathet Lao has a brighter future as a political movement than the conservative politicians and generals in Vientiane, whose fortunes may depend on how long the Americans choose to support them. Not that they . want Chinese-sponsored disorder. Russian Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : dIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 employees of the Soviet news agency Novosti in Vientiane can be seen distribu- ting in the streets anti-Chinese literature in French. One of the booklets, entitled " Duplieite," describes Chinese policies as " irresponsible and insane." The Chinese are now building a road, through .northern Laos, to link Yunnan with Dien Bien Phu, just across North Vietnam's western border. They are permanently represented in Pathet Lao territory by a consulate. Yet the Pathet Lao has given its full approval to the invasion of Czechoslovakia. The Russians evidently can still pull strings. The.royal Povernment claims rhe Pathet Lao threat would quickly evaporate if North Vietnamese units withdrew from Laos. It reckons they total 18,000 combat troops and over 21,000 men in support units. They have been responsible for the communist military successes of the last four years. Recently North Viet- namese reinforcements are reported to have come in from South Vietnam. Com- munist troops have also recently been supplied with 140 mm rockets and other new weaponry. Meanwhile the royal army, now some 75,000 men strong, has been reorganised with American assistance and advisers. Abler officers have been given responsible command. American air force support has increased greatly since the attacks on North Vietnam were halted. Events in Laos are bound to be influ- enced by what happens to Vietnam. A failure to reach peace there will probably lead to more fighting in Laos. But peace in Vietnam may not mean peace in Laos. Even if the Ho Chi Minh trails lose their significance' the large areas bordering on China and North Vietnam now occupied by the communists will not easily, return to the control of any central government, except a .Pathet Lao one. NEW YORK TIMES 9 April 1969 Foreign Affairs: How the War Must End By C. L. SULZBERGER SAIGON?There can be no valid setucmcmof he VIeLoani war that does not specifically include Laos and Cambodia. ? Otherwise Southeast Asia would face, the following para- ? doxical situation: Communist ? troops could withdraw from South Vietnam but continue do facto occupation of eastern , Laos and eastern Cambodia. ^ They now control the entire strip running from the Laotian border of China to the Cam- bodian Parrot's Beak that points right at Saigon. Therefore no basis for evac- t. uating foreign forces from South Vietnam can be devised that does not also include evacuation of foreign forces from Laos and Cambodia. If there is to be a return to the formula of the 1954 Geneva agreement governing Vietnam and Cambodia, there must also be a return to the 1962 Geneva agreement neutralizing Laos. Threats to ,Salgon Any other settlement would be meaningless. It might pro- vide for restoring peace to South Vietnam, but the Saigon regime would be permanently ? threatened not only by the access routes from North Viet- , , nam that lead along the Ho Chi Minh trail through Laos and the Sihanouk trail through cambocua; it woula aiso be threatened by sizable North Vietnamese forces actually in Prince ihan ouk's army. b I ha- nouk himself admitted last month: "There are Vietnamese CPYRGHT ? oak cause- but ne is angling for ; Washington's help. Progislont Nixon auiotiv melts ? This problem is so acute that the Paris Vietnam negotiations must ultimately be expanded to take in diplomatic representa- tives from Laos and Cambodia. The Laotian situation is in- creasingly bad. Hanoi, which has been violating the 1962 agreement with mounting ef- frontery, is now pushing its most serious drive into Laos since 1962-63. If it advances any further it will destroy the heartland of the Meo tribes. crumbling their especially dedi- cated resistance. At the same time, the Ninth Vietcong Division (80 per cent North Vietnamese) is stationed in the Cambodian Parrot's Beak. Some strategists guess it. will eventually be committed with two other divisions sent through Cambodia in the pres- ent offensive against Saigon. - Others speculate it will attack the provincial capital of Tay- ninh. It is worth considering, however,- that Hanoi prefers to leave the Ninth just where it is. This menaces the Cambodian Government and prevents it from reaching accommodation with the United States and its allies. The Ninth Division alone is strong enough to overwhelm 6 deeply worried. There are Viet- cong and Vietminh [meaning North Vietnamese] infiltrating. If you look at a map near Mondolkiri is Sen Mororom, is 0 Raing. After 0 Raing is Mount Nam Lean and there are plenty of Vietcong and Viet- minh there. If you go up to Ratanakiri you will see Laban Siek. Farther north is Bo Khanh. Let us stop there?a few meters from Bo Khanh. It is full of Vietcong and Viet- minh." Sihanouk's Dilemma These are Sihanouk's first de- tailed admissions of the Com- munist military advance into Cambodia, which is now their outright sanctuary against Sai- gon and U.S. troops. The Com- munist military presence is even more extensive than the Prince acknowledges and Siha- nouk doesn't know how to get them out. Sihanouk still proclaims Cam- bodia has "only four enemies? Thailand, Laos, Vietnam [South] and the United States." But he hints he is prepared for accom- modation with all of them if they will only recognize Cam- bodia's existing frontiers. He insists he will "always support" the Vietcong "in their just a diplomatic solution to this impasse. Both Bangkok and Saigon have recently indicated willingness to recognize pres- ent Cambodian frontiers, thus,, abandoning their own previous claims. , One suspects U.S. i prompting. Furthermore, Nixon sent Sihanouk a personal letter ' and encouraged Robert McNa- mara and David Rockefeller to - contact him. But Sihanouk complains that ; Nixon has not yet granted "un- conditional recognition of my frontiers" and adds: "Whether; I swing toward the right or Walk depends on me alone." He does, of course, have the alternative of temporarily resigning?which he has done before?and letting General Lon Nol, the pro-West- em Acting Premier, take respon- sibility for a difficult transition, What is also taking place in Laos?where there is heavier North Vietnamese military oc- cupation?is vitally important' to South Vietnam. There can be no final settlement here until there is settlement as well in Its westerly neighbors South- east Asia cannot approach sta- bility until Laos and Cambodia,' are brought into the Paris talks. War shouldn't be escalated but peace must be. , 4 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : dIA-RDP.79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For RLeolNeAsieTlps9/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 31 January 1969 CPYRGHT From Fred Ermry, lately in Vientiane OSTENTATIOUS RULE 1111101111MInt does seem that precious little has been done by Prince Souvanna Houma in the way of political galvani- zation during the past seven years. In the face of many frustrations the inclina- tion is not to rock the boat. The proclamation of the Lao Patriotic Front's political programme moved ,hitn ,to respond with a political statement on New Year's Eve in which he implored his countrymen "not to remain passive and take the easy way". Most observers estimate. however, that " government " as an entity beneficial to the people still means little more than it did seven years ago. , The Americans, meanwhile, have not 'waited for peace to attempt efforts at economic development. While it is, true that U.S.A.I.D. props up the country with aid (excluding military) at some $58m. last year, moves have been made to, 'stimulate rice production. Some optimistic assessments reckon that self- sufficiency could be hopod for next year, with even some rice exports in 1971. An American-backed purchasing agency is trying to make the short cut from sub- sistence to a market economy without the intercession of money lenders, and may succeed. Timber exploitation has been stepped up considerably, and in the towns there has been transformation since the "village days" of ,only 10 years ago. Cars taxis and motor cycles ?nearly all Japanese?fill the streets. The question is. how much of this advance do the people associate with government and how much with the Americans. An honest answer is: The Americans "?and therein lies a great problem. There have been radical changes in administering American aid since the 1950s, younger Laotians are? asserting themselves in economic planning; and there is a sense of mission. But there is far to go?and nowhere farther, in the eyes of the young .men, than .in correcting the flagrant luxury and otten- tation of the lives of the ruling families and cliques. It is generals, government ministers and high officials who have built all the stylish villas for renting to the many foreigners. It may well be true the future of Laos will depend more on external than in- ternal decisions. But a healthier internal situation would obviously help to decide that future in more positive terms. It seems clear that the Americans, in return for their own withdrawal from Vietnam, will insist on North Vietnamese with- drawal from the Ho Chi Minh trails complex. But it seems doubtful that the. !North Vietnamese will leave northern Laos, where people have so long been directed towards Hanoi rather than , Vientiane. ? ? In this sense all 'depends on the lUnited States, Russia, 'and of course China. Can they improve on the present miserable reality?that a buffer .istate is only a cover for hostile partition.? Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP7901194A000500110001-9 7 May 1969 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Compiled from Newspapers and Periodicals On Laotian Protests at Hanoi Aggression Continuing military activity of the North Vietnamese in Laos has caused the Laotian Prime Minister, Prince Souvanna Phouma, to protest to the co-chairmen of the 1962 Geneva Conference, Britain and the Soviet Union. The Protest, published in Laos on 19 March 1969, has been circulated by Britain to other countries which took part in the Conference - Cambodia, Nortil Vietnam, France, Laos, China, South Vietnam, the United States, Burma, Canada, India, Poland and Thailand. Britain has also suggested to the Soviets that the International Con- trol Commission (ICC) for Laos (India, Poland and Canada) be asked to report on the situation. Although the Geneva Agreement provided for the withdrawal of for- eign troops from Laos and guaranteed her neutrality, the Laotians have frequently protested at the North Vietnamese military presence. Be- cause of the refusal of the Communist Pathet Lao to allow the ICC to investigate areas under their control, the strength and composition of the guerrillas could not be assessed, but Prince Souvanna Phouma gave an estimate on 24 October 1968, that there were now some 40,000 to 50,000 North Vietnamese troops in his country, either fighting with the Pathet Lao or protecting the Ho Chi Minh trail (the route through Laotian territory by which the North Vietnamese have been infiltrating men and supplies into South Vietnam). All foreign troops were supposed to leave Laos after the 1962 Agreement, and although there were then some thousands of North Viet- namesein the country, only 40 North Vietnamese civilian technicians de- parted from Laos via the checkpoints set up by the ICC. Both Hanoi and the Pathet Lao have since denied that any North Vietnamese men or materiel are in Laos, but in September 1964. three North Vietnamese soldiers were captured. At Souvanna Phouma's request the ICC inspected documents found on the prisoners, considered their statements and confirmed their nationality and military status. In March 1965 nine more prisoners were captured at Dong Hene in Southern Laos. The evidence they provided formed the basis of a ma- jority report published by the ICC on 22 August 1966, which amounted to a major indictment of North Vietnamese intervention in Laos. (Po- land refused to be associated with this.) In an article published by the Far Eastern Economic Review on 21 November 1968, Guy Hannoteaux, who had been captured and held for a month by the Pathet Lao, confirmed the existence of a "sizeable num- ber" of North Vietnamese in Pathet Lao-held territory. He spoke to one who said he was North Vietnamese "like the others you have seen in this camp;" he had come to Laos only ten days previously. Accord- ing to Hannoteaux, it was generally the North Vietnamese who directed Pathet Lao operations. ' Approved For Release 1999/09/02.: CIA-RDP79101194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 On 4 December, Sergeant Cao Van Mai, of the Second Battalion, 505th Regiment of the North Vietnamese Army, told a press conference in Vientiane that he had been fighting in Laos since 1965 and had taken part in five attacks before being taken prisoner. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-R0P79-01194A000500110001-9 Hiltpfirovaivfzr Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-01194A006?0\614%661-9 3 February 1969 All World Affairs bout a t S the world at large Teets al: lernately relieved and dise iressed at the course of the Viet, ; am talks in Penile the anguish of Xttle Laos deepens, as do its Wounds. Either because of over-, pncentratIon of attention on Viet- am or became of its meeming demographic negligibility Laos ine eferi writhes In /teeny unnoticed \nd uaappreciated. A knife cuts at its henrt, yet L809 cannot cry, The world seeMa, to have little cline for it. Some 40,000. North Vietnamese solefers are on Its soil. Two new S iv isions were reported arrived in the leet fortnight. Hanoi, ot course, questions not only the figure but the fact itself of the' presence of its soldiers In Laox.t, That the North Vietnamese armed forces have been In Laos was; however confirmed by the Inters'. national Control Commission spinal years- ago though their numbeii then could not be as large. The: ;CC 'consists of the representativesif of Canada and Poland with India? as its Chairman. It was sot up in: 1954 as pnrt of the soscalled acel Cords arrived at the iirst Geneva! Conference on the problems of, the former States of Indo-China. 3 The ICC has not always been, able and active enough to .dis- charge its responsibility at least. in Laos. Indeed it does not halm the requisite capacity. This Is probably the reason why Prince Souvanna Phourna,? the country's, universally acclaimed neutralise, Prime IViinister, has been seeking; expension of its role and pers.! eonnel. But the smnliness of its, size and number or the men at? its disposnl is not the only wealve ness of the ICC. Every time, the ,Governmept of Laos has mule a! .complaint ineolving the Northj elletnamese, its Polish member has; Opposed action. . According to, ,Warsaw no decision of the ICC Le ;binding unless it is unanimous. I ; What seems to be the crassese example of this strcinge legalisne 'came when Prince Soul/1111nel Phouma requested the ICC to see cheekposts at access points into Laos from North Vietrunne Poland frustrated the implemen-' tntion of this request. Obviouslye this explains how the North Vices homes? mannged to be In Laos such missive strength. t? That in spite of its internee quarrels, the Communist world as a whole hag been acting In cone ert in relation to Laos became evident on nnother occasion. Ap- prehending that the little country Might be engulfed in, "Tonkinese !expansionism'," in )119 own phrase; Werence Souyanne Phourea fiat Seepreeteldied the 'Burians for nen-, tary assistance. Moscow refused to comply with his request, with ehe result that he had to turn to the Americans. The Americans initially agreed only to provide him facilities for reconnaissance information, though later they be. gan bombing North Vietnamese reinforcement and supply convoys along the Ho Chl-Minh Trail in Laos used by Hanoi to keep up. its war effort in South Vietnam. It may also be of some Interest to note that Communist China has been using its army men to build a road to connect Yunnan with Muong Sal, in that part of Laos Which is now under the controe of the Pathet Lao. Involuntary Role What is the extent of - North Vietnamese-assisted insurgency in Laos that is harrying the other- wise idyllic kingdom that res 'sernbles Nepal in several ways?. If we are to believe Soth Phetrasi, the leader of the Lao Patriotic Front,. a counterpart oe :the National Liberation Front in South Vietnam, three-fifths of the territory and half of the populae ton of Laos are controlled by the Pathet Laos Even Prince Sou- vanna Phouma concedes that onesi third of the territory a Laos Is !under Pathet Lao control and ones; third in contest between his Govsi .ernment and the Communist guee 'rains. How long the Governe 'ment a Laos can on its own be s, match for the challenge It laces es an open question. ' It has been assumed not only by the Americans, who find their basic emotions at war with their Involuntary role of the biggest , 'world power, but also by Prince Souvanna Phourna himself that 'once the war in Vietnam comes to, an end L809 will regain its peace.' neutrality and independence. The Prince told a Western journaliat some time ago that Hanoi would. not then find it necessary to main- tin its presence in Lao& This is Indeed Si chicken-and-egg story.. ;s It was in 1982 that the. Geneve Conlerence, after prolonged !wrangling, was supposed to have settled "once for all' the question of Laos. A Government of "natios nal unity" was established, It com- prised the nationalists, Prince Souvanna Phoumes neutralists end the Pattie Lao. But not long after, the Pathet Lao representa- tives walked out of it In touching faith that the word given is the word honoured, Prince Souvanna Phourna still keeps ..the vacated chairs unoccupied. In the Cabinet He has also reiterated more than once his hope that the Pathet Lao would agree to talk with him- ors whatever the points of dispute hes" tween them. et this has been an: B invitation without zesponse. Are. the Communists in Laos, or more pertinently their mentors abroad4 being -merely obsent-minded- Or ckt they lve-wIder arnbitIonse we trfay find the answer to this ques.e, tion in military geography as it, obtains In Laos today. ' I Mere Coincidence ? Pathet Lao forces are in occu- pation of Laotian territory not only along the borders a South' ;Vietnam but also in all the north- em and north-western regions. that bring them to the borders of Burma and Thailand. And they came into that posse5sico1 quite some time before the "war-mong.s erinp," U.S. President Johnsoei 'escalated" the war in Vietnam, wnseperhaps necessary for the North Vietnamese and the Pathet Lao to occupy the territory that constitutes the Ho Chi-minls trait, Their friends in South Vietnren had to be supported and eustaine ? ed. But why wns it necessnry them to occupy T,aotien tertitoryi up So the borders a these tw(e countries? To vary somewhat the same question, is it merely a .coe incidence that the Laotian terse. tory under the control of the Paei Viet Lao is contiguous with those areas of Burma and Thailand where insurgency is growing on an ineseasing scale? ? In an ostensible bid for an alibi, Mr Soth-Phetrasi has accused the Laotian Government of being he "tow with the Americans." He calls upon Prince Souvanna Phos =la and other members of hisi Government "to return to reason." But one fact seems to show that either Prince Souvanna Phouina'S Government is utterly inefficient or not as much sold to the .Aineti ricane as Seth would have us be Wye. While his friends are carry-ii ing on a vicious war against View-, tiane, Seth maintains an office id the Laotian capital. The office ill guarded by 120 Pathet Lao name4 men. Soth has been noticeably busy in keeping contacts not cinlyi with the foreign embassies in the Laotian Capital but also with dif- ferent departments in Prince Sou- vanna Phouma's Government. An "imperialist stooge" has seldom before been known to allow such facilities to a known enemy. - Prince Sotivanna Phourna Inny or may not .be the best practi- tioner a neutralism?he wrts at one time believed to derive inspi- ration from Jawaharlal Nehru-- but one cannot In reason ignors the lesson of his troubles anc, :eravails. His country's future Is ir jeopardy mainly because he one, most of his countrymen refuse tc" be sucked Into .the Corm-minis bloc of one variety or another. r is indeed distressing that his coun. ery's war should be forgotten !when. it is unforgettable, at lezs. for this pnrt of the world. .Noise about one part of the ? wonl should not be allowed to mea silence about another. e? ,? Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 CPYRGHT BURMA -......?....-.?,..._..,....7.----_?_-...7.--1-...17.17..i..17..:? Shih-p'ing ing-ku Fu-hsing-chen . Ou Neua Lai Phong Saly , e "illf 'HONG . tsAirY ' . ? ? uan ong N Th 9,," 110#11/ HOHA KHO 6' Muong Sai ..,..? ..., PRArsanIG i ? Pak Ben ,,, 'N....,..;?, 1.1t.: ' i_crtuang ."" r ;? raba : ' ei !Az , Sayaboury 1..v.,Xiarl/g1h/oang 4t? .... . . ,,/Vang Vieng 1: 47 ,.., \ ii \'I EN ANE r ,, q i i. VI 0 Chiang ' Khan Udon Thani Phitsanu k H A Ko-chiu Chau -- A ,o/ on ?. ? C H I ng-tzu on Bac Q Vang ?Ha Giang uang. Lao Ca Bac Can ? ien Bien,S?n La Phu HANOI / Hoa Binh Samneua Phu l' ANN 4/.." HOU Fl-IAN N TH ' Thanh an Ban Hoa 4., 41119?. NG At' C VIETN M *ua Rao 11/ $ inh BOtRIKH NE Paksane Kham Keu K 40), it Khai Khammouan ?Mahaxay p akon, Nakhon' 46- 410 . ".:.:?..:.;......i....?.?.- Pai-se ao Bang Na Lang Son Thai Nguyen Kep 0 , Hon Gal , Haiphong Ly ', Dinh Ninh Binh = atilwetikAp Dong Hal Vinh Linh ?' DEMARCATION 4, LINE S pane A N D ono 5. Savannakhet ..4" SOUTH Khon IIIIN N NAMES ARE NOT AND BOUNDARY NECESSARILY REPRESENTATION AUTHORITATIVE . Ali Kaen SAVANNAK' Hu . I I I CT Mg 0. Nong VIETNAM ,,,-- Ban Bac \ #14 / Sarava e ' LAOSChavan International boundary ? , ..," sec! ', ' SARAVA E , i i. Pakse * -(0': -0 = X/ Ubon ' "--"? Province boundary CI National capital 0 Province capital Ratchathani SI'LIONF 'E Ao ?' 1/4/// , AT,C)P,c.? i C ' ' passal ?Attopeu V Af, Kontuni I i Railroad ,a1THANDO4 ,., Khonglif Road ? ? Trail 1.11 Pleiku? ie 4 PL/NVN-Ft?Id area 0 25 50 75 100Mlles I ' ' Kralanh - ung reng i i i 1, 0 25 50 75 1u0 Kilometers CAM:OD' Base57Appfoved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 p9tuo, y.,e(1,!_?!4,e11! jsFril?9,9/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 May 1969 ECONOMIC STAGNATION IN CUBA After an initial period of growth and expansion, the Cuban economy has stagnated, in spite of the approximately $350 million in subsidies and credits which Cuba receives annually from the Soviet Union. Since 1957, the record pre-revolutionary year, the Cuban Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has risen by an average of only 1.5 per cent per year -- one of the poorest records in the region. Since the population has steadily grown, this means that per capita consumption has declined 15 to 20 per cent in the past decade. Change in Economic Objectives During its ten years in power, the Castro regime has changed its economic policies and objectives. Soon after taking over the government, Castro announced broad and ambitious plans to achieve rapid agrarian reform and agricultural diversification, rapid industrialization, nationalization of the economy, redistribution of income, improved living conditions and other benefits for the lower classes. After trying, without success, to attain so many objectives simultaneously for the first two to three years, the regime ordered a change in priorities. In 1963, after several disastrous sugar harvests and other economic failures, the government gave highest priority to increasing sugar pro- duction, while its earlier goals for industrialization and an increase in popular welfare were postponed until after 1970, the year the regime expected to meet its goal of a ten-million-ton sugar harvest. Emphasis has also been given to cattle raising, with the aim of developing livestock products for export purposes. The year 1963 marked the low point in the transition of the Cuban economy to a socialist structure. Since then, Cuba's GNP has grown at an average annual rate of less than two per cent, or about the same as the growth in population. Problems of the Economy The major reason for the general lack of economic progress in Cuba has been gross mismanagement of the economy. Most of those who now belong to the managerial class are poorly educated and inexperienced, while the system itself gives little authority to lower echelon managers and excessive authority to higher level officials. The administrative structure has been frequently reorganized and personnel has been freely shifted about, with consequent duplication and conflict in authority. There has been a perpetual shortage of labor in the agricultural sector, while at the same time a labor surplus has existed in other sectors. The U.S. trade embargo has forced Cuba to import capital goods to replace U.S.-built equipment and so has limited Cuba's ability to import other goods. And even this limited ability must be sustained by large infusions of economic aid from Communist countries, most of it from the Soviet Union. In spite of government efforts to increase the value of exports, there has been a decline. This is the result of a lower volume of sugar exports as well as a drop in non-sugar exports because of production problems, increased domestic demand and the loss of U.S. markets. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Sugar Production Current prospects indicate that the 1969 sugar crop will not be much larger than -- if as large as -- the 5.2 million tons of 1968, and Castro himself has admitted the crop has "gone badly." During a recent tour of Camaguey Province, a major sugar-producing area, Castro declared the delays in harvesting this year's crop could cost Cuba ten million dollars in foreign exchange, the same amount he hoped to earn by sugar rationing which was started the first of this year. Far from reaching the nine-million-ton- goal originally planned for 1969, this year's harvest should yield 51-- million tons, according to Castro's own estimates at the beginning of the year. Even that figure now appears unlikely since no production statistics have so far been published, although in the past the harvesting of one or two million tons early in the season has been widely publicized. Furthermore, it is said that preparations to meet the 1970 target of 10 million tons are interfering with the current harvest, with rumors that sugar from the current crop may even be concealed in order to appear to increase the yield next year. According to the official Communist Party newspaper Granma, Cubans must work harder to bring in the 1969 harvest and to cope with other economic tasks. A fresh drive in harvesting and planting was begun on 30 March and is to last until 1 May. This custom was started in 1966, when Castro proposed the Easter holidays be replaced by a week of intensive work in honor of his victory at Playa Giron. In 1967 Playa Giron week as it is now called was extended to two weeks, and in 1968 it was extended to a month. Now Castro has suggested there be no public holidays at all between October 1969 and July 1970 in order to meet economic goals. Such a drive, however, is in addition to the now regular mass mobilizations of thousands of citizens who are required to spend at least a month between February and May in the harvesting of sugarcane. All other activity -- governmental, business and educational -- suffers as a result, as it must either cease or slow down during this period. Dependence on the Soviet Union In early February the 1969 Soviet-Cuban trade protocol was signed, including the grant of long-term credit to finance the Cuban trade deficit, presumably not only to cover the deficit for this year, but also whatever may be necessary to cover the unfinanced protion of past trade deficits. Thus Cuba may well need more Soviet aid than last year when it totaled $328 million. (The 1968 trade deficit was larger than planned because Cuba shipped considerably less than the 2.7 million tons of sugar required by last year's protocol. Thus her deficit is estimated to be close to $400 million, or an increase of $150 million over the 1967 deficit.) Although Soviet exports to Cuba are not expected to increase in the cur- rent year, the USSR is expected to continue to supply considerable machinery and equipment, including that needed for Soviet-aided projects, raw materials, foodstuffs and almost all of Cuba's petroleum. Even if Soviet petroleum Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 deliveries to Cuba were to increase over the 1968 total of 5.3 million tons, there is no indication that it would allow the lifting of fuel rationing, which Cuba has had for over a year. The 1969 trade protocol was signed within the framework of a six-year agreement reached in 1964. There is no indication the Cubans have obtained any firm Soviet commitment for the years after that basic agreement expires in 1970. Obviously Castro's need for an assured subsidy will continue to be as great as ever, especially since economic planning includes further mechanization and diversification of Cuban agriculture and general expansion requiring huge capital investments. Dismal Outlook for Average Cuban In general, the average consumer is faring poorly under the Cuban revolution. Per capita consumption of goods and services has declined about 15 per cent since 1957. Except for landless farm workers and urban service workers, who now receive higher wages and increased health and education benefits, consumption levels for most other groups have declined, and high income groups have lost nearly everything. Acute shortages of almost all types of consumer goods have developed, and the people now must queue up daily for many essentials. Prices in the controlled retail market are forty per cent above 1957, and prices in the widespread black market are five times higher than legal prices. Because the supply of goods and services is expected to grow only slightly faster than the population, there will apparently be little improvement in living conditions for the average Cuban in the foreseeable future. Added to this is the fact that the average citizen can no longer find temporary escape in such simple pleasures as playing the lottery or visiting his neighborhood cantina, since the regime considers such past-times out of line with economic austerity and its concept of the "new Communist man." All told, there is little in this bleak situation to appeal to would-be instigators or followers of the revolution elsewhere in Latin America. And, indeed, the widespread admiration which the Cuban revolution once inspired in Latin America is now almost entirely dissipated. The cause is not hard to find: the Cuban revolution has simply failed to live up to its promise. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-pP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 May 1969 ECONOMIC STAGNATION IN CUBA After an initial period of growth and expansion, the Cuban economy has stagnated, in spite of the approximately $350 million in subsidies and credits which Cuba receives annually from the Soviet Union. Since 1957, the record pre-revolutionary year, the Cuban Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has risen by an average of only 1.5 per cent per year -- one of the poorest records in the region. Since the population has steadily grown, this means that per capita consumption has declined 15 to 20 per cent in the past decade. Change in Economic Objectives During its ten years in power, the Castro regime has changed its economic policies and objectives. Soon after taking over the government, Castro announced broad and ambitious plans to achieve rapid agrarian reform and agricultural diversification, rapid industrialization, nationalization of the economy, redistribution of income, improved living conditions and other benefits for the lower classes. After trying, without success, to attain so many objectives simultaneously for the first two to three years, the regime ordered a change in priorities. In 1963, after several disastrous sugar harvests and other economic failures, the government gave highest priority to increasing sugar pro- duction, while its earlier goals for industrialization and an increase in popular welfare were postponed until after 1970, the year the regime expected to meet its goal of a ten-million-ton sugar harvest. Emphasis has also been given to cattle raising, with the aim of developing livestock products for export purposes. The year 1963 marked the low point in the transition of the Cuban economy to a socialist structure. Since then, Cuba's GNP has grown at an average annual rate of less than two per cent, or about the same as the growth in population. Problems of the Economy The major reason for the general lack of economic progress in Cuba has been gross mismanagement of the economy. Most of those who now belong to the managerial class are poorly educated and inexperienced, while the system itself gives little authority to lower echelon managers and excessive authority to higher level officials. The administrative structure has been frequently reorganized and personnel has been freely shifted about, with consequent duplication and conflict in authority. There has been a perpetual shortage of labor in the agricultural sector, while at the same time a labor surplus has existed in other sectors. The U.S. trade embargo has forced Cuba to import capital goods to replace U.S.-built equipment and so has limited Cuba's ability to import other goods. And even this limited ability must be sustained by large infusions of economic aid from Communist countries, most of it from the Soviet Union. In spite of government efforts to increase the value of exports, there has been a decline. This is the result of a lower volume of sugar exports as well as a drop in non-sugar exports because of production problems, increased domestic demand and the loss of U.S. markets. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Sugar Production Current prospects indicate that the 1969 sugar crop will not be much larger than -- if as large as -- the 5.2 million tons of 1968, and Castro himself has admitted the crop has "gone badly." During a recent tour of Camaguey Province, a major sugar-producing area, Castro declared the delays in harvesting this year's crop could cost Cuba ten million dollars in foreign exchange, the same amount he hoped to earn by sugar rationing which was started the first of this year. Far from reaching the ninet-million-ton- goal originally planned for 1969, this year's harvest should yield 5? million tons, according to Castro's own estimates at the beginning of the year. Even that figure now appears unlikely since no production statistics have so far been published, although in the past the harvesting of one or two million tons early in the season has been widely publicized. Furthermore, it is said that preparations to meet the 1970 target of 10 million tons are interfering with the current harvest, with rumors that sugar from the current crop may even be concealed in order to appear to increase the yield next year. According to the official Communist Party newspaper Gramma, Cubans must work harder to bring in the 1969 harvest and to cope with other economic tasks. A fresh drive in harvesting and planting was begun on 30 March and is to last until 1 May. This custom was started in 1966, when Castro proposed the Easter holidays be replaced by a week of intensive work in honor of his victory at Playa Giron. In 1967 Playa Giron week as it is now called was extended to two weeks, and in 1968 it was extended to a month. Now Castro has suggested there be no public holidays at all between October 1969 and July 1970 in order to meet economic goals. Such a drive, however, is in addition to the now regular mass mobilizations of thousands of citizens who are required to spend at least a month between February and May in the harvesting of sugarcane. All other activity -- governmental, business and educational -- suffers as a result, as it must either cease or slow down during this period. Dependence on the Soviet Union In early February the 1969 Soviet-Cuban trade protocol was signed, including the grant of long-term credit to finance the Cuban trade deficit, presumably not only to cover the deficit for this year, but also whatever may be necessary to cover the unfinanced protion of past trade deficits. Thus Cuba may well need more Soviet aid than last year when it totaled $328 million. (The 1968 trade deficit was larger than planned because Cuba shipped considerably less than the 2.7 million tons of sugar required by last year's protocol. Thus her deficit is estimated to be close to $400 million, or an increase of $150 million over the 1967 deficit.) Although Soviet exports to Cuba are not expected to increase in the cur- rent year, the USSR is expected to continue to supply considerable machinery and equipment, including that needed for Soviet-aided projects, raw materials, foodstuffs and almost all of Cuba's petroleum. Even if Soviet petroleum Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 deliveries to Cuba were to increase over the 1968 total of 5.3 million tons, there is no indication that it would allow the lifting of fuel rationing, which Cuba has had for over a year. The 1969 trade protocol was signed within the framework of a six-year agreement reached in 1964. There is no indication the Cubans have obtained any firm Soviet commitment for the years after that basic agreement expires in 1970. Obviously Castro's need for an assured subsidy will continue to be as great as ever, especially since economic planning includes further mechanization and diversification of Cuban agriculture and general expansion requiring huge capital investments. Dismal Outlook for Average Cuban In general, the average consumer is faring poorly under the Cuban revolution. Per capita consumption of goods and services has declined about 15 per cent since 1957. Except for landless farm workers and urban service workers, who now receive higher wages and increased health and education benefits, consumption levels for most other groups have declined, and high income groups have lost nearly everything. Acute shortages of almost all types of consumer goods have developed, and the people now must queue up daily for many essentials. Prices in the controlled retail market are forty per cent above 1957, and prices in the widespread black market are five times higher than legal prices. Because the supply of goods and services is expected to grow only slightly faster than the population, there will apparently be little improvement in living conditions for the average Cuban in the foreseeable future. Added to this is the fact that the average citizen can no longer find temporary escape in such simple pleasures as playing the lottery or visiting his neighborhood cantina, since the regime considers such past-times out of line with economic austerity and its concept of the "new Communist man." All told, there is little in this bleak situation to appeal to would-be instigators or followers of the revolution elsewhere in Latin America. And, indeed, the widespread admiration which the Cuban revolution once inspired in Latin America is now almost entirely dissipated. The cause is not hard to find: the Cuban revolution has simply failed to live up to its promise. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-DP79-01194A000500110001-9 Appro,ved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A090500110001-9 ? Solo para uso de fondo. ESTANCAMIENTO ECONOMIC? EN CUBA Tras un periodo inicial de crecimiento y expansiOn, la economia,cubana se ha paralizado a pesar de los sub- sidi9s y creditos que con'valor aprwsimado qe 350 millones de dolares recibe cada aflo de la Union Sovietica. Desde 1957, alio extraordinario de la era pz.revolucionaria, el Producto Nacional Bruto de Cuba (PNB) ha promediado un agmento de uno y meg() por ciento anual, una,de las cifras mas bajas de la region. Dado que la poblacion ha aumentado regularmente, el porcentaje significa que el consum9 per capita ha decrecido en un veinte por ciento en los ultaMos diez anos. Cambios en los objetivos econOmicos. . El regimp de Castro ha modificado su politica y objetivos economicos durante los diez afios que ha permanecido en el poder. A raiz de asumir el control del gobierno, Castro dio a conocer programas vast9s y ambiciosos encami-, nados a lograr la reforma agraria rapl.da, la diversificacion de la agricgltura, la industrializacion del pe,..fs, la na- cionalizacion de la economfa, la redistribucion de los ingresos, la mejora de las condiciones de vida y otas medidas beneficiosas para las clases pobres., Despues de intentar infructuosamente de alcanzar simultaneaments tan varialas metas en los,primeros dos o tres anos, el regimen ordeno una modificacion de las prioridades. En 1963, tras algunas zafras azucareras clesastrosas y,otros fracasos economicos, el gol3ierno otorgo la prioridad mas alta al aument9 de la produccion azucarera, abandonando la industr4lizacion y el mejoramiento del bienestar del pueblo hasta despues de 1970, alio en que el gobierno espera alcanzar la meta que se fijo: la zafra azucvera de diez millones de toneladas. Asimismo, se ha pues,to enfasis en la ?lila de ganado con vista a la exportacion. El alio de 1963 marc6 el punto ms bajo en la transiciOn de la economfa cubana hacia una estructura socialista. Desde Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02-: CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 entonces el PNB de Cuba ha Fomediado un aumento de menos del dos por ciento'anual,,mas o menos igual a la tasa de crecimiento de la poblacion. Problemas de la economra. La causa principal de la falta de progreso,econcimico general de Cuba ha sido la malfsima administracion de la economla. La mayorla de los dlirigentes son personas inexpertas y de poca preparacion, y por otra parte, el sistema le otorga poca autoridad a los funcionarios de segunda categoria mientras que le concede excesivo poder a los dirigentes principales. La estructura administrativa ha sufrido numerosas reorganizaciones, transfiriendose al,personal de un lugar a otro con la consiguiente duplicacion y conflict? de autoridad. Ha habido una constante escasez de mano de obra en el sector agrIcola, mientras que en otros sectores se ha registrado exceso de empleados. El embargo de los Estados Unidos ha forzado a Cuba a importar bienes capitales para r;emplazar los equipos de manufactura norteamericana, limitandose asf la capacidad para importar otros bienes. Y aun esta capacidad limitada necesita ser sostenida por las grandes dosis de ayuda exterior iue Cubs recibe de los parses comunistas, mayormente de la Union Sovietica. A pesar de los esfuerzos del gobierno por aumentar las exportaci9nes estas han disminufdo,a consecuencia de la disminucion en los embarques de azoa11 y de otros productos por los probleTas en la produccion,e1 aumento de la demanda interna y la perdida de los mercados norteamericanos. La producciOn azucarera. Las pvspectivas actuales indican que la zafra de 1969 no sera mayor que las 5,200,000 toneladas logradas en 1968... sI es que se llega a.esta cifra. El propio Castro ha admitido que .1a zafra no marcha bien." Durante un recorrido reciente por la provincia d9 Camaguey, que es una de las regiones de mayor produccion de azucar, Castro declaro que las demoras en el acopio Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 - 3 - de 1a cafia este aTio le podrfan costar a Cuba cliez millones de dolares en divisas: la misma 9antidad que el esp9raba obtener del racionamiento del-azucar que se implant? a principios de alio. Lejos de alcanzar la meta de nueve millones de,tone- ladas planeada para 1969, la zafra d9 este alio debera llegar a 5,500,000 de toneladas, segun el estimado del propio Castro a principios de alio. Pero esta cifra ya luce ser ina1canzab19: no se han publicado hasta ahora datos de la produccion, a diferencia,del pasado en que se le daba gran publicidad a la obtencion de uno o dos millones de toneladas al principio de la zafra. AdemSs, se at Irma que los preparatins para lograr las diez millones de toneladas en 1970 estan interfiriendo con la zafra actual y se rumora que hasta se estS escon- diendo el amicar de la vesente zafra con el objeto de dar la apariencia el afio proximo de que se ha aumentado la producciOn. Segtin Granma, Organ() oficial del Partido Comunista, los cubanos deben trabajar mSs arduamente para acabar la zafra de 1963y hacer fronte a otras tareas econOmicas. El 30 de marzo se inici6 una nueva campafia de cosecha y cultivo. que durarS hasta el primero de mayo. Esta costumbre comenzo en 1966, afio en que Castro propuso que las vaca- ciones de Semana Santa fuesen sustituldas por una semana de trabajo intensivo para conmemorar la victoria de Playa Giron. En 167 la Jornada de GirOn, como se la llama ahora, se extendio a dos semanas y en 1968 a UI) mes. Ahora Castro ha sugerido que no haya dfas festivos publicos en lo alpoluto desde octubre de 1969 a aulio de 1970 con el pro- posit? de alcanzar las metas economicas. Sin embargo esa campafia es adicional a las mobilizaciones, ya regularizadas, de miles de ciudadanos a los que se les exige que laboren per lo menos un mes en el corte de cafia. Como resultado toda otra activ;dad, ya sea gubernamental, comercial o educacional, practicamente cesa o disminuye durante ese period?. Dependencia en la UniOn.Sovietica. A principios de febrero se firm6 el protocolo comercial Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/0T02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 cuano-sovie.tico para 1969, incluyendose la concesiOn de creditos a largo plazo para financiar el 4eficit comercial de Cuba (este compr9de posiblenpnte no solo el del ail.? er,i curse, sine tambien la porcion no financiada de am5iguos deficits)., Per tanto, es posible que Cuba necesite mas ayuda sovietica que los 328 millones de dolares recibidos el aria pasado. (El deficit comercial de 1968 results may,or de lo que se ha,.b/a planeado debido a que Cuba embarco mucho menos azucar que las 2,700,000 toi)eladas estipuladas en el protocolo. Se,estima que el deficit asciencle a unos 400 millones de dolares; o sea, 150 millones mas que en 1967.) No es de esperar que la exportaciones sovieticas a Cuba aumeten durante 1969, aunque sf se cree que la URSS continuara proporcionando maquinaria y equipos en grandes cantldades para los proyectos establecidos con ayuda sovietica, as1 como,materias primas, productos alimedticios y casi todo el petroleo que consume Cuba. Aun Si las entregas de petrOleo sovietico a Cuba sobrepasaran el total de 5,300,000 toneladas de 1968, no hay indicios que serialen el cese del rac;onamiento de combustible implantado en Cuba hace ya mas de un El protocolo comercial de 1969 se firms dentro del marco del convenio per seis arios de 1964. No se cree que los cubanos hvan obtenido promesas en firme per parte de la Union Sovietica para los afios siguientes a 1970, fecha en que vence ese convenio bS.sico. Es obvio que la nece- sidad de Castro de contar eon un subsidio seguro continuard siendo tan gpande somo siempre, principalmente porque el planeamiento economic? incluye la progresiva mecanizaciOn y diversificaciOn de la agricultura cubana, y la expansion general requiere grandes inversiones de capital. Perspectivas 11.1iubres para la mayor/a de los cubanos. En general, al consumidor cubano le va mal bajo la re- volucion. El consumo per capita de bienes y servicios ha disminufdo a?lrededor de un quince por ciento desde' 1957. Con excepcion de los trabajadores. agricolas que no posefan tienoas y los empleados cle servicios urbanos, quienes reciben ahora salarios mas altos y mayores beneficios en Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 -5- cuanto a salud y educaciOn, los niveles de consume de la mayorfa de los otros grupos ha disminuldo, y aquellos que gozaban de altos ingresos lo han perdido casi todo. Se han producido escaseces agudas de casi todos los bienes de consumo y en la actualidad los cubanos se ven obligados a hac9r colas diarias para adquirir muchos de los productos basicos. Los p.recios en el mercado controlado son un cuarenta por ciento mas altos que en 1957, y en la balsa negra que es bastante extensa, son cinco veces por arriba de los precios legales. Puesto (pie se espera gue 1. oferta de bienes y,servicios crezca solo un poco mas rapid? que la poblacion, se hace aparente gue las condi- clones de vida del cubano medio no mejoraran en el futuro cercano. A esto se arlade el hecho que al ciudadano medio ya no se le permite buscar refugio en 131aceres tan simples como la loterfa o la visita al "cafe" del barrio dado que el r6gimen considera que estos pasatiempos no estSn en lfnea con la austeridad econOmica ni eon el concepto del ftnuevo hombre comunista." Dicho todo esto, hay poco en esta situaciOn sombrfa que pueda svvir de all,.ciente a los posibles seguidores de la revollicion en la America Latina., En realidad,, la admiracion que er) el pasado desperto la revolucion cubana en toda Latinoamerica se ha di*pado casi por,completo. No es diffcil descubrir por que: la revolucion cubana simplemente ha fracasado en cumplir sus promesas. Approved For Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 FOREIGN AGRICULTURE 6 January_ 1969 Cuban AgLizaz0trare?Ten !ears Under Castro CPYRGHT Although Cuban farms have changed drastically over the past decade sugar remains the No. 1 crop? and the mainstay of the economy. By WILBUR F. BUCK Foreign Regional A nalysis Division Economic Research Service' This January 1, Fidel Castro's Government observed its 10th anniversary?a suitable vantage point from which to review the major events in Cuba's agricultural development under the present regime. Although the decade has been a period of significant change in the political, social, and economic structure of Cuba, the change has not necessarily meant progress. Tan- gible benefits to the populace?such as free schools, free medical services, and minimal reths?have been offset by such negative factors as increased food costs and severe rationing of food, clothing, gasoline, and other daily requisites. Undcr Castro, Cuba's gross national product has risen from $2.7 billion in 1958 to nearly $3.0 billion in 1967. But per capita income has declined nearly 14 percent, to $368.; popu- lation is now 8 million compared with 6.5 million in 1958. The Cuban economy continues to be weak, requiring massive aid from the Soviet Union (reportedly some $360 million, annually) plus additional assistance in the form of credits from Free World countries to stave off collapse. Cuba continues, almost fanatically, to focus its agriculture ? on sugar?a commodity that faces already-glutted world mar- kets and low prices. The tourist business, once an important source of revenue, has disappeared. Migration of professional and other skilled citizens continues, and Cuba remains iso- lated from nearly all its Hemisphere neighbors. Cuba has a preferential sugar-price agreement with the Soviet Union (incidentally the world's largest producer of sugar), but most payment is taken in the form of barter, leaving considerable doubt with respect to actual price. Castro's 10 years in office have produced a trade balance over- whelmingly in favor of the Soviet Union, which has had the effect of mortgaging the Cuban sugar crops for years to come. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 1 Approved For Approved For Land confiscation a flrst step Re1ease4999109102rt elscORDP791.1011494A90050 months of fighting, revolutionary forces led by Fidel Castro succeeded in toppling the Batista Government. On January 1, 1959, Castro gained control of the government, and the people of Cuba?after long civil strife?welcomed the pros- pects of change. The change they encountered exceeded their expectations. Premier Castro, promptly revealing his Communist sym- ?pathics, lost no time in calling for sweeping agricultural and political reforms. His government set out "to eradicate the effects of a colonial and imperialist heritage and to build a new life." The blueprint for Castro's agricultural programs appeared in the first Agrarian Reform law passed May 17, 1959. This legislation established the National Agrarian Reform Institute (IN RA), an agency to carry out government directives relat- ing to agriculture. The agency promised land for the landless, arranged for expropriation of the large estates (with pro- visions for indemnification), prohibited sharecropping, and endeavored to diversify agriculture to increase the island's food production and thereby conserve scarce foreign ex- change. - Under INRA supervision, all lands in excess of 402 hec- tares (about 1,000 acres) were promptly confiscated; in some instances 2-caballeria units (about 66 acres) were redistrib- uted to former tenants. Few of the estate owners received indemnification. The estates were not subsequently dissolved as planned; rather the government began to operate the seized lands as Soviet-type state farms with hired workers. Confiscation of agricultural properties proved a severe blow to United States interests. U.S. holdings were said to equal about 35 percent of the entire sugar industry (some 39 of the 157 sugar mills and their estates were U.S. owned), and U.S. interest was also heavy in rice production and cattle ranches. The few remaining large landholders were eliminated by the second Agrarian Reform law passed. October 3, 1963, which nationalized all farmlands in excess of 67 hectares (167 acres). These properties were added to the established state farms. The remaining 200,000 small farmers were bracketed into the government-directed National Association of Small Farmers (ANAP). By mid-I960, the 1NRA had taken title to 60 percent of all Cuba's privately owned cropland. By 1966, the number of small farmers reportedly had dwindled to 120,000. Loss of a U.S. good neighbor In the meantime, diplomatic and trade relations with the United States, Cuba's major trading partner, continued to deteriorate. In 1958, Cuba was shipping two-thirds of all its agricultural exports to the United States and purchasing a similar share of its agricultural needs from U.S. firms. Value of Cuban imports of U.S. farm products came to $145 million in 1958; wheat and flour, rice, pulses, meat, and lard were the principal import commodities. Cuba ranked seventh among U.S. foreign markets. Early in 1960, Castro's Government negotiated trade agree- ments with many of the Communist countries and systemati- cally began shifting its traditional trade with the United States in atiother direction. In less than a year, 70 percent of all Cuban agricultural exports were being routed to Communist country destinations. 311Wg@HT V 110001-9 Approved For Re I 9939i09/00iscOlAci3DPVIdOli940(0005001100)1-9_. K balance (700,000 tons) of Cuba's lu.rative 1960 sugar quota Y GHT and suspended further sugar purcha..e.s. Steadily worsening U.S.-Cuban relations reached a clima7 when refineries owned by the United States and Britain re ised to process Soviet crude oil and their properties were seed by the Cuban Gov- ernment. In February 1962 the United Stg es imposed a trade em- bargo on Cuba and severed diploi atic relations. Thus, 60 years of mutually beneficial trade I Aween the two countries went down the drain. The changing economic plan The early years of central plannin, were characterized by intensive eff&. food production and to expand tit+ for development during the years signed to increase the gross nationa cent a year, followed. In 1963, this r its impracticality became evident. The policy then reverted to emph sis on sugar production, frequently at the expense of rice an other food crops; com- mercial development was limited to it dustries either connected with agriculture or to other enterr ises requiring relatively small investments. This policy rema'ls in force today. Agricultural development has incuded such programs as land reclamation, irrigation, pasture improvement, and de- velopment of the cattle industry. Botween 1955 and 1965, cropland was increased by 22 percent and much of the waste- land was returned to pasture. Acquisition of a number of bull- dozers and other farm machinery in recent years reportedly has accelerated the rate of land improvement. A sugar dependency Cuba and sugar are synonymous; the island has always been highly dependent on this crop. In 1958 the sugar industry employed half a million workers and accounted for four-fifths of the value of all Cuban ex- ports. At estimated 60 percent of the cropland was in sugar- cane. Or a world basis, Cuba produced 15 percent of all the sugar manufactured and accounted for one-third of all sugar moving in foreign trade. Production was reasonably good that year?about 5.6 million metric tons compared with the 4.9- million-ton average for the preceding 5 years; it was valued at nearly $400 million. The United States had an agreement to purchase approximately 60 percent of the 1958 crop at preferential prices. In 1958 and other pre-Castro years, Cuba's sugar-producing capacity was probably much greater than production because growers were then'deliberately trying to hold output to market requirements. Emphasis seemed more on factory efficiency in extraction than on efficiency in cane production. In 1959, production of sugar in Cuba reached 6 million metric tons. It continued at approximately the same level (5.9 million tons) the following year. In 1961?the best sugar- producing year of the Castro administration-6.8 million tons were produced. In 1962, however, sugar output declined sharply to 4.8 million tons, as redirection of production re- sources and a general falling-off in efficiency of both equip- ment and management began to have their influence. The low point of sugar production in the Castro period came in 1963 Approved For Rekvdbell919911991000OSAIIRIDPIA934143119411v984600 of sugar. for the Cuban economy ts to increase domestic industrial base. A plan 962-65, specifically de- product at least 10 per- an was abandoned when 110001-9 Approved Fo Rttlegdieg 19 9 9/097023r4eFOR*511?19111 ? , A I t s .0056k1(6N-I to million tons of sugar is ihe target program d o This was to be achieved by stages according to the following timetable of annual production: Million metric tons Million metric tons 1965 6.0 1968 8.0 1966 6.5 1969 9.0 1967 7.5 1970 10.0 Since the establishment of these goals, sugar production has reached the target only in 1965. In 1966, output was short by as much as 30 percent. In 1968, the goal will likely be underachieved by more than 35 percent. Prospects for the oncoming 1969 harvest have already been dimmed by an ex- tended period of drought. Attainment of the 10-minion-metric-ton sugar goal by 1970 may be remotely possible but only under fortuitous climatic conditions and at great cost to the Cuban people and their economy. This would entail the mobilization of a vast army of cane-cutters and other workers to man the expanded acre- age in cane, converting of transportation and other facilities to the sugar industry, plus intensive application of fertilizer, farm machinery, and other resources to the crop. Undoubtedly much 1969 cane will be "left over," and in all probability subsequent crops will suffer as a result of over- cutting. In past efforts to reach sugar goals, few production resources have been spared; high priorities have been set for labor and machinery, and large allocations of funds have been made for the purchase of fertilizer and the modernization and -expansion of milling facilities. Cuba's present exports of coffee are being accomplished by squeezing an undcrsupplied domestic market?a sharp con, drast with the situation in 1958 when, from a relative surplus 20 percent of its crop was sold abroal. Coffee production for 1968 is estimated at 30,000 tons, ap somewhat from the previous year but still 25 perccr short of the 1957-59 average. The 1968 rice harvest is less if In the 1967 tonnage and just slightly over half the output pre-Castro days. Produc- tion of' tobacco, an important ea ter of foreign exchange, h only about two-thirds the prerc lution volume. There hat been some improvement recent' in the production of live. stock and meat, but the totals st'J remain substantially Woe the 1957-59 averages. Diets deteriorate When the Castro regime came t.? power in 1959 the Cuban, were one of the best-fed peoples i Latin America. Excessive ? and indiscriminate livestock slaugh? * in 1959 and early 1960\ however, caused a sharp drop in r ?at supplies. A decline in the output of food crops, especial') ice, during Castro't carl years in office was precipitated t , rapid nationalization o farm properties and the shift in di ; :tion of trade. The past decade has witnessed ; deterioration in the avers age Cuban's diet, particularly in i quality, as grain protcia has replaced much of the animal r ? ttein. Food production in 1968 is esti ated to have been about 10 percent less than the 1957-59 av age. But food production per capita has declined some 25 t 4 30 percent from that of a decade earlier, necessitating heav imports of food product:, such as wheat and wheat dour from Canada on Soviet account. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : qIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Apgattnest FlexRelease 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 17 April 1969 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Cuba Striving to, Boost Size of Vital Sugar Crop By Fenton Wheeler HAVANA (AP)?Fidel Cas- tro named it ''the year of deci- sive endeavor." Everybody agrees 1969 will be a year of unprecedented hard work, sac- rifice and probably less con- sumer comfort for Cuba's' eight million people. There is little doubt the gov- ernment is making its most se- rious effort so far to strengthen the economy. The goal: A record 10 million tons of sugar production next year. Present indications are that the government will have to hustle to make it. Premier Castro already says :this year's harvest? billed as a rehearsal for next year?is not going Well. It may make five million tons. Cuba needs a big sugar har- vest to meet credit obligations on both sides of the Iron Cure lain. Trade experts say it is possible that Castro can get by financially in 1970 with less than 10 million tons?say eight million tons?if sugar prices stay up. But the Cuban leader him: 'self has tied political consider- ations to the 1970 harvest by pledging the honor of his Communist government on reaching the goal. He says the Cuban revolution can be Judged once and for all on whether the country makes it. ; The result has been to make the 10 million tons a national motto. Huge posters dot the countryside proclaiming "thee 1 .10 million are coming." A big neon sign flashes the same 'news in red, white and blue on litivana's main street. I Along with sloganeering has ,come more work. Some exam- ples:, ? ? More than 110,000 volun- teers, mostly young people, are working in hot, Texas-like Camaguey province. Many will stay up to three years. ? Workers in westernmost Pinar del Rio province have pledged to work 12 hours daily. Some dn Las Villas province have given up vaca- tions this year. Most factory workers have agreed to work one hour extra daily without pay to make up the production loss of fellow workers toiling In agriculture. ? High school students who normally spend 45 days in ag- ricultural work are doing 90 this year. Some are staying for 120 days. Castro has indicated the tra- ditional Christmas and New Year's holidays will be post- poned 'until July, 1970, when the harvest is finished. This year will be 18 months long,' he says. Meanwhile, the country's. food a n d clothing shortages continue. Thousands of man- hours are still being lost in queues and in a breakdown of services as employes leave their jobs to work in agricul- ture.Castro has blamed bad ort ganization for this year's daw- dling harvest. He also has noted that many state work centers are run by administra-; tors who have no more than a. sixth-grade education. Nature, too, is a persistent problem for one-crop Cuba. After the 1967 drought bat' tered sugar production, Castro 'rushed ahead plans on dam building and irrigation. Now 'too much rain has slowed planting for next year aid ,though the really rainy season 'doesn't begin until mid-May. After that tomes the htuTil taw aeasont Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 5 GRANMA, Havana, Cuba (Official CP Newspaper) RGHT 22 marApplisied For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A00050-011W0Y1.9 , giogt CPYRGHT Era SICOO love..nos.e3 dfick._qpi.:'j SANTIAGO DE CUBA.?: Desde el prim,ero ae aoril hgsta el 14 de junio, einco mU jovenes orientales se mo- vilizaran hacia plantaciones ,catieras del norte de Oriente para rendir homenaje a los aniversarios de natalicio de ldos grandes heroes: Antonio -Macee v Ernesto Che Gue- vara, nacidos ambos un dia 14 de junio. El movimiento que desple- fgaran los jovenes orientales 'neva este nombre: "Opera- cion 14 de junio" y se des-' larrollare, fundamentalmente," en la zona de Manati, Puerto .Padre, atendiendo los resul; , tados y experiencias acopia-1 dos en la "Operacion 13 de', AVIarZO"? t El anuncio del desarrollo, de este movimiento se dio a' ,Cpnacer en nna.yetm,16n gig; 'presidlo Ren?nillo, seguni do secretario del Partido en! '.Oriente, celebrada en Pitut-I fes de Mayari. En ella se dijo,, ademAs: wee se promoveran 7,100 jOvenes y 1,200 muchachas a la Columns Juvenil del Centenario, asi como que se tomaran medidas pare la or-:, ganizacion de la "Columna Cien Alms de Lucia", inte-; grada, por javenes de 13 a4 16 anos, para marcher a ln zafra del caf? A nombre del' Bur& Eje-, cutivo Provincial del Partii ;do, Ren?nillo felicito a la UJC y" a todos los javenes1 ,que en Oriente han respon4 dido a los llamados del Par; tido; los exhort6 ademas mantener ese espiritu.y en tusiasmo ante las nueiras tareas. ' Ilms4 Commit, Abut Approved For Release 1999/09/Oa : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Is' AttiFi%Reditgaigfit9tYlAbf!T,TARRIliP79-01194A00050011 COOTliG HT 21t rCh 1969 . tro -?pprwm-,,,7-,Pr.--4-vr=1-4.1irm;,-1-4. ? 773rSTEMTIMIIM.Pmq-vt ,047410 a el; AP Oki* r4V*4 41241 P`,?111#140' .40400?h4 4A4 14v4glittlit WS tail (7) 4,...., -. , 4.,...... 01 PING CUATRO, Camagiley,, Phipl p intarrmaii zarzo zu.?unas noras des- fties de haber recorrido, las rees cafieras ? , del central'. .Amancio Rodriguez", lugares3 en que departi6 respective- Monte con, ,trabajadores de' fine .brigada. de caminos del, DAP y con jOvenes, machete.. ros de la StibagrupaciOn 1 del; Ejerclto de`Oriente, el primer' ,ministro, comandante Fide I: Castro, sostuvp Una ,tante' reuni6n, on, .facto-, res regionales envueltos. en ,la ,presente zafra. El punt e Alnico% del .encuen- !Aro, que tuvo lugar en ? este' ;puesto de mando de 'la agri- +Culture. ,fue el analisis y. i'adopciOn de medidas ante una, tsituaciOn de zafra retrasada utmenaza,cle las lluvias verales en la regi6n de 'Amen-, +cio-Santa Cruz.. - De acuerdo a lo examined?, la region resulta ser el punto 'm?critic() de la provincia en' materia de zafra, con un Mesti- ado de cane por cortar moler superior a 80 millones de arrobas. Este total debera, ser asimilado por los tres cen- trales de la regi6n ?"Amen-. do Rodriguez", "Haiti" yi "Candido Gonzalez"? aSi mo por el central Colombia",,' que tambien molera gaits de; ,esta zone. . En un contact? previo a la, reunien, Fidel discutio porme- por1zadaiente los casos de, aquellas colonies con -mayor: volumen de cafra en tierras bajas 5/. m?compleja ciOn en cuanto a caminos ca.( fieros, a los efectos de viabi-, Ilzar las operaciones de. zafra en dichos lugares antes de la llegada de las lluvias. De este, modo fueron analizadas situa clones como la imperante en la, Zona "Santa Amelia'', "Junco", 9 "La Lucha", en la cual 7, millones de arrobas de cafia, r corren peligro de no pode ser convertidas en, azucar, en casofk de quo se iniciaran las lluvia Amancio-Santa Cruz enfren l -, a la doble caracterfstica ,un ?regimen de Iluvias tempraa, 'ruts y vastaa Areas cafieras. en, lerrenos muy bajos. Sucesivamente fueron exa-? por el estado de los cantings, cafieros, la localizaciOn respee- tiva de los centros de recep- CiOn, ail como los equipos cid tiro, y solicito de los dirigen-' tes locales informaciOn sobrti ello. "Aqui no hay un dfa que es- perar; no estamos en condi, clones de esperar ni 24 ho. tar. coment6 el Primer Mi.. nistrO a varios de los presen: tes, para esbozar a continua- den un plan de construcciOn de eaminos catferos de emer.4 gencia, mediante el apoyo dei cuatro brigades de caminos del' DAP. Subray,rd? Fidel que el mencionado' personal deberat ejeeutar los caminos cafierotr, para la,Zafra de 1970, despuesi tie haber soluciorrado la con-,1 tingencia presente; es' decir4 luego de priorizar y construirj o reconstruir los caminos mast afectados actualmente. , "Ahors, hay que prestarles.! atencidn alas caminos ---orien-4 to Fidel? 'y 'al' mismo tiempo I 4 .ver 'donde va haciendo faita, alguna cosa, arreglar aim po-I .ner un tubo,. para acometerlol cuando sea posible" El Primer Ministro .restnni6 tlit estrategia alli trazada como; un conjunto de medidas ten-i fdientes a apresurar los traba-'i ?jos en las zonas bajas y con-1 jurar as( los posibles efectos, i,de las Iluvias en el prOxirno! mes de abril. Igualniente, +Fidel fue informado por el: tomandante Rogelio Acevedo,. delegado del I3ur6 Politico, de: 'algunas llmitaciones tecnicaat de los ingenios de la regiOn4 que serail atenuadas mecliante, la vinculaciOn., respective de, algunas Areas cafieras hacia,; los centrales' de mayor capaci-4 dad en le regiOrva los efectosi, de un aprovechamiento pleno. de las capacidades instaladas,' factor que tambien agiliiara la zafra. flo' TRES REGIONES CoN , LA ZAFRA "APRETADA" ! A este respect?. el ? Colom,-, , . I bia" absorbera parte de las: Areas de "Amancio Rodri-; guez";'quien a su vez recibirai calla desvinculada de los cen- m os ' inados cases analogos en las rales "Haiti" y "Candido' , ? , :zones cafieras de los aentrales Gonzalez", 4Amancio Rodriguez" (35 mil.; ., A continuaciOn," el Coined llones de arrobas pendientes); , dente en Jefe se, dirigi6 a los' ' pgiSplibta rafteasskktiog crisitlb . : a: g, ,(24..raillones de arro s)._ Jeamee Gonne osta "spretnea.? ist rite, T., s o n: Amancio, ,Panama y la. gone de Punta Alegre". ' "Amancici es la peor 405 Fidel? debido a las Iluvias, ,tempranas y las ticrras bajas.; Los drenajes no son suficien..' les edit; el alio pasado se hi cieron varios canales pero no, son todavfa suficientes, y se ,esta mal de caminos, con una! cantided grande de' cafia. Cane que queda aqui significa .10 millones en divisas pare ,nosotros". ? F "El prop6sito oe esta reunidn r?settal6? debe ser enfrentar ,estas condiciones diffciles y, tomer las medidas necesarias para lograr cortar esa calla. ,Me parece que si en esta re-. 'gift se resuelve el proble- ma, sera Inas facil resolverlo ,en otras regiones. Si aqui se terrains la zafra; no,nos podra i'quedar .ninguna otra region en 'la provincia s,in terminar la ,zafra". M?adelante, Fidel previno clue si toda la cane no era cortada, podia afectarse Is !economia del pars, ya que.la ,presente zafra se habfa \risk), triermada basicamente por el! vasto plan de siembra, y en' ,consecuencia, 200 6 300 6 400,,: miI toneladas de azOcar cobra.: ban en 1969 una importancia relevante". "ibSEMBRADA' TODA LA CARA. , DEL PAIS A FINES DE MAYO P79-( 4I "Todo el plan de siemb..a. que se ha estado haciendo `desde abril del', alio pasado i?subray6 el Primer Ministro--, hace un total de mas de 40' roil caballerfas. netes... Y aqui hay que afiadir las caballerfas que hubo que sembrar dos ye- ces, por perdidas ocasionadai en unos casos por sequfas y +en otros por lluvias exceskt ,vas". "Eso dignifice un empleo de isemilla ?prosigui6? suficien. to como para producir un mit .116n de toneladas de azuCarf': , Anunch5 seguidamente qua entre el 20 y 30 de mayo se baba sembrado la Ultima cafisk en todo el pals pare la rani Ale 1970,, v que de las Ultimo 30 mul. caballerfas a setbrar. 7,500 se atenderan con hier-? bicida, de las? cuales 4,000 co-. yesponderan a Carnagliey. ? Luego de referirse'a las yen- do experimentalmente el. alto pasado .en este regional Amaik 4., -Santa C1)4? I idyl I rue o. may &reales ue ae estan 6r jo r 1.1 el ma zas, prob emas a veces e gb- a una e las regio es, 6 9 mas acumuladores, en fin, esta la cafia sembrada en bi- les dificultades qua gares bajos, cuantas arrobas se presentan en toda lucha du- hay, que camino liege hasta ra e intense como este". alit, corno estA el camino, to- dos esos detallitos, Hay qua "Incluso nuestros equipos ? tener una informaci6n del pro. ariadi6 Fidel? no son siempre blema global y de todos los los equipos ideates, a veces es- factores concretos que hay que tan muy lejos de serlo, pero tomar en cuenta pare enfren- con ellos se estan haciendo mL tar y resolver un problema". les de kilOmetros de buenos En relaci6n a? la zafra de caminos y carreteras". 1970, el Primer Ministro anun. Ref iri6 su visite a la brigada ci6 que "para el ano que vie. tie caminos que construye el ne vamos a concentrar en la provincia de Camaguey todos tramo comprendido entre los cuadros necesarios del ejer. 21" y Amancio Rodriguez, don- los y vamos a contar con la de algunos trabajadores expre- ayuda de la Facultad de Tec- saban su preocupaci6n por al- gunos problemas de equipos, y nologia de la Universidad. Se- ra un Estado Mayor, bajo la apunt6: direccien del comandante Ace- "CuandO ofa eso recordaba vedo, como delegado del Buret cuando nosotros estabamos en Politico, con toda la capacidad la Sierra, estabamos sonando organisativa del Ejercito". siempre con ametralladoras, song:lamas tener un automati- En Amancio ?agree? se co. Ahora, cuando agarrabamos .debe comenzar ya esa organi., zaciOn y unit en un solo cuer-: un fusil de isos de cerrojo, en ocasiones agarrabamos un po los cuatro centrales, con la ha. tarea de llevar la zafra haste, fusil con defectos, y no bfa ningiln metal pare reparar. el final. Hay que prepararse por at llueve en abril, trabajar lo y haste con un pedazo de madera habfa que repararlo? como si fuera a llover en abril Nuestros propios zapatos te. ,y despues en mayo; hacer los arreglos por detente de los he. nfamos que coserlos elem. 'chos; prever lo que va a su- bre de cerca. Aparecfg un fu- sil "Springfield" y le faltaba ? ceder. Tomer esas medidas, de. Ia mitad del can6n. Si dispara- tette por detalle, como en una ba tambien servfa, aparecfan guerra: can eso estariamos ade 'fres bales y eran tres bales. Jantando el trabajo del an? Nunca nos pareci6, 'jamas!. .prOximo", qile no podfamos /lacer una el enorrrAicC en el plan d .1, rn (lo e ro cif tReltasfal 9109/ c?,. poRqprii et1 94 101, gran parte dc est uel 1.0 co- rresponde a c quo pars play? ,Jr 1111)Cr .L,Lm- bmlo on total de alreciedor de 12,000 caba!lerias de calla. "Estamos al borde ya dr Culminar ese esfuerzo ?pun-, y esa situaciOn se ha enfrentado cuando todavfa In quimica y la maquina no han sustituldo al hombre, y en especial aqui. donde ni si- quiera teniamos los hombres". Recalc6 el Primer Ministro la merma ocasionada en la presente zafra por la utiliza- ciOn de calla para semilla Y dijo que Is de 1969. sin ser la de los diez tiene una gran trascendencia, Ya que el pais ha hecho cc mpro- misos comerciales con vistas al desarrollo nacional, "y esos compromisos tambien hay que pagarlos con la zafra de /969". Se refirie asimismo a In se- riedad de la RevoluciOn Cu- bana en sus operaciones co- rnerciales y agreg6 que toda la maciignaria empleada en las grandes obras fue adquiri,:a ,cuando el .azticar estaba' a 1.3. Ei pais ha lOgrado consolidar credho en condicioneL, en que el azticar terda el precio Inas ? bajo de los Oltimos 30. "afros. Pod tos decir co sa- 4.isfi-^lOn c. Cuba es un pais que paga con pun- tual idad religiosa". Subray6 que por primera vez en su historia, Cuba ha firmed? un convenio azucare- ro internacional sin tener que restringlr la producci6n nacio- nal, aparte de que el precio ha subido easi en tres Anunci6 Fidel que "hemos pensado en adquirie para des.' pu?de Id zafra del 70, hier- bkida Dare la mayor parte de cafies a cultivar". , !1, NUNCA. NOS PARECIO, OUE NO PODIAMOS HAGER " UNA TAREA Despues de referirse a otros planes econemicos airnultineos que se desarrollan en todo el pais, expres6: "Pero queda mucho pot ha- ter. En Camagtley quedan unas 20,000 caballerfas de buldoceo. En caminos estamos prActicamente incomunicados; hay 104 brigades en todo el pals y no se ven. En CamagUey hay 19 y calculamos que nece- Oita 40 brigades". "Creo que este batalla aqui en Is region de Amancio se puede ganar porque lo funda- mental esti, que es la gente: los 6,000 soldados y los 3,000 ,columnistes, edemas de los obreros agrkolas. Aqui esta la fuerza. Per o no es auf ciente la volurttad y la ener- gia par a cottar y transpor- .tar la coda. Hay que arreglar rapidarnente los caminos con as briedas quellegan dere. tarea". A continuacidn, Fidel inst6 .a los alli reunidos a transmitir ? HUH? CUE LUCHAR num* 'a todos los compafieros que CON LO p0C0 OUE laboran en tareas de zafra en TENIAMOS Y TODO LO c GIME TENEMOS HOY ES . esa region, las razones que de- , EL REauLTADO terminan la necesidad de ter- , . DE TODO AQUELLO 'miner la presente zafra: ? ' "Con' lo que tenfamos, trati. , "Nosotros tenemos los me-, bamos de arreglarlo y resolver. dios y tenemos los hombres. Y claro, se agarraba una ame- ,Faltan algunos medios que es- una bazuka y on mortero. S tralladora, un din se agarr6 tan en camino. Ahora de uste- des depende cdmo programan.I i hubieramos empezado con to. este batalla. Tienen los horn- do eso, con tanques, con to- bres, la voluntad de luchar de do 10 q u e tenemos idiom, .esos hombres. Es duro, pero en' 4cuantos dfas hubiera durado este pals los revolucionarios, todo aquello? Chico minutos duraba todo aqua?. Pero en ban vencido dificultades supe. " fin, hubo que luchar dues" con riores. lo poco que tenfamos y todo lo que tenemos hoy es el resul. tado de todo aquello". , "Hoy hemos avanzado bas- tante, tenemos maquinas bue- nas y maquinas males, pero to. davfa hay cosas que no apro- vechamos bien, falta mucho por hacer, hay muchos detain- tos que traban las cosas, a ve- ces no se logra toda la coope- radon". "Tenemos mucho mas de lo que hemos tenido nunca, inclu- so mAs compafieros experimen. tados que nunca, pero todavfa nos falta mucho. Tenemos que hacer un gran esfuerzo de or- ganizacion, de analisis. Hay clue tener todas las respuestas; den- "Por esta misma zona pan- tanosa pas6 la Columna de Ca- milo y pas6 la Columna del Che. Por duras que sean las condiciones de cualesquiera de ustedes en este momento, to. dna esas incomodidades no se pueden comparar a aquellos 40 6 50 dias que ellos pasaron enterrados por estos panta- nos... Y podemos remontarnos mas etas, hasta las luchas por la independencia, cuando los orientales atravesaron esta zo- ne". ? Finalmente, el Comandante en Jefe expresd: "Y vamos a poner a pruett ba en este punto critic? la vo- luntad y is decisiOn. En este CPYRGHT caso ustedes son el grupo r feart110104134n este ado, en una zafra importantfsima. en una provincia importante y en el punto m?diffcil de esa provincia, van a representar la Revolucidn y van a represen; tar esa voluntad, el sentido del honor y del deber revolug cionarios". "Y no sera sell? ganar In ba= talla, sino ganarla lo mas inte, ligentemente posible, lo antes posible, lo mejor posible. Uste-' des deberan !lever este mensa- je, esta apelaciOn de la Re-; volucidn, y la seguridad de la Revolucion en que esos miles de hombres van a cumplir est: ta tarea". , !Penn Pin; A.111(1111* ' Approved For Ralease 1999/09/02 ? rlA.RPP79-01194A000500110001-9 8 25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Arsurtgo pa ease 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500,110001-9 may 19o9 THIRD WORLD IMPATIENCE WITH SINO-SOVIET MEDDLING Among the large numbers of African, Asian, and Latin American students returning from the Soviet Union, East Europe, Communist China, Cuba, or North Korea, those who have been subverted and trained as "professional revolutionaries" are in the minority; the politically naive and "duped" make up a larger group. Once the students are home, the distinction is of little import since the naive, both foreign and native-educated, can be easily led by the professionals into stirring discontent among other students. Too often,. the disciplined, disrup- tive minority succeeds in capturing the leadership of entire student unions and associations. The professional revolutionaries do not .operate alone, without outside guidance. Activities are carefully monitored and directed either by Bloc representatives in the country (or in neighboring coun- tries), or by Communist-front organizations, such as the International Union of Students or the World Federation of Democratic Youth. Since guidance is given clandestinely and is unknown to persons not directly involved, its existence can be all too readily denied. Occasionally, when student dissidence threatens to run out of control, the revolu- tionaries are put down, the participants exposed, and the clandestine curtain parted to provide a true insight into the dangers of such sub- version. Two recent cases in Ethiopia and Kenya in which the curtain parted, as outlined below, should be especially.meaningful to countries of the Third World since the Communist effort is directed principally against them. Ethiopian Restraint As illustrated by the following chronology of events, the Imperial Ethiopian Government (IEG) has consistently been sympathetic to the students' point of view in internal university matters but became in- creasingly concerned about the way extremists, with Communist backing, exploited the situation for purely political ends: March-April 1968 - Outbreak of student disturbances, the most widespread since the attemped coup of 1960. A police search of the National Union of Ethi,opian. Uhivergity.Stu4ents (NUEUS) headquarters revealed large quantities of propaganda pamphlets prepared by the Communist- (Soviet-) controlled International Union of Students (IUS) and numer- ous propaganda and instruction films, some made in Czechoslovakia. East European embassies (especially Soviet and Czechoslovak) which had had contact with the students were thought to have trained them in demonstration techniques. A former NUEUS leader had spent July and August 1967 in the Soviet Union. IEG action in April 1968 was:lim- ited to imprisoning and later releasing student agitators, to banning Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 the university's two student unions (NUEUS and another), and to pro- hibiting publication of an extremist student monthly, Struggle. November 1968 - A boycott of classes at the University of Addis Ababa, which began on 14 November, ended two days later when student leaders met with the Prime Minister and received his assurances that a student Union could again be established at the university and a newspaper published, provided it respected the libel laws. At a 17 November student meeting, leaders who had met with the Prime Minister were accused by extremist students of being too soft because they had agreed to a referendum on the new union. Those same extremists captured the leadership of the student movement and threatened continued boycotts until three days later when the Government abandoned its request for a referendum. A pamphlet distributed early in November and credited to a radical extremist student cell, "The Crocodiles," made it clear that the new student leadership was aiming at political action against the government. It called on peasants, the urban proletariat, soldiers and "revolutionary students" to unite in opposition to feudalists, bourgeoisie, "top-brass" military leaders and "perfidious imperialism." The IEG was described as a "treacherous, senile and cynical feudal regime." It was the pamphlet's Marxist terminology which pinpointed "The Crocodiles" as its authors and suggested that the extremist students belong to or were influenced by this Marxist-Maoist cell, known to exist in the university at the time of the April disturbances and known as the pub- lishers of Struggle. February-March 1969 - A resurgence of dissidence throughout pro- vincial secondary schools and among students at Haile Selassie Uni- versity culminated in a school shutdown on 4 March. During this period, Radio Moscow's broadcasts to Ethiopia were harshly critical of the IEG, degrading to Haile Selassie, and usually prefaced by the re- mark that the broadcaster's information "came directly from our Addis Ababa correspondents." One broadcaster, on 7 or. 8 March, prefaced a strident vituperation of the Emperor by identifying himself as Vladimir Sharayev, a cultural attach; at the Soviet embassy in Addis Ababa and at that time on vacation in the Soviet Union. Such flagrancy could only have been iterpreted by the IEG as sanctioned by the Government of the USSR;. In addition, Radio Moscow propaganda was repeated in student-circulated, mimeographed flyers mass distributed throughout Addis Ababa. 13 March 1969 - An editorial in the morning Ethiopia Herald, probably inspired by the government (copy of text attached), WTned against the subversive activities of certain foreign agents (meaning Soviet-) and noted that there is a point beyond which patience ceases to be a virtue. 14 March 1969 - A front-page news feature in the Ethiopia Herald (reprint attached) announced the expulsion of six Soviet Bloc officials, to be effected within 24 hours, on charges of fomenting subversion among students. Approved For Release 1999/09/022: CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Who Was Expelled? Names of the ousted Communist officials are given in the attached Ethiopia Herald news story. The three Czechoslovak officials were fairly recent arrivals unknown, minor functionaries in the Addis Ababa commercial mission. Perhaps their. expulsion, can be explained as a backlash of IEG anger stirred up by Soviet, blatancy; or as the IEG's belated reaction to Czechoslovak -involvement in the 1968 dis- turbances; or even as an indirect IEG slap at the trouble-making, So- viet--controlled IUS, which is headquartered in Prague. The Soviet dfficials, at least two of them, are better known: Victor Matveyev, TASS correspondent; Mikhail Novikoy, Novosti correspondent; and Vladimir Sharayev, cultural attache and director of the Soviet Per- manent Exhibition in Addis Ababa. . Bombay's Current of 12 April 1969 discusses the "Soviet Agents Chucked Out" of Ethiopia and recalls the early 1950's when Victor Matveyev headed TASS in New Delhi, where.. he. was active in agitating students and trade union subversion (excerpts from text attached). Vladimir Sharayev was associated with Radio Moscow long before his now-famous broadcast of early March and has long been known in Ethiopia. A feature article published in the 25-26 February 1967 edition of Rome's independent daily, Il Giornale d'Italia, describes Sharayev aa:being,Un the'mid-1960's, the broadcaster from Radio Mos- cow of all the Amharic-language scripts which openly attacked IEG pol- icies. Sharayev acquired his fluency In the Amharic language in the 'early 1960's as an exchange student at the University in Addis Ababa. Kenya Not in the Mood In Kenya, student agitators have been abette-d.by both Peking and Moscow and have been helped by the Soviet-controlled International Union of Students (IUS): January-February 1969 - An article in the 6 February 1969 Hin- dustan Times (copy attached) described the closing in early 1969 of the University College in Nairobi and noted that in. Kenya the gov- ernment was in no mood to "tolerate trouble from students -- or any- one else." A Radio Peking broadcast to Africa, which claimed 34 deaths and police disobedience caused by the university closure, was scored by the Kenya press: "The broadcast shows how far removed from reality the authorities in China have become..... They can no longer even lie intelligently.... There is no doubt the Chinese technique of the big.lie has gained some dupes in Africa who are eager to parrot the tired slogans which Peking and its supporters feed. (East Africa Standard, 3 February 1969) Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-IpP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 The Communist Bloc role in training young men and -students in subver- sion came to light with the appearance at Nairobi court hearings, 7-11 February, of eight defendants charged with circulating banned Communist Chinese publications, most of which advocated violent revo- lution. One defendant was a Moscow University postgraduate research student, one admitted to having attended a "school of professional revolution" in North Korea, one was just a student in Nairbbi, and five were students in the mid-1960's at the Wuhan Military Training College in Peking. March 1969 - A 14 March Kenya Gazette article-announced that a considerable number of scholarships. would be awarded Kenyan students by the Soviet Union under terms of a new cultural agreement which is presently under discussion. Kenyan officials had in the-paSt expressd public concern about the qualifications of the many IUS-sponsored scholarship students returning from the USSR and East Europe and the prospect now of facing "considerable numbers" of graduates of the Patrice Lumumba Friendship University could not have been very reas- suring. Someone may have recalled an East African Standard article of 10 May 1965 which discussed Kenyan students in Bulgaria under IUS auspices and stated that the students were studying "nothing but Com- munist ideology and guerrilla warfare." They were reported to have attended a "Party Students' School" and to have taken part in a Com- munist revolutionary course. April 1969 - A banner headline in 13 April 1969 Nairobi NatiOn read "Russian Envoy Ordered Out": the Nairobi-based Pravda correspondent, Mikhail Domogatskikh, and a secretary at the Soviet embassy, Victor ElisSeev (Yeliseyev), were declared personae non gratae by the Government of Kenya. "Russian diplomatic sources," the article said, "had clamped a news blackout on the situation ... and there was no comment from Home Office sources." The story con- tinued that in February 1968 Kenya had expelled a Soviet Novosti correspondent (Venyamin D. Zakharov) and the Soviet representative of Sovexportfilm (Eduard B. Agadzhanov). At that time, Mr. Daniel Arap Moi, Vice President and Minister for Home Affairs, said: "Meth- ods adopted by'llostile intelligence services to subvert and under- mine governments and to carry their ideological battles into coun- tries which have repeatedly expressed their intention to remain un- aligned are too well known to require repetition." In a brief follow- up story on 14 April, the Nation iterated "the Russian Embassy re- frained from commenting and the Kenya Government has made no comment ... Vice President Moi said of the-Sunday Nation front page story, 'You have got it all there. What more do you want'" Approved For Release 1999/09/024: CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 ETHIOPIA HERALD, Addis Ababa 13 March 1969 Editorial Time for Action ItThere is a point beyond which patience ceases to be a virtue. The subversive activities of certain foreign agents are now pushing Ethiopia to this point. "The problem of subversion and interference in the affairs of other states by major powers is an old but continuing cause for con- cern, not only among the now developing nations of the third world, but even among some highly industrialized but nevertheless subjugated satellite nations. Nor is Ethiopia a stranger to such intervention. The annals of our history bear witness to many instances of foreign intervention, interference and invasion. The whole long and lamenta- ble era of colonialism is replete with examples of intervention under the guise of the so-called civilizing mission of imperialist powers. The Fascist invasion of Ethiopia in 1935 was one example of such in- tervention which the world-- to its subsequent sorrow -- chose to ,ignore. The invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968 was. the latest but apparently not the last example of such foreign intervention. "Sometimes foreign interference takes a more subtle form than the naked aggression of 1935 and that of 1968. Interference in na- tional sovereignty may take the form of efforts to divide a country against itself, efforts to divide generation against generation, re- gion against region. The undermining of developing nations may even take the more insidious form of posing as a protector. When the need in developing countries is for economic advancement, some major powers prefer to sow the seeds of discord and conflict by offering aid only in the form of arms. "Ethiopia has experienced and survived if not all at least most of the forms of direct and indirect interference and subversion. On her part, Ethiopia, as a founding member of the United Nations and the seat of the headquarters of the Organization of African Unity, has stood fast against all instances of interference by outside powers against the sovereignty of any nation. Nor will Ethiopia view inter- ference against herself any more lightly than she would against a sis- ter state. For sometime outside agents have been trying to dupe students and some other groups of Ethippians not only into betrayal of their own , best interests but even into violence against the very fabric of their nation. Those who would try to tear Ethiopia apart should be warned: the cloth of our unity is durable and tough. , "Ethiopia did not become aware only yeaterdqy or.today of the sub- versive activities being fomented here by foreign agents. The various Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 acts of subversion attempted through bribery and corruption that have perpetrated have been known since their inception.' Diplomatic hints have been dropped to the countries responsible. The soft hints seem to have fallen on deaf ears. The hand of friendship which Ethiopia continued to hold out to these countries seems to have been misinter- preted. If the open hand of brotherhood is misunderstood, perhaps it is time to show the closed fist. "Many diatribes against Ethiopia, broadcast recently by a foreign radio have lately been circulated in the streets of Addis Ababa under the name of Ethiopian students. Subversion should at least be more subtle; duplicity, less obvious. Were the circumstances not so tragi- cally sad, such an act might be viewed as an absurd and amateurish betrayal of itself. In this sophisticated age, even the intended vie- time of subversion might expect it to be carried out with more skill. "Ethiopia, as a cornerstone of the non-aligned world, has made the principle of non-interference in the integrity and soveriegnty ? of nations the foundation of its own foreign policy. We believe equal- , ly in national unity. We expect our sister nations to do the same. A country which has no% bent to the Fascist sword will not bend to sub- version from any source. Ethiopia's determination to defend herself against foreign aggressors has inscribed itself in the pages of history. A new page in this long and honorable history must now be written. The time for concern is passed. The time for action is here. Those respon- sible for subversive interference and cowardly attacks against Ethiopia will now have:to pay the price. It has been said that those who do not know history are forced to repeat it. Those who ignore Ethiopia's long and heroic history ot self-defense now have to be taught the lesson at first hand." 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDFi79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 ETHIOPIAN HERALD 14 March 1969 "Duping Students" it piaiia Czee ree etivit ici versive CPYRGHT S ree ussian ADDIS ABABA, Thursday, (ENA) ? Two Russians and three Czeeha will he expelled from Ethiopia within 24 hours elf ective This evening for activi ties in Ethiopia of Foreign ."deteritnental to the mationel interest of the Affairs announced this evening... A third Russian will be prohibited from entering Ethiopia, a Apokeontan of the Foreign Ministry announced. The three Russians and three Cze. ,elts were declared persona non-gni:a for their activities which were deteri. mental to the national interest of Ethiopia in general and for their acti- vities in the recent A tudent agitation in particular. The two Russians who will be expelled within 24 hours are Mikhail Novikov, the A.P.N. (Moscow) correspombitt in Ethiopia, 114r. Victor 1,11atweev, the Ta ss correspondent. The third Russian. Mr. Vladniir Charaev. of the Soviet Permanent Exhibition here, who is presently outside of Eth. he prohibited .from enter. ing Ethiopia.' The three Czechs who will be ex. pelled within 24 hours are Mr. Jos& Barton, an attache in the Czechoslovak Embassy and Mr. Vincent Stefanck and Mr. I..adislav Poslusny, both of the? commercial section of the Czechoslo. vak Embassy. country," the Ministry ; The university and secondary sell?. ols in Addis Ababa were closed March ? .three by governinent order. The ele, sure announcement said the action was taken "to avert possible damage to pro- perly and even human lives in the wake of recent fittellent agitation." Government sources. said at the ine a few student agitators were duped by foreign elements to di@rupt nation-, al unity. A. spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs .saiti last night the ex- "polsion was necessary for "the norma. lization of student life in Ethiopia." Security esaurces revealed that they had. "full proof" of. the subversive activities of the expelled Soviet atul Cacich agents. They said a "compart; mentalized" system had been set am- ong studenti. Various "cells" of stud- ents were said to have been given se- parate tasks to perform,_ some of whom were apparently innocent or .cven pat. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 CPYRGHT riotic hi themselves, but which ioge- ther in a pattern pre-conceived by the foreign agents but unknown to the full group of students. amounted to a rse of activity which was a calculated betrayal of the peopl,? of Ethiopia.. One official said the government is now proceeding to "Lreak the back" of the cell system set- up by Soviet agents. ? Another official said Radio?Nloscow had made obvious the Soviet complicia Ty in subversive activities here. "Their recent hroadcasts against Ethiopia we- re virtually an admission Of guilt," he said. Security officiali,. however, had al? ready uncovered some of the details of the clandettine operations undertaken ben. by ?Soviet and Czech agents. In- vestigatione arc continuing into the. . subversive cell structure set up among a innall minority of 'Ethiopian stud. ents" by the foreign agents, official sou. Fee* paid. . ? . Approved For Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RbP79-01194A000500110001-9 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 CURRENT, Bombay 12 APRIL 1969 "Soviet Agents Chucked Out" (Excerpts) "In New Delhi there is nothing but love between the Indians and Soviets but in Addis Ababa, the capital 'of Ethiopia, it is different. Ethiopian intelligence is smarter than ours for recently, following serious student unrest, the Ethiopian government chucked out two Rus- sians and three Czechs as being the brains behind this student agita- tion. "Now the interesting thing is that among those expelled was Com- rade Victor Matveyev former TASS correspondent in New Delhi who was regarded as an old friend of India. Matveyev was head of the TASS. bureau in the capital city in the early 1950's. "Also expelled was Mikhail Novikov, representative of the 'unof-: ficial' Novosti news agency. 'Unofficial' only because the Russians continue to claim that this news agency has nothing to do with the Soviet government. "These strong and firm measures taken by the Ethiopian government are in striking contrast to the attitude of laissez-faire shown by India in exactly the same kind of student agitation. For years So- viet personnel have been active in subverting-Indian University tu-. dents but with Mrs. Indira Gandhi as the head of our government, so anxious not to displease her guru, Mr. Kosygin, no action is being taken here. Mrs. Gandhi is known to have passed the word down the line that under no circumstances should Soviet 'feelings' ever be hurt. a. -.? "In the case of Victor Matveyev, who was known as the TASS Cor- respondent in India and who is now expelled from Ethiopia, the Ethio- pians bluntly said that he is no journalist. They dub him as a propa- ganda activist for the KGB which he also was during his Indian tour of duty. Matveyev was not Only an activist among students but he also did a great deal of damage in the trade union field. He was, of course an accredited correspondent to the Government of India. The Indian government gives facilities to Soviet agents to do their work in our country. "While Matveyev was regarded as a journalist in New Delhi and was treated as a pen-pal by local journalists, he Was even then working with Soviet intelligence personnel. In the Soviet set up -- KGB and others -- it is often the number two who control the number one and so it was with Matveyev who had an 'assistant' Comrade Protyannikov. Yet it was Protyannikov who was the control man and the main liaison with the headquarters of the KGB in Moscow. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79701194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 "Under Matveyev's regime the TABS office in New Delhi was greatly expanded. Propaganda work particularly at the time of the Telengana riots erupted and soon Matveyev had to push aside his student 'side line' to others to perform. The bigger subversive activity, namely Telengana riots, needed his attention first and foremost. "After Matveyev's departure a number of Soviet intelligence men have been in charge of Indian student 'cells.' At least two of these did not come to the attention of the Indian authorities chiefly because the Indian authorities are not suspicious of Soviet activity in this country. There was for instance, Comrade Ramiz Ibrahimov, a Central Asian, who specialized in infiltration of what is known as the Muslim wing of the student movement. When Ibrahimov was whisked away, his successor in.the job was Alexandr Dmitrievich Terekhin, a very effi- cient operator in India, who established many close contacts but al- ways managed to keep his nose clean. Ibrahimov and Terekhin were the kingpins of the KGB personnel attached to the student wing in India during the middle 1960's." CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Student Unres? t .in. E:Africa ne coitege, no says, wiu b din ea with his radical leftist' Thls sparked off the students. 'opened only on certain contlitiOn Iiirefustatt Times Correscimident ? i'lle lealalae ..d alodc.ol -I- Is being Increasingly felt in universities and coileges of East Africa, In common with the students of France, Britain, India and Japan, the movement here is leftist or- iented and becoming Increasingly militant although shorn of actual vtolenco. The confrontation with the authorities is generally con- fined to demonstrations and strikes. , Last year about 1.400 students' of University College, Dar es . Salmon. confronted President Nyerere when he directed that they, should serve a spell in the Tanzania National Youth Service . to work pn various social projects in the field. The students defied the order and boycotted lectures 'President Nyerere retaliated by closing .down the institution and , sacking them all. Twiny a similar phemomenon is ; being witnessed at. the University College in Nairobi. The Kenya Government has closed clowii the ' college and packed off home its 1,800 inmates. Including over 200 of Indian and ' Pakistani origin. The confrontation in Nairobi arose from the refusal of the authorities to allow the Qpposition 7Kenya Peoples Union leader, 1Vir , OgInga Odinga, to address the students. There, is no doubt' that Mr , student body. In the post his talks' they staged a demonstration at ? have been applauded not only by -1 the college campus and resolved, the Nairobi students but also in ' not to attend lectures. The autho- '? Dar es Salaam and at the Make- rities rushed into campus with, rcre College in Uganda. However armed police units, closed down. Jollowing tougher measures the college and forcibly evicted. against the KPU in Kenya, the the .students from the halls of re-! Government on two occasions this, aidence. year. refused to let him address' While the rumpus was going them on the role of elections In . on in Nairobi, students of Kam- ' a democratic society." pala's hlakerere College came out ? A - In open support of their Nairobi lunicipal Elections - colleagues by staging a demons- tration there, followed by a 24- hour college strike. A copy of the East African Standard. v..hic'h had denounced the action of the Nai- robi students, was ceremoniously set ablaze. The Tfakerere chaps 1 Mr "Double 0" would have of course, in his talk scathingly re- ferred to last year's municipal elections In Kenya when almost all KPU candidates were disquali- fied for various alleged irregula- rities. His talk would also have . to Nairobi to see President Ken- focussed attention on the forth- '? coming General Elections next yells but were stopped from .en- year and received publicity. 'its In tering Kenya. the past. in the local and overseas Academic Freedom , pre is. Whatever the reasons. the The Nairobi students accuse the Nairobi students were deprived of Kenya Government of interfering' listening to Mr Odinga. On the 'with academic freedom guaran- first occasion the authorities stat- teed in the college constitution. ed that a proper procedure had They claim that the debarring of not been followed by the student, Odinga from the college care- when inviting him to the college pus is only incidental to this basic Campus. On the second occasion, isstle? however, it was clear that the col- Fighting out a verbal battle lege principal, West Indian Dr with them is the Minister of Edu- `Arthur Porter, had been directed. cation, Julius Mono, who asserti by the Government not to let Mr, that the students must obey the Odinga address them at all. . . Government "without question." that -no politic an will be allowed to address them without prior Government approval. The Minis- ter is being fully backed by Pro-, sident Kenyatta. The college staff, which in- cludes a fair number of foreign professors and lecturers, Is main- taining a coutlous attitude to the whole affair. While expressing ,support for academie freerimiLH and, as Dr Porter puts it, ??%, "free circulation of ideas" at campus, it has urged the students to play it pool and enter into "negotiations" with the Govern. merit. confrontation has now be- come a trial of strength between the students and the Kenya authorities. Although In many ' Overseas countries students have sometimes come out victorious IN such contests, students In Africa are generally tame and lack stay-, ing power compared to their col- leagues in the West or In Asia. In , Dar es Salem lest year, students backed down after staging a si- milar confrontation and returned sheepishly with tails between' 'their legs following President, Nyerere'e tough attitude. It Is likely that this will be repented, , anyone else. :n wheT,,tvhze Government ..,., trouble from :the studentir?or is in no mood to tolerate any. 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 ApprvvigiroMciNaRt1,ir9/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 May 1969 SOVIET SCIENTISTS: DISAFFECTION AND DISAPPOINTMENT Contradictions between the USSR's self-proclaimed image and Soviet reality are nowhere so glaring as in the broad realm of science. Marx repeatedly referred to the scientific soundness of his analyses of con- ditions and of his forecasts of the historically inevitable victory of communism. Stalin in 1927 predicted, that in the communist society of the USSR, "Science and art will enjoy conditions conducive to their highest development." Khrushchev in 1957 boasted of achievements of the USSR which "mark a new epoch in the development of science and technology" and acclaimed the "greatest feats of workers of Soviet science and technology" ih solving complicated problems. In January 1966 Soviet Academy of Sciences member Peter Kapitsa spoke of "the great advantages offered by our socialist system in the organization of our science and industry." In February 1969 the World Marxist Review called science and technology "one of the principal ?and deter;.- minative fields in the contest between the two opposed social systems" and asserted that socialism offers "the greatest scope for scientific worth." Finally, in Moscow News of 29 March 1969, Soviet Academy of Sciences member Janis Peive asserted that the Soviet state "displays great concern for developing science, which is making an important con- tribution to the acceleration of engineering progress, to the solution of major probelms of the conomy, and to the further raising of cultural standards in our country." How does this picture of a science-oriented society square with the actual achievements of Soviet science and the situation of Soviet scientists? Several recent documents and. commentaries shed consider- able light on this subject. It can be clearly concluded that Soviet science, except in military support work, has fallen far short of the Kremlin's expectations. Moreover, Soviet scientists, who as a class have long been favored by the regime, have demonstrated that they are deeply disaffected by the Soviet system and some recent Kremlin poli- cies. Major Conclusions Concerning Soviet Science An exhaustive study entitled "Soviet Science Policies" was completed in June 1968 by the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Richly documented and offering cogent discussions in its 738 pages, it has only recently been distributed, in limited numbers to reviewers in Great Britain and the United States. In the reviews,three of which are attached, several of the OECD compendium's findings are high- lighted: a. Soviet science has scored tangible achievements in military research and development and, as alcompanion effort, in space exploration, Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 b. In other selected scientific pursuits, such as re- search in mathematics, theoretical physics, earth sciences, and physiology, the Soviets have done well; but it is noted that these are pursuits in which pre-Revolutionary Russian scientists also did well. c. In technology, besides aerospace, the USSR has done reasonably well in electric power equipment, machine tools, steelmaking equipment, and some aspects of medicine. d. As for the balance, according to one reviewer, "There remain huge deserts in Soviet science, both in academic work and in industry." e. Soviet achievement in almost every science-based in- dustry lags far behind that of Western Europe and even farther behind that of the United States. The need to call on Italian and other Western European help in the present effort to devel- op' the automobile industry is a case in point. f. The Soviet bureaucracy has been able to marshal scien- tists for selected military-related projects, but the clumsy un- responsiveness of the bureaucracy has severely impaired scien- tific and technical development in other fields. g. Soviet science and technology has yielded only meager returns on the huge outlays -- three per cent of gross national product -- invested in science. An important reason for this is that research is given an unduly large emphasis at the ex- pense of developmental and experimental work related to industry. h. Soviet scientists are estimated to be only one half as productive as American scientists. (This is admitted by Soviet scientists; one reviewer believes the comparison is even more unfavorable to the Soviets.) i. The critical failing in Soviet science is the incentive to innovate. Soviet scientists have been judged mainly on the volume of their reserach as measured in money terms, and not on the quality and number of projects which yield genuine benefits to the society. j. The most evident shortcoming of Soviet science is in the technology of the USSR's consumer goods industries (automobiles, refrigerators, TV's, sewing machines, etc.). Soviet consumer goods are so shoddy that cash-heavy and goods-poor Soveit citizens de- posit increasing percentages of their income in savings banks. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Past Soviet Efforts to Improve Scientific Work It would be inaccurate to say that the Soviets fail to recognize the plain fact that they have obtained poor overall results from their vast array of scientific institutes and industrial research establishments. To refute that notion it is enough to note (as does the OECD study) that the Soviets have reorganized their scientific and technical establishment time and again over the years. These reorganizations, however, were superficial and even frequently repeated systems resembled solutions which had been tried and found wanting in the past: A departure from this dependency on reorganization was started in January 1966, when a speech by the prominent physicist Peter Kapitsa was published in the Communist youth newspaper. Kapitsa noted Premier Kosygim's statements in September 1965 about the declining growth of labor productivity and linked that decline to the unsatisfactory ap- plication of the achievements of Soviet science and technology. As- serting that the Soviets had not been closing the scientific gap be- tween them and the Americans, he made a series of recommendations, the most important of which was that some means be found to offer monetary incentives for useful innovations. Kapitsa was quite candid in attrib- uting his suggestion to American experience and, possibly for this reason, little was done about it for almost three years. (See the attached trans- lation of Kapitsa's speech.) New Proposals to Improve Scientific Work In October 1968 the Soviet Government issued a decree entitled "Meas- ures to Raise the Efficacy of the Work of Scientific Organizations and to Accelerate the Utilization of Scientific and Technical Achievements in the National Economy." (See attached article from Pravda.) The published re- port of the decree is largely a rehash of familiar, nagging problems, but it contains a remarkable new feature: a: proposed system of material in- centives to be introduced gradually, starting 1 January 1969. Under this system, both the institutes and their employees will be rewarded in prb- portion to the profits that their innovations earn for industry. Insti- tutes;andJscientiSts are to be rated every three years by committees com- posed of scientists, Party representatives, and trade union officials. Those who fail to measure up will be demoted or dismissed. Scientific and professional competence will no longer be the criterion of success; rather, it will be the practical economic results of the work performed. How this profit and incentive system will work out is an open queu- tion. One obstacle is the deeply entrenched system under which Soviet scientists have been working for decades; demoting veterans for failure to meet new criteria is not easy, especially for their contemporary super- visors in the institutes. Getting industry to accept new and better methods has always been difficult, for the simple reason that factory managers customarily avoid the kinds of work slowdowns and loss of pro- duction which result from experiments with, or the introduction of new equipment. It would jeopardize their profits. Moreover, the profit Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-FDP79-01194A000500110001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 system for science will depend largely on the profit system introduced since 1965 in Soviet industry, which has fared poorly during the past several years, largely because bureaucrats have resisted changes and Party ideologists have been suspicious of reforms which would lead in the direction of a market economy. These shortcomings won't encourage the scientists to hope that their system will work any better. Soviet Scientists Are Increasingly Disaffected Signs that Soviet scientists are disaffected are apparent not only from the above-noted deficiencies in scientific achievement and the re- gime's moves to redirect scientists' work and make it more profitable. There are also signs that many prominent Soviet scientists are question- ing the basic Soviet system, and that many young scientists are, at the least, politically apathetic. The best-known figure among disaffected Soviet scientists is Andrei Sakharov, the physicist who in 1954, when still in his early thirties, was made the youngest full member in the history of the USSR's Academy of Sciences as a reward for making a major contribution to the USSR's hydrogen bomb. In 1968 Sakharov, in an essay circulated widely amongst leading Soviet scientists, set forth his theses of convergence of commu- nist and capitalist systems in the interest of serving mankind, and of the essential need of intellectual freedom in human society. Sakharov's essay scathingly condemns the Stalinist survivals'inthe Soviet society, and proposes measures which would radically changethe political philoso- phy and structure of the USSR. Other leading Soviet scientists have since 1966 joined with prominent intellectuals in protesting against moves taken or contemplated by the Soviet regime. The attached article by Victor Zorza entitled "Scientists' Rebellion Upsets the Kremlin" describes some of these protests by scientists, as well as steps being taken by the regime to discredit the scientists and thus minimize the effect of their protests. Also described are Soviet press articles indicating that residents of the "science town" of Obninsk have held "misguided" political seminars and have invited "dubious people who preached incorrect views" to speak to them. Causing further concern to the regime is the indication that young Soviet scientists are either apathetic to political affairs or are taking unorthodox views of wrestling with national problems. The Soviet press particularly attacks young scientists who "lack the political experience to get to the bottom of even simple questions" and are unable to draw the line between "correct" criticism and "criticism which seeks to under- mine the foundations of our society." The press maintains they wrongly dispute the party's right to restrict their personal and political freedom. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 4 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 The Soviet regime shows little evidence that it can solve the sub- stantial problems posed by the long-tolerated shortcomings in science and technology and at the same time contain the stirrings of disaffection among prominent and young scientists. Offering more money for more re- sults will undoubtedly help some. However, the Soviet regime would be very naive to believe that scientists, who have undergone many years of rigorous training, will confine their thoughts to strictly scientific matters and agree not to encroach upon the party's monopoly over politi- cal questions. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 5 &wimp fuctERNease 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A0005601IMHT9 5 February 1969 client:1s s' rebellion "Upsets R the reran The COMMUNIST WORLD: by VICTO zonzA THE. Kremlin's thought- ' police is moving in slowly,. circumspeetly, on the Soviet . scientific community whose :rebellion Is threatening to undermine? the party's totali- tarian rule. Professor Andrei Sakharov, whose call . for a multi-party system in Russia is circulating ever more widely 'through underground chart, nets inside the country, is still .at liberty. ? To arrest this nian?who made a signal contribution to the Soviet nuclear programme?for demanding freedom of thought . for scientists and the public alike would be to provoke a powerful wave of public protest. The scientists took a prominent , part in the recent protests against the arrests of "freedom ; writers." They would fight that ; much harder against the arrest , of one of their own. ? . The Sakharov manifesto, with :its closely argued pica for the 'convergence"of the Commu- nist and capitalist systems, :clearly shook the party establish- ment. There was no public con- demnation, nor even any direct mention, of the Sakharov docu- ment in the Soviet press, but the problem which lie created for the party's control of the scientific community is being tackled with i increasing vigour n the party journals. The latest contribution to the debate appears in "Kommunist," the party's chief ideological maga- zine, in an article signed by N. Sviridov?whose position as deputy head of the party propa- ganda department is tactfully glossed over. He complains that some scientists, whom he does not name, get hold of." casual " poll- lical information "and on this shaky foundation they sometimes build far-reaching conclusions." At the same time, without actually threatening them with th) sack for political noncon- formity, he mentions that ' a check on the qualifications of scientists in Leningrad has led to 100 dismissals.. This appears to be the first such check since the announcement recently of the new system under which all scientists would have to undergo fitg riet(aUftagg IfuRrigb of retaining their posts. The examination panel con- sists not only of the scientists' own peers, but also of party and trade union officials. It is thus clear that political as well as professional criteria enters into the decision. Indeed. 'the " attestation" procedure now extended to scientists is a long- standing Soviet prsctice, which Is specifically defined in a Soviet law encyclopaedia as being con- Cerned, among other things, with the " political qualifications" of the people being "attested." Clearly, the Kremlin cannot afford anything like a real purge of free-thinkers among the scientists, because this would pull the rug from under its own feet. All the evidence suggests that too large and too influential a part of the scientific com- munity shares, to a greater or lesser extent, many of Sak- harov's ideas. The thought-police nntst, therefore, proceed circum- spectly, using both stick and carrot. Material conditions for scien- tists, who already comprise the most privileged section of the community, have recently been further improved as part of a general reorganisation of the administration of science. Steps* have been taken to cut out the dead wood, about which there have been many complaints from younger scientists, whose career prospects were frustrated by old men hanging on to lucrative posts. The " reattestation" pro- gramme is partly directed to this end. ? In science, however, the intel- lectual._ rebellion is maturing among both the old and the young, as distinct from most other walks of Soviet life, where the young are the rebels. Sak- harov himself was joined by such old pillars of Soviet science as Kapitsa and Tamm in a widely distributed protest to the Politburo at the time of the last party congress against the pro- posed rehabilitation of 'Stalin. At the same time, young, scientists" are criticised, as in the recent "Kommunist " article, for taking an "abstract and ? classless" view of such ideas as " democracy, freedom of the person, and humanism." This is ?to say that they dispute the party's right to impose restric- tions on personal and political they ewiv pccial meeting and issue a thumping resolution which publicly condemns the 'shortcomings and demands imme- diate improvements. It would seem that in the present matter they have behaved with much greater discretion. A meeting has. certainly been held and the, appropriate minority resolution passed?but it was all done in secret, in order not to stir up, the scientific hornets' nest. The evidence of the party's secret moves is to be found in articles' which began to appear shortly after the Sakharov mani- festo had emerged from the underground. Many of them use :precisely the same phrases and the same evidence of ideological backsliding among scientists, thus indicating that they are all based on the same original docu- ment?that is, on the secret party resolution about the .scientific rebellion. Brezhnev's warning to the 'Soviet intelligentsia in general. ? issued in the early stages of the Czechoslovak reformation, has now, been made to apply to the scientists in particular. The scientists are told that "the enemies of communism are clutching at any evidence of political immaturity among its individual representatives, whom they are attempting to use in. their hostile activity against our country." They should, as " Kom. munist" instructs them, stand firm "against the attempts of the ideological saboteurs to introduce Ideas and views that are alien to? socialism into our midst." But what happens if " alien " ideas are somehow conceived by thoroughly . patriotic scientists,- who base their case for political and social modernisation of the system on grounds of national interest? The party's answer is to ridicule the scientists as politically immature. Many young scientists, com- plains the newspaper "Soviet Culture," .take a " snobbish " attitude to the public activities In which the party asks them to participate. Instead, it would seem, they demand the demo- cratic right to take part in the discussion and shaping of policy, ialmost as if this was not the exclusive province of the party. With heavy irony, the paper comments that "they are only' Interested in 'major' problems freedom?just as Sakharoir did. e 199 wint) j, 19Q particular section of SOCitY; which they are ready to discuss 'Ind to 'solve' without thinkinr 1 4 14 CRYEkIT Approved For Release 1999/mG uz : ulA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 w'nether the so problems are within their grasp." yoqn7 :,-;e',t..-111t-; in particular "lack t!it; holit,eal experience to get to the bottom of even simple questions." They are unable to distinguish between criticism that is " correct "?and tIlercfore? perinissible?" and criticism which seeks to tincli,.rinine the foundations of our society." Club lectures Soviet scientists are privileged not only materially but also ideologically, for the party has bad to give them with one hand the right to independent think- lag which it is trying to take away from them with the other. If they are to produce tho .scientific wonders that (ho party keeps pressing them for, they must be free to play with scienti- fic ideas?and they use this freedom to play with political Ideas which are barred to other sections of the community. In the " science town ". of Obninsk, which is being ustd by the party press as the example of what is wrong with Soviet scientists, the local club " readily. granted its platform to dubious people who preached incorrect views?' This could hardly hap. pen in other " cultural" clubs, which are usually firmly conttol? led by party supervisors, but it can and does happen repeatedly in the Soviet scientific communi- ties which control their own club. lectures. Political seminars, according to an article in "Party Life,' lacked "a clear political direc- tion?' 'Topics for discussion were chosen " thoughtlessly." In Soviet double-talk this means the very opposite of what it says?that is, the "political direction" was all too clear, and the choice of topics only too thoughtful. The party's thought-police can do. little about it unless it demands the dismissal and?arrest of many ,scientists. Even the Kremlin cannot afford to fall in with such demands. Sakharov is still free?and so are 770,000 others who are officially classified , as .7" scientiftg workers.". NEW STATESMAN 28 March 1969 How Bad is Soviet Science? NIGEL CALDER C PYRG HT II Aineticans land salely tlw moon this summer, they will do at least some seivice to truth. by laying the ghost of .Spurnik I. Since October 1957, when the West Viii4 mute unnecessarily surprised by the lirst of the 'firsts in space. the myth ot Soviet scien- tific and technological escellence has been hard to dispel. ?I he Tt''..tlii.!CIICe ill ptihlie support for education, research and engin- eering. following the sputnik. helped the LIS and Furope much more than krushellev IlitVi2 intended. I here ssas wedi he deceived: tor those urging the cause or science in the West the Russian bogey came in very handy. ( \lowadays, for Europeans,. it's an American hog,ey.) .1 he tact is that the numerically?equal scientilie armies of the I IS and the L titilt are ainaiingly ii,viti ill' perlorintinee. I et's NCI,Nre the Americans al eight out of III. East month I'd have given the Russians four out of. 10; :titer reading a new analysis, shortly to Ile published. I'm not inclined to Ile even that generons. l.et me add. right iovay, that you cannot have large numbers of' talented people at svork in laboratories, as the Russians have, and produce nivilling. however much you misma nage them; In a few fields, the Soviet' it oril is good; on the teseatelt siih., mathe? mattes and theoretical physics, tii ii, ,CitIkt'S MIAk v ire areas in which the Russians traditionally do well; on the techno- logical sitte, in aerospace, power generation. machine ttAisjobwki anFdrtkelitt 1999/09/02 : CiAlfkblisloAficdWAti61:18ortl 8iiV1 -9 they have nothing to he ashamed of. The troiible is that there remain huge desertsui Soviet science, both in academic work and in industry. In chemistry and biology, in agriculture. in .ilmost every science -based industry except those mentioned. Soviet achievement lags far behind Western Europe's. never mind that of America. The USSR failed to produce even a good automobile without Italian help. For a nation officially committed to automa- tion and computerisation, the Soviet cont?. putter IL,elinohigy runs pathetically behIml the times, as shown by the 11ral-4' fiasco. To say :ill this is not needlessly tteattack a country that has had a bitter struggle to modernise itself. Leading Soviet commentators have been very self-critical. In any case. Soviet science is an object lesson to bureaucratic planners in all countries. especially because the regime is allegedly founded on science and rationality, and science is doctrinally a productive force. I he (allure is politically ciithai!..1V?111;!, Int 1.1.1prili1)% Lill ? imalk simcc 11w11, the Wank Iii iiipssiIt. the supersonic aircraft -- these are proof of a concentration of skill in iiipecial areas which rive the USSR sopi.rposser status in the strategic sense. I hey .in have been achieved only by mtary craslaprog.ramme plot-climes that cut through the red tape. On the 'Ilia hand. ilic military secrecy sur- 2 CPYRGHT .Approved ForRelease4e99/09/02 . sending tip C?periments in spacecraft. J never saw the vehicles, or even the box that :carried the experiment. Outside these an& jthe few other special areas which have tied !up a disproportionate fraction of the money :and best n p isver, it is hard to find very j !much that is strikingly original, or appliedj J with exceptional vigour ? and originality is the essence of science, as application is of technology. Whether Whether you're interested in j pulsars or psychology, in chemical plant or j'IjV sets. the, Russian lag is. unmistakable.' ; Attempts from time to time to promotej joriginality of thought have led tosrotesquc, publicity for cranks in the Soviet press. - Yet there are many very bright and force- ful Russian scientists. Of the various reasons 1411y the system is rotten, the most obvious I is Lysenko, who not only succeeded in arrest ing agricultural progresS for a genera- ilion. but also created ilt1 litmosplicre of terror lhiut tlevislatetl biology." he physicists were in a stronger position to shrug off Wm- , logical attacks on quantum theory and the Ii ke. vet die intellectual freedom so nixes- jsai y for creative ideas, in science as in any- thing else, is still badly Compromised. On - jtop of that is a ',disastrouS institutional ;system which segregates the leading research 'institutes both from the universities on the ,one hand and the factories on the other. So much has long been clear to Western. visitors. and admitted by internal critics like kapitla and Lisichkin..islow I have before CIA-RDPZ9701494A000.500(14000*.ey in ,h I 'N.s/?, prepared by Western experts for. the OLCD's Directorate for - Scienthic Affairs. In its cool and statistical way, drawH ing oh Soviet documents, it amounts to rt formidable indictment -of the bureaucrats,' academicians and party bunglers. Altlioneli its tone is more kindly than tonic, ii persuades me that, If anything, I j have tended to he too charitable allow the, glories of Soviet science. 'I he report shows' 'how ineptitude has permeated the system, front the local criterion that a laboratory has fulfilled its plan if it spends its budget (and done better if it's overspent!) to the failure at the national level effectively to disburse the allotted funds for research and develop- ment. 'the chapter on science and industry, by R. W. Davies and his colleagues at Bir- mingham University, is particularly reveal- ing, not least in its account of official efforts . to circumvent a pricing system that has made. innovation unattractive to managers. The communist regime is failing at the yery point where ideologically it should have been strongest. where in the popular imagination it offers its greatest challenge .to die West, and where its greatest chance, for building true communism once lay. 'I he Czech academicians who inspired the. Dubeek reforms understood what was going :wrong. The reactionary forces in Moscow new being in the ascendancy again, we can- not expect more than occasional twitches from the smothered genius of Russian scientists. WASHINGTON POST 3 April 1969 CPYRGHT ? Russia Found Still Lagging 4i100 Industrially By Eric Wentworth WashIngton Post Staff Writer CPYRGHT , icor a naiocentury, the :no- s'irit Union has looked to sci- ence to take the country to -the forefront of the modern industrialized world. For all their solid achieve- ments on the space and mili- tary frontiers, the Russians ,today still suffer a chronic technology gap in countless other, important sectors of their vast and cumbersome .economy. Indeed, by one defi- nition, the Soviet Union still falls short of being an indus- trialized nation. In an exhaustive new trea- tise dissecting Soviet science policies and programs,. the Paris-based Organization for shins are turning to Western approaches in some cases in hopes of improving their sys- tem. When the Soviet leaders once decide to assign top priority to .some technological program,. the 500 n-to-be-p u b I Is lied j()ECD report concludes, they can marshal their resources errpririv r. y inel icnnlly poses definite limits on the ef- ficiency of Soviet research and development." In terms of sheer man- power, the Soviet education system has been turning out masses of scientists, engineers and technicians. As of 1965, for example, an estimated one-third of the 4.891,000 citi- zens with higher-level school- achieve icsu is on a tr w anything the United States ac- complished. But such crash efforts are limited, and the Russians lag well behind their American ri- vals in the crucial computer and chemical industries and in almost all consumer products. Rigid, centralized planning, and unwieldy hareaucracy, limited research support, fail- ures to follow up research with development and fre- quent resistance to innovation on the factories have all con- tributed to this Soviet gap. "The centralized planning system in its present form," a clans. By another estimate, be- tween 1,655,000 and 2,291,000 persons?accurate data are elusive?were ,engaged in re, search and development work In I966. j However, the OECD study! jfinds "reasons for believing, Alva with the possible excel-- tion of the high priority sec- tors a lower level of equip- ment and other facilities per scientist means that, the 'pro- ductivity' per man of It and D is lewer in the U.S.S.R. than in the United States." A knottier factor in the Rus- sian technological lag/appears Economic Cooperation and summary of the 738-page. to be frequent failure to de- DeveA 151Y-folielisFir kdiease IOV0971512'.. Cfrt4DPi9-01194ttatiaaibigiftar,nat: 3 5C111 y- use, CPYRGHT 'SO OT-0 Sov,et ztecoi to the 01::C1) (,iett i,avo claimed dey(lopment st,:atling in theie country i.:: than ti,u per cent of the total It and f) budget a',:;ainst. G3.5 pet- cent in the United State3. :t`,"Itile ques- tioning these tpfic figures,: the (IEC.1:) exports don't quar-: rel. with the 'basic contention.' They repot t running across numerous . complaints about skimping on provision of test- ing facilities, production of prototypes and construction of pilot plants. in addition, they relate, "The Soviet press fre- quently publishes accounts of the failure to introduce new products 6:35and processes, once developed, into large- scale production, and of the slow rate at which new prod- ucts and processes, even when: they are fully introduced into production, replace existing, products and processes,. Bureaucratic harriers within: :the Soviet governmental hier- archy and between the aca- demic and industrial worlds( are one cause of the lag but I more basic still is the stub- born resistance to change' built into the present Soviet : system. Thanks to traditional in- dustrial planning that sets ar- I I bitrary output argct o tories and their parent minis- tries with limited budgets available to attain them, har- ried factory managers and of- ficials have been prone to re- ject any innovations that might cause current produc- tion to break stride or divert available funds from existing. needs. Aware of their system's fail- ings, the Russians in the past few year's have been undertak- ing some remedial steps with what the OECD analysts view so Ear as mixed results. They , are experimenting, for exam- pie, with ."factory centers," I"research complexes" and "r e se arch corporations"? patterned to some extent on United States structures and designed to bring laboratories and assembly lines into com- mon harness. ? Borrowing further on West- ern approaches, the Soviet leaders have moved toward fi- nancing research work through contracts and have ac- cepted the idea of fostering? competition among research groups. ? Beyond that, they are begin- ning the use of bonuses to in- spire scientists, designers and factory workers engaged in re- .111 ward faster, more effective work?with the size of the re- ward related to the economic return from what they pro- duce. The OECD experts consider this last a healthy step but not a panacea. "It seems certain," their summary observes ''that successful innovations in the West cannot entirely be ex- plained in terms of the higher 'profit margins obtainable from innovation." At the same time, they add, "Soviet efforts in the next few years to measure and reward the economic return on re- search and development are nevertheless likely to be rele- vant and interesting to West- ern countries." The 22-nation OECD's ana- lysts recognize that despite its shortcomings, the Soviet Union has made immense strides toward becoming a modern society over the past 40 years. But by one OECD definition they conclude that Russia, with more than 30 pet cent of its labor force still or .the farm and reportedly pro clueing More than 20 per cen of its national income, canno yet be classified as an Indus, trialized nation. THE ECONOMIST 8 February 1969 Tha Teciindosical Gap? in Russia Looking at thc Russians achieve- , merits in space, one finds it hard to believe that one of ,their obses- ? sions at home is with the techno- logical gap between themselves and the United States, and the way to ?close it. The Russians are, after all, training a quite staggering number of scientists' and engineers ; half the students coining out of the universities have qualified as either thc one or the other, making the num- ber of young, technically qualified graduates coming out each year substantially higher than it is in the United States. And the pool of technically quali- fied manpower is substantial, even for a country the Size of the Soviet Union ; it could be well over gi mu, of whom nearly 700,000 are university graduates or the equivalent. The American pool of qualified man-power is not all that different, although the ratio of university-trained scientists and engineers is much higher?about i mu gradu- ates ApprovednFolg,Release sets of figures excluding the social CPYRGHT sciences. It is not lack of trained .men that explains the gap, nor is it lack of money. The sums spent on science have been increasing 'annually and very rapidly, trebling in a decade and running at 3% of gross , national product, roughly the same ratio as in America; what- ever else they lack, those Soviet scientists arc not short of money. Then what are they short of ? The Organisation for Economic Co-oneration and Development has been making its own, if not exactly clandestine, then not exactly official assessment for thc last two or three years, and thc resulting report*, nearly 750 pages long, is now being given a restricted circulation. Because of the notorious unreliability of official Soviet figures, and the still more notorious difficulty of match- ing them to any comparable P V rn? _he US' R. 9disZ `ititlieRDP79-011940,0An, aintiOtti-Wri= western data, the specialists who compiled the report have been careful to explain their sources and methodology at every step, and the rash attempt to make some comparison with thc Ameri- can research is ours, not theirs: But we thought it useful to show, , however notionally, that the Russians have tried the brute force approach of throwing in masses of men and money on a scale approaching thc American?but failed to get the results they Were looking for. They arc now groping for some more subtle key to technological innovation and this is having a profound effect on thc whole of their economic thinking. -Why they lag For what thc Russians appear , to have found is that innova- tion requires first of all an attitude of mind that is not fostered by a normal Marxist economy. If a factory managers wage nontises if( teed APPPOIMd feCtirblViase is going to object to any orm re-tooling that is going to inter-, fere With production. lie is also, going to run into difficulty in pric- ing the new product so that it pays for its re-tooling and still remains competitive enough to CPYRGHT , sell. And even when a plant :manager is prepared to innovate,1 he 'runs the risk of being landed ,with a half-baked scheme badly worked out and only partially 'tested. The Russian scientific 'establishment, it seems, prefers ,to spend its time on research 'rather than development work. 1Few of the big research institutes ,have adequate facilities for pilot ,plant design. The lack of these has .hit the chemical industry partieu-' 'lady hard and probably goes a ,long way to explain why so much, ?chernical and synthetic fibre ,technology has been imported from the west. But there have been complaints about electronics, :engineering, atomic energy, com- puter controlled machine tools :and iron and steel as well. And :these are nearly all fields- where a big technological fall-out front 'the, Soviet space :effort might have happened?hut has not. :The Russians thernelves estimate that the productivity of their researchers i only ,about half the ;Americans' and that innovations take two or three 'tithes as long . to put 'into'''effeet." One likely reason is, lack of dev'eldpin'ent another is the of supporting ,Siaff.' iSeniOr q.Ciehtits constdr shoold'''haV between irwii and three ''j'imior seKnt . , , . ria a three to me iabiii-a;? toryt assistants to help iftethwhen ; they, are funtlithenthl' rcsearelt, and double that n'dmber , when- they, are on. rleve ppment., It is reasoimbly email that thyi get nothing or the sort In Pfiietice. Cvideore Of some universities rintlicateS 'thu scielui isis are 'doing. well if two of' them share the services of three laboratory aSSiStanti:''I lucy also as 'UniverSiiy, profeisorsso often hi 'cOniinnitist countries: that .0, ?-, :senior staff are eXpected to spend S., Much Of their tune teaChifig' .that . little Margin reinaiiiii for research,' and .ofresiMreh',' they are equipped to teach. If when i It r Soviet machine, and the me:mites% or the iotal reinailics has :taken all thehl4itter they unquestionablY.'ileseiVe, the suspicion rcnmins that the. scientists themselves may be short. on intellectual curiosity: Soviet industrial research tends to be organised on lines rather like ths British_ _ govemmerstainchistrv raPAriaxiVIQCsigeAPaSe 1 rod Is 1999O PTSM)1"n /W how atchy their 1 n- 194AdeD,&16 e. is iZrta. from the. things that industry really wanted to know. The same tendencies are at work in the Soviet Union with a few out- standing exceptions like the two major iron and steel research institutes that have established a two-way flow of information with the factories which has made this one of the most advanced of Russian industries. The Russian press, like. the British,. has been irritated by the number of times ideas that originated in Russia have been exploited commercially by other countries, notably the United States; instances of work on cer- tain electronic components seem to rankle the most. And to pot beside this is a number of spec- tacular failures; OECD cites computers (the infamous Ural 4_ .series) and car design. This, in the report, is contrasted with Soviet successes in what are classed as priority industries like space' defence.' research and ? atomic energy. But except for space, ? is this strictly 'true ? No one questions the quality of Soviet military equipment, includ- ing aircraft, but thc performance . of Soviet civil aircraft is open to challenge, and so is the country's record in atomic energy. Early Soviet planners made such basic 'mistakes as drawing up energy policies that tied the country to coal rather than oil, and transport , policies that ivcre based on steam locomotives rather than diesels. But Russia ,was also the first country to have a working nuclear ixiwer station?a small one, admittedly but pre-dating Calder hall by several years. llowever, this never materialised into a nuclear power programme. Simi- larly very few Soviet civil aircraft have ever gone into quantity pro- duction. Russian remedies These examples arc important because the OECD seems to think that the reason that scientists in! these industries got more idoor than their colleagues in other research institutes is because they knew what they were attempting to do. They had a clear goal that allowed them to co-ordinate the efforts of researchers and industries scattered the breadth of the Soviet Union and had government backing from the top to by-pass the normal labyrinthine scientific planning machine to get their hands on key materials and equipment of good quality, to get the Soviet supersonic prototype :airliner now tlying; the evidence is that it suffers from all the short- comings that have given super- ;sonic airliners in the west such :a chequered record. Yet aircraft is a shining example of a Russian ?industry where development work and the construction of prototypes is given its due importance, and where the designer and his sup- porting engineers outrank the factory manager, which they do not do elsewhere. Among the remedies the Russians have sought to prevent the dissi- pation of their scientific effort, are reforms aimed at cutting down the power of the scientific establishment, as represented by the Academy of Sciences, and the giving of more autonomy to the individual research centres includ- ing the famous Novosibirsk laboratories in Siberia. Around' this a "centre of excellence is building up on American lines, and attracting advanced industries to set up locally to cater for its advanced needs. The result of these reforms should in the long term be to reduce the status somewhat of the pure scientist and increase that of the engineer --Russian intellectuals are as big culture-snobs as any in the west and engineers have (like teachers) had to put up with a good deal of patronising. But this merely alters the climate slightly, of itself it will not close the technological gap. So efforts arc being made to devise a Soviet-type formula for measuring the possible costi., effectiveness of innovation ; for giving factory managers a choice of innovations to adopt .in theiri own plant?say, to choose which of several possible designs of machine tool they think worth . putting into development ; and combining this with sonic. incen. live to adopt innovation on the factory floor, together with a, price system that will not penalise the manager who does so. If this sounds as if the Russians arc moving, at industry level, towards a more western approach, to cost accounting, this is precisely , what the OECD specialists who have studied the research ,and development end of Russian ? industy think they arc doing. llow? far this can be carried without , a wholesale revision of the indus- trial cost structure, and of economic policy generally, the next few . years may show. Sufficient for the moment that building work done quickly and the Russians arc increasingly cow 999109N.,!!itTSILIOAVV94Atogittiggvf zr maj only t Is, of the trated life. Maybe they did, but ?obsolete design of many of their CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000500110001-9 textile looms; and of the fact that many factories are continuing to churn o,t obsolete designs because it is less bother than to adopt the new tows that have been de% eloped and cinild be sUpplicd were there a demand for them. And that the necessary demand can only be created by supplying some kind of western-style incen- tive for it. Moscow is also begin- ning to realise that incentives in a Marxist economy are less easy to provide than one might think. The first attempt at offering factory managers " innovation bonuses " ended with a fair pro- portion of the budget for bonuses underspeot. The degree of success that the Rt..-sians have in getting round these difficulties has more bearing oil sve:crit science than one might think. ";lre Russians' problem from the G.itsct i..as been how to combine plarwing with initiative. The west's is iw:reasingly how to combine initiative with planning. As more and more " big science gets government financed, sz, the west runs into MOM a::(1 1710:: Soviet-typc muddles, and all the short-comings highlighter! in the OECD report, the curr- some planning structure, the poo; standards of outlying and distant 'laboratories, the low status of science teachers, the reluctance of managers to adopt me ideas, the difficulty in getting new pro- jects started, combined with the even greater difficulty of getting them finished within a. reasonable time. Already it is being argued quite strongly in thc west that innovation now comes not from. big but small companies that have overheads low enough to allow ;them to improvise and experiment on a scale no big corporation can. -If their innovation is successful, they get taken over by big coin- Tanks who then look after the problems of quantity production and marketing that no small en- terprise can handle. But if tax, and financial and institutional factors make it increasingly difficult for small companies to live?as is becoming the ease in Britain and western Europe but not yet in thc United States?this source of ideas is cut off from big industry and you get Sovict-typc problems, with, , presumably", Swirl-type results. THE CURRENT DIGEST OF THE SOVIET PRESS 13 November 1968 Resolution to Spur Scientific Research and Development CPYRGHT In the C.P.S.U. Central Committee and the U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers: ON MEASURES TO RAISE THE EFFICACY OF THE WORK OF SCIENTIFIC ORGANIZATIONS AND TO AC- CELERATE THE UTILIZATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECH- NICAL ACHIEVEMENTS IN THE NATIONAL ECONOMY. (Pravda and lzvestia, Oct. 23, p. I. Complete text:) The C.P.S.U. Central Committee and the U.S.S.R. Council of Min- isters have examined the question of measures to raise the efficacy of the work of scientific organizations and to accel- erate the utilization of scientific and technical achievements In the national economy. The resolution adopted on this ques- tion notes that in a short historical period Soviet science and technology have attained a high degree of development and exert a decisive influence on the pace of the country's techni- cal progress. Soviet science is first in the world in several major fields; this makes it possible to resolve important tasks in developing the economy and strengthening the coun- try's defense capacity. The 23rd C.P.S.U. Congress defined the chief trends of technical progress that are connected with the growth of pro- duction forces, the strengthening of the Soviet state and a steady increase in the people's material and cultural stan- dards of living. To resolve these tasks, it is essential to im- prove the work of scientific organizations substantially and to eliminate the obstacles retarding utilization of scientific and technical achievements in the national economy. A common shortcoming in the work of scientific-research, design, drafting and technological organizations and scientific subdivisions of higher schools is that their work is not fo- cused to the proper extent on solving the most important sci- entific-technical problems, especially questions related to accelerating the growth rate of labor productivity in industry, agriculture, construction, transport and other branches of the national economy. The time it takes to apply scientific achievements is still considerable; the Chief explanation for this lies in the insufficient responsibility exercised by scien- tific institutions for the level of performance of scientific and technical projects, and by enterprises for the timely_pgrA-,,, tion of items Apriscoletwor Release 199 viu 6 Clear-cut specialization of scientific, design and drafting organizations has not been provided, and scientific-technical competition among them is poorly developed. There is a large gap between the time scientific research and design and technological elaborations are done and the time they are put into practice. To a considerable degree the reason for this lies in the inadequate role played by design subdivisions and laboratories at enterprises and in the slow development of capacities for the production of technological equipment and tools. The existing system of economic incentives for scientific research and for assimilation in production of the results of this research does not promote a rise in the efficacy of the scientific organizations' work. The scientific base at enter- prises is being developed inadequately, and the technical equipment of many scientific-research institutions and higher schools is lagging. Adequate measures have not been taken to make rational use of scientific cadres and to increase their responsibility for the technical-economic level of research. The C.P.S.U. Central Committee and the U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers, on the basis of the tasks of the country's further economic development, have proposed to the U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers' State Committee for Science and Technology, the U.S.S.R. State Planning Committee, the U.S.S.R. State Con- struction Administration, the U.S.S.R. Academy of Sciences, the ministries and departments and the Union-republic Coun- cils of Ministers that in drafting long-term, five-year and annual national-economic plans, broader use be made of the latest achievements of domestic and foreign science and tech- nology and advanced experience and urgent measures be taken to raise substantially the efficacy of the work of scientific in- stitutions, to improve the organization of scientific research and the management of scientific and technical development and to increase the responsibility of heads of enterprises, sci- entific organizations and higher schools for the creation of new technology and applying it in the national economy. It has been deemed necessary that long-term scientific- rendairctitgaaiWift d ore) DONICLInttircrmrin the development of the national economy. The eliihnrsttInn CPYRGHT tt:ersse' S'cmt OMMIXIMICIPMEPTZss:rRc. State Planning Committee, the U.S.S.R. Academy of Sciences and the U.S.S.R. State Construction Administration, together with interested ministries and departments and Union-republic Councils of Ministers. On the basis of the scientific-technical forecasts, ministries and departments and Union-republic Councils of Ministers have been instructed to organize long-term elaboration of . :drafts for enterprises and production branches, as well as models of machinery and equipment for the future. The inten- tion of all this is to provide the necessary scientific and technical backlog for the transition to qualitatively new "technological processes making it possible to raise labor pro- ductivity severalfold over the present level. By the time' enterprises now being designed go into operation, they should substantially surpass existing enterprises in our country and abroad in terms of technical-economic indices and technical , level of output. The basic form of state planning of science and technology is ? the five-year plan, which is drafted in accordance with the tasks of the country's economic development and the basic trends in science and technology over the long run. Proposals on the basic trends in scientific and technical development, as well as a list of major scientific-technical problems, are drawn up by the U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers' State Commit- tee for Science and Technology jointly with the U.S.S.R. Acad- emy of Sciences, with the participation of ministries and de- partments, Union-republic Councils of Ministers and scientif- ic-technical societies. These proposals define the level of technical development for various branches of the national !economy that is to be attained by the end of the plan period, as well as the most important scientific research and projects ? necessary to create a scientific-technical backlog. The chief components of the plan to solve the basic scientif- ic-technical problems should be: 4 ?creation and use of highly productive machinery and equip- ment for industrial production, construction, agriculture, transport and the communal economy, as well as both effective means of mechanizing and automating of production processes and new, More economical materials; ?creation and use of highly effective technological produc- tion processes to ensure integrated utilization of raw and other ,materials, improvement in the quality of output, reduction in 'outlays of labor and material expenses, increased productivity and improved working conditions; ? ?further improvement in the methods of organizing and managing production and in scientific organization of labor; and the creation and use of automated control and data pro- cessing systems in enterprises, associations, ministries and 'departments and of automated systems for the control of tech- nological processes?these systems are to be based on the ap- plication of mathematical methods, computers and control machinery; ?solution of problems in the area of construction, architec- ture, agriculture and public health. ! In order to improve scientific and technical leadership, when necessary pilot organizations will be appointed to deal with fundamental scientific-technical problems, and scientific di- rectors or chief designers will be appointed from among lead- ing scientists and specialists; their assistants will also be ap- pointed and will be responsible for solving particular parts of the problem. In addition to the five-year plan for scientific-research projects ?acomponent part of the State Five-Year Plan for the u.S.S.R. National Economy?coordi- nated plans are being drawn up to solve basic scientific-tech? nical problems, as well as annual plans for applying new machinery and technology in the national economy. It has also been deemed necessary to have branch and republic five. . year and annual plans for research work and for utilization ol scientific and technical achievements in production, as well - as analogous plans for every scientific institution and enter- prise. The coordinated plans to solve fundamental scientific-tecl nical startin problems must embrace a wijole comple,WM . ?-? gAteivedaRancRetaarnecaa of researct r esults In the national economy, and must coor- filtaRDRe76313014 9494100060041)000103uPs? U.S.S.R. ministries and departments and Union-republic Councils of Ministers have been instructed to provide the projects stipulated in the coordinated plans with the neces- sary cash and material-technical resources on a top-priority . basis. Control over fulfillment of these plans has been en- 'trusted to the U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers' State Committee for Science and Technology. U.S.S.R. ministries and departments and Union-republic Councils of Ministers have been permitted to have in their possession an undistributed reserve of up to 2% of budget appropriations, within the limits of the total expenditures on ? research projects. These funds are to be used to strengthen the most important areas of scientific-technical research. The U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers' State Committee for Sci- ence and Technology has been granted the right to redistrib- ute, in consultation with the ministries and departments, ex- - penditures on research work, including the salary fund. The research institutions of the U.S.S.R. Academy of Sci- ences, of the Union-republic Academies of Sciences, of branch academies and of several ministries and committees have been permitted to undertake projects with clients on a con- tract basis over and above the volume of expenditures on sci? entific research established by the national-economic plan. The U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers' State Committee for Science and Technology, the U.S.S.R.. State Planning Commit- tee, the U.S.S.R. Ministry of Finance and the U.S.S.R. Acad- emy of Sciences have been charged with elaborating a system of planning, statistical and accounting indices for scientific and technical development that will make it possible to evalu- ate the actual economic effectiveness derived from applying the results of scientific-technical projects and to determine the correctness of technical policy in the branches of the national economy. The resolution charts steps to develop wide-scale competi- tion in the scientific-technical area and to prevent a monopoly in solving the most important scientific and technical prob- lems. Toward this end it has been recommended that when necessary the ministries and departments, Union-republic ,Councils of Ministers, the U.S.S.R. Academy of Sciences and - 'branch Academies of Sciences assign the conduct of explora- tory research, as well as design, drafting and technological 'projects, to several organizations that are following different 'paths. This will make it possible to choose the best scientific, technical and economic solutions at the early stages of re- search and technological-drafting projects. In performing particularly important tasks, research projects should be carried to the stage of making experimental models for pur- poses of comparing them and selecting the best ones for use in production. It is recommended that branch research, design and draft- ing organizations and enterprises participate widely in the most important scientific work done in general-science in- stitutes and higher educational institutions, with the intentioll. of ensuring continuity in scientific-technical projects, all the way to their utilization in production. It is essential to deter- mine beforehand the enterprises and construction sites that will apply the results of the most important research, experi- mental-design and technological projects. This will enable . enterprises and construction organizations (with joint rights of co-authorship) to join with the scientifie-institutions at the proper time in working out the technical documentation with scientific institutions and to prepare production for the use of new marhinerv. The U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers' Slate Committee for &I enee mid Technology, with the participation of U.S. minis- tries and departments, should draw up and ratify., in consulta- tion with the U.S.S.R. State Planning Committee, a model stat- ute on the procedure for testing samples of new types of equipment. The executives of ministries and departments have been in- structed to increase the responsibility of enterprises, re- search and drafting-and-design organizations for; fulfilling the established plans to produce new types of output And elaborate technological processes. The U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers' fitUttimtirg01409CMace faotri?Scn of fnee and Technology, the .U.ELS.R. State Planning Committee and thp 7 , aDDroin?iilleA0111151r