'THE DISSIDENTS' DETENTE DEBATE,' RUDOLF L. TOEKES, THE NEW LEADER, 4 MARCH 1974. ' AFTER SOLZHENITSYN: DISSENT IN THE USSR,' ROBERT S. HAGEN, RESEARCH STUDY RESS-13, DEPARTMENT OF STATE BUREAU OF INTELLIGENCE AND RESEARCH, 21 MARC

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
14
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 18, 2002
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
May 21, 1974
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1.pdf891.65 KB
Body: 
25X1C1OB L Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 LIMITED OFFICIAL USE RESS-13 RESEARCH STUDY March 21, 1974 AFTER SOLZHENITSYN: DISSENT IN THE USSR Summary The expulsion of Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn from the USSR on February 13, 1974, was a serious but not fatal blow to the small but durable dissident movement in the Soviet Union. With his loss, Sakharov and Roy Medvedev are among the few dissidents of wide international reputation left in the USSR, and there is a possibility that the Kremlin will attempt to exile Sakharov and Medvedev abroad as well, if they continue to speak out. The dissident movement as presently constituted grew out of the lchrushchevian "thaw" of the late 1950's. It began as a "cultural opposition" of creative artists, then became politicized in the mid-sixties in response to trials of dissident writers and the Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia. Always small and amorphous, in the last two years it has been weakened (but not destroyed) by a systematic regime effort to stifle it. The movement is now in disarray, but it can be ex- pected to endure, in one form or another, because its mem- bers are responding to problems of Soviet life that persist and that the leadershipis not addressing at all, or only unsatisfactorily. The dissident movement apparently has little effect on the way the Kremlin conducts its policies, other than perhaps to restrain it from certain actions which, were it not for the dissidents, would never be publicized abroad and which the Kremlin could therefore take without fear of international repercussion. Still, the regime itself clearly does not regard the dissidents as unimportant, as it has demonstrated by its efforts to suppress them. DECONTROLLED FOLLOWING March 21, 1978. (Classified by E. Zook) Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 LIZ4ITED OFFICIAL USE But ideas of political activism, public accountabil- ity, and, above all, the rule of law and respect for basic .human rights have penetrated the Soviet intelligentsia, albeit to a limited degree. In the last two years the regime has systematically tried to suppress any evidence of this embryonic development, with only occasional token concessions in the cultural realm. The result, however, has not been to do away with the dissident movement, but only to make it less visible. Prepared by Robert S. Hagen x22233 LIMITED OFFICIAL USE Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Background and-Nature of Dissident Movement The dissident movement in the USSR -- the dissidents have never had a single program or organization, so the term "movement" is used loosely -- grew out of the Khrushchevian "thaw" of the late fifties. Soviet histo- rian Roy edvedev describes the thaw as "the noticeable weakening of censorship restrictions in all areas of intellectual and artistic life" after Khrushchev launched his de-Stalinization campaign at the 20th Party Congress in 1956.* The first fruit of this relaxation in censorship appeared in the Soviet cultural world. Andrey Amalrik -- in Will the Soviet Union Survive Until 1984? -- calls it a "cultural opposition," directed "not against the polit- ical regime as such but only its culture, which the regime regarded as a component part of itself." The members of the cultural opposition were primarily artists: writers, painters, etc. Out of this opposition, and official attempts to suppress it, came samizdat, the ironic, official-sounding Russian abbreviation for "self-published" literature (typed or handwritten) that gave the opposition- ists an.uticensored outlet for their ideas. Stimulated by such events as the trial of writers Andrey Sinvavskiy and Yuliy Daniel in 1966 and the Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968, the cultural opposition in the mid-sixties became politicized. The Chronicle of Current. Events, a samizdat newsletter that appeared every two mont-h s between 968 and 1972 and was *See Medvedev's essay "The Problem of Democrati- zation and the Problem of Detente," Moscow, October 1973. Published in English translation as a Radio Liberty Dispatch dated November 19, 1973. Excerpt~ed in The New York Times, November 8, 1973. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 LIMITED CFFICIAL USE the "organ" of a large number of dissenters, carried the masthead motto: "The Movement in Defense of Human Rights in the USSR Continues." The Chronicle, drawing on a net- work of anonymous "correspondents t roughout the USSR, advocated no specific reforms. Instead, it reported in a strictly factual, telegraphic manner on political trials and protests, religious and national persecutions, samizdat, labor camp news, and a variety of other dissi- dent concerns. Copies regularly reached foreign radio stations, especially Radio Liberty, and were rebroadcast to the USSR. In the transition from cultural opposition to human rights movement, the dissenters picked up new members from the scientific-technical intelligentsia. Although some students and workers became involved as well, the move- ment as a whole remained firmly grounded in the intelli- gentsia -- a minority of the intelligentsia at that. Amalrik analyzed the composition of the movement in its heyday -- early 1968 -- by examining the occupations of some 700 signatories to samizdat letters protesting the trial in January that year of two writers, Aleksander Ginzburg and Yuriy Galanskov. He found that academics, including not only university professors but also members of research institution.:, such as the Academy of Sciences, constituted 45% of the signatories. Arti.7ts accounted for 22% (of whom 601 were members of official creative unions), engineers and technical specialists 13%, and teachers, doctors, lawyers, and publishing-house employees 9%. Workers (6%) and students (50) were a small minority of the signatories. Despite the "class" uniformity of the dissidents, however, they hold often widely differing political and social views. Amalrik recognizes three general categories in the human rights movement: --"Genuine Marxist- -Leninists" claim that the present regime has distorted the founding doctrine of the Soviet state and call for a return to true princi- ples. Roy Medvedev is in this category. a LIMITED OFFICIAL USE Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 --"Supporters of 'Christian ideology,"' writes Amalrik, "maintain that the life of society must re- turn to Christian moral principles, which are interpreted in a somewhat Slavophile spirit." This group would include Solzhenitsvn, whose Slavophile orientation was clearly expressed in his September 5, 1973, letter to the Soviet leadership (excerpted in The N,6w York Times, March 3, 1974). --"Finally, believers in 'liberal ideology' ultim- ately envisage a transition to a Western kind of democratic society, which would, however, retain the principle of public or governmental ownership of the means of production." Andrey Sakharov belongs to this last category. At least two other major categories of dissent must be distinguished: religious and nationalist. Among the most active religious dissenters are the Lithuanian Catholics, who for several years have produced their own samizdat journal, the Chronicle of the Lithuanian Catholic C-hu rch. In the past year t is Journal, which at first eat almost exclusively with religious persecutions, has devoted more attention to Lithuanian nationalist activi- ties. Catholicism and nationalism are closely related in Lithuania, but the movement toward the latter in the pages of the Lithuanian Chronicle- may reflect the same kind of "coming of age" of dissentthat occurred in the transition from cultural opposition to human rights movement. Nationalist dissent, active and passive, has a broader base of support among the Soviet population as a whole, both Russian and non-Russian, than the other kinds of dissent mentioned above. Occasionally, as in the 1972 riots in Kaunas, Lithuania, it becomes violent. In the case of the Ukraine it has been subjected to especially harsh repressions and has produced saimnizdat works of high caliber, such as Ivan Dzyuba's Internationalism or Russifi- cation? Nationalist dissenters such as the Crimean Tatars, deported to Central Asia under Stalin, are among the-most persistent dissidents. 1 The Jewish nationalist movement is at present having unheard-of successes, by Soviet standards, in securing LIMITED OFFICIAL USE Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 the right to emigrate for its members. Former prison camp inmates now in Israel describe national loyalties as easily the strongest among the million-odd prisoners of the camps. Western media have focused on the "liberal" wing of the dissident movement, whose active members probably never numbered more than a few thousand (though the number of passive sympathizers is certainly larger). Great Russian nationalists, for example, who can be described as right-wing, are more numerous and certainly more influen- tial. The authorities have reacted to the left and centrist opposition and to the non-Russian nationalists far more harshly than to the Russian nationalists. Vladimir Osipov, editor of the Russophile samizdat journal Veche, includes his name and address in the journal, something the Chronicle editors never dared to do. The Crackdown Regime concern with the dissident movement in general and the Chronicle in particular evidently led to an order for a crackdown on dissent at the November 1971 Central Committee Plenum, the same one that approved the general game plan for detente. According to the Chronicle's 27th issue, the last to appear, on January 14-15, 1972, the KGB searched apartments in Moscow, Leningrad, Novosibirsk, and Vilnyus, all in connection with "Case No. 24," the name of the drive to suppress the newsletter. Thousands of samizdat documents were reportedly confiscated. Among the apartments searched were those of two prominent Moscow dissenters, Pyotr Yakir and Victor Krasin. Six months later, in June, Yakir was arrested and imprisoned in Moscow for interrogation. Krasin was arrested in September. The Yakir-Krasin Trial A year later, on August 27, 1973, the two men were brought to trial in a suburban Moscow courtroom, charged with violating Article 70 of the Russian Criminal Ccde forbidding "anti-Soviet agitation and propaganda." Spe- cifically, they were accused of accepting money and anti- Soviet literature from NTS (the Peoples' Labor Alliance, Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 a Russian emigre group in West Germany that collaborated with Hitler) and distributing this literature to Soviet citizens. The defendants cooperated with the prosecution during the investigation and publicly "repented" of their "crimes" at the closed trial and an open press conference a few days later. They were sentenced to relatively lenient three-year terms in prison camp and three years in internal exile. Shortly after the trial, a Moscow appeals court reduced the prison sentences to just over a year, and, since both men had already been held that long during the pre-trial investigation, they went immediately into exile, as provided by Soviet law. The regime evidently hoped the carefully prepared Yakir-Rrasin trial would be the capstone to its campaign against the dissident, movement. Unlike earlier political trials, this one was well-publicized both at home and abroad, although exclusively via official TASS reports -- foreign newsmen were not admitted. The lesson for the dissident audience in the USSR was clear: be silent or face similar treatment. For its foreign audience, the regime's message was that there is no indigenous dissident movement in the USSR, only a few slanderers willing, for a price, to serve as outlets for anti-Soviet agitators abroad. TASS quoted Yakir as saying, "We misled public opinion in the West by selling the idea that there was a political opposition in the Soviet Union." The Movement Today But even today, half a year after the trial, Yakir's statement is not convincing. Dissidents continue to speak out, new names appear on letters of protest, and samizdat continues to circulate because the audience for i-i-In tie USSR is undiminished. The movement is even more amorphous, however, than it was in 1968-1972. Two years of systematic police harass- ment have sent most of the early activist leaders into prison camps, psychiatric hospitals, or exile. Now that Solzhenitsyn has been expelled, Sakharov and Roy Medvedev are among the few internationally prominent dissenters left. LIMITED OFF ICI?LL USE Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 LIMITED OFI'ICIAL USE There is a real possibility that now the Kremlin will expel Sakharov and Medvedev as well if they continue to speak out. (Medvedev's brother, Zhores, is already in forced exile in London.) Sakharov said last November he had taken preliminary steps to get permission to come to the US and lecture on physics at Princeton. But in the wake of Solzhenitsyn's deportation he has reportedly decided to stay and continue,.his civil rights activities. The Kremlin, however, may pressure him to go ahead with his original plans. Once abroad, he would almost certainly be stripped of his citizenship and forced into permanent exile. The loss of Sakharov, always more of a political organizer than Solzhenitsyn, would be devastating to the movement. The two-year-old drive against the dissidents has re- sulted not only in the exile or imprisonment of a large part of its leadership but also the demoralization of many of those who are still at large. There is a noticeably stronger strain of desperation in the movement now as its members, never sanguine about their chances of success in bringing about reforms, face a powerful regime that has demonstrated the seriousness of its cow-nitment to rep-ression. When Sakharov's Human Rights Committee was formed in Moscow in 1970, the Chronicle. (Issue No. 17) published the group's statement of aims, among which was "co_nsultative assistance to the organs of government in the establishment and application of guaran- tees of hi-mian rights, carried out on the initiative of the Committee or of interested organs of government." This hope for an interest in the regime in promoting human rights, while not totally abandoned now (especially by "loyal oppositionists" like Roy M dvedev) is certainly dimmer than it was then, area the Comer ittee's founding documents may sound a little naive to today's dissenters. But although the movement is in disarray, it can be expected to endure, in one form or another, because its members are responding to problems of Soviet Lire that per- sist and that the leadership is not addressing at all or only in an unsatisfactory manner. Even if i`(c were possible to intimidate, imprison, or exile all the activists, what British scholar Peter Redda;,,al calls a "second generation" of dissenters could be expected to appear in response to LIMITED OFFICIAL USE Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 LIMITED OFFICIAL USE the national and religious repressions, censorship, bureau- cratism, and official arbitrariness that produced the first wave of dissent in the sixties. Last year's press campaign against Sakharov and now the Solzhenitsyn expulsion have already led to a limited resurgence of open protest, and many of the names on today's letters and petitions were absent from the record of the last decade's activities. Conclusion The dissident movement apparently has little effect on the way the Kremlin conducts its policies, other than per- haps to restrain it from certain actions which, were it not for the dissidents, would never be publicized abroad and which the Kremlin could therefore take without fear of international repercussion. Still, the regime itself clearly does not regard the dissidents as unimportant, as is demonstrated by its' efforts to suppress them. Moreover, in the case of such dissenters as Solzhenitsyn and Sakharov, the decisions are clearly im- portant enough to be made in the Politburo itself. Brezhnev's 11arch 10 reply to a French correspondent that he is "not concerned" with the Solzhenitsyn issue, and Kosygin's February 16 remark to a Scandinavian newsman that he is "not interested" in it were probably more wishful thinking than an accurate reflection of the Politburo attitude since the issue blew up with the publication of The Gulag Archipelago in Paris last December. The regime's hypersensitivity to open domestic criti- cism reflects a fear that such criticism represents a "clear and present danger" to its authority, an attitude characteristic of Soviet regimes, including Khrushchev's, since 1917. Its repressive reaction to dissent reflects the continuing predominance in the regime of people who, as Roy Medvedev writes, "grew up and were formed in condi- tions of the full political passivity of Soviet society, with an absence of public accountability, with a prepond- erance of not political but administrative forms and methods for directing society based not on persuasion but on compulsion." Nevertheless, ideas of political activism, Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 LIMITED OFFICIAL USE public accountability, and above all the rule of law and respect for basic human rights have penetrated the Soviet intelligentsia, albeit to a limited degree. In the last two years the regime has systematically tried to suppress any evidence of this embryonic development, with only occasional token concessions in the cultural realm. The result, however, has not been to do away with the dissi- dent movement, but only to make it less visible. LIMITED OFFICIAL USE Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 VOLUME LVII, NUMBER 5 MARCH 4, 1974 Correspondents' Correspondence ............................ 3 West Meets East/siLVIO F. SENIGALLIA How Nixon Works/ANDREW J. GLASS .................... 4 The Truth About Economists/ROBERT LEKACHMAN 6 Questions for the CIA/RAY ALAN ............................ 9 The Dissidents' Detente Debate/RUDOLF L. TOKES.. 11 Fair Game/WALTER GOODMAN 15 Writers & Writing The Artist as Hero/PEARL K. BELL ........................ 17 Pilgrimage of a Poet/GEORGE WOODCOCK .............. 19 In Search of Man/MICHAEL LIEBER ........................ 20 Filling in the GapS/VOJTECH MASTNY ............. :...... 21 On Television/MARVIN KITMAN ............................. 23 Dear Editor .............................................................. 25 SO SA LZ E N Executive Editor: MYRON KOLATCH Associate Editor: CHARLES CREESY Assistant Editor: BARRY GEWEN Assistant to the Editor: JOSEPHINE P. MEGRATH Art Director: Herb Lubalin. Regular Critics-Literature: Pearl K. Bell; Kingsley Shorter, Isa Kapp. Film: John Simon. Television: Marvin Kitman. Art: James R. Mellow. Regular Contributors-Daniel Bell, Theodore Draper, Milton R. Konvitz, Irving Kristol, Robert Lekochman, John P. Roche. Regular Columnists-Andrew J. Glass, Walter Goodman, Richard J. Margolis. Signed contributions do not necessarily represent the views of The New Leader. We welcome a variety of opinions consistent with our democratic policy. Unsolicited manuscripts cannot be returned unless accompanied by a stamped, self-addressed envelope. Tuff NEW LADW: Published biwveekly--acept twice in Jul? and once In August-by the American labor Confetenee on lnternatlonal Affairs, Inc. Editorial and executive offices: 212 Fifth Avenue. New York, N.Y. 10010. Telephone 989-6816. (Postmaster: Please send change of address on form 8679 to THE New LzAms. 212 Fifth Avenue, New York. N.Y. 10010.) National distributors; Eastern News Company, 155 West 16th St.. New York. N.Y. 10011. Indexed in the Public Affairs Information Service. Price this Issue: 50 cents. Subscription $12 per year, Canadian 11$. foreign $1C. Second-class postage nald at New York, N.Y. Copy- right ? 1974 by the American Labor Conference on International Af- fain, Inc. Al! rights reserved. Reproaucuon in whole or in part without written permission prohibited. ITSYN, KHAROVI MEDVE 10 LEKSAxtDlt 1. SOLZ1IF.NITSY,N's expulsion from the Soviet Union last month, coming as it (lid in the midst of a growing concern over the course of East-Nest detente, has intensified the debate in the Free World about what the current re- laxation of tensions between the superpowers means for dissidents within the USSR. A number of observers have noted that were it not for the Kremlin's policy of improving relations with the West, the Nobel Prize- winning author would probably have been prosecuted and imprisoned instead of deported; indeed, he is the first prominent Soviet figure to be forced into exile since 1929, when Stalin ordered Leon Trotsky out of the country. Others have pointed out that since the Nixon-Brezhnev summit of May 1972, the Soviet gov- ernment has largely succeeded in breaking the hack of the dissident movement; and in banishing Solzhenit- syn, the Kremlin has not only rid itself of its most cele- brated domestic critic but clearly hoped to diminish the power of his voice by making him just another Russian emigre cut off from his spiritual roots. Long before this debate flared outside, however, it was under way inside the USSR. In the 1970 Nobel lecture that Soviet authorities would not permit him to deliver, for example, Solzhenitsyn expressed the fear that East-West detente would harm prospects for in- ternal democratization in the USSR. His view v: as not shared, though, by either of the other two leading Soviet dissidents--Andrei D. Sakharov, the nuclear physicist and father of the Russian H-bomb who be- came a fighter for civit rights in his country: or Roy A. Medvedev, the revisionist historian who advocates the return of Communism to its original Marxist-Leninist principles. I t seems an especially appropriate time, therefore, to analyze the different attitudes of the three men toward detente, which have tended to be ob- scured by their common opposition to the excesses of the Soviet regime. Solzhenitsv. following the classical tradition of the Russian intelligentsia, is perhaps above all else a moral philosopher. accordingly, he assumes the posture o.1 keeper of his people's moral conscience and guardian against its corrupt and inherently Immoral rulers. his contempt for professional politicians ("boils on the neck of society preventing it from freely moving its Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 head and arms"), far from being restricted to the Soviet leadership, extends to powerful hypocrites of all na- tions, including avaricious heads of nonaligned nations, apologists for acts of terrorism and "national libera- tion wars," U.S. Democrats seeking to profit from the Watergate scandal, International Olympic Committee officials, and those who in the name of ending the Cold War wish to muzzle free international broadcasting. In his letter proposing Sakharov for the 1973 Nobel Peace Prize, Solzhenitsyn deplored "the widespread mis- take 'of defining peace as the absence of war rather than the absence of violence," and urged the leaders of world opinion ' to expose individuals who accept a fraudulent peace as the alternative to armed conflict: "Coexistence on this tightly knit earth should be viewed as an existence not only without wars-that is not enough!-but also without violence, or telling us how to live, what to say, what to think, what to know and what not to know. . . . If we want to achieve not just a brief respite from the threat of war, but a real peace, a peace in essence, with a healthy foundation, we will have to struggle no less intensely against the quiet, concealed forms of violence than we struggle against the loud forms.... We will have to erase from human consciousness the very idea that anyone has the right to use force against justice, law and mutual consent." Solzhenitsyn's moral-absolutist definition of interna- tional order leads him to an unqualified repudiation of East-West detente as it has been practiced in the post- Vietnam era. He argues that it resolves nothing and serves to prolong the danger of global war: "There seems to be little doubt, as many now realize, that what is going on in the USSR is not simply some- thing happening in one country, but a ' foreboding of the future of man, and therefore deserving the fullest attention of Western observers. No, it is not any diffi- culties of perception that the West is suffering, but a desire not to know, an emotional preference for the pleasant over the unpleasant. Such an attitude is gov- erned by the spirit of Munich, the spirit of complaisance and concession, and by the cowardly self-deception of comfortable societies and people who have lost the will to live a life of deprivation, sacrifice and firmness." A NDREI D. SAKHAROV, in his famous 10,000- word statement, "Thoughts on Progress, Peaceful Coexistence and Intellectual Free- dom," was the first to consciously link the question of political democratization in the USSR with the larger issue of peaceful coexistence and global economic prog- ress. A strong advocate of East-West convergence, he nevertheless also supports a balance-of-power approach to international peace and stability. But he fears a devil's pact between the two superpowers at the expense of their democratic opponents at home and their mili- tarily weaker clients abroad. Consequently, although he is an anti-Machiavellian in the general area o in- ternational politics, Sakharov is prepared to use a ery legitimate lever-such as U.S. denial of "most-favored- nation" status to the USSR until it eases emigration restrictions-to bring about a liberalization of Soviet society. His overall view was perhaps most succinctly stated in an interview he gave to a group of Western reporters on August 21, 1973, the fifth anniversar of the occupation of Prague: "Detente without democratization, detente in which the West in effect accepts the Soviet rules of the game, would be dangerous. It would not really solve an of the world's problems and would simply mean capitulat- ing in the face of real or exaggerated Soviet powe . It would mean trading with the Soviet Union, buying its gas and oil, while ignoring all other aspects. I t ink such a development would be dangerous because it would contaminate the whole world with the antide o- cratic peculiarities of Soviet society, it would en ble the Soviet Union to bypass problems it cannot resolve on its own, and to concentrate on accumulating still further strength. "As a result, the world would become helpless be- fore this uncontrollable bureaucratic machine. I ink that if detente were to proceed totally without qualifi- cations, on Soviet terms, it would pose a serious th eat to the world as a whole. It would mean cultivating a closed country where anything that happens may be shielded from outside eyes, a country wearing a ask that hides its true face. I would not wish it on any ne to live next to such a neighbor, especially if he i at the same time armed to the teeth." Yet, as I. F. Stone observed in his insightful anal sis in the New York Review of Books, Sakharov "is no enemy of detente. On the contrary, complete and genu- ine detente, ideological as well as political coexistence, has been one of the two objectives of the extraordi ary campaign that he has been waging since 1968. he other is the democratization of the Soviet Union." Roy A. Medvedev, unlike Solzhenitsyn and Sakha ov, believes the impetus for democratic reform will come from gradual personnel and policy changes in the top Party leadership, rather than from outside pressures. He tends to downgrade the positive results achieed by open protest, and is sharply critical of what he terms the "immorality" and "provocative" behavio of certain dissidents. Medvedev's samizdat essay, ""he Problem of Democratization and the Problem of e- tente," made public last November, was prompted by what he considered to be the counterproductive radical- ization of several leading spokesmen for the Soviet civil rights movement. These people, he argues, "have begun to express more extreme views and to make till less constructive proposals, guided more by emotions than by considerations of political appropriateness.'. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1 The examples of this kind of imprudent behavior cited in Medvedev's essay clearly point to at least three identifiable figures. One is the writer Vladimir Y. Maksimov, who in an open letter to the German novel- ist Heinrich Boll denounced Chancellor Willy Brandt's Ostpolitik as a fraud and described its architect as a "mediocre apologist for a new Munich who takes him- self for a great politician." Another is Sakharov, who is taken to task for his endorsement of U.S. trade re- strictions against the USSR. The third is Solzhenitsyn, who is chastised for comparing the South African gov- ernment's treatment of imprisoned blacks with the Kremlin's confinement of dissident activist Pyotr Gri- gorenko in a hospital for the criminally insane. Medvedev admits that a causal relationship might exist between the relaxation of international tensions and the growing repression of Soviet dissidents. But in the long run, he feels, the advantages of detente may outweigh the difficulties now being experienced by the regime's critics. In his opinion, the responsibility for recent retrograde policies belongs to "our hawks" and "Right-wing circles" within the Party's Central Com- mittee. With the removal of conservative Politburo members Pyotr Shelest and Gennadi Voronov, he inti- mates, these forces have lost their leaders. Medvedev credits the cessation of jamming of for- eign Russian-language broadcasts in September 1973, the ratification by the Supreme Soviet of two United Nations covenants on social and political rights, the continued outflow of Jewish emigrants, the de facto suspension of the notorious "education tax," and the generally pragmatic stance toward the West to detente- inspired compromises. While he does not discount the influence of Western public opinion on Soviet internal policies, he thinks. there are practical limitations to the efficacy of dissident protest aimed at foreign countries: "In general, the opportunities for pressure on the Soviet Union from the point of view of interstate or economic relations should not be overestimated. Not only because the Soviet partners in the talks will rea- sonably protest against interference in Soviet domestic affairs, but we generally doubt very much that the majority of Western leaders are really seriously con- cerned with problems of political and human rights in the USSR or China. In the long run, Nixon, Pompidou and Heath defend the interests of the ruling classes of their countries, and it is not axiomatic that capitalist circles in the United States, England, France, and the German Federal Republic are so interested in the most rapid development of socialist democratization in the USSR or in speeding up economic, social and cultural progress in the Soviet Union. Therefore, Soviet 'dissi- dents' who turn to Western countries for support must consider carefully the `address' to which they direct these appeals." The trouble, as Medvedev sees it, is that dissident appeals have provided Western "Rightist" circles with too much comfort, and have not given enough encour- agement to "Leftist social organizations which are most interested in the evolution of genuine socialist democ- racy in our country." In any case, he feels "it would he an illusion to think that Western public opinion will sometime become more concerned with internal Soviet problems than with internal problems of its own." Finally, he reminds his fellow intellectuals "not to fall victim to a peculiar Moscow-centrism and fail to see that in many other countries there arc just as severe, and in many instances still more severe, internal prob- lems than those that exist in the USSR." DESPITE THEIR disagreements about how to put pressure on the Party leadership, a re- markable consensus exists among dissident Soviet intellectuals on the nature of contemporary in- ternational relations and the place of the USSR in the community of nations. All seem to agree that some kind of change is inevitable in the way the USSR coexists with the rest of the world. None has false illusions about the Western political institutions and the capital- ist market economies that shape the daily lives of politicians, intellectuals and the common people on the "other side." They oppose political extremism and ideological demagoguery of all kinds. They are deeply concerned about the prospects of a genuine and endur- ing peace, and are fearful of the Soviets' "military- industrial complex." According to their individual temperaments, these men address different constituencies at home and abroad. As an artist, Solzhenitsyn probably speaks to the largest audience: everyone who dreads war, op- pression and the power of faceless bureaucrats over the destiny of mankind. Sakharov, the liberal scientist, seems to be directing his remarks to political decision makers, educated elites, and those who believe in the superiority of reason to the blind passions of anachron- istic ideologies. Medvedev might be called the honest broker between the two, trying to reconcile his com- rades' pleas for sympathy and help from the outside with the forbidding political realities of the Soviet Union -where, he argues persuasively, all domestic reform must begin. With Solzhenitsyn in exile and Sakharov in danger of being forced to follow him abroad, we may soon see the important debate on democratization and de- tente that has been flourishing among Soviet dissidents reduced to the more orthodox positions taken by Medvedev and other inward-looking reformers. If that happens, the dissident movement will probably "go native" for a while and cease to be a serious ob- stacle to Moscow's efforts to sell its version of detente to the West. But then, of course, the moral fiber of the West will face its true test. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100680001-1